Financial Statement Analysis Jan

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    B S E T R A I N I N G I N S T I T U T E 1

    Financial Statement Analysis

    MANISH BANSAL

    Jeetay InvestmentsEmail: [email protected]

    Phone: +91 98924 86751

    www.jeetay.com

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    B S E T R A I N I N G I N S T I T U T E 2

    Financial Statements

    Financial Statements are records of allfinancial transactions in a business:

    Income

    Expenses

    Assets

    Liabilities

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    B S E T R A I N I N G I N S T I T U T E 3

    FSA ingredients

    Earnings

    Assets

    Cash flows

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    Financial Statements

    Summary of financial transactions is provided inthree major statements: Income Statement

    Better to call P/L Statement

    Provides picture of business over a period of time Balance Sheet

    Statement of Liabilities (sources of funds) and Assets(application of funds)

    Provides static picture of business at a point in time

    Cash Flow Statement Cash inflows and outflows over a period of time As accounting is on accrual basis and not cash basis, need

    this statement to see the flow of cash Divided into operating, investing and financing cash flows

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    B S E T R A I N I N G I N S T I T U T E 5

    Basic Concepts of Accounting

    Entity Concept Business as an entity

    Going Concern Concept Business as a going concern

    Conservatism Concept Provide for all potential losses but do not

    provide for potential gains

    Dual Aspect Concept - Asset = Equity + Liability

    Accounting Period Concept Accounts for a period

    Accrual Concept Record transaction at occurrence irrespective of

    cash payment/receipt

    Matching Concept Revenues and costs should be recognized in the

    same accounting period

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    Business flow

    Source - Investopedia

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    B S E T R A I N I N G I N S T I T U T E 7

    Understanding financials

    Operating income income from businessoperations

    Other income generally recurring but from sourcesother then business income e.g. from dividend,

    interest, commission, rent etc. Extraordinary items nonrecurring

    income/expenditure. For example, profit from sale ofasset etc.

    Income in the P/L should be net of VAT, ServiceTax, Excise, Sales tax etc..

    Foreign Exchange differences Arising from FXtransactions.

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    Understanding financials

    Expenses Capitalized Means the expenses whichhave been categorized as assets. Capitalization ofan expense as an asset means deferring theexpense recognization.

    Operating profit Profit from operations. It is knownas EBIDTA

    EBIDTA Earning before Interest, Depreciation,Taxes and Amortization. Also called as PBIDTA

    Sales to EBIDTA is an operational journey

    Depreciation Expense the asset over a period oftime.

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    Understanding financials

    Amortization Is another name for Depreciation.Use this term for intangible assets Depreciation.

    Deferred taxes Taxes allowed to be legally

    deferred. Reported net profit Profit as reported in Annual

    Report

    Adjusted net profit Profit adjusted for extraordinary

    items EBIDTA to net profit is a financial journey

    Cash profit Net profit plus non cash expenses

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    B S E T R A I N I N G I N S T I T U T E 10

    Understanding financials

    Appropriations Accounting allocations for variouspurposes. Little/no economic consequences.

    Dividend absolute amount to be shared with

    owners. In % terms of face value per share. Earning per share (EPS) Net profit per share.

    Divide total net profit by no. of outstanding shares.

    EPS diluted EPS adjusted for extended equity on

    account ofFCCBs, Convertible bonds, ESOPs,Warrants etc.

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    Understanding financials

    Retained earnings Net earnings after payingdividend

    Book Value per share Net-worth distributed

    over all shares. It is net-worth per share.

    Net-worth Total owners capital, which is sharecapital plus reserves.

    Share capital Capital contribution by owners. Itis face value of share multiplied by total no. ofoutstanding shares.

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    Understanding financials

    Reserves Reserves created out of retainedprofits, share premium and revaluation ofassets etc.

    Secured loans Loans backed bysecurity/collateral

    Unsecured loans Clean loans without

    security/collateral Gross block Fixed Assets in business

    recorded at their historical acquisition costs.

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    Understanding financials

    Accumulated Depreciation To the extent FixedAssets are expensed over their life of usage.

    Impairment Means damage of asset, physical or

    commercial Net bock Book value of fixed assets. It is gross

    block minus accumulated depreciation.

    Goodwill Sometimes, Fixed Assets will have head

    called goodwill. Differentiate between accounting goodwill and

    economic goodwill

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    B S E T R A I N I N G I N S T I T U T E 14

    Understanding financials

    Capital work in progress Money invested in fixedassets, which have not started being utilized in thebusiness yet.

    Once commercial usage of an asset under capitalwork in progress starts, it shifts from capital work in

    progress to gross block. And, depreciation meterstarts from here.

    Investments Investments in marketable securities

    MFs, Shares, Debentures etc. Current Assets Assets, which are close to cash or

    can be converted in to cash easily.

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    Understanding financials

    Inventories Raw material, work in progress,finished goods etc. This work in progress isdifferent from capital work in progress.

    Debtors Accounts receivable. Where businesshas extended credit.

    Cash and bank balance Amount lying in banksin checking/current account or term deposits

    Loans and advances Business advancesextended to various business partners

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    Understanding financials

    Current liabilities Liabilities falling due soon.

    Provisions Liabilities recognized but not paidout/written off.

    Net current assets Current assets minus currentliabilities

    Contingent liabilities Liabilities not recognized bybusiness. These are off balance sheet items.

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    Understanding financials

    Operating cash flows Cash flows from businessoperations. Incoming cash is positive and outgoingcash is negative.

    Investing cash flows - Cash flows from assets.

    Buying asset is negative cash flow and selling assetis positive cash flow.

    Financing cash flows Cash flows from sources offunds. Borrowing money or raising equity is positivecash flow. Repaying debt or equity is negative cash

    flow. Negative investing cash flows are financed through

    either positive operating cash flows or positivefinancing cash flows.

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    B S E T R A I N I N G I N S T I T U T E 18

    Cash flow statement

    Generating Cash is critical for a firms long term survival.

    P/L and B/S do not focus on cash flows.

    Picture source Investopedia

    Looking at net cash flowscould be deceptive

    One needs to analyzeeach of the cash flowstreams independentlyObjective is to focus onsustainable and recurring

    cash flowsIdentify and adjust fornon recurring /extraordinary items

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    B S E T R A I N I N G I N S T I T U T E 19

    Market terminology

    Market Price

    Market capitalization Price per share multiplied byoutstanding no. of shares

    Price earning ratio Price per share divided byearning per share. Or, market capitalization dividedby net profits.

    Last financial year earning Last ended FY earning

    Trailing earning Latest 4Qs earning

    Forward earning Earnings of coming financialyears.

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    Market terminology

    Price to book value ratio Price per sharedivided by book value per share.

    Dividend yield Last dividend paid divided bymarket price per share

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    Coloring financials

    True and fair viewnot essentially a correct view

    What is critical is consistency and not a specific methodology of

    accounting

    Past financials help you understand revenues/cost dynamics

    and assets/liability dynamics

    Future, anyway, is uncertain

    Work of an analyst starts when work of CA is over

    Management discussion and notes to accounts are more

    important than accounts themselves

    Closely scrutinize off-balance sheet items (financing , liabilities

    guarantees, MTM on outstanding derivatives etc.)

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    B S E T R A I N I N G I N S T I T U T E 22

    Coloring financials

    Accounting future revenues in the previous year Violation of

    matching concept.

    Postponing expenditure Capitalization of expenses like R&D

    expenses, Brand building expenses (Advertisements and

    sales force cost).

    Change in depreciation policy Inflate/deflate P/L.

    Extra provisions in good years and writing them back in

    difficult years.

    Not providing sufficiently for known and contingent liabilities.

    Revaluation of assets to create impression of hefty reserves.

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    B S E T R A I N I N G I N S T I T U T E 23

    Financial analysis

    Profitability Ratios and growth

    Return Ratios

    Solvency Ratios Liquidity Ratios

    Efficiency Ratios

    Valuation Ratios

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    B S E T R A I N I N G I N S T I T U T E 24

    Profitability and growth

    Profitability refers to the margin on per $ ofsales.

    EBIDTA/Operating profit margin

    EBIT margin

    Net profit margin

    Growth means Q to Q orY to Y or CAGRover a period of time.

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    B S E T R A I N I N G I N S T I T U T E 25

    Return

    Return on capital employed EBIT/Capitalemployed in the business

    Return on Equity Net profit/owners capital

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    B S E T R A I N I N G I N S T I T U T E 26

    Solvency

    Financial leverage refers to the use of debtcomponent in Capital Structure

    Leverage is equally important to both lenders

    and owners Important checks are:

    Coverage of debt by equity Debt/Equity

    Coverage of interest by EBIT or EBDIT

    Coverage of debt service by cash profit Coverage of interest and debt service by operating

    cash flow

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    B S E T R A I N I N G I N S T I T U T E 27

    Liquidity

    Liquidity refers to the ability of firm to meetits obligations in short run.

    Does the company have sustainable

    positive operating cash flows? Current Ratio Current Assets/Current Lib.

    Quick Ratio Quick Assets/Current Lib.

    Cash Ratio Cash and cashequivalents/Current liabilities

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    B S E T R A I N I N G I N S T I T U T E 28

    Efficiency

    Working Capital turnover Sales/W.C.

    Debtors turnover Sales/Debtors

    Inventory turnover Cost of goodssold/Inventory

    Reversing turnover nos. would give us w.c.,debtors and inventory days. Lower the better.

    Fixed Assets turnover Sales/F.A.

    Total Assets turnover Sales/T.A.

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    B S E T R A I N I N G I N S T I T U T E 29

    Valuation parameters

    Dividend Yield

    Price to Earning Ratio

    PEG Ratio EV to EBIDTA Ratio

    Price to Book Value Ratio

    Price to Sales Ratio DCF Valuation

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    Important points

    PE for a leveraged firm may be deceptive

    Leverage improves ROE

    Differentiate between RO

    CE and NPM Differentiate between ROCE and ROE

    ROCE and ROE should be closely knit. Anywide variation should trigger investigations.

    EV and not the market capitalization is thetrue value of the firm for private owner.

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    B S E T R A I N I N G I N S T I T U T E 31

    I am not afraid of storms, for I am learninghow to sail my ship

    Louisa May Alcott, American Novelist (1832-1888)

    Become a learning machine

    Charlie Munger

    Concluding remarks

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    Thank youPlease feel free to reach me at

    [email protected]+91 98924 86751