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FULL YEAR 2010 RESULTS PRESENTATION APRIL 11, 2011
DISCLAIMER
This presentation does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire securities of Mechel OAO (Mechel) or any of its subsidiaries in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity. No part of this presentation, nor the fact of its distribution, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. Any purchase of securities should be made solely on the basis of information Mechel files from time to time with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein. None of the Mechel or any of its affiliates, advisors or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation.
This presentation may contain projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future events or the future financial performance of Mechel, as defined in the safe harbor provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. We wish to caution you that these statements are only predictions and that actual events or results may differ materially. We do not intend to update these statements. We refer you to the documents Mechel files from time to time with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Form 20-F. These documents contain and identify important factors, including those contained in the section captioned “Risk Factors” and “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements” in our Form 20-F, that could cause the actual results to differ materially from those contained in our projections or forward-looking statements, including, among others, the achievement of anticipated levels of profitability, growth, cost and synergy of our recent acquisitions, the impact of competitive pricing, the ability to obtain necessary regulatory approvals and licenses, the impact of developments in the Russian economic, political and legal environment, volatility in stock markets or in the price of our shares or ADRs, financial risk management and the impact of general business and global economic conditions.
The information and opinions contained in this document are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice
2
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
55% 57% 58% 57%
30% 31% 33% 32%
9% 7% 5% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4%
FY09 FY10 3Q10 4Q10
EBITDA(1) BY SEGMENTS
42
172
9 22 9
254
113
428
33 5
-46
532
127
452
12 12 17
620
132
416
40 21 0.6
609
Steel Mining Ferroalloy Power Cons.adj. Consolidated
SEGMENTS OVERVIEW
REVENUE FROM THIRD PARTIES EBITDA BY SEGMENTS
$ Mln
(1) Adjusted EBITDA represents EBTIDA adjusted by forex gain/loss, interest income, net income on the disposal of non-current assets, amount attributable to non-controlling interests and gain/loss from remeasurement of contingent liabilities at fair value
$ Mln 1Q10 1Q10 1Q10 1Q10
5,754 9,746 2,645 2,770
21%
71%
3% 5%
2009 2010
Revenue split between the segments remains comparable to 2009
EBITDA margin up to 21% of the Revenue
Mining, steel and ferroalloys demonstrate highest EBITDA dynamics
Steel increases its share in consolidated EBITDA to 21%
4
CASH COSTS, US$/TONNE COS STRUCTURE
365 382 385 473 479 496 465 472 489
435 442 459
Billets Wire Rod Rebar
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10
REVENUE, EBITDA(1)
STEEL SEGMENT PERFORMANCE
(1) Adjusted EBITDA represents EBTIDA adjusted by forex gain/loss, interest income, net income on the disposal of non-current assets, amount attributable to non-controlling interests and gain/loss from remeasurement of contingent liabilities at fair value
68% 78%
12% 9% 15% 9%
4% 2%
FY09 FY10
Other
Depreciation
Energy
Staff costs
Raw materials and purchased goods
$2,664 mn $4,727 mn
5
$ Mln
3,143
5,586
1,536 1,566
159
247
61 78 3%
7%
8% 8%
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
15%
0 500
1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000
FY09 FY10 3Q10 4Q10
Segment’s Revenue up 78% to $5.6 bn y-o-y
Net loss of $262 mn for 2009 turns into a Net income of $91 mn in 2010
Cash costs kept under control
Over 4 times growth of Segment’s EBITDA y-o-y
Growing EBITDA(1) margin despite rising input prices
Revenues Intersegment revenues Adj. EBITDA margin (rhs)
REVENUE BREAKDOWN BY REGION AVERAGE SALES PRICES FCA, US$/TONNE
EXTERNAL SALES STRUCTURE
STEEL SEGMENT PERFORMANCE
(1) Adjusted EBITDA represents EBTIDA adjusted by forex gain/loss, interest income, net income on the disposal of non-current assets, amount attributable to non-controlling interests and gain/loss from remeasurement of contingent liabilities at fair value
Improved pricing environment across most of our steel products q-o-q
23% q-o-q growth in Flat steel sales after the launch of the 2nd slab caster in Chelyabinsk
Ongoing modernization led to a 38% y-o-y growth in HVA sales volume-wise
MSG’s sales reached 3 bn tonnes in 2010
27% of Segment’s Revenue in 2010 generated by resale operations
22% 27% 28% 28%
28% 21% 21% 17%
15% 13% 13% 12%
5% 5% 4%
5%
3% 6% 4% 5%
9% 9% 8% 10%
7% 6% 5% 5%
5% 5% 5% 4%
6% 8% 12% 14%
FY09 FY10 3Q10 4Q10
Other Stainless products Forgings and stampings Engineering steel Alloyed long Carbon and low-alloyed flat Hardware Rebar Semi-finished
50% 55% 56% 55%
19% 18% 18% 20%
6% 3% 1% 8% 7% 6% 7%
16% 15% 15% 16% 1% 2% 4% 2%
FY09 FY10 3Q10 4Q10
Other Middle East CIS Asia Europe Russia
378 483 644
730 567
1,693
510 619
796 837 662
2,050
487
610
812 854 693
1,861
534 631
893 869 670
2,117
Billets Rebar Engineering steel
Wire Carbon flat Forgings and stampings
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10
6
1,713
3,051
871 893
399
805
207 211 21%
38% 42%
38%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
0
800
1,600
2,400
3,200
4,000
FY09 FY10 3Q10 4Q10
MINING SEGMENT PERFORMANCE
Significant improvement in financial results: • Revenue up 78% y-o-y • EBITDA(1) more than 3x up y-o-y • EBITDA margin reaches 38%
Cash costs slightly up on seasonal factors
CVR extinguishment cancels contingent payment obligations with respect to Bluestone acquisition
CASH COSTS, US$/TONNE COS STRUCTURE
REVENUE, EBITDA(1)
(1) Adjusted EBITDA represents EBTIDA adjusted by forex gain/loss, interest income, net income on the disposal of non-current assets, amount attributable to non-controlling interests and gain/loss from remeasurement of contingent liabilities at fair value
34 31 36
89
27 26 30
87
26 27 33
91
32 29 40
86
Coal SKCC Coal YU Iron Ore Bluestone
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10
47% 50%
20% 17%
9% 9% 17% 15% 7% 9%
FY09 FY10
Other
Depreciation and depletion Energy
Staff costs
Raw materials and purchased goods
$1,271 mn $1,739 mn
7
$ Mln Revenues Intersegment revenues Adj. EBITDA margin (rhs)
REVENUE BREAKDOWN BY REGION AVERAGE SALES PRICES FCA, US$/TONNE
EXTERNAL SALES STRUCTURE
MINING SEGMENT PERFORMANCE
Coking coal sales increased 170% y-o-y and reached 48% of Segment’s Revenue in 2010
Anthracite and PCI sales up 10x to 10% of Segment’s Revenue in 2010
Coke sales up 160% y-o-y or 12% of Segment’s revenue in 2010
Steam coal sales dwindle in line with the Company’s policy to concentrate on metallurgical coal 31%
48% 48% 53% 2%
10% 10% 10%
8%
12% 10% 12%
36%
12% 13% 10% 14% 11% 11% 7%
9% 7% 8% 8%
FY09 FY10 3Q10 4Q10
Other Iron ore Steam coal Coke Anthracites and PCI Coking coal
235
128
86
39 57
329
164
114 61
97
307
147 119
71 85
319
158
112 70 86
Coking coal Steam coal Iron ore
4Q10 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10
Coke Anthracites and PCI
34% 32% 30% 32%
17% 18% 15% 15%
1% 8% 8% 13%
15% 13% 18% 9%
22% 22% 22% 23% 5% 3% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5%
FY09 FY10 3Q10 4Q10
Other Middle East China Asia w/o China CIS Europe Russia
8
FERROALLOYS SEGMENT PERFORMANCE
CASH COSTS, US$/TONNE COS STRUCTURE
REVENUE, EBITDA(1)
(1) Adjusted EBITDA represents EBTIDA adjusted by forex gain/loss, interest income, net income on the disposal of non-current assets, amount attributable to non-controlling interests and gain/loss from remeasurement of contingent liabilities at fair value
EBITDA(1) up 2.7x to $94 mn y-o-y
EBITDA(1) margin grew from 8% in 2009 to 15% in 2010
EBITDA(1) margin in 4Q10 reached record level of 23%
Cash costs in Cr improve as mining works at Voskhod recover
364
455
103 125
67
174
48 49
8%
15%
8%
23%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
-50
50
150
250
350
450
550
FY09 FY10 3Q10 4Q10
54% 53%
11% 9%
19% 18%
12% 12% 4% 8%
FY09 FY10
Other
Depreciation and depletion Energy
Staff costs
Raw materials and purchased goods
16,987
633 1,661
18,618
616
2,214
17,868
706
2,336
18,811
734
2,107
Nickel Ferrosilicon Chrome
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 $392 mn $534 mn
9
$ Mln Revenues Intersegment revenues Adj. EBITDA margin (rhs)
REVENUE BREAKDOWN BY REGION AVERAGE SALES PRICES FCA, US$/TONNE
18,407
1,193 1,893
22,039
1,477 2,663
20,164
1,424
2,470
22,714
1,692 2,580
EXTERNAL SALES STRUCTURE
FERROALLOYS SEGMENT PERFORMANCE
Ferroalloys prices followed market trends in 4Q10:
FeSi domestics sales increased due to better pricing environment from 47% to 74% y-o-y
$60 mn non-cash write-up in deferred income tax due to a change in Kazakh corporate tax law 52% 55% 53% 62%
18% 20% 23% 20%
26% 21% 21% 14%
FY09 FY10 3Q10 4Q10
Other Chrome ore Chrome Ferrosilicon Nickel
Nickel Ferrosilicon Chrome
15% 24% 25% 28%
70% 61% 59% 62%
12% 9% 8% 4% 3% 6% 8% 6%
FY09 FY10 3Q10 4Q10
Other Asia Europe Russia
10
• Ni up 13% • FeSi up 19% • Cr up 4%
4Q10 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10
POWER SEGMENT PERFORMANCE
AVERAGE ELECTRICITY SALES PRICES AND CASH COSTS, US$/MWH COS STRUCTURE
REVENUE, EBITDA(1)
(1) Adjusted EBITDA represents EBTIDA adjusted by forex gain/loss, interest income, net income on the disposal of non-current assets, amount attributable to non-controlling interests and gain/loss from remeasurement of contingent liabilities at fair value
$ Mln
Electricity market liberalization helped Revenue grow 22% to $654 mn y-o-y
EBITDA (1) margin increased from 5% in 2009 to 7% in 2010
Net income grew over 9x y-o-y
Acquisition of Toplofikatsia Rousse in Q4 2010 offers opportunity in the European electricity market and extends steam coal value chain
534 654
135 186
339
409
95 105
6% 6% 5%
7%
-4%
0%
4%
8%
12%
-100
100
300
500
700
900
1,100
FY09 FY10 3Q10 4Q10
93% 93%
FY09 FY10
Other
Depreciation
Staff costs
Raw materials and purchased goods
$643 mn $763 mn
11
Revenues Intersegment revenues Adj. EBITDA margin (rhs)
IMPROVING FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
REVENUE DYNAMICS REVENUE, EBITDA(1) AND NET PROFIT
$ Mln
(1) Adjusted EBITDA represents EBTIDA adjusted by forex gain/loss, interest income, net income on the disposal of non-current assets, amount attributable to non-controlling interests and gain/loss from remeasurement of contingent liabilities at fair value
$ Mln
69% growth in Revenue to $9.7 bn
EBITDA(1) grew 3x to $2.0 bn
EBITDA(1) margin doubled from 12% to 21%
Consolidated Net Income up 9x to $657 mn
Sensible improvement in 2010 financial performance y-o-y:
1,900
2,431 2,645
2,770
254 532
620 609
83 38
341 195
13%
22% 23% 22%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10
Revenue (lhs) Adj. EBITDA (lhs) Net profit (lhs) Adj. EBITDA
margin (rhs)
12
CASH GENERATION CAPACITY
OPERATING CASH FLOW NET CASH FLOW
$ Mln $ Mln
Operating CF continued to recover despite heavy investment into working capital of trading operations
Exceedingly improving economics facilitated capital raising for the ambitious investment program, which incurred over $1 bn of expenditure in 2010
$538 mn cash and cash equivalents as of December 31, 2010
2009 2010
562
(147)
(710)
(1,119)
375
1,210
Operating activities Investment activities Financial activities
562
-97 -159
52 56
10%
-5% -7%
2% 2%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
(1,000)
(500)
0
500
1,000
2009 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10
Operating cash flow (left scale)
13
DEBT PROFILE
DEBT PROFILE AS AT DECEMBER 31, 2010 LOANS REPAYMENT SCHEDULE AS AT DECEMBER 31, 2010
$ Mln
FINANCIAL RATIOS
$ Mln 1st successful refinancing of $2 bn syndicated facility post crisis in September 2010
RUR10 bn of 10 year bonds (with 3 year put option) with a coupon 8.25% placed in Feb. 2011 to refinance short-term debt
$1.8 bn of unutilized committed credit lines as of March 2011
Credit portfolio evenly split between RUR and US$ reflecting revenue in these currencies
Other Less then 1%
EUR 6% RUR 48%
USD 46%
254
532
620 609
6.0
3.0 2.6
3.5 2.1
3.3 4.4
5.1
0
2
4
6
8
10
0
200
400
600
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10
Adj. EBITDA (lhs) Net Debt / Adj. EBITDA for covenants testing (rhs) Adj. EBITDA/Interest expense, net, per quarter (rhs)
1,463
642
328
328
328 328
287
748
1,078
1,789
2011 2012 2013 2014 and after
Repayment of other term loans (incl. capex financing)
RUB Сommercial papers and bonds (incl. put options)
Renewable working capital and trade finance lines
14
Revenue 2,770 2,645 5%
Cost of sales (1,767) (1,623) 9%
Gross margin 36.2% 38.7%
Operating profit 496 481 3%
Operating margin 17.9% 18.2%
Adjusted EBITDA(1) 609 620 - 2%
Adjusted EBITDA(1) margin 22.0% 23.4%
Net Income 195 341 - 43%
Net Income margin 7.0% 12.9%
Sales volumes(2), ‘000 tonnes
Mining segment 5,526 5,764 - 4%
Steel segment 1,906 1,968 - 3%
FINANCIAL RESULTS OVERVIEW
(1) Adjusted EBITDA represents EBTIDA adjusted by forex gain/loss, interest income, net income on the disposal of non-current assets, amount attributable to non-controlling interests and gain/loss from remeasurement of contingent liabilities at fair value
(2) Includes sales to the external customers only
US$ MILLION UNLESS OTHERWISE STATED 4Q10 3Q10 CHANGE, %
15