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Fine tuning of Radar Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments Deviations Adjustments Angel Luque, Alberto Martín, Romualdo Angel Luque, Alberto Martín, Romualdo Romero and Sergio Alonso Romero and Sergio Alonso Balearic Islands University, Spain Balearic Islands University, Spain [email protected] [email protected] This presentation can be downloaded from: This presentation can be downloaded from: ftp:// ftp:// eady.uib.es eady.uib.es /pub/Angel/ /pub/Angel/

Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments

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Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments. Angel Luque, Alberto Martín, Romualdo Romero and Sergio Alonso Balearic Islands University, Spain [email protected] This presentation can be downloaded from: ftp://eady.uib.es/pub/Angel/. Introduction. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments

Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Estimates based on Bias and

Standard Deviations Standard Deviations AdjustmentsAdjustments

Angel Luque, Alberto Martín, Romualdo Romero Angel Luque, Alberto Martín, Romualdo Romero and Sergio Alonsoand Sergio Alonso

Balearic Islands University, SpainBalearic Islands University, [email protected]@uib.esThis presentation can be downloaded from: This presentation can be downloaded from: ftp://ftp://eady.uib.eseady.uib.es/pub/Angel//pub/Angel/

Page 2: Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments

IntroductionIntroductionWESTERN MEDITERRANEAN REGION

BASINS OF CATALONIA

A detailed synoptic and numerical analysis of this case of study can be found in the article of Martin et al (2006). Authors have deduced that the atmospheric instability over Catalonia was caused by an active cold front.

Page 3: Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments

•Spanish Provinces.

•Catalonian internal basins.

•126 ACA rain gauges and kriging area.

•Barcelona radar spatial coverage.

Page 4: Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments

Table 1. Radar-rain images used for the calibration file generation.

Day Hour (UTC)Number of collocated Z, R points in the domain

Comments

June-10-2000 00:20 5430 Radar-Rain images present

“ 00:50 5430 “

“ 01:20 5430 “

“ 01:50 5430 “

“ 02:20 5430 “

“ 02:50-04:20 0 Radar error

“ 04:50 5430 Radar-Rain images present

“ 05:20 5430 “

38010 Total number of Z, R points in the calibration file

•Radar maximum temporal resolution is 10 minutes.

•ACA maximum temporal resolution is 5 minutes.

Page 5: Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments

CDF(dBZ)

CDF(R)

FR(dBZ)

FR(R)

HMT

DCM

MPS

MPC

HMT

DCMMPS

MPC

HMT

dBZ=10·log Z(mm6/m3)

dBR=10 ·log R(mm/h)

Page 6: Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments

BIAS = 0

SDD

BIAS

CORR

RMS

HMTHMT HMT*HMT*

BIASBIAS 1.811.81 -0.01-0.01

SDDSDD 4.224.22 1.161.16

RMSRMS 12.1112.11 10.1810.18

CORRCORR 0.480.48 0.470.47

PODPOD 0.630.63 0.630.63

FARFAR 0.220.22 0.220.22

CSICSI 0.540.54 0.540.54

FRCFRC 0.780.78 0.780.78

Page 7: Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments

HMTHMT

ZiZi(dBZ)(dBZ) RiRi((mm·hmm·h-1-1))

7.5 7.5 0.2 0.2

13.513.5 1.5 1.5

17.517.5 4.5 4.5

20.5 20.5 7.5 7.5

23.5 23.5 10.5 10.5

26.5 26.5 13.5 13.5

29.5 29.5 19.5 19.5

32.5 32.5 25.5 25.5

35.5 35.5 28.5 28.5

39.5 39.5 37.5 37.5

41.5 41.5 43.5 43.5

44.5 44.5 55.5 55.5

47.5 47.5 64.5 64.5

50.5 50.5 79.5 79.5

54.5 54.5 88.5 88.5

56.5 56.5 88.5 88.5

ACA rain rates versus radar reflectivities and rain curves (Luque et al. 2006)Luque et al. 2006)

R(mm/h) = 0.0485·Z2 – 0.7099·Z +4.8289 r2=0.997

Page 8: Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments

Direct Calibration Method (DCM)

dBZ=9.4200·dBR - 50.8131 A=8.293·10-6, B= 9.42

R(dBZ) = 10 [(dBZ-10·log(A))/(10·B)]

Z= A ·RB dBZ= B·dBR+10·log(A) DZDF (Marshall & Palmer, 1948)

where dBZ=10·log(Z) and dBR=10·log(R)

dBZ y

dBR x

B slope

10·log(A) intercept

Page 9: Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments

10

30

90

270

dBZ=9.4200·dBR - 50.8131 A=8.293·10-6, B= 9.42

R(dBZ) = 10 [(dBZ-10·log(A))/(10·B)]

Page 10: Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments

SDD = 0

(º)

SDD

BIAS

CORR

RMS

c)

BIAS = 0

SDD

BIAS

CORR

RMS

Centre of rotation

DCMDCM DCM*DCM* DCM**DCM**

BIASBIAS -0.63-0.63 -1.09-1.09 0.130.13

SDDSDD -7.15-7.15 -0.20-0.20 3.253.25

RMSRMS 8.438.43 9.949.94 12.1212.12

CORRCORR 0.490.49 0.410.41 0.410.41

PODPOD 1.001.00 0.490.49 0.760.76

FARFAR 0.580.58 0.270.27 0.340.34

CSICSI 0.420.42 0.410.41 0.540.54

FRCFRC 0.420.42 0.790.79 0.740.74

Page 11: Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments

10

30

90

270

dBZ=2.1386·dBR – 4.8268 A=3.0386, B= 2.13869

R(dBZ) = 10 [(dBZ-10·log(A))/(10·B)]

Page 12: Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments

Standard Coefficients (MPS, MPC)

Z= A ·RB dBZ= B·dBR+10·log(A) DZDF (Marshall & Palmer, 1948)

where dBZ=10·log(Z) and dBR=10·log(R)

R(dBZ) = 10 [(dBZ-10·log(A))/(10·B)]

Stratiform coefficients (MPS) A=200, B=1.6

Convective coefficients (MPC) A=800, B=1.6

Figure

Verification of the methods

•Qualitative and numerical intercomparison of 3 hours rainfall accumulations.

•HMT, DCM, MPS and MPC estimations versus the ACA observations

Page 13: Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments

Obs(mm/3h), day 09, 21-24hT

LB

HMT(mm/3h), day 09, 21-24h

DCM(mm/3h), day 09, 21-24h MPS(mm/3h), day 10, 00-03h

MPC(mm/3h), day 10, 00-03h

Results

Page 14: Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments

Obs(mm/3h), day 10, 00-03h

T

LB

HMT(mm/3h), day 10, 00-03h

DCM(mm/3h), day 10, 00-03h MPS(mm/3h), day 09, 21-24h

MPC(mm/3h), day 09, 21-24h

Page 15: Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments

Obs(mm/3h), day 10, 06-09h

T

LB

HMT(mm/3h), day 10, 06-09h

DCM(mm/3h), day 10, 06-09h MPS(mm/3h), day 10, 06-09h

MPC(mm/3h), day 10, 06-09h

Page 16: Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments

OBS HMT DCM MPS MPC Day/period (hours)Size 5430

Mean 5.8 8.2 9.4 2.2 1.0

09/21-24 UTC

SD 10.4 15.3 18.0 5.3 2.2

BIAS 2.5 3.7 -3.5 -4.8

SDD 5.0 7.6 -5.1 -8.2

RMS 8.7 11.5 7.3 8.8

CORR 0.84 0.80 0.75 0.75

Size 5430

Mean 12.8 12.7 13.5 3.1 1.3

10/00-03 UTC

SD 16.5 20.2 23.6 7.1 3.1

BIAS -0.1 0.7 -9.6 -11.5

SDD 3.7 7.1 -9.4 -13.5

RMS 12.0 15.2 12.5 14.5

CORR 0.81 0.77 0.71 0.70

Size 5430

Mean 11.5 12.2 10.2 1.6 0.6

10/06-09 UTC

SD 8.0 14.6 11.2 2.0 0.9

BIAS 0.6 -1.4 -10.0 -10.9

SDD 6.6 3.1 -6.0 -7.2

RMS 11.0 8.0 6.9 7.5

CORR 0.70 0.70 0.64 0.61

Size 10860Mean 8.7 10.2 9.8 1.9 0.8

09/21-24 UTC + 10/06-09 UTC

SD 9.2 15.0 14.6 3.7 1.6BIAS 1.5 1.1 -6.8 -7.9SDD 5.8 5.4 -5.5 -7.6RMS 9.9 9.8 7.1 8.2

CORR 0.77 0.74 0.69 0.67

Page 17: Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments

ConclusionsConclusions

radar and rain gauges can be combined to improve the spatial radar and rain gauges can be combined to improve the spatial distribution of the precipitation field and to gain accuracy in distribution of the precipitation field and to gain accuracy in rainfall amounts within an operational context.rainfall amounts within an operational context.

old radar algorithms not adjusted or corrected for a specific area old radar algorithms not adjusted or corrected for a specific area can produce significant errors in rainfall rates and accumulations. can produce significant errors in rainfall rates and accumulations.

the HMT tuned by the BIAS is the method that provides the best the HMT tuned by the BIAS is the method that provides the best CORR and the MPC method, the worse one. CORR and the MPC method, the worse one.

The DCM is the one that provides the best BIAS and SDD while The DCM is the one that provides the best BIAS and SDD while the MPC is the method with the worst ones.the MPC is the method with the worst ones.

The HMT is an ATI (Area-Time Integral) method and it needs rain The HMT is an ATI (Area-Time Integral) method and it needs rain rate fields well distributed in time and space to be appropriately rate fields well distributed in time and space to be appropriately developed. The DCM curve can be performed with few rain developed. The DCM curve can be performed with few rain gauges that can provide rain rates at high time frequency.gauges that can provide rain rates at high time frequency.

Our results in radar calibration are derived under the Our results in radar calibration are derived under the circumstances of a flood case and should not be applied directly circumstances of a flood case and should not be applied directly to events in other areas and situations.to events in other areas and situations.

Page 18: Fine tuning of Radar Rainfall Estimates based on Bias and Standard Deviations Adjustments

Detailed Paper

Luque A., Martin A., Romero R., and Alonso S., 2006, Luque A., Martin A., Romero R., and Alonso S., 2006, Assessment of Rainfall Estimates Using Standard Z-R Assessment of Rainfall Estimates Using Standard Z-R Relationships and the Histogram Matching Technique Relationships and the Histogram Matching Technique Applied to Radar Data in a flood case in Catalonia. Applied to Radar Data in a flood case in Catalonia. Submitted the 21-Jun-2006 to the Submitted the 21-Jun-2006 to the International Journal of International Journal of Remote SensingRemote Sensing, first version of the work available in , first version of the work available in ftp://eady.uib.es/pub/Angel/ in the in the radar-draft-radar-draft-submited.pdfsubmited.pdf file. file.

A. Luque, A. Martin, R. Romero, S. Alonso A. Luque, A. Martin, R. Romero, S. Alonso Balearic Islands University, SpainBalearic Islands University, Spain

[email protected]@uib.esThis presentation can be downloaded from: This presentation can be downloaded from: ftp://ftp://

eady.uib.eseady.uib.es/pub/Angel//pub/Angel/

Thank youThank you