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From Phileas Fogg to Yuri Gagarin: ...
Prologue:
“ … Has the world grown smaller?
Certainly, returned Ralph. I agree with Mr. Fogg. The world has grown smaller, since a man can now go round it ten times more quickly than a hundred years
ago. …
You have a strange way, Ralph, of proving that the world has grown smaller. So, because you can go round it in three months.
In eighty days, interrupted Phileas Fogg. …
It's absurd! cried Stuart, who was beginning to be annoyed at the persistency of his friend.”
Jules Verne, Around the World in Eighty Days, 1873
© Kari Liuhto 27.10.2011, Moscow
Russia in the 1970-1990s: Russia’s
industrialcompetitiveness
deteriorates
Russia in this millenium:
How to turn Russia more
innovative ?
Russia tomorrow:
two major pathsin modernisation
??
State-led, military-oriented reform
vs
Private firm dominated, civil society-
oriented reform
Russia’s modernisation path(s)
Modernisation is not self-evident pathfor Russia, though it would be highly needed
Source: Liuhto 2009
Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (1)
Figure 1
Expenditure on R&D
BelarusHungary
Germany
Israel
India
Kazakhstan
Canada
China
Poland
Russia
USA
Turkey
Ukraine
Finland
France
Czech Rep.
Chile
EstoniaSouth Africa
South Korea
Japan
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
-0,5% 0,0% 0,5% 1,0% 1,5% 2,0%
Country’s share (%) of world’s GERD in 2007
Change of the country’s share in world’s GERD between 1997 and 2007
-16%-9%-5%
0%1%5%
13%23%
38%40%
79%103%
-40% 0% 40% 80% 120%
FranceUSA
RussiaGermany
IndiaJapan
FinlandSouth Korea
IsraelSouth Africa
TurkeyChina
Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics, World Bank
Gross expenditure on R&D as share of GDP in 2007 and relative change in 1997-2007, percentage points
(circle size corresponds to total GERD, USD mln.)
Change of the share of GERD in GDP between 1997 and 2007, percentage points
Gro
ss e
xpen
ditu
re o
n R&
D as
sha
re o
f GDP
in 2
007,
%
0,25%0,43%0,72%0,79%0,88%1,35%
3,13%4,43%5,06%
7,88%14,04%
34,13%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
South AfricaTurkey
IsraelFinland
IndiaRussia
South KoreaChina
FranceGermany
JapanUSA
High
Low
HighLow
Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010
Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (2)
Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (3)
Companies in Fortune Global 500 Companies in top 1,000 R&D investors
2005 2009 2005 2009
Brazil 3 6 3 3
Russia 3 8 2 1
India 5 7 1 12
China 16 37 3 5
Europe * 175 180 294 333
USA 176 140 423 378
* Europe excluding RussiaSources: DIUS (2009); Fortune (2009)
Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (4)
Figure 4
Sample characteristics (innovation), %
Source: Bauman Innovation and OPORA – Russian Innovation Survey 2009-2010
В компании существует исследовательское подразделение,51%
В компании нет исследовательского
подразделения,49%
*
* The sum exceeds 100%, since up to three options were allowed
Presence of R&D department
Presence of innovation strategy
The company has an R&D department,51%
The company doesn’t have
R&D department,49%
Documented as a separate strategy,5%
Documented as a part of overall strategy,20%
Innovation strategy exists only in top
managers' minds,51%
The company doesn't have innovation strategy,
24%
Main sources of innovation
3 %
5 %
6 %
8 %
15 %
16 %
25 %
28 %
38 %
47 %
0 % 10 % 20 % 30 % 40 % 50 % 60 %
Foreign institution of science and technology or universi ty
Acquisition of patents, licenses and know-how from foreign companies (with
or without Russian presence)
Acquisition of patents, licenses and know-how from Russian companies
Foreign engineering, design and other specialized companies
Russian institution of science and technology or university
Russian engineering, design and other specialized companies
Company's own departments, except R&D
Russian companies - suppliers of equipment or parts
Foreign companies - suppliers of equipment or parts
Company's own R&D department
Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010
Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (5)
Figure 6
Obstacles to innovation
Main obstacles to innovation activities for mid-sized and large companies in Russia
4%
5%
5%
6%
6%
8%
12%
19%
23%
33%
33%
62%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Board of Directors doesn't recognize innovation as priority
Ineffective innovation management
No demand for new products and services
Restricting standards and industry regulations
Difficult to find suppliers
Lack of market information
Lack of technology information
Lack of qualified human resources
Uncertainty of demand for a new product or service
Difficult to get external financing
Too large cost of innovation activity
Lack of funds available within the company
*
* The sum exceeds 100%, since up to three options were allowed
Source: Bauman Innovation and OPORA – Russian Innovation Survey 2009-2010; Community Innovation Survey 2004-2006, Central Statistics Office
Rankings of obstacles to innovation for EU- companies
Innovative companies* Non-innovativecompanies*1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Lack of funds available within the companyDifficult to get external financingUncertainty of demand for a new product or serviceDifficult to find suppliers
Too large cost of innovation activityLack of qualified human resourcesNo demand for new products and servicesRestricting standards and industry regulationsLack of market information
Lack of technology information
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
No demand for new products and servicesLack of funds available within the companyDifficult to get external financingDifficult to find suppliers
Uncertainty of demand for a new product or serviceToo large cost of innovation activityRestricting standards and industry regulationsLack of qualified human resourcesLack of technology information
Lack of market information
* See Community Innovation Survey 2004-2006 for explanations
Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010
Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (6)
Figure 7
Barriers to innovation: human resources and education
Availability of engineers and technicians
Cost to hire engineers and technicians
Low High
Too high, inacceptable Acceptable
6%
4%
8%
2%
8%
11%
13%
17%
8%
21%
14%
18%
26%
12%
18%
24%
24%
25%
32%
23%
23%
18%
16%
20%
17%
18%
19%
6%
14%
10%
5%
4%
2%
13%
3%
Education quality in vocational schools and technical colleges
Quality of higher education in natural sciences and engineering
Quality of math and science education in school
Source: Bauman Innovation and OPORA – Russian Innovation Survey 2009-2010
Low High
Low High
Low High
Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010
Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (7)
Figure 8
Intellectual property protection
12%
13%
8%
21%
31%
11%
18%
10%
15%
24%
18%
19%
16%
18%
14%
27%
27%
22%
24%
14%
13%
12%
18%
13%
10%
13%
10%
18%
7%
4%
4%
2%
7%
3%
3%Intellectual property protection in general
Intellectual property protection: patents for invention and prototypes
Intellectual property protection: registered trademarks
Intellectual property protection: authors’ rights
Intellectual property protection: business secrets and know-how
Weak Strong
Weak Strong
Weak Strong
Weak Strong
Weak Strong
Source: Bauman Innovation and OPORA – Russian Innovation Survey 2009-2010
Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010
Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (8)
Figure 10
Cooperation with foreign companies in area of technology and innovation
42%
42%
43%
53%
Upgrading production processes
Designing and implementing new
production processes
Developing new products and services
Upgrading products and services
Technological cooperation with partners abroad (during last three years) Areas of cooperation
*
48%49%
YesNo
Location of main technologypartners
5%14%
5%5%
5%8%8%9%10%
16%23%
36%
Other non-Europe
Other Europe
Sweden
India
France
Japan
Italy
Finland
CIS countries
China
USA
Germany **
Source: Bauman Innovation and OPORA – Russian Innovation Survey 2009-2010
* The sum exceeds 100%, since multiple options were allowed
** The sum exceeds 100%, since up to two options were allowed
Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010
Finland is R&D superpower in industrial cooperation with Russia
Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (9)
INTER-ENTERPRISE JOINT INNOVATION ACTIVITY* Flagship: Nokia in Skolkovo
INNOVATION FINANCE* TEKES-FASIE* Rusnano-Finnish Industry Investment Ltd
NETWORKING * FinNode Russia (match making)* Technopolis (technopark)* Finnish-Russian Innovation Centre (regional cooperation)
PR- ACTIVITIES* EU-Russia Innovation Forum (mainly bilateral annual event - third time in June 2011)
JOINT RESEARCH* Academy of Finland and the Russian Foundation for Humanities (2006-2009)* Various universities and their Russia-units
EXCHANGE OF RESEARCHERS* Various universities
Finnish-Russian innovation cooperation:Some examples
(1) Establish a Joint EU-Russia Innovation Centre both in Russia and in the EU.
(2) Support the internationalization of innovations.
(3) Turn the innovations conducted in the military sector into civilian use.
(4) Improve intellectual property rights (IPR) and the investment climate.
(5) Institutional innovations are needed.
(6) Design a service innovation policy.
Some policy considerations based onFinnish-Russian cooperation (1)
( 7) Enhance management innovations.
( 8) Create innovation competition.
( 9) Establish innovation journalism to share best practices.
(10) Do not concentrate on radical innovations.
(11) Teach creativity and entrepreneurship in universities.
(12) Avoid political stagnation.
Some policy considerations based onFinnish-Russian cooperation (2)
From Phileas Fogg to Yuri Gagarin –but what after Gagarin ?
Epilogue:
50 years ago, the Soviet cosmonaut, Yuri Gagarin, flew around the world in less than two hours.
Lesson: reaching “the impossible” is possible but it takes time and requires foreign cooperation / competition.