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  • 8/3/2019 FM11 Ch 02 Show

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    2-1

    Future value

    Present value

    Rates of return

    Amortization

    Chapter 2Time Value of Money

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    2-2

    Time lines show timing of cash flows.

    CF0 CF1 CF3CF2

    0 1 2 3i%

    Tick marks at ends of periods, so Time 0is today; Time 1 is the end of Period 1;or the beginning of Period 2.

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    Time line for a $100 lump sum due at

    the end of Year 2.

    100

    0 1 2 Yeari%

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    Time line for an ordinary annuity of

    $100 for 3 years.

    100 100100

    0 1 2 3i%

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    Time line for uneven CFs: -$50 at t = 0

    and $100, $75, and $50 at the end ofYears 1 through 3.

    100 5075

    0 1 2 3i%

    -50

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    Whats the FV of an initial $100 after 3

    years if i = 10%?

    FV = ?

    0 1 2 3

    10%

    Finding FVs (moving to the righton a time line) is called compounding.

    100

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    After 1 year:

    FV1 = PV + INT1 = PV + PV (i)= PV(1 + i)= $100(1.10)

    = $110.00.After 2 years:

    FV2 = FV1(1+i) = PV(1 + i)(1+i)

    = PV(1+i)2

    = $100(1.10)2= $121.00.

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    After 3 years:

    FV3 = FV2(1+i)=PV(1 + i)2(1+i)

    = PV(1+i)3

    = $100(1.10)3

    = $133.10.

    In general,

    FVn = PV(1 + i)n.

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    Three Ways to Find FVs

    Solve the equation with a regularcalculator.

    Use a financial calculator.

    Use a spreadsheet.

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    Financial calculator: HP10BII

    Adjust display brightness: hold downON and push + or -.

    Set number of decimal places todisplay: Orange Shift key, then DISPkey (in orange), then desired decimalplaces (e.g., 3).

    To temporarily show all digits, hitOrange Shift key, then DISP, then =

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    HP10BII (Continued)

    To permantly show all digits, hitORANGE shift, then DISP, then .(period key)

    Set decimal mode: Hit ORANGE shift,then ./, key. Note: many non-UScountries reverse the US use of

    decimals and commas when writing anumber.

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    HP10BII: Set Time Value Parameters

    To set END (for cash flows occuringat the end of the year), hit ORANGEshift key, then BEG/END.

    To set 1 payment per period, hit 1,then ORANGE shift key, then P/YR

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    Financial calculators solve thisequation:

    There are 4 variables. If 3 areknown, the calculator will solvefor the 4th.

    .0ni1PVnFV

    Financial Calculator Solution

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    3 10 -100 0

    N I/YR PV PMT FV133.10

    Heres the setup to find FV:

    Clearing automatically sets everythingto 0, but for safety enter PMT = 0.

    Set: P/YR = 1, END.

    INPUTS

    OUTPUT

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    Spreadsheet Solution

    Use the FV function: see spreadsheetin Ch 02 Mini Case.xls.

    = FV(Rate, Nper, Pmt, PV)

    = FV(0.10, 3, 0, -100) = 133.10

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    10%

    Whats the PV of $100 due in 3 years if

    i = 10%?

    Finding PVs is discounting, and its

    the reverse of compounding.

    100

    0 1 2 3

    PV = ?

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    Solve FVn

    = PV(1 + i )n for PV:

    PV = FV1+ i = FV 11+ in n nn

    PV = $100 11.10= $100 0.7513 = $75.13. 3

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    Financial Calculator Solution

    3 10 0 100

    N I/YR PV PMT FV-75.13

    Either PV or FV must be negative. HerePV = -75.13. Put in $75.13 today, takeout $100 after 3 years.

    INPUTS

    OUTPUT

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    Spreadsheet Solution

    Use the PV function: see spreadsheet.

    = PV(Rate, Nper, Pmt, FV)

    = PV(0.10, 3, 0, 100) = -75.13

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    Finding the Time to Double

    20%

    2

    0 1 2 ?

    -1 FV = PV(1 + i)n$2 = $1(1 + 0.20)n

    (1.2)n = $2/$1 = 2nLN(1.2) = LN(2)

    n = LN(2)/LN(1.2)n = 0.693/0.182 = 3.8.

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    20 -1 0 2

    N I/YR PV PMT FV3.8

    INPUTS

    OUTPUT

    Financial Calculator

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    Spreadsheet Solution

    Use the NPER function: seespreadsheet.

    = NPER(Rate, Pmt, PV, FV)

    = NPER(0.10, 0, -1, 2) = 3.8

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    Finding the Interest Rate

    ?%

    2

    0 1 2 3

    -1 FV = PV(1 + i)n$2 = $1(1 + i)3

    (2)(1/3) = (1 + i)1.2599 = (1 + i)

    i = 0.2599 = 25.99%.

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    3 -1 0 2

    N I/YR PV PMT FV25.99

    INPUTS

    OUTPUT

    Financial Calculator

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    Spreadsheet Solution

    Use the RATE function:

    = RATE(Nper, Pmt, PV, FV)

    = RATE(3, 0, -1, 2) = 0.2599

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    Ordinary Annuity

    PMT PMTPMT

    0 1 2 3

    i%

    PMT PMT

    0 1 2 3i%

    PMT

    Annuity Due

    Whats the difference between an

    ordinary annuity and an annuity due?

    PV FV

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    Whats the FV of a 3-year ordinary

    annuity of $100 at 10%?

    100 100100

    0 1 2 310%

    110

    121FV = 331

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    FV Annuity Formula

    The future value of an annuity with nperiods and an interest rate of i canbe found with the following formula:

    .33110.

    100

    0.10

    1)0(1

    i

    1i)(1PMT

    3

    n

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    Financial calculators solve thisequation:

    There are 5 variables. If 4 areknown, the calculator will solvefor the 5th.

    .0i

    1ni)(1PMTni1PVnFV

    Financial Calculator Formula

    for Annuities

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    3 10 0 -100

    331.00

    N I/YR PV PMT FV

    Financial Calculator Solution

    Have payments but no lump sum PV,so enter 0 for present value.

    INPUTS

    OUTPUT

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    Spreadsheet Solution

    Use the FV function: see spreadsheet.

    = FV(Rate, Nper, Pmt, Pv)

    = FV(0.10, 3, -100, 0) = 331.00

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    Whats the PV of this ordinary annuity?

    100 100100

    0 1 2 310%

    90.91

    82.6475.13

    248.69 = PV

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    PV Annuity Formula

    The present value of an annuity with nperiods and an interest rate of i canbe found with the following formula:

    69.24810.

    100

    0.10

    )0(1

    11-

    i

    i)(1

    11-

    PMT

    3

    n

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    2-34

    Have payments but no lump sum FV,so enter 0 for future value.

    3 10 100 0N I/YR PV PMT FV

    -248.69

    INPUTS

    OUTPUT

    Financial Calculator Solution

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    Spreadsheet Solution

    Use the PV function: see spreadsheet.

    = PV(Rate, Nper, Pmt, Fv)

    = PV(0.10, 3, 100, 0) = -248.69

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    Find the FV and PV if the

    annuity were an annuity due.

    100 100

    0 1 2 310%

    100

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    PV and FV of Annuity Due

    vs. Ordinary Annuity

    PV of annuity due:

    = (PV of ordinary annuity) (1+i)

    = (248.69) (1+ 0.10) = 273.56

    FV of annuity due:

    = (FV of ordinary annuity) (1+i)

    = (331.00) (1+ 0.10) = 364.1

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    3 10 100 0

    -273.55

    N I/YR PV PMT FV

    Switch from End to Begin.Then enter variables to find PVA

    3=

    $273.55.

    Then enter PV = 0 and press FV to findFV = $364.10.

    INPUTS

    OUTPUT

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    Excel Function for Annuities Due

    Change the formula to:

    =PV(10%,3,-100,0,1)

    The fourth term, 0, tells the functionthere are no other cash flows. Thefifth term tells the function that it is an

    annuity due. A similar function givesthe future value of an annuity due:

    =FV(10%,3,-100,0,1)

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    2-40

    What is the PV of this uneven cash

    flow stream?

    0

    100

    1

    300

    2

    300

    310%

    -50

    4

    90.91

    247.93

    225.39-34.15

    530.08 = PV

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    Financial calculator: HP10BII

    Clear all: Orange Shift key, then C Allkey (in orange).

    Enter number, then hit the CFj key.

    Repeat for all cash flows, in order.

    To find NPV: Enter interest rate (I/YR).

    Then Orange Shift key, then NPV key(in orange).

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    Financial calculator: HP10BII (more)

    To see current cash flow in list, hitRCL CFj CFj

    To see previous CF, hit RCL CFj

    To see subseqent CF, hit RCL CFj +

    To see CF 0-9, hit RCL CFj 1 (to see

    CF 1). To see CF 10-14, hit RCL CFj .(period) 1 (to see CF 11).

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    Input in CFLO register:

    CF0 = 0

    CF1 = 100

    CF2 = 300

    CF3 = 300

    CF4

    = -50

    Enter I = 10%, then press NPV buttonto get NPV = 530.09. (Here NPV = PV.)

    2 44

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    Spreadsheet Solution

    Excel Formula in cell A3:

    =NPV(10%,B2:E2)

    A B C D E

    1 0 1 2 3 42 100 300 300 -50

    3 530.09

    2 45

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    Nominal rate (iNom)

    Stated in contracts, and quoted by banksand brokers.

    Not used in calculations or shown on timelines

    Periods per year (m) must be given.

    Examples:

    8%; Quarterly

    8%, Daily interest (365 days)

    2 46

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    Periodic rate (iPer )

    iPer = iNom/m, where m is number ofcompounding periods per year. m = 4 forquarterly, 12 for monthly, and 360 or 365

    for daily compounding. Used in calculations, shown on time lines.

    Examples:

    8% quarterly: iPer = 8%/4 = 2%.8% daily (365): iPer = 8%/365 =

    0.021918%.

    2 47

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    Will the FV of a lump sum be larger or

    smaller if we compound more often,holding the stated I% constant? Why?

    LARGER! If compounding is morefrequent than once a year--forexample, semiannually, quarterly,

    or daily--interest is earned on interestmore often.

    2 48

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    FV Formula with Different CompoundingPeriods (e.g., $100 at a 12% nominal rate with

    semiannual compounding for 5 years)

    = $100(1.06)10 = $179.08.

    FV = PV 1 .+i

    m

    nNom

    mn

    FV = $100 1 +0.12

    25S

    2x5

    2 49

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    FV of $100 at a 12% nominal rate for 5years with different compounding

    FV(Annual)= $100(1.12)5 = $176.23.

    FV(Semiannual)= $100(1.06)10=$179.08.

    FV(Quarterly)= $100(1.03)20 = $180.61.

    FV(Monthly)= $100(1.01)60 = $181.67.

    FV(Daily) = $100(1+(0.12/365))(5x365)

    = $182.19.

    2 50

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    Effective Annual Rate (EAR = EFF%)

    The EAR is the annual rate which causes PVto grow to the same FV as under multi-periodcompounding Example: Invest $1 for oneyear at 12%, semiannual:

    FV = PV(1 + iNom/m)m

    FV = $1 (1.06)2 = 1.1236.

    EFF% = 12.36%, because $1 invested for one

    year at 12% semiannual compounding wouldgrow to the same value as $1 invested for oneyear at 12.36% annual compounding.

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    An investment with monthlypayments is different from onewith quarterly payments. Must

    put on EFF% basis to comparerates of return. Use EFF% onlyfor comparisons.

    Banks say interest paid daily.Same as compounded daily.

    2 52

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    How do we find EFF% for a nominal

    rate of 12%, compoundedsemiannually?

    EFF% = - 1(1 + )iNommm

    = - 1.0(1 + )0.122

    2

    = (1.06)2

    - 1.0= 0.1236 = 12.36%.

    2 53

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    Finding EFF with HP10BII

    Type in nominal rate, then Orange Shiftkey, then NOM% key (in orange).

    Type in number of periods, then Orange

    Shift key, then P/YR key (in orange).

    To find effective rate, hit Orange Shiftkey, then EFF% key (in orange).

    2 54

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    EAR (or EFF%) for a Nominal Rate of

    of 12%

    EARAnnual = 12%.

    EARQ = (1 + 0.12/4)4 - 1 = 12.55%.

    EARM = (1 + 0.12/12)12 - 1 = 12.68%.

    EARD(365) = (1 + 0.12/365)365 - 1 = 12.75%.

    2 55

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    Can the effective rate ever be equal to

    the nominal rate?

    Yes, but only if annual compoundingis used, i.e., if m = 1.

    If m > 1, EFF% will always be greater

    than the nominal rate.

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    When is each rate used?

    iNom: Written into contracts, quoted

    by banks and brokers. Notused in calculations or shownon time lines.

    2 57

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    iPer: Used in calculations, shown ontime lines.

    If iNom has annual compounding,then iPer = iNom/1 = iNom.

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    (Used for calculations if and only ifdealing with annuities wherepayments dont match interestcompounding periods.)

    EAR = EFF%: Used to comparereturns on investmentswith different payments

    per year.

    2-59

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    2-59

    Amortization

    Construct an amortization schedule

    for a $1,000, 10% annual rate loanwith 3 equal payments.

    2-60

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    Step 1: Find the required payments.

    PMT PMTPMT

    0 1 2 310%

    -1,000

    3 10 -1000 0INPUTS

    OUTPUTN I/YR PV FVPMT

    402.11

    2-61

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    Step 2: Find interest charge for Year 1.

    INTt = Beg balt (i)INT1 = $1,000(0.10) = $100.

    Step 3: Find repayment of principal inYear 1.

    Repmt = PMT - INT= $402.11 - $100= $302.11.

    2-62

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    Step 4: Find ending balance after

    Year 1.

    End bal = Beg bal - Repmt

    = $1,000 - $302.11 = $697.89.

    Repeat these steps for Years 2 and 3to complete the amortization table.

    2-63

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    Interest declines. Tax implications.

    BEG PRIN ENDYR BAL PMT INT PMT BAL

    1 $1,000 $402 $100 $302 $698

    2 698 402 70 332 3663 366 402 37 366 0

    TOT 1,206.34 206.34 1,000

    2-64

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    $

    0 1 2 3

    402.11Interest

    302.11

    Level payments. Interest declines becauseoutstanding balance declines. Lender earns10% on loan outstanding, which is falling.

    Principal Payments

    2-65

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    Amortization tables are widelyused--for home mortgages, autoloans, business loans, retirement

    plans, and so on. They are veryimportant!

    Financial calculators (and

    spreadsheets) are great forsetting up amortization tables.

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    On January 1 you deposit $100 in anaccount that pays a nominal interestrate of 11.33463%, with daily

    compounding (365 days).How much will you have on October1, or after 9 months (273 days)?(Days given.)

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    iPer = 11.33463%/365

    = 0.031054% per day.

    FV=?

    0 1 2 273

    0.031054%

    -100

    Note: % in calculator, decimal in equation.

    FV = $100 1.00031054= $100 1.08846 = $108.85.273273

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    273 -100 0

    108.85

    INPUTS

    OUTPUT

    N I/YR PV FVPMT

    iPer = iNom/m

    = 11.33463/365= 0.031054% per day.

    Enter i in one step.Leave data in calculator.

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    69

    Whats the value at the end of Year 3 of

    the following CF stream if the quotedinterest rate is 10%, compoundedsemiannually?

    0 1

    100

    2 35%

    4 5 6 6-mos.periods

    100 100

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    Payments occur annually, butcompounding occurs each 6months.

    So we cant use normal annuityvaluation techniques.

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    1st Method: Compound Each CF

    0 1

    100

    2 35%

    4 5 6

    100 100.00110.25121.55331.80

    FVA3 = $100(1.05)4 + $100(1.05)2 + $100

    = $331.80.

    2-72

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    Could you find the FV with afinancial calculator?

    Yes, by following these steps:

    a. Find the EAR for the quoted rate:

    2nd Method: Treat as an Annuity

    EAR = (1 + ) - 1 = 10.25%.0.1022

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    3 10.25 0 -100INPUTS

    OUTPUT

    N I/YR PV FVPMT

    331.80

    b. Use EAR = 10.25% as the annual ratein your calculator:

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    Whats the PV of this stream?

    0

    100

    15%

    2 3

    100 100

    90.70

    82.2774.62247.59

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    You are offered a note which pays$1,000 in 15 months (or 456 days)for $850. You have $850 in a bankwhich pays a 6.76649% nominal rate,

    with 365 daily compounding, whichis a daily rate of 0.018538% and anEAR of 7.0%. You plan to leave themoney in the bank if you dont buy

    the note. The note is riskless.Should you buy it?

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    3 Ways to Solve:

    1. Greatest future wealth: FV2. Greatest wealth today: PV3. Highest rate of return: Highest EFF%

    iPer = 0.018538% per day.

    1,000

    0 365 456 days

    -850

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    1. Greatest Future Wealth

    Find FV of $850 left in bank for15 months and compare withnotes FV = $1,000.

    FVBank = $850(1.00018538)456

    = $924.97 in bank.

    Buy the note: $1,000 > $924.97.

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    456 -850 0

    924.97

    INPUTS

    OUTPUT

    N I/YR PV FVPMT

    Calculator Solution to FV:

    iPer = iNom/m= 6.76649%/365= 0.018538% per day.

    Enter iPer in one step.

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    2. Greatest Present Wealth

    Find PV of note, and comparewith its $850 cost:

    PV = $1,000/(1.00018538)456= $918.95.

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    456 .018538 0 1000

    -918.95

    INPUTS

    OUTPUT

    N I/YR PV FVPMT

    6.76649/365 =

    PV of note is greater than its $850cost, so buy the note. Raises yourwealth.

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    Find the EFF% on note andcompare with 7.0% bank pays,which is your opportunity cost of

    capital:

    FVn = PV(1 + i)n

    $1,000 = $850(1 + i)456

    Now we must solve for i.

    3. Rate of Return

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    456 -850 0 1000

    0.035646%per day

    INPUTS

    OUTPUT

    N I/YR PV FVPMT

    Convert % to decimal:

    Decimal = 0.035646/100 = 0.00035646.

    EAR = EFF% = (1.00035646)365 - 1= 13.89%.

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    Using interest conversion:

    P/YR = 365NOM% = 0.035646(365) = 13.01

    EFF% = 13.89

    Since 13.89% > 7.0% opportunity cost,buy the note.