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Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends
Uwe Wystup, Universiteit Antwerpen / MathFinance [email protected]
Lorentz workshop on Models and Numerics in Financial MathematicsLeiden, 27 May 2015
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 1 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Agenda1 Vanna-Volga Approaches
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
2 Stochastic-Local-VolatilityModel HistoryExample: Tremor (Murex)Example: Jackel/Kahl’s Hyp Hyp HoorayExample: Andersen-Hutchings (PricingPartners)Example: Silvano (Volmaster)Example: Pagliarani & PascucciExample: Bloomberg
3 FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsTarget ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
4 [email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 2 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Agenda1 Vanna-Volga Approaches
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
2 Stochastic-Local-VolatilityModel HistoryExample: Tremor (Murex)Example: Jackel/Kahl’s Hyp Hyp HoorayExample: Andersen-Hutchings (PricingPartners)Example: Silvano (Volmaster)Example: Pagliarani & PascucciExample: Bloomberg
3 FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsTarget ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
4 [email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 3 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Vanna-Volga Model History
1 First industrial use: O’Connor & Associates, a Chicago-based optionstrading firm, with particular emphasis on financial derivatives. The firmwas acquired by Swiss Bank Corporation (later merged with Union Bankof Switzerland to form UBS)
2 The relevance of higher order Greeks vanna and volga (also called vomma)has been explained and summarized by Andrew Webb in [Webb, 1999].This essay also mentions the need to estimate the first hitting time of abarrier.
3 Patent [Gershon, 2001] held by SuperDerivatives(SD) 20014 Lipton and McGhee (2002) in [Lipton and McGhee, 2002]5 Intuitive vanna-volga: Wystup 2003[Wystup, 2003], [Wystup, 2006]6 Mathematical vega-vanna-volga: Castagna/Mercurio 2007
[Castagna and Mercurio, 2007], [Castagna and Mercurio, 2006],[Castagna, 2010]
7 Revised vanna-volga: Bossens et al.[Bossens et al., 2009]8 Bloomberg vanna-volga: Fisher [Fisher, 2007]
Other refs [Shkolnikov, 2009], [Janek, 2011]
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 4 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Vanna-Volga Model History
1 First industrial use: O’Connor & Associates, a Chicago-based optionstrading firm, with particular emphasis on financial derivatives. The firmwas acquired by Swiss Bank Corporation (later merged with Union Bankof Switzerland to form UBS)
2 The relevance of higher order Greeks vanna and volga (also called vomma)has been explained and summarized by Andrew Webb in [Webb, 1999].This essay also mentions the need to estimate the first hitting time of abarrier.
3 Patent [Gershon, 2001] held by SuperDerivatives(SD) 20014 Lipton and McGhee (2002) in [Lipton and McGhee, 2002]5 Intuitive vanna-volga: Wystup 2003[Wystup, 2003], [Wystup, 2006]6 Mathematical vega-vanna-volga: Castagna/Mercurio 2007
[Castagna and Mercurio, 2007], [Castagna and Mercurio, 2006],[Castagna, 2010]
7 Revised vanna-volga: Bossens et al.[Bossens et al., 2009]8 Bloomberg vanna-volga: Fisher [Fisher, 2007]
Other refs [Shkolnikov, 2009], [Janek, 2011]
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 4 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Vanna-Volga Model History
1 First industrial use: O’Connor & Associates, a Chicago-based optionstrading firm, with particular emphasis on financial derivatives. The firmwas acquired by Swiss Bank Corporation (later merged with Union Bankof Switzerland to form UBS)
2 The relevance of higher order Greeks vanna and volga (also called vomma)has been explained and summarized by Andrew Webb in [Webb, 1999].This essay also mentions the need to estimate the first hitting time of abarrier.
3 Patent [Gershon, 2001] held by SuperDerivatives(SD) 2001
4 Lipton and McGhee (2002) in [Lipton and McGhee, 2002]5 Intuitive vanna-volga: Wystup 2003[Wystup, 2003], [Wystup, 2006]6 Mathematical vega-vanna-volga: Castagna/Mercurio 2007
[Castagna and Mercurio, 2007], [Castagna and Mercurio, 2006],[Castagna, 2010]
7 Revised vanna-volga: Bossens et al.[Bossens et al., 2009]8 Bloomberg vanna-volga: Fisher [Fisher, 2007]
Other refs [Shkolnikov, 2009], [Janek, 2011]
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 4 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Vanna-Volga Model History
1 First industrial use: O’Connor & Associates, a Chicago-based optionstrading firm, with particular emphasis on financial derivatives. The firmwas acquired by Swiss Bank Corporation (later merged with Union Bankof Switzerland to form UBS)
2 The relevance of higher order Greeks vanna and volga (also called vomma)has been explained and summarized by Andrew Webb in [Webb, 1999].This essay also mentions the need to estimate the first hitting time of abarrier.
3 Patent [Gershon, 2001] held by SuperDerivatives(SD) 20014 Lipton and McGhee (2002) in [Lipton and McGhee, 2002]
5 Intuitive vanna-volga: Wystup 2003[Wystup, 2003], [Wystup, 2006]6 Mathematical vega-vanna-volga: Castagna/Mercurio 2007
[Castagna and Mercurio, 2007], [Castagna and Mercurio, 2006],[Castagna, 2010]
7 Revised vanna-volga: Bossens et al.[Bossens et al., 2009]8 Bloomberg vanna-volga: Fisher [Fisher, 2007]
Other refs [Shkolnikov, 2009], [Janek, 2011]
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 4 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Vanna-Volga Model History
1 First industrial use: O’Connor & Associates, a Chicago-based optionstrading firm, with particular emphasis on financial derivatives. The firmwas acquired by Swiss Bank Corporation (later merged with Union Bankof Switzerland to form UBS)
2 The relevance of higher order Greeks vanna and volga (also called vomma)has been explained and summarized by Andrew Webb in [Webb, 1999].This essay also mentions the need to estimate the first hitting time of abarrier.
3 Patent [Gershon, 2001] held by SuperDerivatives(SD) 20014 Lipton and McGhee (2002) in [Lipton and McGhee, 2002]5 Intuitive vanna-volga: Wystup 2003[Wystup, 2003], [Wystup, 2006]
6 Mathematical vega-vanna-volga: Castagna/Mercurio 2007[Castagna and Mercurio, 2007], [Castagna and Mercurio, 2006],[Castagna, 2010]
7 Revised vanna-volga: Bossens et al.[Bossens et al., 2009]8 Bloomberg vanna-volga: Fisher [Fisher, 2007]
Other refs [Shkolnikov, 2009], [Janek, 2011]
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 4 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Vanna-Volga Model History
1 First industrial use: O’Connor & Associates, a Chicago-based optionstrading firm, with particular emphasis on financial derivatives. The firmwas acquired by Swiss Bank Corporation (later merged with Union Bankof Switzerland to form UBS)
2 The relevance of higher order Greeks vanna and volga (also called vomma)has been explained and summarized by Andrew Webb in [Webb, 1999].This essay also mentions the need to estimate the first hitting time of abarrier.
3 Patent [Gershon, 2001] held by SuperDerivatives(SD) 20014 Lipton and McGhee (2002) in [Lipton and McGhee, 2002]5 Intuitive vanna-volga: Wystup 2003[Wystup, 2003], [Wystup, 2006]6 Mathematical vega-vanna-volga: Castagna/Mercurio 2007
[Castagna and Mercurio, 2007], [Castagna and Mercurio, 2006],[Castagna, 2010]
7 Revised vanna-volga: Bossens et al.[Bossens et al., 2009]8 Bloomberg vanna-volga: Fisher [Fisher, 2007]
Other refs [Shkolnikov, 2009], [Janek, 2011]
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 4 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Vanna-Volga Model History
1 First industrial use: O’Connor & Associates, a Chicago-based optionstrading firm, with particular emphasis on financial derivatives. The firmwas acquired by Swiss Bank Corporation (later merged with Union Bankof Switzerland to form UBS)
2 The relevance of higher order Greeks vanna and volga (also called vomma)has been explained and summarized by Andrew Webb in [Webb, 1999].This essay also mentions the need to estimate the first hitting time of abarrier.
3 Patent [Gershon, 2001] held by SuperDerivatives(SD) 20014 Lipton and McGhee (2002) in [Lipton and McGhee, 2002]5 Intuitive vanna-volga: Wystup 2003[Wystup, 2003], [Wystup, 2006]6 Mathematical vega-vanna-volga: Castagna/Mercurio 2007
[Castagna and Mercurio, 2007], [Castagna and Mercurio, 2006],[Castagna, 2010]
7 Revised vanna-volga: Bossens et al.[Bossens et al., 2009]
8 Bloomberg vanna-volga: Fisher [Fisher, 2007]
Other refs [Shkolnikov, 2009], [Janek, 2011]
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 4 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Vanna-Volga Model History
1 First industrial use: O’Connor & Associates, a Chicago-based optionstrading firm, with particular emphasis on financial derivatives. The firmwas acquired by Swiss Bank Corporation (later merged with Union Bankof Switzerland to form UBS)
2 The relevance of higher order Greeks vanna and volga (also called vomma)has been explained and summarized by Andrew Webb in [Webb, 1999].This essay also mentions the need to estimate the first hitting time of abarrier.
3 Patent [Gershon, 2001] held by SuperDerivatives(SD) 20014 Lipton and McGhee (2002) in [Lipton and McGhee, 2002]5 Intuitive vanna-volga: Wystup 2003[Wystup, 2003], [Wystup, 2006]6 Mathematical vega-vanna-volga: Castagna/Mercurio 2007
[Castagna and Mercurio, 2007], [Castagna and Mercurio, 2006],[Castagna, 2010]
7 Revised vanna-volga: Bossens et al.[Bossens et al., 2009]8 Bloomberg vanna-volga: Fisher [Fisher, 2007]
Other refs [Shkolnikov, 2009], [Janek, 2011]
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 4 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Vanna-Volga Model History
1 First industrial use: O’Connor & Associates, a Chicago-based optionstrading firm, with particular emphasis on financial derivatives. The firmwas acquired by Swiss Bank Corporation (later merged with Union Bankof Switzerland to form UBS)
2 The relevance of higher order Greeks vanna and volga (also called vomma)has been explained and summarized by Andrew Webb in [Webb, 1999].This essay also mentions the need to estimate the first hitting time of abarrier.
3 Patent [Gershon, 2001] held by SuperDerivatives(SD) 20014 Lipton and McGhee (2002) in [Lipton and McGhee, 2002]5 Intuitive vanna-volga: Wystup 2003[Wystup, 2003], [Wystup, 2006]6 Mathematical vega-vanna-volga: Castagna/Mercurio 2007
[Castagna and Mercurio, 2007], [Castagna and Mercurio, 2006],[Castagna, 2010]
7 Revised vanna-volga: Bossens et al.[Bossens et al., 2009]8 Bloomberg vanna-volga: Fisher [Fisher, 2007]
Other refs [Shkolnikov, 2009], [Janek, 2011][email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 4 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Wystup/Traders’ Rule of Thumb 2003
[Wystup, 2003], [Wystup, 2006]: compute the cost of the overhedge of riskreversals (RR) and butterflies (BF) to hedge vanna and volga of an option EXO.
VV-value = TV + p[cost of vanna + cost of volga] (1)
with
cost of vanna =vannaEXO
vannaRR× OH RR (2)
cost of volga =volgaEXO
volgaBF× OH BF (3)
p = no-touch probability or modifications (4)
OH = overhedge = market price− TV (5)
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 5 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Castagna/Mercurio 2007
[Castagna and Mercurio, 2007], [Castagna and Mercurio, 2006]: portfolio ofthree calls hedging an option risk up to second order (in particular the vannaand volga of an option.
c(K , σK ) = c(K , σBS) +3∑
i=1
xi (K)[c(Ki , σi )− c(Ki , σBS)] (6)
with
x1(K) =∂c(K ,σBS )
∂σ∂c(K1,σBS )
∂σ
ln K2K
ln K3K
ln K2K1
ln K3K1
x2(K) =∂c(K ,σBS )
∂σ∂c(K2,σBS )
∂σ
ln KK1
ln K3K
ln K2K1
ln K3K2
x3(K) =∂c(K ,σBS )
∂σ∂c(K3,σBS )
∂σ
ln KK1
ln KK2
ln K3K1
ln K3K2
. (7)
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 6 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Vanna-Volga Design Issues
Hedge with BF and RR vs Hedge with 3 Vanillas, and if vanillas thenwhich ones?
Include vega
Include third order Greeks (volunga, vanunga)
One-touch probability: which measure? domestic, foreign, physical, mixes?
Apply different weights to vega, vanna and volga, e.g. vanna weight =No-Touch-Probability p, vega and volga weight = 1+p
2, [Fisher, 2007]
Not clear how to translate to Double-Touch products
Which volatility to use for the touch probability: ATM, average of ATMand barrier vol, derived from equilibrium condition NTvv=NTbs+NTvv*...
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 7 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Vanna-Volga Design Issues
Hedge with BF and RR vs Hedge with 3 Vanillas, and if vanillas thenwhich ones?
Include vega
Include third order Greeks (volunga, vanunga)
One-touch probability: which measure? domestic, foreign, physical, mixes?
Apply different weights to vega, vanna and volga, e.g. vanna weight =No-Touch-Probability p, vega and volga weight = 1+p
2, [Fisher, 2007]
Not clear how to translate to Double-Touch products
Which volatility to use for the touch probability: ATM, average of ATMand barrier vol, derived from equilibrium condition NTvv=NTbs+NTvv*...
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 7 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Vanna-Volga Design Issues
Hedge with BF and RR vs Hedge with 3 Vanillas, and if vanillas thenwhich ones?
Include vega
Include third order Greeks (volunga, vanunga)
One-touch probability: which measure? domestic, foreign, physical, mixes?
Apply different weights to vega, vanna and volga, e.g. vanna weight =No-Touch-Probability p, vega and volga weight = 1+p
2, [Fisher, 2007]
Not clear how to translate to Double-Touch products
Which volatility to use for the touch probability: ATM, average of ATMand barrier vol, derived from equilibrium condition NTvv=NTbs+NTvv*...
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 7 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Vanna-Volga Design Issues
Hedge with BF and RR vs Hedge with 3 Vanillas, and if vanillas thenwhich ones?
Include vega
Include third order Greeks (volunga, vanunga)
One-touch probability: which measure? domestic, foreign, physical, mixes?
Apply different weights to vega, vanna and volga, e.g. vanna weight =No-Touch-Probability p, vega and volga weight = 1+p
2, [Fisher, 2007]
Not clear how to translate to Double-Touch products
Which volatility to use for the touch probability: ATM, average of ATMand barrier vol, derived from equilibrium condition NTvv=NTbs+NTvv*...
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 7 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Vanna-Volga Design Issues
Hedge with BF and RR vs Hedge with 3 Vanillas, and if vanillas thenwhich ones?
Include vega
Include third order Greeks (volunga, vanunga)
One-touch probability: which measure? domestic, foreign, physical, mixes?
Apply different weights to vega, vanna and volga, e.g. vanna weight =No-Touch-Probability p, vega and volga weight = 1+p
2, [Fisher, 2007]
Not clear how to translate to Double-Touch products
Which volatility to use for the touch probability: ATM, average of ATMand barrier vol, derived from equilibrium condition NTvv=NTbs+NTvv*...
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 7 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Vanna-Volga Design Issues
Hedge with BF and RR vs Hedge with 3 Vanillas, and if vanillas thenwhich ones?
Include vega
Include third order Greeks (volunga, vanunga)
One-touch probability: which measure? domestic, foreign, physical, mixes?
Apply different weights to vega, vanna and volga, e.g. vanna weight =No-Touch-Probability p, vega and volga weight = 1+p
2, [Fisher, 2007]
Not clear how to translate to Double-Touch products
Which volatility to use for the touch probability: ATM, average of ATMand barrier vol, derived from equilibrium condition NTvv=NTbs+NTvv*...
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 7 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Vanna-Volga Design Issues
Hedge with BF and RR vs Hedge with 3 Vanillas, and if vanillas thenwhich ones?
Include vega
Include third order Greeks (volunga, vanunga)
One-touch probability: which measure? domestic, foreign, physical, mixes?
Apply different weights to vega, vanna and volga, e.g. vanna weight =No-Touch-Probability p, vega and volga weight = 1+p
2, [Fisher, 2007]
Not clear how to translate to Double-Touch products
Which volatility to use for the touch probability: ATM, average of ATMand barrier vol, derived from equilibrium condition NTvv=NTbs+NTvv*...
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 7 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Comparison: Heston-Local-VV EUR-USD OT Moustache
0.08
0.06
0 02
0.04
0
0.02
Heston
Local
‐0.02
00.15 0.25 0.35 0.45 0.55 0.65 0.75 0.85 0.95 VV Cost
VV Solve
‐0.04
0.02
‐0.06
‐0.08
Figure : Model Comparison 6-M-EUR-USD-OT down paying USD: Market data ofJuly 11 2012
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 8 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Comparison: Heston-Local-VV EUR-USD DNT Moustache
0.12
0.14
0.1
0.08
0 04
0.06
Heston
Local
0.02
0.04VV Cost
VV Solve
00 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4
‐0.02
‐0.06
‐0.04
Figure : Model Comparison 6-M-EUR-USD-DNT paying USD: Market data of July 112012
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 9 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Comparison: Heston-Local-VV EUR-USD Down-Out-Call Moustache
0.0005
00 0.005 0.01 0.015 0.02 0.025 0.03 0.035 0.04 0.045
‐0.0005
‐0.001Heston
Local
‐0.0015
VV Cost
VV Solve
‐0.002
‐0.0025
‐0.003
Figure : Model Comparison 6-M-EUR-USD down-out-call: Market data of July 112012
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 10 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Vanna-Volga Consistency Issues
0 08
0.1
0.12
0.14
0.16
Barrier Price Vs Vanilla Price with VV method
Barrier Price
Vanilla Price
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
100.00% 102.00% 104.00% 106.00% 108.00% 110.00%
Figure : Convergence of a RKO EUR call CHF put to vanilla, strike 1.0809, 60 days,Market data of April 11 2012: Spot ref 1.20105, 2M EUR rate 0.055%, 2M-Forward-5.65, 10D BF 4.10, 25D BF 1.4755, ATM 3.00, 25D RR -0.7010, 10D RR -1.70.
Vanna-Volga as in [Wystup, 2010] causes arbitrage in extreme markets.
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 11 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryWystup/Traders’ Rule of ThumbCastagna/MercurioDesign IssuesConsistency Issues
Vanna-Volga Consistency Issues
LOOKBACKCOMPOUND
INSTALLMENT
FWDSTARTWINDOW‐BARRIER
TOLDNTASIAN
INSTALLMENTDISCRETE‐BARRIERPARISIAN
AUSTRALIAN AMERICAN
DNTDOT
DIGKI TAKIBKO
KOBKI ONION
POWER
FORWARDDKO DKIKIKODIGKO
OPOWERVARSWAP
OT
RISK REVERSALSTRADDLESTRANGLE
NT
KI KORKO
KIKOF
FLUFFY
VANILLA
STRANGLEBUTTERFLYCONDOR
(RATIO) SPREAD
RKI
DIGITALEKO
DCDKIKOF
(RATIO) SPREADPARTICIPATOR
SEAGULLCHOOSER
DIGITAL
EKICORRIDOR
F+
CHOOSERCO O
FADER KOFADER ACCU TRF
Figure : Wystup’s Exotic Options [email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 12 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryExample: Tremor (Murex)Example: Jackel/Kahl’s Hyp Hyp HoorayExample: Andersen-Hutchings (PricingPartners)Example: Silvano (Volmaster)Example: Pagliarani & PascucciExample: Bloomberg
Sotchastic-Local Volatility Model History
Generally agreed original LSV reference: Jex, Henderson and Wang(1999) [Jex et al., 1999].
Parabola in spot in LSV: Blacher (2001) [Blacher, 2001]. Volatility: meanreverting process, described in [Ayache et al., 2004] as
dS/S = r dt + σ(1 + α(S − S0) + β(S − S0)2)dW
dσ = κ(θ − σ)dt + ε σdZ
In [Lipton, 2002] Lipton describes an LSV model using a mean revertingprocess for the variance (like in the Heston model) and a general localvolatility function σL(t,S) as multiplicator for the stochastic volatility inthe equation for the spot process.
Several LSV models using different choices of local volatility functions inthe equation for the spot or forward process combined with a stochasticprocess for the volatility, the variance, or a function of variance, have beenconsidered and implemented in the following years in the industry. (See forone example [de Backer, 2006].)
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 13 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryExample: Tremor (Murex)Example: Jackel/Kahl’s Hyp Hyp HoorayExample: Andersen-Hutchings (PricingPartners)Example: Silvano (Volmaster)Example: Pagliarani & PascucciExample: Bloomberg
Sotchastic-Local Volatility Model History
Generally agreed original LSV reference: Jex, Henderson and Wang(1999) [Jex et al., 1999].
Parabola in spot in LSV: Blacher (2001) [Blacher, 2001]. Volatility: meanreverting process, described in [Ayache et al., 2004] as
dS/S = r dt + σ(1 + α(S − S0) + β(S − S0)2)dW
dσ = κ(θ − σ)dt + ε σdZ
In [Lipton, 2002] Lipton describes an LSV model using a mean revertingprocess for the variance (like in the Heston model) and a general localvolatility function σL(t,S) as multiplicator for the stochastic volatility inthe equation for the spot process.
Several LSV models using different choices of local volatility functions inthe equation for the spot or forward process combined with a stochasticprocess for the volatility, the variance, or a function of variance, have beenconsidered and implemented in the following years in the industry. (See forone example [de Backer, 2006].)
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 13 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryExample: Tremor (Murex)Example: Jackel/Kahl’s Hyp Hyp HoorayExample: Andersen-Hutchings (PricingPartners)Example: Silvano (Volmaster)Example: Pagliarani & PascucciExample: Bloomberg
Sotchastic-Local Volatility Model History
Generally agreed original LSV reference: Jex, Henderson and Wang(1999) [Jex et al., 1999].
Parabola in spot in LSV: Blacher (2001) [Blacher, 2001]. Volatility: meanreverting process, described in [Ayache et al., 2004] as
dS/S = r dt + σ(1 + α(S − S0) + β(S − S0)2)dW
dσ = κ(θ − σ)dt + ε σdZ
In [Lipton, 2002] Lipton describes an LSV model using a mean revertingprocess for the variance (like in the Heston model) and a general localvolatility function σL(t,S) as multiplicator for the stochastic volatility inthe equation for the spot process.
Several LSV models using different choices of local volatility functions inthe equation for the spot or forward process combined with a stochasticprocess for the volatility, the variance, or a function of variance, have beenconsidered and implemented in the following years in the industry. (See forone example [de Backer, 2006].)
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 13 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryExample: Tremor (Murex)Example: Jackel/Kahl’s Hyp Hyp HoorayExample: Andersen-Hutchings (PricingPartners)Example: Silvano (Volmaster)Example: Pagliarani & PascucciExample: Bloomberg
Sotchastic-Local Volatility Model History
Generally agreed original LSV reference: Jex, Henderson and Wang(1999) [Jex et al., 1999].
Parabola in spot in LSV: Blacher (2001) [Blacher, 2001]. Volatility: meanreverting process, described in [Ayache et al., 2004] as
dS/S = r dt + σ(1 + α(S − S0) + β(S − S0)2)dW
dσ = κ(θ − σ)dt + ε σdZ
In [Lipton, 2002] Lipton describes an LSV model using a mean revertingprocess for the variance (like in the Heston model) and a general localvolatility function σL(t,S) as multiplicator for the stochastic volatility inthe equation for the spot process.
Several LSV models using different choices of local volatility functions inthe equation for the spot or forward process combined with a stochasticprocess for the volatility, the variance, or a function of variance, have beenconsidered and implemented in the following years in the industry. (See forone example [de Backer, 2006].)
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 13 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryExample: Tremor (Murex)Example: Jackel/Kahl’s Hyp Hyp HoorayExample: Andersen-Hutchings (PricingPartners)Example: Silvano (Volmaster)Example: Pagliarani & PascucciExample: Bloomberg
What Murex calls “Tremor”
Model 1 the forward as ( [Murex, 2008b], [Murex, 2008a])
df Tt =
√vt · g(f T
t )dW(1)t , (8)
dvt = κ(θ − vt)dt + η√
vtdW(2)t (9)
g(f ) = min(a + bf + cf 2, cap · f ) (10)
Cov(dW(1)t , dW
(2)t ) = ρdt (11)
1The name “Tremor” originates from Pascal Tremoureux, a senior member of the quant teamat Murex
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 14 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryExample: Tremor (Murex)Example: Jackel/Kahl’s Hyp Hyp HoorayExample: Andersen-Hutchings (PricingPartners)Example: Silvano (Volmaster)Example: Pagliarani & PascucciExample: Bloomberg
What Murex calls “Tremor”
f Tt forward to maturity T seen from t
vt variance process
v0 initial instantaneous variance
θ long-term variance set to v0
κ > 0 rate of mean-reversion
ρ instantaneous correlation between f Tt and vt
η volatility of variance (vol of vol)
a, b, c parameters of g the local volatility function
cap: 500%
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 15 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryExample: Tremor (Murex)Example: Jackel/Kahl’s Hyp Hyp HoorayExample: Andersen-Hutchings (PricingPartners)Example: Silvano (Volmaster)Example: Pagliarani & PascucciExample: Bloomberg
Jackel/Kahl’s Hyp Hyp Hooray
LSV model 2 introduced by Jackel and Kahl in 2007 ( [Jackel and Kahl, 2010]),within equity options context, both of hyperbolic type in the parametric localvol and stochastic vol:
dx = σ0 · f (x) · g(y)dW(1)t , (12)
dy = −κydt + α√
2κdW(2)t (13)
f (x) =[(1− β + β2) · x + (β − 1) ·
(√x2 + β2(1− x2)− β
)]/β (14)
g(y) = y +√
y 2 + 1 (15)
Cov(dW(1)t , dW
(2)t ) = ρdt (16)
WLOG β > 0, g(0) = 1, x(0) = 1, f (1) = 1.
Pros:
analytical approximation for implied volatilities
2SD uses a version of this model [Vozovoi and Klein, 2011][email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 16 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryExample: Tremor (Murex)Example: Jackel/Kahl’s Hyp Hyp HoorayExample: Andersen-Hutchings (PricingPartners)Example: Silvano (Volmaster)Example: Pagliarani & PascucciExample: Bloomberg
Jackel/Kahl’s Hyp Hyp Hooray
LSV model 2 introduced by Jackel and Kahl in 2007 ( [Jackel and Kahl, 2010]),within equity options context, both of hyperbolic type in the parametric localvol and stochastic vol:
dx = σ0 · f (x) · g(y)dW(1)t , (12)
dy = −κydt + α√
2κdW(2)t (13)
f (x) =[(1− β + β2) · x + (β − 1) ·
(√x2 + β2(1− x2)− β
)]/β (14)
g(y) = y +√
y 2 + 1 (15)
Cov(dW(1)t , dW
(2)t ) = ρdt (16)
WLOG β > 0, g(0) = 1, x(0) = 1, f (1) = 1.Pros:
analytical approximation for implied volatilities
2SD uses a version of this model [Vozovoi and Klein, 2011][email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 16 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryExample: Tremor (Murex)Example: Jackel/Kahl’s Hyp Hyp HoorayExample: Andersen-Hutchings (PricingPartners)Example: Silvano (Volmaster)Example: Pagliarani & PascucciExample: Bloomberg
Contained in PricingPartners: “Andersen-Hutchings”
[Andersen and Hutchings, 2008], a generalisation of [Piterbarg, 2005],consider a normalized asset
dXt = λ(t)√
Vt
(1− b(t) + b(t)Xt +
1
2c(t)(Xt − 1)2
)dW
(1)t , (17)
dVt = κ(1− Vt)dt + η(t)√
VtdW(2)t ,V0 = 1,X0 = 1 (18)
Cov(dW(1)t ,dW
(2)t ) = ρ(t)dt (19)
The model parameters are:
b(t) is the linear skew parameter, being a time-dependent function.
c(t) is the quadratic skew parameter, being a time-dependent function.
λ(t) is a time-dependent function.
κ is the mean reversion speed of volatility.
η(t) is the volatility of variance, being a time-dependent function
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 17 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryExample: Tremor (Murex)Example: Jackel/Kahl’s Hyp Hyp HoorayExample: Andersen-Hutchings (PricingPartners)Example: Silvano (Volmaster)Example: Pagliarani & PascucciExample: Bloomberg
Contained in PricingPartners: “Andersen-Hutchings”
[Andersen and Hutchings, 2008], a generalisation of [Piterbarg, 2005],consider a normalized asset
dXt = λ(t)√
Vt
(1− b(t) + b(t)Xt +
1
2c(t)(Xt − 1)2
)dW
(1)t , (17)
dVt = κ(1− Vt)dt + η(t)√
VtdW(2)t ,V0 = 1,X0 = 1 (18)
Cov(dW(1)t ,dW
(2)t ) = ρ(t)dt (19)
The model parameters are:
b(t) is the linear skew parameter, being a time-dependent function.
c(t) is the quadratic skew parameter, being a time-dependent function.
λ(t) is a time-dependent function.
κ is the mean reversion speed of volatility.
η(t) is the volatility of variance, being a time-dependent function
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 17 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryExample: Tremor (Murex)Example: Jackel/Kahl’s Hyp Hyp HoorayExample: Andersen-Hutchings (PricingPartners)Example: Silvano (Volmaster)Example: Pagliarani & PascucciExample: Bloomberg
Volmaster’s “Silvano”
dSt = (rdt − r ft )Stdt + σtStdW(1)t , (20)
dVt = ηt(ln ztθt − ln Vt)Vtdt + ΣtdW(2)t , (21)
Lt = f (St ,Σt , ρt , t), (22)
σt = min[cap, zt(ωtVt + (1− ωt)Lt)], (23)
Cov [dW(1)t , dW
(2)t ] = ρtdt, (24)
where
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 18 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryExample: Tremor (Murex)Example: Jackel/Kahl’s Hyp Hyp HoorayExample: Andersen-Hutchings (PricingPartners)Example: Silvano (Volmaster)Example: Pagliarani & PascucciExample: Bloomberg
Volmaster’s “Silvano”
St : spot price (25)
rdt : domestic rate (26)
r ft : foreign rate (27)
σt : volatility (28)
Vt : stochastic volatility (29)
ηt : mean reversion speed of stochastic volatility (30)
θt : equilibrium level of stochastic volatility (31)
Σt : volatility of volatility (32)
zt : volatility drift factor (33)
Lt : local volatility (34)
ωt : stochastic volatility weight (35)
ρt : spot-volatility correlation (36)
cap : volatility cap, currently set at 1000% (37)
f : local volatility function (38)
SABR [Hagan et al., 2002] used as local volatility function.
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 19 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryExample: Tremor (Murex)Example: Jackel/Kahl’s Hyp Hyp HoorayExample: Andersen-Hutchings (PricingPartners)Example: Silvano (Volmaster)Example: Pagliarani & PascucciExample: Bloomberg
Pagliarani & Pascucci: SLV with Jumps
Risk-neutral dynamics for the log-price of the underlyingasset [Pascucci and Pagliarani, 2012]
dXt =
(r − µ1 −
σ2(t,Xt−)vt2
)Stdt + σ(t,Xt−)
√vtdW
(1)t + dZt ,(39)
dvt = k(θ − vt)Vtdt + η√
vt(ρdW
(1)t +
√1− ρ2dW
(2)t
), (40)
r = rd − rf −∫
(ey − 1− yII{−1<y<+1})ν(dy)
Z pure-jump Levy process independent of the W , with triplet (µ1, 0, ν)
Model is characterized by the local volatility function σ, the varianceparameters: initial variance v0, speed of mean reversion k, long-termvariance θ, vol-of-vol η and correlation ρ; and the Levy measure ν.
Analytical approximation of the characteristic function.
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 20 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryExample: Tremor (Murex)Example: Jackel/Kahl’s Hyp Hyp HoorayExample: Andersen-Hutchings (PricingPartners)Example: Silvano (Volmaster)Example: Pagliarani & PascucciExample: Bloomberg
Pagliarani & Pascucci: SLV with Jumps
Risk-neutral dynamics for the log-price of the underlyingasset [Pascucci and Pagliarani, 2012]
dXt =
(r − µ1 −
σ2(t,Xt−)vt2
)Stdt + σ(t,Xt−)
√vtdW
(1)t + dZt ,(39)
dvt = k(θ − vt)Vtdt + η√
vt(ρdW
(1)t +
√1− ρ2dW
(2)t
), (40)
r = rd − rf −∫
(ey − 1− yII{−1<y<+1})ν(dy)
Z pure-jump Levy process independent of the W , with triplet (µ1, 0, ν)
Model is characterized by the local volatility function σ, the varianceparameters: initial variance v0, speed of mean reversion k, long-termvariance θ, vol-of-vol η and correlation ρ; and the Levy measure ν.
Analytical approximation of the characteristic function.
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 20 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryExample: Tremor (Murex)Example: Jackel/Kahl’s Hyp Hyp HoorayExample: Andersen-Hutchings (PricingPartners)Example: Silvano (Volmaster)Example: Pagliarani & PascucciExample: Bloomberg
Bloomgerg’s SVL Model [Tataru et al., 2012]
dSt
St= (rdt − r ft )dt + L(St , t)VtdW
(1)t , (41)
dVt = κ(θ − Vt)dt + ξVtdW(2)t , (42)
Cov[dW(1)t , dW
(2)t ] = ρtdt, (43)
where the local volatility L and stochastic volatility V are mixed using0 ≤ λ ≤ 1 for
ξ = λξmax, ρ = λρmax. (44)
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 21 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Model HistoryExample: Tremor (Murex)Example: Jackel/Kahl’s Hyp Hyp HoorayExample: Andersen-Hutchings (PricingPartners)Example: Silvano (Volmaster)Example: Pagliarani & PascucciExample: Bloomberg
Bloomgerg’s SVL Model [Tataru et al., 2012]
dSt
St= (rdt − r ft )dt + L(St , t)VtdW
(1)t , (41)
dVt = κ(θ − Vt)dt + ξVtdW(2)t , (42)
Cov[dW(1)t , dW
(2)t ] = ρtdt, (43)
where the local volatility L and stochastic volatility V are mixed using0 ≤ λ ≤ 1 for
ξ = λξmax, ρ = λρmax. (44)
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 21 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Target ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
FX Derivatives Product Trends: Target Forwards
Investor sells EUR 5 big figures above current spot every day for one year.
Terminates as soon as 30 big figures of profit have accumulated.
Zero cost strategy.
1 Client type Treasurer vs. HNWI
2 Other names: Target Profit Forward, Target Redemption Forward, FlipFlop, Potential Disaster Forward...
3 Variations: Knock-in-knock-out, leverage, pivot, counter
4 Pricing/Platforms
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 22 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Target ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
FX Derivatives Product Trends: Target Forwards
Investor sells EUR 5 big figures above current spot every day for one year.
Terminates as soon as 30 big figures of profit have accumulated.
Zero cost strategy.
1 Client type Treasurer vs. HNWI
2 Other names: Target Profit Forward, Target Redemption Forward, FlipFlop, Potential Disaster Forward...
3 Variations: Knock-in-knock-out, leverage, pivot, counter
4 Pricing/Platforms
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 22 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Target ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
FX Derivatives Product Trends: Target Forwards
Investor sells EUR 5 big figures above current spot every day for one year.
Terminates as soon as 30 big figures of profit have accumulated.
Zero cost strategy.
1 Client type Treasurer vs. HNWI
2 Other names: Target Profit Forward, Target Redemption Forward, FlipFlop, Potential Disaster Forward...
3 Variations: Knock-in-knock-out, leverage, pivot, counter
4 Pricing/Platforms
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 22 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Target ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
FX Derivatives Product Trends: Target Forwards
Investor sells EUR 5 big figures above current spot every day for one year.
Terminates as soon as 30 big figures of profit have accumulated.
Zero cost strategy.
1 Client type Treasurer vs. HNWI
2 Other names: Target Profit Forward, Target Redemption Forward, FlipFlop, Potential Disaster Forward...
3 Variations: Knock-in-knock-out, leverage, pivot, counter
4 Pricing/Platforms
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 22 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Target ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
FX Derivatives Product Trends: Target Forwards
Investor sells EUR 5 big figures above current spot every day for one year.
Terminates as soon as 30 big figures of profit have accumulated.
Zero cost strategy.
1 Client type Treasurer vs. HNWI
2 Other names: Target Profit Forward, Target Redemption Forward, FlipFlop, Potential Disaster Forward...
3 Variations: Knock-in-knock-out, leverage, pivot, counter
4 Pricing/Platforms
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 22 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Target ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
Pivot Target Forward P&L Scenarios
Figure : P&L Scenarios Pivot Target Forward
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 23 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Target ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
Pivot Target Forward Payoff and Psychology
Figure : Pivot Target Forward Payoff and Psychology
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 24 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Target ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
FX Derivatives in Digital Casinos
1 Extremely short dated digitals, touches, vanilla
2 Liquid underlyings such as G10FX, XAU, XAG, major stock indices and
3 geometric Brownian motion
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 25 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Target ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
FX Derivatives in Digital Casinos
1 Extremely short dated digitals, touches, vanilla
2 Liquid underlyings such as G10FX, XAU, XAG, major stock indices and
3 geometric Brownian motion
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 25 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Target ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
FX Derivatives in Digital Casinos
1 Extremely short dated digitals, touches, vanilla
2 Liquid underlyings such as G10FX, XAU, XAG, major stock indices and
3 geometric Brownian motion
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 25 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Target ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
FX CFDs on Brokerage Platforms
1 Contract For the Difference (CFD) - Futures contract for retail investors
2 Liquid underlyings such as FX, metals, commodities, major stock indices,single stocks
3 Initial margin (1 hour 6-sigma-event) can be as low as 0.25% of thenotional if e.g. EUR-CHF volatility is as low as 3%.
4 Long EUR 1 M requires EUR 2,500 margin and a drop in spot from 1.2100to 0.9680 causes a loss of EUR 250,000 EUR.
5 What happened to the stop loss order at 1.2000?
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 26 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Target ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
FX CFDs on Brokerage Platforms
1 Contract For the Difference (CFD) - Futures contract for retail investors
2 Liquid underlyings such as FX, metals, commodities, major stock indices,single stocks
3 Initial margin (1 hour 6-sigma-event) can be as low as 0.25% of thenotional if e.g. EUR-CHF volatility is as low as 3%.
4 Long EUR 1 M requires EUR 2,500 margin and a drop in spot from 1.2100to 0.9680 causes a loss of EUR 250,000 EUR.
5 What happened to the stop loss order at 1.2000?
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 26 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Target ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
FX CFDs on Brokerage Platforms
1 Contract For the Difference (CFD) - Futures contract for retail investors
2 Liquid underlyings such as FX, metals, commodities, major stock indices,single stocks
3 Initial margin (1 hour 6-sigma-event) can be as low as 0.25% of thenotional if e.g. EUR-CHF volatility is as low as 3%.
4 Long EUR 1 M requires EUR 2,500 margin and a drop in spot from 1.2100to 0.9680 causes a loss of EUR 250,000 EUR.
5 What happened to the stop loss order at 1.2000?
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 26 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Target ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
FX CFDs on Brokerage Platforms
1 Contract For the Difference (CFD) - Futures contract for retail investors
2 Liquid underlyings such as FX, metals, commodities, major stock indices,single stocks
3 Initial margin (1 hour 6-sigma-event) can be as low as 0.25% of thenotional if e.g. EUR-CHF volatility is as low as 3%.
4 Long EUR 1 M requires EUR 2,500 margin and a drop in spot from 1.2100to 0.9680 causes a loss of EUR 250,000 EUR.
5 What happened to the stop loss order at 1.2000?
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 26 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Target ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
FX CFDs on Brokerage Platforms
1 Contract For the Difference (CFD) - Futures contract for retail investors
2 Liquid underlyings such as FX, metals, commodities, major stock indices,single stocks
3 Initial margin (1 hour 6-sigma-event) can be as low as 0.25% of thenotional if e.g. EUR-CHF volatility is as low as 3%.
4 Long EUR 1 M requires EUR 2,500 margin and a drop in spot from 1.2100to 0.9680 causes a loss of EUR 250,000 EUR.
5 What happened to the stop loss order at 1.2000?
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 26 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Target ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
FX Options Software Solutions
Banks with tradability: UBS trader, Barx, Commerzbank Kristall, CSMerlin, . . .
Trading Volmaster (SaaS), SuperDerivatives (browser based),Bloomberg
Libraries MathFinance, Pricing Partners, Numerix, Fincad
Systems Murex, Fenics, Calypso
Data Bloomberg, Reuters, SuperDerivatives, Tullett
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 27 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Target ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
FX Options Software Solutions
Banks with tradability: UBS trader, Barx, Commerzbank Kristall, CSMerlin, . . .
Trading Volmaster (SaaS), SuperDerivatives (browser based),Bloomberg
Libraries MathFinance, Pricing Partners, Numerix, Fincad
Systems Murex, Fenics, Calypso
Data Bloomberg, Reuters, SuperDerivatives, Tullett
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 27 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Target ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
FX Options Software Solutions
Banks with tradability: UBS trader, Barx, Commerzbank Kristall, CSMerlin, . . .
Trading Volmaster (SaaS), SuperDerivatives (browser based),Bloomberg
Libraries MathFinance, Pricing Partners, Numerix, Fincad
Systems Murex, Fenics, Calypso
Data Bloomberg, Reuters, SuperDerivatives, Tullett
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 27 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Target ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
FX Options Software Solutions
Banks with tradability: UBS trader, Barx, Commerzbank Kristall, CSMerlin, . . .
Trading Volmaster (SaaS), SuperDerivatives (browser based),Bloomberg
Libraries MathFinance, Pricing Partners, Numerix, Fincad
Systems Murex, Fenics, Calypso
Data Bloomberg, Reuters, SuperDerivatives, Tullett
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 27 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Target ForwardsFX Derivatives in Digital CasinosFX CFDs on Brokerage PlatformsFX Options Software Solutions
FX Options Software Solutions
Banks with tradability: UBS trader, Barx, Commerzbank Kristall, CSMerlin, . . .
Trading Volmaster (SaaS), SuperDerivatives (browser based),Bloomberg
Libraries MathFinance, Pricing Partners, Numerix, Fincad
Systems Murex, Fenics, Calypso
Data Bloomberg, Reuters, SuperDerivatives, Tullett
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 27 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Comparison: DNT Moustache
14%
10%
12%
8%Heston
Local vol
4%
6% Stoch‐local
Market
2%
%Local Flat vol
Vanna‐volga 1
Vanna volga 2
‐2%
0%0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Vanna‐volga 2
Vanna‐volga 3
‐4%
‐2%
‐6%
Figure : Model Comparison 6-M-EUR-USD-DNT paying USD: Spot ref 1.3068, 6MUSD rate 0.11%, 6M-Forward 14.40, 10D BF 1.85, 25D BF0.45, ATM 11.99, 25D RR-2.4, 10D RR -4.59. “Market” price from [email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 28 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Summary
1 SLV is a common trend in FX 1st generation exotics flow business.
2 Vanna-volga is still used as a quick improvement to Black-Scholes, butconsidered outdated. Can be used as faster alternative to LSV, but type ofvanna-volga requires care and consistency wrappers.
3 Calibration of LSV models is the critical challenge.
4 SLV may not be suitable for all products such as forward vollies,multi-currencies, and drifties (TRFs)
5 Vanna-volga resurrects in digital casinos and private banking.
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 29 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Summary
1 SLV is a common trend in FX 1st generation exotics flow business.
2 Vanna-volga is still used as a quick improvement to Black-Scholes, butconsidered outdated. Can be used as faster alternative to LSV, but type ofvanna-volga requires care and consistency wrappers.
3 Calibration of LSV models is the critical challenge.
4 SLV may not be suitable for all products such as forward vollies,multi-currencies, and drifties (TRFs)
5 Vanna-volga resurrects in digital casinos and private banking.
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 29 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Summary
1 SLV is a common trend in FX 1st generation exotics flow business.
2 Vanna-volga is still used as a quick improvement to Black-Scholes, butconsidered outdated. Can be used as faster alternative to LSV, but type ofvanna-volga requires care and consistency wrappers.
3 Calibration of LSV models is the critical challenge.
4 SLV may not be suitable for all products such as forward vollies,multi-currencies, and drifties (TRFs)
5 Vanna-volga resurrects in digital casinos and private banking.
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 29 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Summary
1 SLV is a common trend in FX 1st generation exotics flow business.
2 Vanna-volga is still used as a quick improvement to Black-Scholes, butconsidered outdated. Can be used as faster alternative to LSV, but type ofvanna-volga requires care and consistency wrappers.
3 Calibration of LSV models is the critical challenge.
4 SLV may not be suitable for all products such as forward vollies,multi-currencies, and drifties (TRFs)
5 Vanna-volga resurrects in digital casinos and private banking.
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 29 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Summary
1 SLV is a common trend in FX 1st generation exotics flow business.
2 Vanna-volga is still used as a quick improvement to Black-Scholes, butconsidered outdated. Can be used as faster alternative to LSV, but type ofvanna-volga requires care and consistency wrappers.
3 Calibration of LSV models is the critical challenge.
4 SLV may not be suitable for all products such as forward vollies,multi-currencies, and drifties (TRFs)
5 Vanna-volga resurrects in digital casinos and private banking.
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 29 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Publications:https://mathfinance2.com/Papers/Wystup
MathFinance F(x):https://mathfinance2.com/Products/MFFx
16th Frankfurt MathFinance Conference:14 - 15 March 2016
https://mathfinance2.com/Conferences/2015/
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 30 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Andersen, L. B. G. and Hutchings, N. (2008).Parameter Averaging of Quadratic SDEs with Stochastic Volatility.SSRN 1339971.
Ayache, E., Henriotte, P., Nassar, S., and Wang, X. (2004).Can Anyone Solve the Smile Problem?Willmott Magazine, pages 78–95.
Blacher, G. (2001).A New Approach for Designing and Calibrating Stochastic VolatilityModels for Optimal Delta-Vega Hedging of Exotic Options.Conference presentation at Global Derivatives.
Bossens, F., Rayee, G., Skantzos, N. S., and Deelstra, G. (2009).Vanna-Volga Methods Applied to FX Derivatives: from Theory to MarketPractice.Working Papers CEB, Universite Libre de Bruxelles, Solvay Brussels Schoolof Economics and Management, Centre Emile Bernheim (CEB), April.
Castagna, A. (2010).FX Options and Smile Risk.
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 30 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
John Wiley & Sons.
Castagna, A. and Mercurio, F. (2006).Consistent Pricing of FX Options.SSRN eLibrary.
Castagna, A. and Mercurio, F. (2007).The Vanna-Volga Method for Implied Volatilities.RISK, 20(1):106.
de Backer, B. (2006).Foreign Exchange Smile Modelling.Master’s thesis, Financial Engineering, University of Delft.
Fisher, T. (2007).Variations on the Vanna-Volga Adjustment.Bloomberg Research Paper.
Gershon, D. (2001).A Method and System for Pricing Options.U.S. Patent, 7315828B2(7315828B2).
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 30 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Hagan, P. S., Kumar, D., Lesniewski, A. S., and Woodward, D. E. (2002).Managing Smile Risk.Wilmott Magazine, 1:84–108.
Jackel, P. and Kahl, C. (2010).Hyp Hyp Hooray.
Janek, A. (2011).The Vanna-Volga Method for Derivatives Pricing.Master Thesis Wroclaw University.
Jex, M., Henderson, R., and Wang, D. (1999).Pricing Exotics under the Smile.Risk, pages 72–75.
Lipton, A. (2002).The Vol Smile Problem.Risk, pages 61–65.
Lipton, A. and McGhee, W. (2002).Universal Barriers.
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 30 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Risk, May:81–85.
Murex (2008a).Tremor Model and Smile Dynamics.Murex internal document.
Murex (2008b).Tremor Model Flyer.Murex internal document.
Pascucci, A. and Pagliarani, S. (2012).Local Stochastic Volatility with Jumps.
Piterbarg, V. V. (2005).A Multi-Currency Model with FX Volatility Skew.SSRN 685084.
Shkolnikov, Y. (2009).Generalized Vanna-Volga Method and its Applications.NumeriX Quantitative Research Paper.
Tataru, G., Fisher, T., and Yu, J. (2012).The bloomberg stochastic local volatility model for fx exotics.
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 30 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
Quantitative Finance Development, Bloomberg L.P.
Vozovoi, L. and Klein, D. (2011).SD Stochastic Local Volatility Model.
Webb, A. (1999).The Sensitivity of Vega.DerivativesStrategy.com, November.
Wystup, U. (2003).The Market Price of One-touch Options in Foreign Exchange Markets.Derivatives Week, XII(13).
Wystup, U. (2006).FX Options and Structured Products.Wiley.
Wystup, U. (2010).Encyclopedia of Quantitative Finance, chapter Vanna-Volga Pricing, pages1867–1874.John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Chichester, UK.
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 31 / 31
Vanna-Volga ApproachesStochastic-Local-Volatility
FX Derivatives Product/Platform TrendsSummary
CFD - contract for the difference, 53–57exotic options pedigree, 26local volatility function, 32pivot target forward, 49target forward, 43–47vanunga, 15–21volunga, 15–21
[email protected] FX Derivatives: Model and Product Trends 31 / 31