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The informa,on contained in this presenta,on is confiden,al and proprietary. It is meant solely for the intended recipient. Access to this presenta5on by anyone else is unauthorized. If you are not the intended recipient, any disclosure, copying, distribu5on, or any ac5on taken or omi<ed in reliance on this, is prohibited and may be unlawful.
August 2012
Market Overview
Freedom Solar is an industry-leading full service solar installation company. We provide our customers with a turnkey solution including free site evaluation, consulting, designing, permitting, financing, installation, and ongoing monitoring. Freedom Solar will design a system that is right for your home or business and determine the optimal utility rate structure for your remaining needs.
About us
Encompassing residential, commercial, and government sectors. Our installation team is NABCEP certified and has over 10 years of solar installation experience and completed over 7 megawatts of projects to date.
Experience
We handle every aspect of solar power installations—including technology evaluation, engineering and design, construction, monitoring, and ongoing maintenance and support—to ensure the most efficient and reliable solution for the lifetime of the system.
Customer Service
In addition to our technical aptitude, Freedom Solar guarantees standards of the highest level in residential and commercial construction. We specialize in roof mounts, ground mounts, pole mounts, and carports/parking structures.
Quality
Freedom Solar at a Glance
Bret Biggart, Managing Partner Prior to joining Freedom Solar, Mr. Biggart was Director of Business Development for WaterStreet Investment Consultants & EklekHkos Capital Management. Prior to WaterStreet, he was Vice President of Business Development at Saracen Energy Advisors. In that role, he managed investor relaHons with prior, current, and prospecHve investors, which included domesHc and internaHonal high net worth individuals, hedge fund of funds, endowments, foundaHons, and public pensions, represenHng over $1.4 billion in assets under management. Prior to Saracen, Mr. Biggart's investment background consisted of over four years with two private equity firms. First, as a senior analyst at Pacific Corporate Group, a private equity management and consulHng firm and, most recently, as an Associate at Genesis Park, a Texas based private equity firm. Mr. Biggart received an MBA from the Jones School of Business at Rice University and earned a B.A. from the University of Texas at AusHn.
Adrian Buck, Chief Installa,on Officer Mr. Buck is a pioneer in the Texas solar market, with over ten years of solar installaHon experience to date. Prior to founding Freedom Solar in 2007, he was the Lead Installer for Texas Solar Power Company. Mr. Buck has worked with many of the Renewable Energy companies in central Texas and has installed a wide variety of systems ranging in type and size. He has installed Solar Thermal, Wind and Hybrid systems, and specializes in Commercial PV. Types of systems include Roof mounts, Ground mounts, Pole mounts, and Carport structures. Prior to beginning his career in renewable energy in 2002, Mr. Buck managed producHon lines for Applied Materials since 1997. Mr. Buck is a journeyman electrician and was one of the first 100 people in the country to receive the NABCEP cerHficate and be recognized by the North American Board of CerHfied Energy PracHHoners, as a Professional PV installer.
Chad Preece, Chief Opera,ng Officer Mr. Preece brings over six years of PV, solar thermal, and wind power system installaHon and design experience, ranging from small scale residenHal to large scale commercial projects across the state of Texas. As an installer at Texas Solar Power Company, Mr. Preece was responsible for leading mulHple crews, installing and designing over 180KW at the Mueller Megawa_ project in AusHn. Mr. Preece has also assisted in the installaHon of over 5MW of solar in his career. As co-‐founder and Chief OperaHng Officer at Freedom Solar, he is responsible for managing projects as well as supplier and customer relaHonships.
Management Team
U8lity 1MW+
Commercial 25kW – 500kW
Residen8al 3kW -‐ 15kW
Freedom Solar sa8sfied clients include:
• U.S. Army • U.S. Air Force • NaHonal Guard • State of Texas • Texas Parks and Wildlife • Department of Defense • City of AusHn • University of Texas • Office Depot • Alori ProperHes • Coahoma Independent School District • Electronic Power Design Inc • General Services AdministraHon • AusHn Community College • Whole Foods • Lake Flato • Alamo Architects • OCO Architects • Overland Partners
Commercial market
underserved
Target Market
Project: AusHn Community College Type: Roof Mount
Size: 180kW
InstallaHon Examples
Project: Whole Foods Arbor Trails Type: Ballasted Roof Mount
Size: 15kW
Project: UT JJ Pickle Research Center Type: Ground Mount
Size: 340kW
InstallaHon Examples
Project: Camp Mabry Type: Carport Structure
Size: 150kW
Project: Demeo Residence Type: Roof Mount
Size: 10kW
Project: Mueller Development Type: Pole Mount (sunflower array)
Size: 15kW
InstallaHon Examples
Global Solar RadiaHon
Global Solar Radia8on
Enough sunlight falls on the earth’s surface every hour to meet the en8re worlds energy needs for one year.
US Solar RadiaHon
US Solar Radia8on
Poten8al: 100 square mile plot in the Southwest could generate enough power for the enHre United States. Challenge: Efficiently distribuHng that power customers and storage of that power to be used at night
Falling PV Prices
PV Module Pricing Trend Over Time (1985-‐2011)
total manufacturing cost for PV panels is approximately .55 cents
Growing PV Installs
US PV Installa8ons, 1Q10 – 1Q12
Due to expira,on of 100% year 1 bonus deprecia,on aDer 2011
Revenue in the global solar industry has increased from $17 billion in 2007 to $93 billion in 2011.
Texas UHliHes
Texas Electricity Service Territories AUSTIN ENERGY
ResidenHal: $2.00/W rebate, up to $15k Commercial: $0.14/kWh, 10-‐year PBI
ONCOR
ResidenHal: $2.00/W, up to $20k Commercial: $1.50/W, up to $150k
CPS
ResidenHal: $2.00/W rebate, up to 25kW Commercial: $2.00/W rebate for first 25kW,
then $1.30/W up to $100k
EL PASO ELECTRIC
ResidenHal: $2.00/W, up to $20k Commercial: $1.75/W, up to $87.5k
Power GeneraHon Stack
TIME OF DAY
ENERGY DEMAND
Real Time Market
Nat. Gas Peaker Turbines
Nat. Gas Combined
Cycle
Coal
Nuke / Wind
$0.04-‐0.05
$0.04-‐0.05
$0.02-‐0.04
$0.12-‐0.14
Current cap: $4.50 June 2013 cap: $7.00-‐7.50
PRICE/KWH
SOLAR PRODUCTION
Texas Solar PenetraHon
Texas Renewable Electricity Sta8s8cs, 2010
Source: United States Energy Informa5on Agency
Solar comprised less than 0.05% of total electricity genera8on in Texas in 2010.
NaHonal ResidenHal Electricity Rates
Source: US Energy Informa5on Agency, May 2012
Texas Electricity Rate
Texas Residen8al Electricity Rates vs. Natural Gas
Sources: United States Energy Informa5on Agency, Bloomberg, Natural Gas Week
The price of electricity is highly correlated with the price of natural gas. The precipitous drop in natural gas prices is a headwind for solar.
Purchase Lease PPA
A third-‐party financier owns the system and pays for most, if not all, of the system’s capital costs. In return, the financier receives all solar incenHves and bills the off-‐taker a set rate for the electricity produced. A typical PPA term is 15 -‐20 years.
Solar off-‐taker receives all incenHves, but bears full capital costs associated with the solar equipment and installaHon.
Similar to a PPA, but the off-‐taker is billed a set total dollar amount unrelated to the amount of electricity produced by the system. A typical lease term is 15 years.
Financing Structures Third Party Ownership
The advent of third-‐party ownership structures has increased compe88on and helped lower the cost of solar. Unfortunately, third-‐party ownership is currently not allowed in municipally-‐owned uHliHes (AE & CPS), thus limiHng the growth potenHal of solar in Texas.
California & Third Party Financing
California Residen8al Solar Market
All growth in the California residen8al solar market has come from third-‐party financing. Cash purchases of solar systems has actually fallen year-‐over-‐year.
AE 260kW Commercial
Project Assump8ons
Size 260 kW Price per Wa_ $3.20 Panel Wa_s 250 W # of Panels 1040
PV Wa_s Output 369,799 kWh
AusHn Energy PBI $0.14 / kWh for 10 yrs.
DepreciaHon 5Y MACRS w/ 50% bonus in Y1 Electricity Rate $0.097 / kWh Rate InflaHon 5.0%
Total Project Cost $832,000 Fed Tax Credit (30%) ($249,600) Y1 DepreciaHon ($148,512) Y1 AusHn Energy PBI ($51,722) Y1 Energy Savings ($35,870) Fed Income Tax (35%) $30,675 Year 1 Net Cost $376,920
AE Financials
Returns
10 Year IRR 9.3% 25 Year IRR 13.5% 25 Year ROI 134% Payback 5.5 years
! ($832,000) !"#$%&'''( !"#$%&'''( "#$%&'!!!(
) $51,772 $35,870 "#)&*+%, ($30,675) $249,600 $148,512 "+--&'#', "#%*+',&!(
& $51,772 $37,664 "#.&+$*, ($31,303) $39,603 ".)&)$*, "#&*,')$-( /$0+#1% $51,772 $39,547 "./&$/., ($31,962) $23,762 "#$&//., "#),+'!+.( .0%)1- $51,772 $41,525 ".$&%.*, ($32,654) $14,257 ")+&.'', "#)&)')+.( /$$0.-1. $51,772 $43,601 ".-&$)$, ($33,380) $14,257 ")*&%+., "#--',)+(
+ $51,772 $45,781 ".)&--$, ($34,143) $7,129 ")'&-$#, #&.'+&&
* $51,772 $48,070 "..&#+%, ($34,945) "*+&#.), #,!'.),
$ $51,772 $50,473 "/'%&%+-, ($35,786) "**&+-., #).+',*,
, $51,772 $52,997 "/'+&)*., ($36,669) "*#&/'', #&&.'!*,
)! $51,772 $55,647 "/')&+/., ($37,597) "*.&#%%, #&,-',!)
)) $58,429 "-#&+%., ($20,450) "$)&.)., #%%&'$$!
)& $61,351 "*/&$-/, ($21,473) "$.&#)#, #%*&'*.$
)% $64,418 "*+&+/#, ($22,546) "+/&#)%, #-)-'+&,
)- $67,639 "*)&*$., ($23,674) "+$&.*-, #-.$'.,.
). $71,021 ")/&'%/, ($24,857) "+*&/*+, #.!-'*.,
)+ $74,572 ")+&-)%, ($26,100) "+#&+)%, #..%'&%)
)* $78,301 ")#&$'/, ($27,405) "-'&#.-, #+!-')&+
)$ $82,216 "#%&%/*, ($28,776) "-$&++', #+.*'.++
), $86,327 "#*&$%), ($30,214) "-*&//%, #*)%'+*,
&! $90,643 ".'&*+$, ($31,725) "-#&./#, #**&'.,+
&) $95,175 ".-&/)-, ($33,311) "*/&#*+, #$%-'-+!
&& $99,934 "..&.$+, ($34,977) "*+&.-), #$,,'-)*
&% $104,931 "/'+&.$/, ($36,726) "*#&%'-, #,+*'+&&
&- $110,177 "//'&/)), ($38,562) ")/&*/-, #)'!%,'&%*
&. $115,686 "//-&*#*, ($40,490) ")-&/.*, #)'))-'-%%
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AE Return Analysis
!
System**Assuming a 5% discount rate***This is an estimate based on a study published in the Appraisal Journal which showed that, on average, properties which made energy efficiency or renewable energy improvements increased in value at a rate of approximately twenty times (20x) the average annual savings that resulted from the property improvements. For a conservative estimate, the Year 1 Energy Savings is used in this calculation.
System size (kW) 26025 Year IRR 13.48%25 Year NPV** $446,810Property Value Increase*** $717,410
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CPS 75kW Commercial
Project Assump8ons
Size 75 kW Price per Wa_ $3.20 Panel Wa_s 250 W # of Panels 300
PV Wa_s Output 106,673 kWh DepreciaHon 5Y MACRS w/ 50% bonus in Y1 Electricity Rate $0.097 / kWh Rate InflaHon 5.0%
Total Project Cost $240,000 CPS Rebate ($100,000) Fed Tax Credit (30%) ($72,000) Y1 DepreciaHon ($42,840) Y1 Energy Savings ($10,347) Fed Income Tax (35%) $3,622 Year 1 Net Cost $18,434
CPS Commercial Rebate: $2.00/W rebate for first 25kW, then $1.30/W up to $100k
CPS Financials
! ($240,000) $100,000 !"#$%&%%%' !"#$%&%%%' "#$%!&!!!'
$ $10,347 "#%&($)* ($3,622) $72,000 $42,840 "#+#&,--* "#$(&%)%'
* $10,865 "#%&.-,* ($3,803) $11,424 "#.&$.-* #+*
) $11,408 "##&$%.* ($3,993) $6,854 "#$&+)%* #$%&)*$
% $11,978 "##&/).* ($4,192) $4,113 "##&./.* #*,&**!
+ $12,577 "#+&,))* ($4,402) $4,113 "#+&+..* #)(&+!(
, $13,206 "#(&+%-* ($4,622) $2,056 "#%&-$%* #%-&$%(
. $13,866 "#(&.--* ($4,853) "/&%#(* #+(&$,$
( $14,560 "#$&,-%* ($5,096) "/&$-$* #,.&,*+
- $15,288 "#,&+..* ($5,351) "/&/()* #..&+,*
$! $16,052 "#-&%,+* ($5,618) "#%&$($* #(.&--+
$$ $16,855 "#-&.,,* ($5,899) "#%&/,,* #-(&-+$
$* $17,697 "#)&-/)* ($6,194) "##&,%(* #$$!&%+%
$) $18,582 "#.&,.+* ($6,504) "#+&%).* #$**&+)*
$% $19,511 "#/&,##* ($6,829) "#+&-.+* #$)+&*$+
$+ $20,487 "+%&$.)* ($7,170) "#(&(#-* #$%(&+)$
$, $21,511 "+#&,##* ($7,529) "#(&/.+* #$,*&+$%
$. $22,587 "++&,.)* ($7,905) "#$&-.#* #$..&$-+
$( $23,716 "+(&)#-* ($8,301) "#,&$#,* #$-*&,$!
$- $24,902 "+$&/%+* ($8,716) "#-&#.-* #*!(&.-.
*! $26,147 "+-&#$)* ($9,151) "#-&//-* #**+&.-*
*$ $27,454 "+)&$,$* ($9,609) "#)&.$,* #*%)&,)(
** $28,827 "+.&.+)* ($10,089) "#.&)(.* #*,*&).+
*) $30,268 "(%&+-.* ($10,594) "#/&-)$* #*(*&!+!
*% $31,782 "(#&).+* ($11,124) "+%&-,.* #)!*&.!(
*+ $33,371 "((&()#* ($11,680) "+#&-/#* #)*%&)--
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A;BReturns
10 Year IRR 22.2% 25 Year IRR 24.8% 25 Year ROI 232% Payback 2 years
CPS Return Analysis
!
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System size (kW) 7525 Year IRR 24.80%25 Year NPV** $153,931Property Value Increase*** $206,945
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Summary
Solar equipment and construcHon costs associated with solar are declining
Development of innovaHve financing techniques (third party ownership, etc.)
Entrance of large insHtuHonal investors
Heavily subsidized – investment tax credit, 5-‐year MACRS depreciaHon, local incenHves
Proven technology
Low natural gas prices
Low electricity prices in Texas
Limited capacity for local incenHves
Backlash of Solyndra
Investment tax credit set to expire arer 2016
Growth Drivers Challenges/Obstacles