Future CulturalFuture Cultural Challenges for Europe and the Challenges for Europe and the

Millennium ProjectMillennium Project

Jerome C. GlennJerome C. Glenn

The Millennium ProjectThe Millennium Project

Globalization, localization, and fractilization of cultures

are occurring… simultaneously

1. Half the world is potentially unstable, increasing migration to Europe now-2050

2. Hence, European identities and social coherence are likely to change

3. Cyber space and cultural tourism could be attractors for future emergent cultures, as well as preserving older cultures

Cultural Tourism in the Knowledge Economy

• Increasingly educated and wealthy people want more than just beaches and night clubs.

• Globalization reduces cultural diversity making unique cultural experiences more rare; and hence, valuable.

• Cultural knowledge is a competitive advantage in the global knowledge economy.

• Provides income to non-high-tech people• Helps preserve the past for future generations• Work, play, and tourism are combining• Improving cyberspace will open e-tourism

Some Futures for Cultural Tourism

Museums’ websites as the tele-tourism hubs with virtual reality interfaces and tele-links to people and events.

Cyberspace duplicates cultural objects, historic events, and people for tele-tourists to interact with the past (Second Life)

Tele-Europe – section on cyberTourism Home stays via certified cultural tourist agencies Pop-up Euro-Cyber Tourist experiences on

computers

Korean Shamanic Cultural Tourism

Tele-Tourism Cycle

No more please…

Source: www.transfuture.net

Multi-virtual realties, multi-cultures in CyberSapce

http://www.jvrb.orgwww.jvrb.org

Jumping into the Unknown

rr

Identity and coherence … 25 Years from now? Human or machine behind those eyes?

... ... is a new kind of think tankis a new kind of think tank

…established in 1996…established in 1996

…after a 3-year feasibility …after a 3-year feasibility

studystudy

To help humanity think about To help humanity think about

the futurethe future

The Millennium ProjectThe Millennium Project

UN Organizations

NGOs

Universities

GovernmentsCorporations

Millennium Project

… May become a TransInstitution

Millennium Project Nodes... are groups of individuals and institutions that connect global and local views in:

Nodes identify participants, translate questionnaires and reports, and conduct interviews, special research, workshops, symposiums, and advanced training.

Futures Research Futures Research Methodology Version 2.0Methodology Version 2.0

1. Introduction & Overview1. Introduction & Overview 15. Simulation and Games15. Simulation and Games 2.2. Environmental ScanningEnvironmental Scanning 16. Genius Forecasting, Vision, Intuition16. Genius Forecasting, Vision, Intuition 3.3. DelphiDelphi 17. Normative Forecasting17. Normative Forecasting 4.4. Futures WheelFutures Wheel 18. S&T Road Mapping18. S&T Road Mapping 5.5. Trend Impact AnalysisTrend Impact Analysis 19. Field Anomaly Relaxation (FAR)19. Field Anomaly Relaxation (FAR) 6.6. Cross-Impact AnalysisCross-Impact Analysis 20. Text Mining for Technology Foresight20. Text Mining for Technology Foresight 7.7. Structural AnalysisStructural Analysis 21. Agent Modeling21. Agent Modeling 8.8. Systems PerspectivesSystems Perspectives 22. SOFI22. SOFI 9.9. Decision ModelingDecision Modeling 23. SOFI Software23. SOFI Software10.10. Statistical ModelingStatistical Modeling 24. The Multiple Perspective 24. The Multiple Perspective

ConceptConcept11.11. Technological Sequence AnalysisTechnological Sequence Analysis 25. Tool Box for 25. Tool Box for

Scenario PlanningScenario Planning12.12. Relevance Trees and Morph. AnalysisRelevance Trees and Morph. Analysis 26. Causal Layered Analysis 26. Causal Layered Analysis 13.13. Scenarios 13.5 Interactive ScenariosScenarios 13.5 Interactive Scenarios 27. Integration, Comparisons, 27. Integration, Comparisons,

and and 14.14. Participatory MethodsParticipatory Methods Frontiers of Futures Frontiers of Futures

Research MethodsResearch Methods

Futures Research Futures Research Methodology Version 3.0 Methodology Version 3.0 (Spring 2009)(Spring 2009)1. Introduction to the Futures Research1. Introduction to the Futures Research1.5 Evaluation and organization of 1.5 Evaluation and organization of

MethodsMethods2. Environmental Scanning2. Environmental Scanning3. The Delphi Method3. The Delphi Method4. Real-Time Delphi4. Real-Time Delphi5. The Futures Wheel5. The Futures Wheel6. The Futures Polygon6. The Futures Polygoni7. Trend Impact Analysisi7. Trend Impact Analysis8. Cross-Impact Analysis8. Cross-Impact Analysis9. Wild Cards9. Wild Cards10. Structural Analysis10. Structural Analysis11. The Systems Perspectives11. The Systems Perspectives12. Decision Modeling12. Decision Modelingl13. Substitution Analysisl13. Substitution Analysis14. Statistical Modeling14. Statistical Modelingl15. Technology Sequencel15. Technology Sequence16. Morphological Analysis16. Morphological Analysis17. Relevance Trees 17. Relevance Trees 18. Scenarios18. Scenarios19. Interactive Scenarios (software)19. Interactive Scenarios (software)20. Robust Decisionmaking20. Robust Decisionmaking

21. Participatory Methods21. Participatory Methods22. Simulation and Games22. Simulation and Games23. Genius Forecasting and Intuition23. Genius Forecasting and Intuition24. Visioning for Strategic Planning24. Visioning for Strategic Planning25. Normative Forecasting25. Normative Forecasting26. TRIZ26. TRIZ27. S&T Road Mapping27. S&T Road Mapping28. Field Anomaly Relaxation (FAR)28. Field Anomaly Relaxation (FAR)29. Text Mining for Technology Foresight29. Text Mining for Technology Foresight30. Agent Modeling (demo software)30. Agent Modeling (demo software)31. Prediction Markets31. Prediction Markets32. Forecasting By Artificial Neural 32. Forecasting By Artificial Neural

NetworksNetworks33. State of the Future Index33. State of the Future Index34. SOFI Software System34. SOFI Software System35. Multiple Perspective Concept35. Multiple Perspective Concept36. A Toolbox for Scenario Planning36. A Toolbox for Scenario Planning37. Heuristics Modeling37. Heuristics Modeling38. Personal Futures38. Personal Futures39. Causal Layered Analysis39. Causal Layered Analysis40. Linking Methods40. Linking Methods41. Integration, Comparisons, and 41. Integration, Comparisons, and

FrontiersFrontiers

For further information

Jerome C. Glenn

The Millennium Project4421 Garrison Street, NW,

Washington, D.C. 20016 USA

+1-202-686-5179 phone/fax

JGLENN@IGC.ORG

WEB 1.0 www.StateoftheFuture.org

WEB 2.0 www.mpcollab.org

…and building space in Second Life