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From Phileas Fogg to Yuri Gagarin: ... Prologue: … Has the world grown smaller? Certainly, returned Ralph. I agree with Mr. Fogg. The world has grown smaller, since a man can now go round it ten times more quickly than a hundred years ago. … You have a strange way, Ralph, of proving that the world has grown smaller. So, because you can go round it in three months. In eighty days, interrupted Phileas Fogg. … It's absurd! cried Stuart, who was beginning to be annoyed at the persistency of his friend.” Jules Verne, Around the World in Eighty Days, 1873 © Kari Liuhto 27.10.2011, Moscow

From Phileas Fogg to Yuri Gagarin: · From Phileas Fogg to Yuri Gagarin: ... Prologue: “ … Has the world grown smaller? Certainly, returned Ralph. I agree with Mr. Fogg. The world

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  • From Phileas Fogg to Yuri Gagarin: ...

    Prologue:

    “ … Has the world grown smaller?

    Certainly, returned Ralph. I agree with Mr. Fogg. The world has grown smaller, since a man can now go round it ten times more quickly than a hundred years

    ago. …

    You have a strange way, Ralph, of proving that the world has grown smaller. So, because you can go round it in three months.

    In eighty days, interrupted Phileas Fogg. …

    It's absurd! cried Stuart, who was beginning to be annoyed at the persistency of his friend.”

    Jules Verne, Around the World in Eighty Days, 1873

    © Kari Liuhto 27.10.2011, Moscow

  • Russia in the 1970-1990s: Russia’s

    industrialcompetitiveness

    deteriorates

    Russia in this millenium:

    How to turn Russia more

    innovative ?

    Russia tomorrow:

    two major pathsin modernisation

    ??

    State-led, military-oriented reform

    vs

    Private firm dominated, civil society-

    oriented reform

    Russia’s modernisation path(s)

  • Modernisation is not self-evident pathfor Russia, though it would be highly needed

    Source: Liuhto 2009

  • Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (1)

    Figure 1

    Expenditure on R&D

    BelarusHungary

    Germany

    Israel

    India

    Kazakhstan

    Canada

    China

    Poland

    Russia

    USA

    Turkey

    Ukraine

    Finland

    France

    Czech Rep.

    Chile

    EstoniaSouth Africa

    South Korea

    Japan

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    -0,5% 0,0% 0,5% 1,0% 1,5% 2,0%

    Country’s share (%) of world’s GERD in 2007

    Change of the country’s share in world’s GERD between 1997 and 2007

    -16%-9%-5%

    0%1%5%

    13%23%

    38%40%

    79%103%

    -40% 0% 40% 80% 120%

    FranceUSA

    RussiaGermany

    IndiaJapan

    FinlandSouth Korea

    IsraelSouth Africa

    TurkeyChina

    Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics, World Bank

    Gross expenditure on R&D as share of GDP in 2007 and relative change in 1997-2007, percentage points

    (circle size corresponds to total GERD, USD mln.)

    Change of the share of GERD in GDP between 1997 and 2007, percentage points

    Gro

    ss e

    xpen

    ditu

    re o

    n R&

    D as

    sha

    re o

    f GDP

    in 2

    007,

    %

    0,25%0,43%0,72%0,79%0,88%1,35%

    3,13%4,43%5,06%

    7,88%14,04%

    34,13%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

    South AfricaTurkey

    IsraelFinland

    IndiaRussia

    South KoreaChina

    FranceGermany

    JapanUSA

    High

    Low

    HighLow

    Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010

  • Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (2)

  • Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (3)

  • Companies in Fortune Global 500 Companies in top 1,000 R&D investors

    2005 2009 2005 2009

    Brazil 3 6 3 3

    Russia 3 8 2 1

    India 5 7 1 12

    China 16 37 3 5

    Europe * 175 180 294 333

    USA 176 140 423 378

    * Europe excluding RussiaSources: DIUS (2009); Fortune (2009)

    Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (4)

  • Figure 4

    Sample characteristics (innovation), %

    Source: Bauman Innovation and OPORA – Russian Innovation Survey 2009-2010

    В компании существует исследовательское подразделение,51%

    В компании нет исследовательского

    подразделения,49%

    *

    * The sum exceeds 100%, since up to three options were allowed

    Presence of R&D department

    Presence of innovation strategy

    The company has an R&D department,51%

    The company doesn’t have

    R&D department,49%

    Documented as a separate strategy,5%

    Documented as a part of overall strategy,20%

    Innovation strategy exists only in top

    managers' minds,51%

    The company doesn't have innovation strategy,

    24%

    Main sources of innovation

    3 %

    5 %

    6 %

    8 %

    15 %

    16 %

    25 %

    28 %

    38 %

    47 %

    0 % 10 % 20 % 30 % 40 % 50 % 60 %

    Foreign institution of science and technology or universi ty

    Acquisition of patents, licenses and know-how from foreign companies (with

    or without Russian presence)

    Acquisition of patents, licenses and know-how from Russian companies

    Foreign engineering, design and other specialized companies

    Russian institution of science and technology or university

    Russian engineering, design and other specialized companies

    Company's own departments, except R&D

    Russian companies - suppliers of equipment or parts

    Foreign companies - suppliers of equipment or parts

    Company's own R&D department

    Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010

    Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (5)

  • Figure 6

    Obstacles to innovation

    Main obstacles to innovation activities for mid-sized and large companies in Russia

    4%

    5%

    5%

    6%

    6%

    8%

    12%

    19%

    23%

    33%

    33%

    62%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

    Board of Directors doesn't recognize innovation as priority

    Ineffective innovation management

    No demand for new products and services

    Restricting standards and industry regulations

    Difficult to find suppliers

    Lack of market information

    Lack of technology information

    Lack of qualified human resources

    Uncertainty of demand for a new product or service

    Difficult to get external financing

    Too large cost of innovation activity

    Lack of funds available within the company

    *

    * The sum exceeds 100%, since up to three options were allowed

    Source: Bauman Innovation and OPORA – Russian Innovation Survey 2009-2010; Community Innovation Survey 2004-2006, Central Statistics Office

    Rankings of obstacles to innovation for EU- companies

    Innovative companies* Non-innovativecompanies*1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    Lack of funds available within the companyDifficult to get external financingUncertainty of demand for a new product or serviceDifficult to find suppliers

    Too large cost of innovation activityLack of qualified human resourcesNo demand for new products and servicesRestricting standards and industry regulationsLack of market information

    Lack of technology information

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    No demand for new products and servicesLack of funds available within the companyDifficult to get external financingDifficult to find suppliers

    Uncertainty of demand for a new product or serviceToo large cost of innovation activityRestricting standards and industry regulationsLack of qualified human resourcesLack of technology information

    Lack of market information

    * See Community Innovation Survey 2004-2006 for explanations

    Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010

    Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (6)

  • Figure 7

    Barriers to innovation: human resources and education

    Availability of engineers and technicians

    Cost to hire engineers and technicians

    Low High

    Too high, inacceptable Acceptable

    6%

    4%

    8%

    2%

    8%

    11%

    13%

    17%

    8%

    21%

    14%

    18%

    26%

    12%

    18%

    24%

    24%

    25%

    32%

    23%

    23%

    18%

    16%

    20%

    17%

    18%

    19%

    6%

    14%

    10%

    5%

    4%

    2%

    13%

    3%

    Education quality in vocational schools and technical colleges

    Quality of higher education in natural sciences and engineering

    Quality of math and science education in school

    Source: Bauman Innovation and OPORA – Russian Innovation Survey 2009-2010

    Low High

    Low High

    Low High

    Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010

    Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (7)

  • Figure 8

    Intellectual property protection

    12%

    13%

    8%

    21%

    31%

    11%

    18%

    10%

    15%

    24%

    18%

    19%

    16%

    18%

    14%

    27%

    27%

    22%

    24%

    14%

    13%

    12%

    18%

    13%

    10%

    13%

    10%

    18%

    7%

    4%

    4%

    2%

    7%

    3%

    3%Intellectual property protection in general

    Intellectual property protection: patents for invention and prototypes

    Intellectual property protection: registered trademarks

    Intellectual property protection: authors’ rights

    Intellectual property protection: business secrets and know-how

    Weak Strong

    Weak Strong

    Weak Strong

    Weak Strong

    Weak Strong

    Source: Bauman Innovation and OPORA – Russian Innovation Survey 2009-2010

    Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010

    Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (8)

  • Figure 10

    Cooperation with foreign companies in area of technology and innovation

    42%

    42%

    43%

    53%

    Upgrading production processes

    Designing and implementing new

    production processes

    Developing new products and services

    Upgrading products and services

    Technological cooperation with partners abroad (during last three years) Areas of cooperation

    *

    48%49%

    YesNo

    Location of main technologypartners

    5%14%

    5%5%

    5%8%8%9%10%

    16%23%

    36%

    Other non-Europe

    Other Europe

    Sweden

    India

    France

    Japan

    Italy

    Finland

    CIS countries

    China

    USA

    Germany **

    Source: Bauman Innovation and OPORA – Russian Innovation Survey 2009-2010

    * The sum exceeds 100%, since multiple options were allowed

    ** The sum exceeds 100%, since up to two options were allowed

    Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010

    Finland is R&D superpower in industrial cooperation with Russia

    Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (9)

  • INTER-ENTERPRISE JOINT INNOVATION ACTIVITY* Flagship: Nokia in Skolkovo

    INNOVATION FINANCE* TEKES-FASIE* Rusnano-Finnish Industry Investment Ltd

    NETWORKING * FinNode Russia (match making)* Technopolis (technopark)* Finnish-Russian Innovation Centre (regional cooperation)

    PR- ACTIVITIES* EU-Russia Innovation Forum (mainly bilateral annual event - third time in June 2011)

    JOINT RESEARCH* Academy of Finland and the Russian Foundation for Humanities (2006-2009)* Various universities and their Russia-units

    EXCHANGE OF RESEARCHERS* Various universities

    Finnish-Russian innovation cooperation:Some examples

  • (1) Establish a Joint EU-Russia Innovation Centre both in Russia and in the EU.

    (2) Support the internationalization of innovations.

    (3) Turn the innovations conducted in the military sector into civilian use.

    (4) Improve intellectual property rights (IPR) and the investment climate.

    (5) Institutional innovations are needed.

    (6) Design a service innovation policy.

    Some policy considerations based onFinnish-Russian cooperation (1)

  • ( 7) Enhance management innovations.

    ( 8) Create innovation competition.

    ( 9) Establish innovation journalism to share best practices.

    (10) Do not concentrate on radical innovations.

    (11) Teach creativity and entrepreneurship in universities.

    (12) Avoid political stagnation.

    Some policy considerations based onFinnish-Russian cooperation (2)

  • From Phileas Fogg to Yuri Gagarin –but what after Gagarin ?

    Epilogue:

    50 years ago, the Soviet cosmonaut, Yuri Gagarin, flew around the world in less than two hours.

    Lesson: reaching “the impossible” is possible but it takes time and requires foreign cooperation / competition.