FM II _ Project Identification

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    Financial Management II

    Investment (Project) Identification &

    Feasibility Analysis

    Lokesh Jain, CFPCM

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    Project Identification

    A project is defined as a non-routine-repetitive one-

    off undertaking normally with discrete time, financial

    and technical performance goals.

    A project can be considered to be any series ofactivities and tasks that:

    have a specific objective to be completed within certain

    specifications;

    have defined start and end dates;

    have funding limits (if applicable); and

    consume resources (i.e. money, time, equipment).

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    Project Identification

    A project is for setting up a plant and when the plant

    becomes operational, the project is treated as

    completed. A project is neither a physical objective

    nor is it the end-result. It has something to do withthe activities that go on, which must be the same,

    whether it is to build a nuclear power plant or

    launching a new detergent

    A project first emerges as a concept and follows

    various stages, till it gets commissioned.

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    Project Learning Component

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    Types of Projects

    a) New projects

    b) Expansion projects

    c) Modernization projects

    d) Diversification projects

    e) Other projects

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    PROJECT LIFE CYCLE

    a) Concept or initialization phase

    b) Project definition phase

    c) Growth or organization phase

    d) Implementation phase

    e) Project shutdown or cleanup phase

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    Identification Of Project Opportunities

    Product / service

    Technology

    Equipment

    Scale of production

    Market

    Time phasing

    Location

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    PROJECT OBJECTIVES

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    PROJECT CLASSIFICATION

    Projects of different sectors

    Industrial and Non-Industrial Projects

    Projects belonging to core sector

    Balancing

    Integrating

    Modernization

    Expansion

    Diversification

    Rehabilitation/reconstruction

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    FEASIBILITY STUDIES

    To implement any project an entrepreneur needs tocarry out different types of feasibility studies. These

    feasibility studies evaluate all the risks and returns

    and try to balance them and help the entrepreneurto finalize his plans.

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    TYPES OFFEASIBILITY STUDIES

    Managerial Feasibility

    Economic Feasibility

    Commercial Feasibility

    Financial Feasibility

    Technical Feasibility

    Social Feasibility

    Market Feasibility

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    FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

    A wide range of criteria are available to judge theworthiness of investment projects. They fall into two

    broad categories:

    Discounting criteria

    1. Net Present value

    2. Benefit cost ratio

    3.Internal rate of return Non-discounting criteria

    1. Payback period

    2. Accounting rate of return.

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    NET PRESENT VALUE

    The NPV of a project is the sum of the present values of all cashflows-positive as well as negative that are expected to occur

    over the life of the project

    NPV = CFt

    t=0 (1+k) t

    where,

    CFt = cash flow at the end of the year t

    n = life of the project

    r = discount rate

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    RULES FOR CONSIDERATION OF PROJECT

    The proposal for investment will be acceptedif the NPV is positive, and rejected if the

    NPV is negative.

    If the NPV is zero then the project is in anindifferent position.

    If a choice has to be made between two

    projects, the project with higher NPV will be

    accepted for investment.

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    BENEFIT COST RATIO

    BCR = PVB/I

    Where PVB = Present value of benefits

    I = Initial Investment

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    RULES FOR CONSIDERATION OF PROJECT

    If BCR =1, the decision will be indifferent If BCR > 1, The Investment decision can be

    accepter

    If BCR < 1, The Investment decision should berejected

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    INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR)

    IRR of a project is the discountrate whichmakes its NPV = 0.

    In the NPV calculation we assume that the

    discount rate is known and determine the

    NPV.

    In IRR Calculation we set the NPV= 0 and

    determine the discount rate that satisfies

    this condition

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    RULES FOR CONSIDERATION OF PROJECT

    If IRR > 1 accept the investment decision If IRR < 1, reject the investment decision

    BENEFITS

    IRR is closely related to NPV.

    This method is easy to understand and

    interpret.

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    MODIFIED INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN

    MIRRHere,

    PV OF CASH OUTFLOW

    = Terminal value of cash inflow

    ________________________

    (1 + MIRR)

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    PAY BACK METHOD

    This method is the length of time required torecover the initial cash outlay on the project.

    RULES FOR CONSIDERATION OF PROJECT

    The shorter the pay back period, the project will

    be more desirable for consideration

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    ACCOUNTING RATE OF RETURN- (ARR)

    ARR = PROFIT AFTER TAX

    ___________________

    BOOK VALUE OF INVESTMENT

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    SUITABILITY

    For small sized projects, it is best to use Pay back andARR method and for larger projects, IRR method is

    suitable.

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    SENSETIVITY ANALYSIS

    A means of identifying the project variables which,when varied, have the greatest effect on projectacceptability.

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    Thank You