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FNR Foresight Exercise Exploratory Workshop. CM International 19th May 2006. Outline. Key findings to date Research landscape overview Main international trends analysis Assessment of priorities Introduction to the parallel sessions Strategy options Attractiveness - feasibility matrix. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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80, rue Galliéni – 92773 Boulogne-Billancourt cedex – Tél : 01 47 12 53 00 – www.cm-intl.com
FNR Foresight ExerciseExploratory Workshop
CM International
19th May 2006
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Outline
Key findings to date
Research landscape overview
Main international trends analysis
Assessment of priorities
Introduction to the parallel sessions
Strategy options
Attractiveness - feasibility matrix
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3CM International
Key findings to date
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4CM International
Significant uplift in public R&D funds since 2000
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Public research without FNR FNR
Source: R. Kerger, Luxembourg's Research Landscape, Paper presented at the CREST meeting. Mondorf-les- Bains, 23 May 2005
Public Funds to Public R&D, 1990-2005, million euro
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5CM International
A complex system of funding sources and actors
Ministry of Culture, Higher Education
and Research
Ministry of Health
Ministry of Education
Ministry of the Interior and spatial
planning
Ministry of Public administration
Ministry of Economy and Foreign Trade
Ministry of Middle class, Tourism &
Housing
FNR
InterministerialCoordination
Committee for Research and Technological Development
CRP Gabriel Lipman
CRP Henri Tudor
CRP Santé / Nal Health Labo
CEPS/INSTEAD
Centre Hospitalier
Museum Natural History
Robert Schuman Centre
CVCE
University of Luxembourg
ECGS
Ministry of State
Research/training grants
International coop5,4M€
3,3M€Private Research (ESA)0,5M€
31,6M€
14,5M€
5,3M€
44M€
Private ResearchE-Luxembourg
1M€17,5M€
0,2M€
1,6M€
0,6M€
1,7M€
0,5M€
7M€
0,07M€
0,2M€
2M€
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6CM International
A comprehensive range of public research supports
Financial support via Titre 2 of the 1987 Law (CRP Henri Tudor, CRP Gabriel Lipmann, CRP Santé, CEPS/INSTEAD)
Thematic direct support
MA5:Preparation of EU projects
MA6: Mobility of researchers
MA7: Training in research project management
SF: Science Festival
Organisation of international scientific conferences in Lux
Inter-ministerial coordination Committee for RTD
Technology Watch Centre (CVT)
Short Term Patent*
Technology and science parks – Incubators
Science festival
Active participation of novice researchers in scientific conf.
CEDIES (Centre of documentation and Higher Education Info)
Cluster programme (Surfmat, InfoCom, Aerospace)
E-Luxembourg
MA1: Various measures for promoting R&D
MA2: Active participation of novice researchers in conferences
MA3:Organisation of scientific conferences in Luxembourg
MA4: Scientific publications
Supporting measures
PROVIE
TRASU
SECAL
VIVRE
INTER
SECOM
NANO
EAU
BIOSAN
ESA participation
Incentive thematic measures
Preparation of EU research projects
Financial contribution to the national plan in the field of aeronautics and space
Innovation loans
Financial contribution to researchers mobility
International mobility of researcher
R&D Incentive SchemeResearch and development incentive scheme of the Ministry of Small and Medium-sized Businesses, Tourism and HousingResearch and learning grant (BFR)
Incentive non thematic measures
Financial support via Titre I of the 1987 Law (CRP Henri Tudor, CRP Gabriel Lipmann, CRP Santé, University, CVCE)
Direct financial measures
Financial support via Titre 2 of the 1987 Law (CRP Henri Tudor, CRP Gabriel Lipmann, CRP Santé, CEPS/INSTEAD)
Thematic direct support
MA5:Preparation of EU projects
MA6: Mobility of researchers
MA7: Training in research project management
SF: Science Festival
Organisation of international scientific conferences in Lux
Inter-ministerial coordination Committee for RTD
Technology Watch Centre (CVT)
Short Term Patent*
Technology and science parks – Incubators
Science festival
Active participation of novice researchers in scientific conf.
CEDIES (Centre of documentation and Higher Education Info)
Cluster programme (Surfmat, InfoCom, Aerospace)
E-Luxembourg
MA1: Various measures for promoting R&D
MA2: Active participation of novice researchers in conferences
MA3:Organisation of scientific conferences in Luxembourg
MA4: Scientific publications
Supporting measures
PROVIE
TRASU
SECAL
VIVRE
INTER
SECOM
NANO
EAU
BIOSAN
ESA participation
Incentive thematic measures
Preparation of EU research projects
Financial contribution to the national plan in the field of aeronautics and space
Innovation loans
Financial contribution to researchers mobility
International mobility of researcher
R&D Incentive SchemeResearch and development incentive scheme of the Ministry of Small and Medium-sized Businesses, Tourism and HousingResearch and learning grant (BFR)
Incentive non thematic measures
Financial support via Titre I of the 1987 Law (CRP Henri Tudor, CRP Gabriel Lipmann, CRP Santé, University, CVCE)
Direct financial measures
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Top issues raised in the online questionnaire
Strategy development: “Luxembourg needs to commit to a national R&D policy: public
and private stakeholders have to be integrated and committed to the same overall targets; national cooperation at all levels is important for the overall success of R&D activities.”
Criteria for selection of R&D fields: “I think Luxembourg should not try to win any 'Nobel Prizes' by
doing research in novel and 'hip' areas, but should focus on essential research which will help the country's welfare and economy in the short and long run.”
Research system parameters: “The focus is in my feeling too much on applied research.
Applied research of tomorrow was always and will always be the fundamental research of today. So fundamental research has to be made to assure a future applied research.”
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Top issues…continued
Research culture: “Encourage exposure to international research community by
facilitating international collaborative projects. Encourage (national) visibility of the research activities in the different projects (FNR has a role as an information dissemination platform).”
Funding process: “Continuously monitor scientific quality and productivity. Best way is
via peer review (including site visits) by outside experts. Regularly demand accountability from researchers and administrators to ensure that public funds are well spent. Support what works, abolish what doesn’t.”
Human resource development: “It is important to create a critical mass of experienced researchers
and infrastructure in Luxembourg to attract scientists from abroad.”
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Rationale for priorities
Most countries are prioritising research domains in their public
research strategies
Growing use of foresight as a mechanism to achieve this
prioritisation
Strong and often competing evidence needs to be assessed
when undertaking prioritisation
You are here today to consider this evidence and contribute You are here today to consider this evidence and contribute towards prioritising public research funding in Luxembourgtowards prioritising public research funding in Luxembourg
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What type of research priority?
Thematic field Research area Research domain
Research axis
Environmental sciences
Global change and ecosystem
Water management
Drinking water
Biomedical sciences
Diseases Cardiovascular diseases
Metabolism and the Cv system
ICT Infrastructure Telecoms
Physical sciences and engineering
Knowledge based multifunctional materials
Housing and civil engineering
Energy efficient buildings
Social & human sciences
Economy, policies, institutional framework
Economy and finance
Dynamics of financial wealth creation
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Trends at the international level : 54 emerging domains
Identified from: Foresight projects conducted by the European Commission Research priorities identified from 12 comparator countries FNR 2005 call for proposals Senior researcher interviews in Luxembourg & online questionnaire survey
Social Sciencesand Humanties
Physical Sciencesand Engineering
Information Communication Technologies
Bio-Medical Sciences
Environmental Sciences
High competition
Medium competition
Low competition
Competition level
15
1111
7
10
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How is a domain assessed?
Attractiveness: Societal need Economic need Emerging trend Sustainable development need
Feasibility: Scientific base Economic base Regional partners
Competition intensity: Extent to which the research domain is being prioritised by other
countries. Note, this particular point requires careful consideration, as it is
complicated by the fact that for Luxembourg to reap benefit of prioritising a research domain its scientists will also need to be part of a wider community of scientists where knowledge exchange is important.
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Trends at the international level : 54 emerging domains
Social Sciencesand Humanties
Physical Sciencesand Engineering
Information Communication Technologies
Bio-Medical Sciences
Environmental Sciences
6
2
3
2
0
8
3
2
2
1
3
7
3
7
5
High competition
Medium competition
Low competition
Competition level
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A fiche example
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A focus on the domain analysis table
Analysis Engineering
Priority level (out of 283 respondents) 28/283
Expertise level (average out of 5) 3.26
Attractiveness score (sum of averages) 13.81
Attractiveness level HIGH
Attractiveness consensus
Societal need 2.78
Economic need 4.11
Emerging trend 3.37
Sustainable development need 3.56
Feasibility score (sum of averages) 9.38
Feasibility level HIGH
Feasibility consensus
Scientific base 2.85
Economic need 3.35
Regional partners 3.19
Competition level VERY HIGH
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Attractiveness – Feasibility Matrix : ‘Clustering’
54
53
52
51
50
49
48
47
46
45
44
43
42 41
40
39
38
37
36
35
34
33
32
31
30
29
28
27
26
2524
23
22
21 20
19
18
17
16
15
14
1312
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
MEDIUM HIGH VERY HIGH
ME
DIU
MH
IGH
VE
RY
HIG
H
Attractiveness
fea
sib
ility
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4 Types of Domains
Type 1
Very high attractiveness and high feasibility (3)
High attractiveness and high feasibility / Very high attractiveness and medium feasibility (30)
High attractiveness and medium feasibility / medium attractiveness and high feasibility (20)
Medium attractiveness and medium feasibility (1)
Type 2
Type 3
Type 4
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Top 10 Research priorities identified
Source: online questionnaire results
DomainPriority Level % Rank
Water management 29% 1st
Natural environment management 20% 2nd
Nanosciences and nanotechnologies 17% 3rd
Earth Observation 16% 4th
Bio Energies 16% 5th
School, work, qualifications 16% 6th
Biotechnologies 16% 7th
Materials and novel properties 16% 8th
Infectious diseases and immunity 15% 9th
21st century challenges and life-style related diseases 15% 10th
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19CM International
4 common domains amongst top domains selected by public & private sector
Private sector respondents only
Materials and novel properties 1st
Water management 2nd
Nanosciences and nanotechnologies 3rd
Engineering 3rd
Natural environment management 4th
Sustainable production and products 5th
Sustainable transports and logistics 6th
Earth Observation 7th
Language diversity and linguistic competences 7th
Social integration and social exclusion 8th
Telecommunications 8th
Culture, history, identity 8th
Demography, childhood, youth and intergenerational relations 8th
Public sector respondents only
Water management 1st
Natural environment management 2nd
School, work, qualifications 3rd
Biotechnologies 4th
Bio Energies 5th
Infectious diseases and immunity 5th
21st century challenges and life-style related diseases 5th
Earth Observation 6th
Nanosciences and nanotechnologies 7th
Biodiversity, conservation and GMOs 7th
Health and Environment 7th
Photovoltaic solar energy 7th
Source: online questionnaire results
Note: coloured circles refer to competition level from other countries – e.g. red = high, amber = medium, and green = low
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Variable competition level for the 54 domains
Source: online questionnaire results
Low Medium High
T1 School, work, qualifications Welfare state
21st century challenges and life-style-related diseases
T2
Cardiovascular diseases Agriculture Multimedia Software Modelling and simulation technology Business and information technology Demography Language diversity and competencies Social integration and exclusion Cognition and learning Management, business studies & innovation
Water management Oncology Biochemistry and cell biology Food and human nutrition Materials with novel properties Economy and finance
Ecotechnologies Bioenergies Hydrogen as a fuel source Natural environment management Climatology Telecommunication Interactive computing technologies Nanotechnologies Engineering Business opportunities from space Culture, history, identity
T3
Sustainable production and products Sustainable transports and logistics Implants, transplants and organ regeneration Substance use and addictions Animal sciences Computational science and engineering Miniaturising electronicsArtificial intelligence Supramolecular functional materials Industrial design technology Earth observation
Biodiversity, conservation and GMOs Health and the environment Technologies for health Housing, civil and urban engineering
Photovoltaic solar energy Neurosciences, neurological and mental diseases Rare diseases, handicaps, regenerative medicine Biotechnologies
T4 Intensive grid calculation and calculation grid
Competition level
Typ
olo
gy
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Key emerging issues
The Luxembourg research landscape has evolved at a rapid rate
Stakeholders agree that now is the time to introduce a greater strategic focus to public research funding
Prioritisation of research domains is needed but is difficult There is a need to match views from a diverse range of
stakeholders (public and private sectors) There are many research domain ‘niches’ where competition
appears to be lower – although this issue needs to be treated carefully when prioritising
The results suggest some emerging domains with strong assessments
They also indicate some pessimism regarding feasibility of many domains – more than half the domains are of ‘medium feasibility’
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Strategy option 1: Build critical mass to develop the business base
Move away from specialisation in the context of the knowledge economy Develop research activities that have a clear potential for
strengthening existing and developing new economic clusters in the medium to long term
Focused strategy with priority research domains selected because of their business development potential
Economic attractiveness is a key ‘assessment’ issue and feasible domains are obviously preferable Highly attractive and currently less feasible domains will also be
considered as future success may well depend on developing entirely new specialisms in Luxembourg in both the scientific and economic domain.
80% of the budget will be focused on the priorities, 20% of the budget for other innovative research projects outside the domain priorities
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Strategy option 2: Scientific excellence strategy
Develop high level research activities Which have the greatest potential to firmly establish Luxembourg on the
international science map and ensure the country partakes in ground-breaking new developments
With the capacity to transform this knowledge into innovation Focused strategy with priority domains selected because of their
scientific potential Domains assessed as highly attractive with high scientific potential should
be selected - also taking into account what the expected long-term economic impact of these domains is likely to be.
Two or three domains only will be selected. Complementary domains that would have a positive impact on the development of these few priorities will also be selected
The major share of the budget (80%) will be focused on the priorities with the remaining (20%) devoted to other scientifically excellent research projects outside the domain priorities
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Strategy option 3: Differentiation strategy
Focus resources on domains with relatively low competition Luxembourg’s relative resources are too limited to compete in any
significant way in most domains. The research strategy will build on Luxembourg’s
particular strengths and competencies in current, potential and emerging sectors Domains with both scientific and economic potential are selected
Domains assessed as having good attractiveness and feasibility assessment will be preferred In particular, feasible or strategically important domains are
preferable - such as domains that have either a scientific base, economic base or regional partners, or have been identified in national policy statements as priorities
All budget should be devoted to these priorities
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Strategy option 4: Sustain diversity in Luxembourg
Diversity is an opportunity to spread risk and avoid choosing a focused approach too soon. Managing a larger portfolio of research domains will provide the
opportunity to counterbalance potential failures in some domains with success stories in others. Over time this will guide the way to the development of a few clusters with a positive socio-economic impact
The key issue is to select priorities among domains with both scientific and economic potential
Research teams are invited to select one or two domain priorities and even specific research axes in order to nevertheless concentrate their efforts and achieve critical mass
Budget will need to be spread, and should support international collaboration and in particular to use the Grande Region potential
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Strategy option 5: Research for sustainability
Focus research activities on the development of methods, technologies, and practices that are required to shift behaviours and consumption patterns in a sustainable direction
A mix of domains with combined business potential as well as an environmental and social impact will be selected
Higher levels of convergence (the NBIC convergence: Nano, Bio, Info, Cogno) offer the greatest potential to substantially advance human capabilities and societal functions towards sustainable development
FNR’s role is to use programme development to strike a balance between research aiming at scientific excellence in NBIC interfaces and the continued development of technological capacity and knowledge resources of Luxembourg research teams for the benefit of the business community
80, rue Galliéni – 92773 Boulogne-Billancourt cedex – Tél : 01 47 12 53 00 – www.cm-intl.com
Thank you