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THE JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS 0022-1821 S2.00 Volume XXXVIII Decem ber 19 89 N o . 2 FIRMS AS PORTFOLIOS: A MEAN-VARIANCE ANALYSIS OF UNQUOTED UK COMPANIES* DONALD A. HAY AND HELEN LOURI This paper adopts a mean-variance portfolio framework to model the balance sheet behaviour of unquoted companies with respect to choice items such as fixed investment, investment in stocks, trade credit, and borrowing. Econometric results for a sample of 39 UK firms are consistent with many of the restrictions implied by portfolio theory, in particular that these balance sheet items are jointly determined. L INTRODUCTION THE IDEA motivating the research reported in this paper is that unquoted firms may usefully be analysed as portfolios of assets and liabilities. The assets are the physical capital, stocics and woric in progress, net trade credit, and working capital of the firm; the main liabilities are loans. The "size" of the portfolio, and hence the size of the firm, is constrained by the availability of shareholder funds, both share issues and retained profits. This is one reason for the focus on unquoted firms: in principle, quoted firms can resort to new issues to increase their capital base. Another distinction between quoted and unquoted firms makes the choice of unquoted firms for analysis partictilarly significant. In unquoted firms the owners' eqtiity in the firm is likely to be a major portion of their total wealth. Hence their personal preferences and risk aversion will be major infiuences on the overall shape and riskiness of the balance sheet. The influence will be straightforward in the case where the owners also work in the firm and draw a salary as executive directors or managers. The firm will represent a substantial proportion not only of non-human wealth, but also of their human wealth, much of which is specific to the firm. By contrast, the shareholders in a quoted firm are likely to hold equity as part of a diversified portfolio of wealth. In a capital asset pricing model framework they will be interested in the covariance risk of the holding, and be much less concerned about the risk profile of a single firm's balance sheet. This contrast may be weakened by the fact that the managers of a quoted firm are in a situation comparable to that of owner-managers of unquoted firms in respect of * We are grateful to S . Holder, w ho assisted in the compilatioo of the company data, to J. Zour

Firms as Portfolios

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