FS Securities Trades (new) · 2014-10-14 · FS Securities Trades (please see explanation at the back page) Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (ANZ) 14/10/14 Our strategy:

Index: (click below for your choice)

FS Securities Trades (new)

FS Securities Trades (please see explanation at the back page)

Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (ANZ)

14/10/14

Our strategy: Bear Put Spread

Target: All options will exprire worthless

INVEST-OR

CONSERV'-

TRADER

AGGR-TRADER

VERY AGGR-

TRADER

WEEKLY PRICE

N bear bear bear 31.220


52wks from to % 30.990

change 32.66 31.22 -4.41% 31.920

Note: see disclosure on back page

Please call the office to discuss before trading

Value Company Market Sector

Earnings 0.78 0.91 0.83

P/E Ratio 12.20 14.83 13.31

P/B Ratio 1.90 1.21 1.29

P/E Growth 1.14 1.65 1.76

P/S Ratio

Income Company Market Sector

Dividend 5.5% 4.9% 5.6%

Franking 100.0%

Tax adj 4.3% 3.3% 4.4%

Stability 98.9% 91.6% 97.6%

Risk Company Market Sector

Beta 0.89 1.09 0.93

Current ratio

Quick ratio

Debt/Equity

EarningsStability 59.8% 66.4%

Income coverage

Growth Rates 10 yr 5 yr 1 yr

Sales 4.4% 3.6% 2.8%

Cashflow 9.0% 98.5% 170.1%

Earnings 4.5% 7.9% -0.9%

Dividends 5.5% 3.8% 13.1%

Book Value

Weekly Daily E-Signal


Telstra Corporation Limited (TLS) 08/10/14

Our strategy: Bull Spread


INVEST-OR

CONSERV'-

TRADER

AGGR-TRADER

VERY AGGR-

TRADER

WEEKLY PRICE

N N N bull 5.390

N N N N 5.310


change 5.03 5.39 7.16% 5.540




Earnings 0.76 0.94 0.28

P/E Ratio 14.65 15.27 16.10

P/B Ratio 4.85 1.24 3.22

P/E Growth 10.00 1.67 1.64

P/S Ratio 2.67 1.49 1.51


Dividend 5.5% 4.7% 3.7%

Franking 100.0%

Tax adj 4.3% 3.2% 2.6%

Stability 93.9% 91.6% 93.5%


Beta 0.50 1.09 0.37

Current ratio 1.20 1.60 1.07

Quick ratio 1.12 1.04 0.83

Debt/Equity 114.5% 30.0% 38.4%

EarningsStability 78.9% 53.3% 54.1%

Income coverage 6.69 5.31 7.68


Sales 1.4% -0.4% -1.5%

Cashflow 0.6% -1.0% 3.0%

Earnings 1.0% 2.9% 24.2%

Dividends -3.3% 1.0% 5.4%

Book Value -0.8% 2.2% 9.6%



National Australia Bank Limited (NAB) 06/10/14

Our strategy: Iron Condor


INVEST-OR

CONSERV'-

TRADER

AGGR-TRADER

VERY AGGR-

TRADER

WEEKLY PRICE

N N bear bear 32.970



change 35.98 32.97 -8.37% 34.250




Earnings 1.10 0.94 0.86

P/E Ratio 12.66 15.33 13.49

P/B Ratio 1.80 1.25 1.39

P/E Growth 2.10 1.71 1.74

P/S Ratio


Dividend 5.9% 4.7% 5.4%

Franking 100.0%

Tax adj 4.7% 3.2% 4.2%

Stability 98.9% 91.6% 97.6%


Beta 1.23 1.09 0.93

Current ratio

Quick ratio

Debt/Equity


Income coverage


Sales 3.5% -2.2% 13.4%

Cashflow -18.8% -38.8% 142.2%

Earnings 1.8% -1.0% 5.1%

Dividends 1.5% -0.4% 5.6%

Book Value



S&P/ASX 200: INDEX (XJO) 03/10/14



INVEST-OR

CONSERV'-

TRADER

AGGR-TRADER

VERY AGGR-

TRADER

WEEKLY PRICE


0 N bear bear bear 5313.40

0 52wks from to % 5433.10

0 change 5230.90 5293.30 1.19% 5531.10

0 Note: see disclosure on back page


On 02/10/14 XJO October index (ASX SPI 200) was trading at $5290. We executed an iron condor (15 contracts per client) by buying a OCT 5000 put for $74, writing a OCT 5075 put for $118, writing another OCT 5500 call for $48 and buying another OCT 5575 call for $22. The net credit received when entering the trade was $70 per contract or $1,050 per 15 contracts, which is also our maximum possible profit.

If on expiration in October (16/10/2014), XJO index is between $5,075 and $5,500, all the 4 options will expire worthless and we will get to keep the entire credit received as profit.

If XJO index is instead trading at $ 5000 on expiration, all the options except the OCT 5075 put sold will expire worthless. The OCT 5075 put has an intrinsic value of $750. This option has to be bought back to exit the trade. Thus, subtracting your initial $70 credit received, the options trader suffers your maximum possible loss of $680. The same situation will occur if the price at expiration is above $5575.



CSL Limited (CSL) 01/10/14



INVEST-OR

CONSERV'-

TRADER

AGGR-TRADER

VERY AGGR-

TRADER

WEEKLY PRICE

bull N bull bull 73.500

bull bull bull bull 72.940


change 65.95 73.50 11.45% 73.410




Earnings 1.24 1.05 0.58

P/E Ratio 27.80 16.08 18.32

P/B Ratio 10.47 1.27 3.43

P/E Growth 8.24 1.95 1.12

P/S Ratio 6.34 1.69 11.11


Dividend 1.5% 4.6% 4.5%

Franking 0.0%

Tax adj 0.9% 3.1% 2.5%

Stability 97.4% 91.2% 86.2%


Beta 0.60 1.10 0.60


Quick ratio 1.74 1.06 3.13

Debt/Equity 55.8% 28.9% 7.5%




Sales 15.2% 10.1% 24.8%

Cashflow 24.9% 16.9% 26.8%

Earnings 38.3% 15.6% 38.8%

Dividends 27.3% 19.0% 32.5%

Book Value 7.4% 5.5% -1.6%



National Australia Bank Limited (NAB) 30/09/14



INVEST-OR

CONSERV'-

TRADER

AGGR-TRADER

VERY AGGR-

TRADER

WEEKLY PRICE




change 34.87 32.70 -6.22% 34.840




Earnings 1.12 0.99 0.88

P/E Ratio 12.56 15.39 13.26

P/B Ratio 1.79 1.26 1.33

P/E Growth 2.09 1.72 1.75

P/S Ratio


Dividend 6.0% 4.7% 5.5%

Franking 100.0%

Tax adj 4.7% 3.2% 4.3%

Stability 98.9% 91.6% 97.6%


Beta 1.22 1.09 0.93

Current ratio

Quick ratio

Debt/Equity


Income coverage


Sales 3.5% -2.2% 13.4%

Cashflow -18.8% -38.8% 142.2%

Earnings 1.8% -1.0% 5.1%

Dividends 1.5% -0.4% 5.6%

Book Value



Rio Tinto Limited (RIO) 29/09/14



INVEST-OR

CONSERV'-

TRADER

AGGR-TRADER

VERY AGGR-

TRADER

WEEKLY PRICE


N N bear bear 61.590


change 61.58 60.11 -2.39% 61.300




Earnings 1.43 0.94 0.83

P/E Ratio 10.88 16.11 12.58

P/B Ratio 2.40 1.23 0.69

P/E Growth 10.00 2.10 1.47

P/S Ratio 2.17 1.67 5.00


Dividend 3.3% 4.6% 3.5%

Franking 100.0%

Tax adj 2.6% 3.1% 2.2%

Stability 91.6% 91.4% 91.4%


Beta 1.28 1.09 1.04


Quick ratio 0.95 1.06 2.72

Debt/Equity 62.1% 28.1% 12.3%




Sales 15.6% -8.5% 16.0%

Cashflow 15.3% -7.1% 85.9%

Earnings 19.6% -4.8% 58.5%

Dividends 11.8% 6.7% 33.4%

Book Value 13.0% 8.7% 13.6%



Macquarie Group Limited (MQG) 26/09/14



INVEST-OR

CONSERV'-

TRADER

AGGR-TRADER

VERY AGGR-

TRADER

WEEKLY PRICE

N N N bear 57.810

N N N bull 58.420


change 47.74 57.81 21.08% 57.750




Earnings 1.21 1.04 1.02

P/E Ratio 16.16 15.94 14.66

P/B Ratio 1.68 1.26 1.41

P/E Growth 1.76 1.93 1.54

P/S Ratio 4.73 1.68 --


Dividend 4.3% 4.6% 5.1%

Franking 40.0%

Tax adj 2.8% 3.1% 4.1%

Stability 95.2% 91.2% 97.6%


Beta 1.15 1.10 0.93

Current ratio 0.91 1.61 --

Quick ratio 0.27 1.06 --

Debt/Equity 986.1% 28.9% --

EarningsStability 41.2% 53.5% --

Income coverage -- 5.65 --


Sales 2.3% -2.1% 19.6%

Cashflow -170.2% -147.1% 66.6%

Earnings 1.6% 3.8% 55.7%

Dividends 7.4% 15.6% 91.0%

Book Value 10.9% 3.4% 7.7%


NOTE: FS Securities Picks are presented as suggestions only and may or may not be trades

undertaken by FS Securities. We present several strategies, namely for Investors (a long time

trades) and for traders (shorter periods). For the latter, traders may be different in their risk

appetite. Some traders are more aggressive than other traders. We highly recommends to

understand your style before trading and never to trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

NOTE: Monthly charts are analysed only at month end. Weekly charts are only analysed at week

end. Intra-week updates are mainly related to aggressive traders. Conservative traders rely on 5

signals out of the 8GB in each of the weekly and the daily before trading. Aggressive traders still

rely on the weekly and the daily but with only 4 signals out of the 8GB. Very aggressive traders rely

only on the daily charts (last period signal against other daily signals). In both conservative and

aggressive traders the exponential Moving Averages of the indicators are used rather than just one

day signal. One daily signal will push us in and out too frequently.

Our subscribers get a weekly and an update several times during the week. If you wish to subscribe,

please call us or visit our website: fssecurities.com.au. Please note that the weekly analysis is

updated on the weekend in additions to daily updates.

OUR MESSAGE: Do not rely on your emotions but be mechanical - that is look for indicators and be

consistent. We use Technical analysis with 7 indicators that we have researched over many years,

look for harmony between them and use them consistently.

DO YOU WANT TO KNOW MORE? If interested, send us your details and we will teach you how to

trade mechanically. Whilst we do not dismiss fundamental analysis, we are predominantly

technical analysts and our experience tell us that they are more readily available and more

"honest" and produce about 60-75% success rate if followed with discipline and with a risk

management strategy that we teach.

George Beyrouthi is an authorised representative (ASIC #315 563) of FS Securities (QLD) Pty Ltd

(ACN 148 991 968) AFSL #410 183. He has been authorized to provide General Advice and Dealing

services in the following classes of financial products –Securities, Derivatives and Futures products,

FOREX products to Retail and Wholesale clients.

DISCLAIMER Any trading advice contained in this communication is of a general nature only, and

your personal financial circumstances have not been considered in its preparation. Please be aware

that trading in financial markets results in both profit and loss.

Documents

FS Securities Trades (new) · 2014-10-14 · FS Securities Trades (please see explanation at the back page) Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (ANZ) 14/10/14 Our strategy: