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REFERENCE CODE GDPE0782ICR | PUBLICATION DATE MAY 2015
BRAZIL POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2025, UPDATE 2015 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS,
AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Brazil Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape 2 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
BRAZIL POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2025, UPDATE 2015 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS, AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Executive Summary
Brazil’s Power Market Outlook
Brazil’s economy is one of the fastest growing in
the world, and well-placed services, manufacturing,
and agricultural sectors mean that it is the largest
in South America. It has steadily stabilized its
economy since the early 2000s, with Gross
Domestic Product (GDP) growing from $XX billion
in 2000 to $XX billion in 2014 at a Compound
Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of XX%. This has
driven power consumption in the country, which
also increased at a CAGR of XX% during the same
period, from XX Terawatt hours (TWh) in the same
period.
Power Market, Brazil, Gross Domestic Product ($bn) and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2019
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Ann
ual p
ower
con
sum
ptio
n (T
Wh)
GD
P ($
bn)
GDP (constant prices) Annual power consumption Source: GlobalData; IMF, 2014
The increase in electricity consumption was a
result of growth of the economy and the
population. Annual electricity generation also
increased during this period, from XX TWh in 2000
to XX TWh in 2014, at a CAGR of XX%.
Power Market, Brazil, Annual Power Consumption and Generation (TWh), 2000–2014
2000 2007 2014
Annu
al p
ower
con
sum
ptio
n an
d ge
nera
tion
(TW
h)
Annual power consumption Annual power generation Source: GlobalData, Power Database [Accessed on April 28, 2015]
Brazil derives the majority of its power
requirements from hydropower, making use of its
most abundantly available natural resource. In
2014, XX% of Brazil’s total installed capacity was
derived from hydropower. Thermal power from gas
was the second largest source of power, with a
XX% share in 2014, followed by biomass with XX%
and thermal oil power with XX%. Other
technologies, such as onshore wind, thermal
power from coal, nuclear power, biogas, and solar
Photovoltaic (PV) contributed the remaining XX%
of total installed capacity in 2014.
Brazil Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape 4 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
Table of Contents
BRAZIL POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2025, UPDATE 2015 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS, AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
1 Table of Contents
1 Table of Contents ....................................................................................................................... 4
1.1 List of Tables ...................................................................................................................... 7
1.2 List of Figures ..................................................................................................................... 8
2 Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 9
2.1 GlobalData Report Guidance ............................................................................................ 10
3 Brazil, Power Market, Snapshot ................................................................................................ 11
3.1 Brazil, Power Market, Macro-economic Factors ................................................................ 11
3.2 Brazil, Power Market, Supply Security .............................................................................. 14
3.3 Brazil, Power Market, Opportunities .................................................................................. 14
3.4 Brazil, Power Market, Challenges ..................................................................................... 14
4 Brazil, Power Market, Market Analysis ...................................................................................... 16
4.1 Brazil, Power Market, Supply Structure ............................................................................. 16
4.2 Brazil, Power Market, Key Market Players ........................................................................ 16
4.3 Brazil, Power Market, Financial Deals ............................................................................... 17
4.3.1 Deal Volume and Value Analysis, 2004–March 2015 .................................................... 17
4.3.2 Deals by Type, 2014 ..................................................................................................... 19
4.4 Brazil, Power Market, Demand Structure .......................................................................... 20
4.4.1 Power Consumption by Sector, 2014 ............................................................................ 21
5 Brazil, Power Market, Regulatory Scenario ............................................................................... 23
5.1 Brazil, Power Market, Key Electricity Policies .................................................................... 23
5.1.1 New Model Electricity Law............................................................................................. 23
5.1.2 New Electricity Market Regulations ............................................................................... 24
5.1.3 Continued Subsidy: Power Sector under Pressure ........................................................ 24
5.1.4 Renewable Energy Development .................................................................................. 25
5.1.5 The Inova Program........................................................................................................ 26
6 Brazil, Power Market, Capacity and Generation Overview ........................................................ 28
Brazil Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape 5 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
Table of Contents
BRAZIL POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2025, UPDATE 2015 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS, AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
6.1 Brazil, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type, 2014 ......................... 28
6.2 Brazil, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity and Annual Power Generation, 2000–2025 .................................................................................................................................. 29
6.2.1 Cumulative Installed Thermal Capacity and Annual Thermal Power Generation, 2000–2025 ............................................................................................................................. 32
6.2.2 Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity and Annual Hydropower Generation, 2000–2025 ............................................................................................................................. 36
6.2.3 Cumulative Installed Nuclear Capacity and Annual Nuclear Power Generation, 2000–2025 ............................................................................................................................. 39
6.2.4 Cumulative Installed Renewable Capacity and Annual Renewable Power Generation, 2000–2025 ................................................................................................................... 42
7 Brazil, Power Market, Transmission and Distribution Overview ................................................. 46
7.1 Brazil, Power Market, Transmission Overview .................................................................. 46
7.2 Brazil, Power Market, Distribution Overview ...................................................................... 47
7.3 Brazil, Power Market, Grid Interconnection ....................................................................... 48
7.3.1 Future Developments in International Interconnections ................................................. 49
7.3.2 Electricity Import and Export Trends, 2000–2014 .......................................................... 49
7.4 Brazil, Power Market, Electricity Trading ........................................................................... 51
8 Brazil, Power Market, Competitive Landscape: Snapshot of Top Power Generating Companies ................................................................................................................................................. 52
8.1 Key Company in the Brazil Power Market – Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A. ................. 52
8.1.1 Company Overview ....................................................................................................... 52
8.1.2 Business Description ..................................................................................................... 52
8.1.3 SWOT Overview ........................................................................................................... 53
8.2 Key Company in the Brazil Power Market – Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais ....... 57
8.2.1 Company Overview ....................................................................................................... 57
8.2.2 Business Description ..................................................................................................... 57
8.2.3 SWOT Overview ........................................................................................................... 57
8.3 Key Company in the Brazil Power Market – Companhia Energetica de Sao Paulo ........... 62
Brazil Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape 6 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
Table of Contents
BRAZIL POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2025, UPDATE 2015 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS, AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
8.3.1 Company Overview ....................................................................................................... 62
8.3.2 Business Description ..................................................................................................... 62
8.3.3 SWOT Analysis ............................................................................................................. 63
9 Appendix................................................................................................................................... 67
9.1 Market Definitions ............................................................................................................. 67
9.1.1 Power ............................................................................................................................ 67
9.1.2 Installed Capacity .......................................................................................................... 67
9.1.3 Electricity Generation .................................................................................................... 67
9.1.4 Electricity Consumption ................................................................................................. 67
9.1.5 Thermal Power Plant ..................................................................................................... 67
9.1.6 Hydropower Plant .......................................................................................................... 67
9.1.7 Nuclear Power............................................................................................................... 67
9.1.8 Renewable Energy Resources ...................................................................................... 68
9.2 Abbreviations .................................................................................................................... 68
9.3 Bibliography ...................................................................................................................... 69
9.4 GlobalData’s Methodology ................................................................................................ 70
9.4.1 Coverage ...................................................................................................................... 71
9.4.2 Secondary Research and Analysis ................................................................................ 71
9.4.3 Primary Research and Analysis..................................................................................... 72
9.5 Disclaimer ......................................................................................................................... 72
Brazil Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape 7 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
Table of Contents
BRAZIL POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2025, UPDATE 2015 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS, AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
1.1 List of Tables
Table 1: Power Market, Brazil, Gross Domestic Product ($bn), Population (million), and Annual Power
Consumption (TWh), 2000–2019 ................................................................................................. 13
Table 2: Power Market, Brazil, Market Share of Power Generation Companies (%), 2014 ......................... 17
Table 3: Power Market, Brazil, Deal Value ($bn) and Deal Volume, 2004–March 2015 .............................. 18
Table 4: Power Market, Brazil, Deals by Type (%), 2014 ........................................................................... 19
Table 5: Power Market, Brazil, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2025 ........................................ 21
Table 6: Power Market, Brazil, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2014 .................................................. 22
Table 7: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2014 ............................... 28
Table 8: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Power Generation (TWh),
2000–2025 .................................................................................................................................. 31
Table 9: Power Market, Brazil, Leading Thermal Power Plants, 2015 ........................................................ 33
Table 10: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Thermal Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power
Generation (TWh), 2000–2025 .................................................................................................... 35
Table 11: Power Market, Brazil, Leading Hydropower Plants, 2015 ............................................................. 37
Table 12: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower
Generation (TWh), 2000–2025 .................................................................................................... 39
Table 13: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Nuclear Capacity (GW) and Annual Nuclear Power
Generation (TWh), 2000–2025 .................................................................................................... 41
Table 14: Power Market, Brazil, Leading Renewable Power Projects, 2015 ................................................. 43
Table 15: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Renewable Capacity (GW) and Annual Renewable
Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2025 ......................................................................................... 45
Table 16: Power Market, Brazil, Transmission Line Length (Ckm), 2000–2020 ............................................ 47
Table 17: Power Market, Brazil, Distribution Line Length (Ckm), 2000–2020 ............................................... 48
Table 18: Power Market, Brazil, Annual Electricity Imports and Exports (TWh), 2000–2014 ......................... 51
Table 19: Power Market, Brazil, Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A., SWOT Profile, 2014 ............................. 54
Brazil Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape 8 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
Table of Contents
BRAZIL POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2025, UPDATE 2015 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS, AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Table 20: Power Market, Brazil, Companhia Energetica De Minas Gerais, SWOT Profile, 2014 .................. 58
Table 21: Power Market, Brazil, Companhia Energetica de Sao Paulo, SWOT Profile, 2014 ....................... 63
Table 22: Abbreviations .............................................................................................................................. 68
1.2 List of Figures
Figure 1: Power Market, Brazil, Gross Domestic Product ($bn), Population (million), and Annual Power
Consumption (TWh), 2000–2019 ................................................................................................. 12
Figure 2: Power Market, Brazil, Market Share of Power Generation Companies (%), 2014 ......................... 17
Figure 3: Power Market, Brazil, Deal Value ($bn) and Deal Volume, 2004–March 2015 .............................. 18
Figure 4: Power Market, Brazil, Deals by Type (%), 2014 ........................................................................... 19
Figure 5: Power Market, Brazil, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2025 ........................................ 20
Figure 6: Power Market, Brazil, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2014 .................................................. 22
Figure 7: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2014 ............................... 28
Figure 8: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Power Generation (TWh),
2000–2025 .................................................................................................................................. 30
Figure 9: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Thermal Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power
Generation (TWh), 2000–2025 .................................................................................................... 34
Figure 10: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower
Generation (TWh), 2000–2025 .................................................................................................... 38
Figure 11: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Nuclear Capacity (GW) and Annual Nuclear Power
Generation (TWh), 2000–2025 .................................................................................................... 40
Figure 12: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Renewable Capacity (GW) and Annual Renewable
Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2025 ......................................................................................... 44
Figure 13: Power Market, Brazil, Annual Electricity Imports and Exports (TWh), 2000–2014 ......................... 50
Brazil Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape 9 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
BRAZIL POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2025, UPDATE 2015 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS, AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Introduction
2 Introduction
Brazil, which is a developing country with well-established agricultural, manufacturing and service
sectors, is the largest and the most populous country in South America, and one of the fastest
growing countries in the world. It has a democratic republican form of government, with a
presidential system in place, and is a founding member of the United Nations, the G20, the Latin
Union, the Organization of Ibero-American States, the Organization of American States, Mercosur,
and the Union of South American Nations.
The Brazilian economy is fairly liberal, and attracts the largest amount of Foreign Direct Investment
(FDI) among the South American countries. The US is the primary investor in Brazil, but the
government is endeavoring to strengthen existing trade relationships with other developing nations
as part of Mercosur, a trade bloc of which Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay and Venezuela are
members. In 2008, Mercosur entered into a free trade agreement with Israel, before entering into
another with Egypt in 2010. Additionally, Brazil and China reached an agreement to trade in their
local currencies to the equivalent of $XX billion per year in 2013 (Flak et al., 2013).
With an estimated Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (at constant prices) of $XX billion in 2013, Brazil
registered a GDP growth rate of XX%, in 2014, and XX% between 2000 and 2014. The country’s
economy was affected by the global economic recession in 2008, which resulted in a negative
annual growth rate of XX% for 2009. However, it registered a comparatively rapid rate of recovery
following the recession; a GDP growth rate of XX% was registered in 2010 (IMF, 2014).
In 2014, the services sector contributed the majority share of GDP, with an estimated XX%,
followed by the industry sector with XX% and the agricultural sector with XX%. The total value of
Brazil’s exports amounted to an estimated $242.7 billion in 2014, compared with $XX billion in
2013, an increase of XX%. The country’s major export items include aircraft, electrical equipment,
automobiles, ethanol, textiles, footwear, iron ore, steel and coffee. Its major export markets are
China, the US and Argentina (CIA, 2014).
Economic and population growth have led to an increase in electricity consumption in Brazil.
Annual electricity consumption increased at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of XX%
between 2000 and 2014, and is expected to grow at a CAGR of XX% between 2015 and 2025.
Hydropower is the source of the majority of the electricity generated in Brazil.
Brazil Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape 10 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
BRAZIL POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2025, UPDATE 2015 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS, AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Introduction
The Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME) is responsible for overseeing the electricity sector in
Brazil. The Brazilian Electricity Regulatory Agency (Agência Nacional de Energia Elétrica,
ANEEL) is a regulatory authority that functions under the supervision of MME. On August 16, 2004,
the Brazilian government created the Energy Research Company (Empresa de Pesquisa
Energética, EPE), a federal public company responsible for carrying out studies and research in
the strategic energy sector. The unbundling and privatization of the electricity sector took place in
1993.
2.1 GlobalData Report Guidance
The report opens with an executive summary that captures the key growth trends in the
Brazilian power market.
Chapter three provides a snapshot of the key parameters affecting the power sector in Brazil
and key points about the Brazilian power market.
Chapter four provides a power market analysis for Brazil.
Chapter five details the regulatory scenario of the power market and the inward foreign
investment scenario in Brazil.
Chapter six provides information regarding Brazil’s cumulative installed capacity and annual
generation trends, both as a whole and also by individual generation source.
Chapter seven describes Brazil’s power transmission and distribution infrastructure and
includes information on interconnectors with neighboring countries. The section also details
electricity imports and exports and upcoming grid-related projects.
Note: all 2014 market numbers provided in the report are estimates, except where actual data were
available.
Brazil Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape 19 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
BRAZIL POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2025, UPDATE 2015 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS, AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Market Analysis
4.3.2 Deals by Type, 2014
Debt offerings were the preferred means of raising finance in 2014, and this type of financing
accounted for XX% of the total deal value for this year, followed by asset transaction deals with
XX%, acquisition deals with XX%, and equity offerings with XX%. There were also five partnership
deals completed, which were of an undisclosed value.
Figure 4: Power Market, Brazil, Deals by Type (%), 2014
Debt offerings
Asset transactions
Acquisition
Equity offerings
Source: GlobalData, Power Database [Accessed on April 27, 2015]
Table 4: Power Market, Brazil, Deals by Type (%), 2014 Deal type Share
Debt offerings
Asset transactions
Acquisition
Equity offerings
Source: GlobalData, Power Database [Accessed on April 27, 2015]
Brazil Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape 29 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
BRAZIL POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2025, UPDATE 2015 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS, AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Capacity and Generation Overview
6.2 Brazil, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity and Annual Power Generation, 2000–2025
Brazil’s cumulative installed capacity increased from XX GW in 2000 to XX GW in 2014 at a CAGR
of XX%. This can be attributed to the growth witnessed in the renewable, thermal and hydropower
sectors between 2000 and 2014.
During the forecast period from 2015 to 2025, Brazil’s cumulative installed capacity is expected to
grow at a CAGR of XX% to XX GW. Although hydropower sources are expected to contribute the
majority of Brazil’s total installed capacity, the relative share held by these sources is expected to
have declined to XX% by 2025, from the present share of XX%. This will be caused by increases in
the contributions made by renewable energy, particularly wind plants. From 2015 to 2025,
renewable power sources are expected to grow at a CAGR of XX%.
The total amount of electricity generated in Brazil in 2014 amounted to an estimated XX TWh. Of
this total, hydropower accounted for XX%, or XX TWh. Thermal power made the second highest
contribution, accounting for a relatively low share of XX%, or XX TWh. Renewable and nuclear
energy sources contributed respective totals of XX% or XX TWh, and XX% or XX TWh.
Between 2015 and 2025, Brazil’s total electricity generation is expected to increase at a CAGR of
XX% to reach XX TWh. The share of hydropower generation is expected to decline to XX%, while
the share of renewable power is expected to increase to reach XX%.
Brazil Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape 30 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
BRAZIL POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2025, UPDATE 2015 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS, AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Capacity and Generation Overview
Figure 8: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2025
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Ann
ual p
ower
gen
erat
ion
(TW
h)
Cum
ulat
ive
inst
alle
d ca
paci
ty (G
W)
Cumulative installed capacity Annual power generation Source: GlobalData, Power Database [Accessed on April 27, 2015]
Brazil Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape 31 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
BRAZIL POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2025, UPDATE 2015 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS, AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Capacity and Generation Overview
Table 8: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2025
Year Cumulative installed capacity Annual power generation
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Source: GlobalData, Power Database [Accessed on April 27, 2015]
Brazil Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape 67 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
Appendix
BRAZIL POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2025, UPDATE 2015 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS, AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
9 Appendix
9.1 Market Definitions
9.1.1 Power
Power refers to the rate of production, transfer or energy use, usually related to electricity. It is
measured in Watts (W) and often expressed in kilowatts (kW) or Megawatts (MW). It is also known
as real power or active power.
9.1.2 Installed Capacity
Installed capacity refers to the generator’s nameplate capacity as stated by the manufacturer, or
the maximum rated output of a generator under given conditions. It is given in Megawatts (MW) on
a nameplate affixed to the generator.
9.1.3 Electricity Generation
Electricity generation refers to the process of generating electricity from other forms of energy. It
also refers to the amount of electricity produced, expressed in Gigawatt hours (GWh).
9.1.4 Electricity Consumption
Electricity consumption is the sum of electricity generated, plus imports, minus exports and
transmission and distribution losses. It is measured in Gigawatt hours (GWh).
9.1.5 Thermal Power Plant
A thermal power plant is a plant in which turbine generators are driven by burning fossil fuels.
9.1.6 Hydropower Plant
A hydropower plant is a plant in which the turbine generators are driven by falling water.
9.1.7 Nuclear Power
Nuclear power is the energy released from the fission of nuclear fuel in a reactor.
Brazil Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape 68 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
Appendix
BRAZIL POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2025, UPDATE 2015 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS, AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
9.1.8 Renewable Energy Resources
Renewable energy resources are those that provide energy that is naturally replenished but limited
in the amount of energy available per unit of time. Biomass, geothermal, solar, small hydro and
wind are examples of renewable resources.
9.2 Abbreviations
Table 22: Abbreviations ACL Ambiente de Contratação Regulada (Regulated Contract Environment)
ACR Ambiente de Contratação Livre (Non-regulated Contract Environment)
ANEEL Agência Nacional de Energia Elétrica (Brazilian Electricity Regulatory Agency)
BNDES Banco Nacional de Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social (National Development Bank)
BRIX Brazilian Intercontinental Exchange
CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate
CCEE Câmara de Comercialização de Energia Elétrica (Electric Energy Commercialization Chamber)
CCGT Combined Cycle Gas Turbine
Ckm Circuit kilometer
EPE Empresa de Pesquisa Energética (Energy Research Company)
FDI Foreign Direct Investment
FINEP Financiadora de Estudos e Projetos (Brazilian Innovation Agency)
GDP Gross Domestic Product
GW Gigawatt
GWh Gigawatt hour
HVDC High Voltage Direct Current
kV kilovolt
MME Ministry of Mines and Energy
MW Megawatt
ONS Operador Nacional do Sistema Elétrico (National Grid Operator)
PV Photovoltaic
SIN Sistema Interconectado Nacional (National Interconnected System)
TWh Terawatt hour
Source: GlobalData
Brazil Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape 69 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
Appendix
BRAZIL POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2025, UPDATE 2015 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS, AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
9.3 Bibliography
Biller D and Lima MS (2012). Brazil Suffers Fifth Power Outage Since Crackdown on Utilities.
BLOOMBERG. Available from: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-10-26/brazil-suffers-fifth-
power-outage-since-crackdown-on-utilities.html [Accessed on April 27, 2015]
BNamericas (2013). Uruguay to begin Brazil power imports next year. BNamericas. Available
from: http://www.bnamericas.com/news/electricpower/uruguay-to-start-importing-power-from-
brazil-next-year [Accessed on April 28, 2015]
BP (2014). BP Statistical Review of World Energy June 2014 [database]. British Petroleum.
Available from: http://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/excel/Energy-Economics/statistical-review-
2014/BP-Statistical_Review_of_world_energy_2014_workbook.xlsx [Accessed on April 27,
2015]
Brazil Windpower (2014). Why Making Part of Brazil Windpower 2014? Brazil Windpower.
Available from: http://www.brazilwindpower.org/en/ [Accessed on April 26, 2015]
CIA (2014). Brazil: The World Factbook. Central Intelligence Agency. Available from:
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/br.html [Accessed on April 28,
2015]
Flak A et al. (2013). BRICS members China and Brazil agreed on Tuesday to trade in their own
currencies the equivalent of up to $30 billion per year, moving to take almost half of their trade
exchanges out of the U.S. dollar zone. Thomson Reuters. Available from:
http://in.reuters.com/article/2013/03/26/brics-summit-china-brazil-currencies-
idINDEE92P08O20130326 [Accessed on April 28, 2015]
Goy L and Soto A (2014). UPDATE 1-Brazil power regulator proposes rate hike; may stoke
inflation. Thomson Reuters. Available from: http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/02/11/brazil-
economy-energy-idUKL2N0LG1D220140211 [Accessed on April 28, 2015]
IDB (2013). Four energy companies, the AFD, and the IDB agree to explore electricity
interconnection of Northern Arc countries. Inter-American Development Bank, March 15, 2013.
Available from: http://www.iadb.org/en/news/news-releases/2013-03-15/northern-arc-
project,10385.html [Accessed on April 28, 2015]
Brazil Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape 70 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
Appendix
BRAZIL POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2025, UPDATE 2015 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS, AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
IMF (2014). World Economic Outlook Database, October 2014 [database]. International
Monetary Fund. Available at:
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2014/02/weodata/index.aspx [Accessed on April 28,
2015]
Jiménez R et al. (2014). Sizing Electricity Losses in Transmission and Distribution Systems in
Latin America and the Caribbean. Inter-American Development Bank. Available from:
http://www10.iadb.org/intal/intalcdi/PE/2014/14933.pdf
Lima MS (2013). Brazil Energy Auction Sells 2.3 Gigawatts of Wind-Power Projects.
Bloomberg. Available from: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-12-13/brazil-energy-auction-
sells-2-3-gigawatts-of-wind-power-projects.html [Accessed on April 26, 2015]
Norton Rose Fulbright (2013). The Inova Energia Program – Promoting Energy Efficiency and
Renewable Energy in Brazil. Norton Rose Fulbright. Available from:
http://www.nortonrosefulbright.com/knowledge/publications/98881/the-inova-energia-program-
promoting-energy-efficiency-and-renewable-energy-in-brazil [Accessed on April 26, 2015]
Orihuela R (2013). Brazil's Cheaper Electricity Comes at a Cost. Bloomberg. Available from:
http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2013-02-07/brazils-cheaper-electricity-comes-at-a-cost
[Accessed on April 27, 2015]
Soto A (2014). Update 1 – Brazil spending on power generation may stretch budget. Thomson
Reuters. Available from: http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/02/07/brazil-economy-power-
idUSL2N0LC1CV20140207 [Accessed on April 27, 2015]
9.4 GlobalData’s Methodology
GlobalData’s dedicated research and analysis teams consist of experienced professionals with
advanced statistical expertise and marketing, market research and consulting backgrounds in the
energy industry.
GlobalData adheres to the codes of practice of the Market Research Society (www.mrs.org.uk) and
Strategic and Competitive Intelligence Professionals (www.scip.org).
All of GlobalData’s databases are continuously updated and revised. The following methodology
has been followed for the collection and analysis of data presented in this report.
Brazil Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape 71 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
Appendix
BRAZIL POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2025, UPDATE 2015 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS, AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
9.4.1 Coverage
This report covers Brazil’s power market, examining the market structure and providing historical
generation, capacity and consumption forecasts until 2025. It also looks at the market’s regulatory
structure, import and export trends, competitive landscape and leading active and upcoming power
projects.
9.4.2 Secondary Research and Analysis
The capacity, generation and consumption data is collected and validated using a number of
secondary resources including but not limited to:
Government agencies, ministry websites, industry associations, the World Bank, IMF, and
statistical databases
Company websites, annual reports, financial reports, analyst reports and investor
presentations
Industry trade journals, market reports and other literature
GlobalData’s proprietary databases such as the Capacity and Generation Database, Power
Plant Database and Transmission and Distribution Database
Further to this, the following secondary information is collected and analyzed to project Brazil’s
power market scenario to 2025, analyzing factors such as:
Macro-economic scenario
Government regulations, policies and targets
Government and private sector investment
Contract and deal announcements
Utility expansion plans
The sector’s historical track record
Other qualitative insights built through secondary research and analysis of company websites,
annual reports, investor presentations, industry and trade journals, and data from industry
associations
Brazil Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape 72 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
Appendix
BRAZIL POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2025, UPDATE 2015 – MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS, AND COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
9.4.3 Primary Research and Analysis
Secondary research is further complemented through primary interviews with industry participants
to verify the market numbers obtained through secondary research and obtain first-hand
information on industry trends.
The participants are drawn from a diverse set of backgrounds, including power producers,
equipment manufacturers, industry associations, government bodies, utilities, distributors, and
academia. The participants include but are not limited to C-level executives, industry consultants,
academic experts, business development and sales managers, purchasing managers, plant
managers, government officials and industry spokespersons.
9.5 Disclaimer
All Rights Reserved.
No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any
form by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior
permission of the publisher, GlobalData.
This report is a licensed product and should not to be reproduced without prior permission.