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Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

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Page 1: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Fundamentals of Corporate Finance

Chapter 3

Financial Analysis and Planning

Page 2: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Overview of Lecture

Page 3: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Corporate Finance in the News

Insert a current news story here to frame the material you will cover in the lecture.

Page 4: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

The Annual Report

Page 5: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

The Statement of Financial Position

Page 6: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Figure 3.1The Statement of Financial Position

Page 7: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

The Balance Sheet Equation

Page 8: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Example 3.1Building the Statement of Financial Position

Page 9: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Example 3.1Building the Statement of Financial Position

Page 10: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Net Working Capital

Page 11: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Market vs Book Value

Page 12: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Example 3.2Market Value versus Book Value

Page 13: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Example 3.2Market Value versus Book Value

Page 14: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

The Income Statement

Page 15: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

The Income Statement

Page 16: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

The Income Statement

Page 17: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Taxes

Page 18: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Which Tax Rate Should You Use in Financial Decisions?

Page 19: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Cash Flow

Page 20: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Work the Web

Now is a good time to download a set of company accounts and look through them in detail.

Page 21: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Financial Statement Analysis

Page 22: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Ratio Analysis

Page 23: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Liquidity or Short-Term Solvency Ratios

Page 24: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Short-Term Solvency Ratios

Current assets Current ratio =

Current liabilities

Current assets – Inventory Quick ratio =

Current liabilities

Cash and Cash EquivalentsCash ratio =

Current liabilities

Page 25: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Financial Leverage or Long-Term Solvency Ratios

Page 26: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Long-Term Solvency Ratios

Total assets – Total equity Total debt ratio =

Total assets

Debt–equity ratio = Total debt /Total equity

Equity multiplier = Total assets/Total equity

EBITTimes interest earned ratio =

Interest

EBIT Depreciation Cash coverage ratio

Interest

Page 27: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Asset Management or Turnover Ratios

Page 28: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Asset Management Ratios

Cost of goods sold Inventory turnover =

Inventory

365 days Days’ sales in inventory =

Inventory turnover

Sales Receivables turnover =

Trade receivables

365 days Days’ sales in receivables =

Receivables turnover

Sales Total asset turnover =

Total assets

Page 29: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Profitability Ratios

Page 30: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Profitability Ratios

Net income Profit margin =

Sales

Net income Return on assets =

Total assets

Net income Return on equity =

Total equity

Page 31: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Market Value Ratios

Page 32: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Market Value Ratios

Net income EPS =

Shares outstanding

Price per share PE ratio =

Earnings per share

Market value per share Market-to-book-ratio =

Book value per share

Page 33: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

The Du Pont Identity

Page 34: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

The Du Pont Identity: Proof

Net income Net income AssetsReturn on equity = = ×

Total equity Total equity Assets

Net income Assets= ×

Assets Total equity

Sales Net income AssetsROE = × ×

Sales Assets Total equity

Net income Sales AssetsROE = × ×

Sales Assets Total equityReturn on assets

= Profit margin × Total asset turnover × Equity multiplier

Page 35: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Using Financial Statement Information: Choose a Benchmark

Page 36: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Financial Statement Analysis: Some Issues

Page 37: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Financial Planning

Page 38: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Example: Chute SA

Income Statement Statement of Financial Position

Sales €1,000

Assets €500 Debt €250

Costs 800

Equity 250

Net income € 200

Total €500

Total €500

What happens if sales grow by 20 percent?

Assume that all variables are a constant percentage of sales

Page 39: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Example: Chute SA

Income StatementSales €1,200Costs 960Net income € 240

Statement of Financial Position

Assets €600 (+100) Debt €300 (+50)Equity 300 (+50)

Total €600 (+100) Total €600

(+100)

How can net income be €240 but equity only increases by €50?

Page 40: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

The Percentage of Sales Approach

Page 41: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Example: Bogle plc

Bogle plcIncome Statement

Sales £1,000Costs 800Taxable income £ 200Taxes(28%) 56Net income £ 144Dividends £48Addition to retained earnings 96

Costs are a constant percentage of sales (i.e. Constant profit margin)Dividend payout ratio is constantWhat happens with a 25 percent increase in sales?

Page 42: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Example: Bogle plc (25% increase in Sales)

Bogle plcPro Forma Income Statement

Sales (projected) £1,250Costs (80% of sales) 1,000Taxable income £ 250Taxes (28%) 70Net income £ 180

Dividend payout ratio = Cash dividends / Net income = £48/£144 = 1/3

Projected dividends paid to shareholders = £180 1/3 = £ 60Projected addition to retained earnings = €180 2/3 = 120

£180

Page 43: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Example: Bogle plcStatement of Financial Position

Page 44: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Example: Bogle plcNew Statement of Financial Position

Page 45: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

External Financing Needed

Assets Spontaneous liabilities = × Δ Sales × Δ Sales

Sales Sales× Projected sales × (1 )

EFN PM

d

For Bogle plc:

Page 46: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Bogle plcPossible Scenario

Page 47: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

External Financing and Growth: Hoffman AG

Income StatementSales €500Costs 400Taxable income €100Taxes (34%) 34Net income €66Dividends €22Addition to retained earnings 44

Page 48: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

External Financing and Growth: Hoffman AG

Page 49: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Financing and Growth: Hoffman AG

You forecast sales of €600 next year. What will be the new debt-equity ratio?

Sales (projected) €600.0

Costs (80% of sales) 480.0

Taxable income €120.0

Taxes (34%) 40.8

Net income € 79.2

Dividends €26.4

Addition to retained earnings

52.8

Page 50: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Financing and Growth: Hoffman AG

Assume Hoffman borrows €47.2, New DE Ratio is £297.2/£302.8 = .98

Page 51: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Growth and Projected EFN for Hoffman AG

Page 52: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Growth and Financing Requirements for Hoffman AG

Page 53: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Financial Policy and Growth

Page 54: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

The Internal Growth Rate

For Paradise plc:

ROA ×Internal growth rate =

1 ROA ×

b

b

ROA ×Internal growth rate =

1 ROA ×

.144 × 2/3=

1 .144 × 2/3

= 10.62%

b

b

Page 55: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

The Sustainable Growth Rate

For Paradise plc:

ROE × Sustainable growth rate =

1 ROE ×

b

b

ROE ×Sustainable growth rate =

1 ROE ×

.288 2 / 3

1 .288 2 / 3

= 23.76%

b

b

Page 56: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Determinants of Growth

ROE × Sustainable growth rate =

1 ROE ×

b

b

Page 57: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Financial Policy and Growth

Page 58: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Financial Planning Models: Some Caveats

Page 59: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Overview of Lecture

Page 60: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Activities for this Lecture

Page 61: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 3 Financial Analysis and Planning

Thank You