Final Capital Structure in Oil and Gas Sector

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    ABSTRACT

    The term capital structure refers to the percentage of capital (money) at work in a

    business by type. Broadly speaking, there are two forms of capital: equity capital and

    debt capital. Each has its own benefits and drawbacks and a substantial part of wise

    corporate stewardship and management is attempting to find the perfect capital structure

    in terms of risk / reward payoff for shareholders. Oil and Gas industry is a symbol of

    technical marvel by human kind. Being one of the fastest growing sectors in the world its

    dynamic growth phases are explained by nature of competition, product life cycle and

    consumer demand. Today, the global Oil and Gas industry is concerned with consumer

    demands for styling, safety, and comfort; and with labor relations and refinery efficiency.The industry is at the crossroads with global mergers and relocation of production centers

    to emerging developing economies. Due to its deep forward and backward linkages with

    several key segments of the economy, the Oil and Gas industry is having a strong

    multiplier effect on the growth of a country and hence is capable of being the driver of

    economic growth. It plays a major catalytic role in developing transport sector in one

    hand and help industrial sector on the other to grow faster and thereby generate a

    significant employment opportunities. Also as many countries are opening the land

    border for trade and developing international road links, the contribution of Oil and Gas

    sector in increasing exports and imports will be significantly high. As Oil and Gas

    industry is becoming more and more standardized, the level of competition is increasing

    and production base of most of Oil-giant companies are being shifted from the developed

    countries to developing countries to take the advantage of low cost of production.

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    1. INTRODUCTION

    Indian Oil and Gas Sector:

    The Oil and Gas sector is a key player in the global and Indian economy. The global oil

    and gas industry contributes 5 per cent directly to the total refinery employment, 12.9 per

    cent to the total refinery production value and 8.3 per cent to the total industrial

    investment. It also contributes US$560 billion to the public revenue of different

    countries, in terms of taxes on fuel, circulation, sales and registration. The annual

    turnover of the global Oil industry is around US$5.09 trillion, which is equivalent to the

    sixth largest economy in the world. In addition, the Oil industry is linked with several

    other sectors in the economy and hence its indirect contribution is much higher than this.

    All over the world it has been treated as a leading economic sector because of its

    extensive economic linkages. Indias manufacture of 7.9 million s, including 1.3 million

    passenger cars, amounted to 2.4 per cent and 7 per cent, respectively, of global

    production in number. The Oil-components refinery sector is another key player in the

    Indian Oil and Gas industry. Exports from India in this sector rose from US$1.0 billion in

    2009-10 to US$1.8 billion in 2010-11, contributing 1 per cent to the world trade in Oil

    components in current USD. In India, the Oil and Gas industry provides directemployment to about 5 lakh persons. It contributes 4.7 per cent to Indias GDP and 19

    per cent to Indias indirect tax revenue. Till early 1980s, there were very few players in

    the Indian Oil sector, which was suffering from low volumes of production, obsolete and

    substandard technologies. With de-licensing in the 1980s and opening up of this sector to

    FDI in 1993, the sector has grown rapidly due to the entry of global players. A rapidly

    growing middle class, rising per capita incomes and relatively easier availability of

    finance have been driving the demand in India, which in turn, has prompted the

    government to invest at unprecedented levels in roads infrastructure, including projects

    such as Golden Quadrilateral and North-East-South-West Corridor with feeder roads. The

    Reserve Bank of Indias (RBI) Annual Policy Statement documents an annual growth of

    37.9 per cent in credit flow to s industry in 2009. Given that passenger car penetration

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    rate is just about 8.5 s per thousand, which is among the lowest in the world, there is a

    huge potential demand for Oil and Gass in the country.

    Policy Environment and Evolution of Indian Oil Industry:

    The policy framework of Indias Oil and Gas industry and its impact on its growth While

    the ties between bureaucrats and the managers of state-owned enterprises played a

    positive role especially since the late 1980s, ties between politicians and industrialists and

    between politicians and labour leaders have impeded the growth. The first phase of 1940s

    and 1950s was characterized by socialist ideology and vested interests, resulting in

    protection to the domestic Oil industry and entry barriers for foreign firms. There was a

    good relationship between politicians and industrialists in this phase, but bureaucrats

    played little role. Development of ancillaries segment as recommended by the L.K. JhaCommittee report in 1960 was a major event that took place towards the end of this

    phase. During the second phase of rules, regulations and politics, many political

    developments and economic problems affected the Oil industry, especially passenger cars

    segment, in the 1960s and 1970s. The third phase starting in the early 1980s was

    characterized by delicensing, liberalization and opening up of FDI in the Oil sector.

    These policies resulted in the establishment of new LCV manufacturers (for example,

    Swaraj Mazda, DCM Hindustan Petroleum) and passenger car manufacturers.7 All these

    developments led to structural changes in the Indian Oil industry. Pingle argues that state

    intervention and ownership need not imply poor results and performance, as

    demonstrated by Bharat Petroleum Limited (MUL). Further, the non contractual relations

    between bureaucrats and MUL dictated most of the policies in the 1980s, which were

    biased towards passenger cars and MUL in particular. However, DCosta (2002) argues

    that MULs success is not particularly attributable to the support from bureaucrats.

    Rather, any firm that is as good as MUL in terms of scale economies, first-comer

    advantage, affordability, product novelty, consumer choice, financing schemes and

    extensive servicing networks would have performed as well, even in the absence of

    bureaucratic support. DCosta has other criticisms about Pingle (2000). The major

    shortcoming of Pingles study is that it ignores the issues related to sector specific

    technologies and regional differences across the country.

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    Productivity:

    The performance of the Indian Oil industry with respect to the productivity growth Partial

    and total factor productivity of the Indian Oil and Gas industry have been calculated for

    the period from 1990-91 to 2010-11, using the Divisia-Tornquist index for the estimationof the total factor productivity growth. The author finds that the domestic Oil industry has

    registered a negative and insignificant productivity growth during the last one and a half

    decade. Among the partial factor productivity indices only labour productivity has seen a

    significant improvement, while the productivity of other three inputs (capital, energy and

    materials) havent shown any significant improvement. Labour productivity has increased

    mainly due to the increase in the capital intensity, which has grown at a rate of 0.14 per

    cent per annum from 1990-91 to 2010-11.

    Organized Oil Sector in India:

    While the Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) are at the top of the Oil supply

    chain, it should be noted that there are a few OEMs in India which supply some

    components to other OEMs in India or abroad. Most of the Indian OEMs are members of

    the Society of Indian Oil and Gas Manufacturers (SIAM), while most of the Tier-1 Oil

    component manufacturers are members of the Oil and Gas Component Manufacturers

    Association (ACMA). All of them are in the organized sector and supply directly to theOEMs in India and abroad or to Tier-1 players abroad. Tier-2 and Tier-3 Oil-component

    manufacturers are relatively smaller players. Though some of the Tier-2 players are in the

    organized sector, most of them are in the unorganized sector. Tier-3 manufacturers

    include all Oil-component suppliers in the unorganized sector, including some Own

    Account Manufacturing Enterprises (OAMEs) that operate with one working owner and

    his family members, wherein refinery involves use of a single machine such as the lathe.

    Oil-component manufacturers cater not only to the OEMs, but also to the after-sales

    market. In the recent years, there has been a rapid transformation in the character of the

    Oil and Gas aftermarket, as a fast maturing organized, skill-intensive and knowledge

    driven activity. Hence, the Oil industry in India possesses a very diverse and complex

    structure, in terms of scale, nature of operation, market structure, etc.

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    Unorganized Oil Sector in India:

    The unorganized sector consists of enterprises that are not registered under certain

    sections of the Factories Act.20 In this section, data on the unorganized refinery sector

    from the National Sample Survey Organization (NSSO) is used. The unorganized Oilsector in India has grown in terms of number of enterprises, employment, output, capital,

    capital intensity and labour productivity. However, capital productivity has fallen

    considerably. Very similar trends are observed in OAME, NDME and DME21 in rural

    and urban areas. However, it is evident that the growth of this sector has been quite low

    in the rural areas than in the urban areas.

    Commercial s:

    The commercial production in India increased from 156,706 in 2007 to 350,033 in 2010.

    This segment can be divided into three categories heavy commercial s (HCVs), medium

    commercial s (MDVs or MCVs) and light commercial s (LCVs). Medium and heavy

    commercial s formed about 62 per cent of the total domestic sales of CVs in 2004. These

    segments have also been driving growth, having grown at a CAGR of nearly 24.7 per

    cent over the past five years. The key trends facilitating growth in this sector are the

    development of ports and highways, increase in construction activities and agricultural

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    output. With better roads and highway corridors linking major cities, the demand for

    larger, multi-axle trucks is increasing in India.

    Passenger s:

    Passenger s consist of passenger cars and utility s. This segment has been growing at a

    CAGR of 11.3 per cent for the past four years. A key trend in this segment is that with

    rising income levels and availability of better financing options, customers are

    increasingly aspiring for higher-end models. There has been a gradual shift from entry-

    level models to higher-end models in each segment. For example, in passenger cars, till

    recently, the Maruti 800 used to define the entry level car, and had a predominant market

    share. Over the last 3-4 years, higher-end models such as ONGC Santro, Maruti Wagon

    R, Alto and Tata Indica have overtaken the Maruti 800. Another development has been

    the blurring of the dividing line between utility s and passenger cars, with models like

    Mahindra & Mahindras Scorpio attracting customers from both segments. Upper end

    sports utility s (SUVs) attract potential luxury car buyers by offering the same level of

    comfort in the interiors, coupled with on-road performance capability.

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    Competitive Advantages:

    India has several competitive advantages in the Oil and Gas sector, which have been

    analyzed using the following framework. Availability of skilled manpower with

    engineering and design capabilities India has a growing workforce that is English-speaking, highly skilled and trained in designing and machining skills required by the Oil

    and Gas and engineering industries. In a combined assessment of manpower availability

    and capabilities, India ranks much ahead of other competing economies.

    Many Indian and global players are leveraging this advantage by increasingly

    outsourcing activities like design and R&D to their Indian arms. The Society of Indian

    Oil and Gas manufacturers (SIAM) estimates that Oil and Gas manufacturers are

    expected to invest US$ 5.7 billion in the Indian market from 2005 to 2010. Of this, about

    US$ 2.3 billion will be on research and development and the rest probably on capex.

    Some examples of investment in areas leveraging the engineering and design capabilities

    of India include:

    MICO, the Indian operation of Bosch and a key player in fuel injection

    equipment, ignition systems and electricals, has invested in the MICO Application

    Centre (MAC) for R&D. It has emerged as a key global R&D competency centre

    catering to the entire Bosch Group. It is the first of its kind in India and the Bosch

    Groups first outside Europe.

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    GM set up a technical centre at Bangalore that became fully operational in

    September 2003. The centre focuses on both R&D and engineering, and takes up

    high-value work to complement current research programs, as well as new

    exploratory research projects.

    Large market with significant potential for growth in demand:

    India offers a huge growth opportunity for the Oil and Gas sector the domestic market

    is large and has the potential to grow further in the future due to positive demographic

    trends and the current low penetration levels.

    Government Regulations and Support:

    The Government of India (GoI) has identified the Oil and Gas sector as a key focus area

    for improving Indias global competitiveness and achieving high economic growth. The

    Government formulated the Oil Policy for India with a vision to establish a globally

    competitive industry in India and to double its contribution to the economy by 2010. It

    intends to promote Research & Development in Oil and Gas industry by strengthening

    the efforts of industry in this direction by providing suitable fiscal and financial

    incentives. Some of the policy initiatives include:

    Oilmatic approval for foreign equity investment upto 100 per cent of manufacture

    of Oil and Gass and component is permitted.

    The customs duty on inputs and raw materials has been reduced from 20 per cent

    to 15 per cent. The peak rate of customs duty on parts and components of battery-

    operated s have been reduced from 20 per cent to 10 per cent. These new

    regulations would strengthen Indias commitment to globalization. Apart from

    this, custom duty has been reduced from 105 per cent to 100 per cent on secondhand cars and motorcycles.

    National Oil and Gas Fuel Policy has been announced, which envisages a phased

    program for introducing Euro emission and fuel regulations by 2010.

    Tractors of engine capacity more than 1800 cc for semi-trailers will now attract

    excise duty at the rate of 16 per cent.

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    Excise duty is being reduced on tyres, tubes and flaps from 24 per cent to 16 per

    cent. Customs duty on lead is 5 per cent.

    A package of fiscal incentives including benefits of double taxation treaty is now

    available.

    These government policies reflect the priority government accords to the Oil and Gas

    sector. A liberalized overall policy regime, with specific incentives, provides a very

    conducive environment for investments and exports in the sector.

    The outlook for Indias Oil and Gas sector appears bright:

    The outlook for Indias Oil and Gas sector is highly promising. In view of current growth

    trends and prospect of continuous economic growth of over 5 per cent, all segments of

    the Oil industry are likely to see continued growth. Large infrastructure development

    projects underway in India combined with favorable government policies will also drive

    Oil and Gas growth in the next few years. Easy availability of finance and moderate cost

    of financing facilitated by double income families will drive sales in the next few years.

    India is also emerging as an outsourcing hub for global majors. Companies like GM,

    Ford, Hindustan Petroleum and ONGC are implementing their expansion plans in the

    current year. While Ford and Hindustan Petroleum continue to leverage India as a sourceof components, ONGC and Suzuki have identified India as a global source for specific

    small car models. At the same time, Indian players are likely to increasingly venture

    overseas, both for organic growth as well as acquisitions. The Oil and Gas sector in India

    is poised to become significant, both in the domestic market as well as globally.

    Determinants of market share of Oil and Gas industry:

    Costs: sales ratio has a significant positive impact on market share. This could be

    attributable to the fact that firms that manufacture high-value items are likely to

    have a higher market share, since their sales, in value terms, could be higher than

    others.

    Emolument share has a negative effect on market share, showing that labour cost

    constraints can distort a firms competitiveness.

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    Export: sales ratio has a significant positive effect on market share, implying that

    export-oriented firms are more competitive, perhaps because of their versatility

    and other merits that are required for catering to international markets.

    Power/fuel cost share has a significant negative effect on market share, implying

    that efficient technologies may go a long way in improving the firms

    competitiveness.

    Imported material expenses share in total material expenses has a negative

    significant impact on market share, indicating that import of Oil-components from

    abroad does not guarantee competitiveness of the firms, unless it is an item that is

    unavailable in Indian industry

    Borrowings share in total investments and interests share in total costs have

    negative significant effect on market-share, which means that too much

    dependence on credit may adversely affect a firms competitiveness. This also

    calls for improvements in credit system and its cost in India.

    Inventory cost share significantly distorts competitiveness, and hence, firms

    following lean refinery are more likely to be competitive than others.

    Share of imported know-how expenses in overall is competitiveness-enhancing,

    and hence, firms could aggressively go for importing know-how that is required

    for various aspects of production, so as to be more competitive.

    Advertising costs as a share of total costs, has a significant negative effect on

    market share, implying that unless the structural factors such as price and quality

    are good, mere propaganda by advertising may in fact turn harmful for market

    share.

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    - ( Capital Spending - Depreciation) (1-Debt Ratio)

    - Working Capital (1- Debt Ratio)

    = Free Cashflows to Equity

    Lenders Interest Expenses (1 - tax rate)

    + Principal Payments

    Firm Free Cashflows to Firm

    = Equity = Free Cashflows to Equity

    + Lenders + Interest Expenses (1 - tax rate)

    + Principal Payments

    Optimum Capital Structure and Cost of Capital:

    If the cash flows to the firm are held constant, and the cost of capital is minimized, the

    value of the firm will be maximized.

    RETURN DIFFERENTIAL APPROACH

    THE ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE APPROACH:

    In the adjusted present value (APV) approach, we begin with the value of the firm

    without debt. As we add debt to the firm, we consider the net effect on value by

    considering both the benefits and the costs of borrowing. To do this, we assume that the

    primary benefit of borrowing is a tax benefit and that the most significant cost ofborrowing is the added risk of bankruptcy.

    The mechanisms of APV valuation:

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    We estimate the value of the firm in three steps. We begin by estimating the value of the

    firm with no leverage. We then consider the present value of the interest tax savings

    generated by borrowing a given amount of money. Finally, we evaluate the effect of

    borrowing the amount on the probability that the firm will go bankrupt, and the expected

    cost of bankruptcy.

    Value of unlevered firm:

    The first step in this approach is the estimation of the value of the unlevered firm. This

    can be accomplished by valuing the firm as if it had no debt, i.e., by discounting the

    expected free cash flow to the firm at the unlevered cost of equity. In the special case

    where cash flows grow at a constant rate in perpetuity, the value of the firm is easily

    computed.

    Value of Unlevered Firm =FCFFo (1+g)/ Bu-g

    Where FCFF0 is the current after-tax operating cash flow to the firm, u is the unlevered

    cost of equity and g is the expected growth rate. In the more general case, you can value

    the firm using any set of growth assumptions you believe are reasonable for the firm.

    The inputs needed for this valuation are the expected cash flows, growth rates and the

    unlevered cost of equity. To estimate the latter, we can draw on our earlier analysis and

    compute the unlevered beta of the firm.

    Bunlevered= (Bcurrent) / 1+(1-t)D/E

    Where,

    unlevered = Unlevered beta of the firm

    current = Current equity beta of the firm

    t = Tax rate for the firmD/E = Current debt/equity ratio

    This unlevered beta can then be used to arrive at the unlevered cost of equity.

    Expected tax benefit from borrowing:

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    The second step in this approach is the calculation of the expected tax benefit from a

    given level of debt. This tax benefit is a function of the tax rate of the firm and is

    discounted at the cost of debt to reflect the riskiness of this cash flow. If the tax savings

    are viewed as a perpetuity,

    Value of Tax benefits=(Tax rate)(Cost of Debt)(Debt)/(Cost of debt)

    =(Tax rate)(Debt)

    The tax rate used here is the firms marginal tax rate and it is assumed to stay constant

    over time. If we anticipate the tax rate changing over time, we can still compute the

    present value of tax benefits over time, but we cannot use the perpetual growth equation

    cited above.

    Estimating Bankruptcy Costs and Net Effect:

    The third step is to evaluate the effect of the given level of debt on the default risk of thefirm and on expected bankruptcy. In theory, at least, this requires the estimation of the

    probability of default with the additional debt and the direct and indirect cost of

    bankruptcy. Ifa is the probability of default after the additional debt and BC is the

    present value of the bankruptcy cost, the present value of expected bankruptcy cost can

    be estimated.

    PV of Expected Bankruptcy Cost = Probability of bankruptcy * PV of bankruptcy cost

    This step of the adjusted present value approach poses the most significant estimationproblem, since neither the probability of bankruptcy nor the bankruptcy cost can be

    estimated directly.

    There are two basic ways in which the probability of bankruptcy can be estimated

    indirectly. One is to estimate a bond rating, as we did in the cost of capital approach, at

    each level of debt and use the empirical estimates of default probabilities for each rating.

    Cost of Capital versus APV valuation:

    In an APV valuation, the value of a levered firm is obtained by adding the net effect of

    debt to the unlevered firm value.

    Value of Levered Firm =

    In the cost of capital approach, the effects of leverage show up in the cost of capital, with

    the tax benefit incorporated in the after-tax cost of debt and the bankruptcy costs in both

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    the levered beta and the pre-tax cost of debt. Will the two approaches yield the same

    value? Not necessarily. The first reason for the differences is that the models consider

    bankruptcy costs very differently, with the adjusted present value approach providing

    more flexibility in allowing you to consider indirect bankruptcy costs. To the extent that

    these costs do not show up or show up inadequately in the pre-tax cost of debt, the APV

    approach will yield a more conservative estimate of value. The second reason is that the

    APV approach considers the tax benefit from a dollar debt value, usually based upon

    existing debt. The cost of capital approach estimates the tax benefit from a debt ratio that

    may require the firm to borrow increasing amounts in the future. For instance, assuming a

    market debt to capital ratio of 30% in perpetuity for a growing firm will require it to

    borrow more in the future and the tax benefit from expected future borrowings is

    incorporated into value today.

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    3. LITERATURE REVIEW

    Evaluating a Company's Capital Structure:

    For stock investors that favor companies with good fundamentals, a "strong" balance

    sheet is an important consideration for investing in a company's stock. The strength of a

    company' balance sheet can be evaluated by three broad categories of investment-quality

    measurements: working capital adequacy, asset performance and capital structure. In this

    article, we'll look at evaluating balance sheet strength based on the composition of a

    company's capital structure. A company's capitalization (not to be confused with market

    capitalization) describes the composition of a company's permanent or long-term capital,

    which consists of a combination of debt and equity. A healthy proportion of equity

    capital, as opposed to debt capital, in a company's capital structure is an indication of

    financial fitness.

    Clarifying Capital Structure Related Terminology:

    The equity part of the debt-equity relationship is the easiest to define. In a company's

    capital structure, equity consists of a company's common and preferred stock plus

    retained earnings, which are summed up in the shareholders' equity account on a balance

    sheet. This invested capital and debt, generally of the long-term variety, comprises a

    company's capitalization, i.e. a permanent type of funding to support a company's growth

    and related assets. A discussion of debt is less straightforward. Investment literature often

    equates a company's debt with its liabilities. Investors should understand that there is a

    difference between operational and debt liabilities - it is the latter that forms the debt

    component of a company's capitalization - but that's not the end of the debt story. Among

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    financial analysts and investment research services, there is no universal agreement as to

    what constitutes a debt liability. For many analysts, the debt component in a company's

    capitalization is simply a balance sheet's long-term debt. This definition is too

    simplistic. Investors should stick to a stricter interpretation of debt where the debt

    component of a company's capitalization should consist of the following: short-term

    borrowings (notes payable), the current portion of long-term debt, long-term debt, two-

    thirds (rule of thumb) of the principal amount of operating leases and redeemable

    preferred stock. Using a comprehensive total debt figure is a prudent analytical tool for

    stock investors.

    Is there an optimal debt-equity relationship?

    In financial terms, debt is a good example of the proverbial two-edged sword. Astute use

    of leverage (debt) increases the amount of financial resources available to a company for

    growth and expansion. The assumption is that management can earn more on borrowed

    funds than it pays in interest expense and fees on these funds. However, as successful as

    this formula may seem, it does require that a company maintain a solid record of

    complying with its various borrowing commitments. A company considered too highly

    leveraged (too much debt versus equity) may find its freedom of action restricted by its

    creditors and/or may have its profitability hurt as a result of paying high interest costs. Ofcourse, the worst-case scenario would be having trouble meeting operating and debt

    liabilities during periods of adverse economic conditions. Lastly, a company in a highly

    competitive business, if hobbled by high debt, may find its competitors taking advantage

    of its problems to grab more market share. Unfortunately, there is no magic proportion of

    debt that a company can take on. The debt-equity relationship varies according to

    industries involved, a company's line of business and its stage of development.

    However, because investors are better off putting their money into companies with strong

    balance sheets, common sense tells us that these companies should have, generally

    speaking, lower debt and higher equity levels.

    Capital Ratios and Indicators:

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    In general, analysts use three different ratios to assess the financial strength of a

    company's capitalization structure. The first two, the so-called debt and debt/equity

    ratios, are popular measurements; however, it's the capitalization ratio that delivers the

    key insights to evaluating a company's capital position. The debt ratio compares total

    liabilities to total assets. Obviously, more of the former means less equity and, therefore,

    indicates a more leveraged position. The problem with this measurement is that it is too

    broad in scope, which, as a consequence, gives equal weight to operational and debt

    liabilities. The same criticism can be applied to the debt/equity ratio, which compares

    total liabilities to total shareholders' equity. Current and non-current operational

    liabilities, particularly the latter, represent obligations that will be with the company

    forever. Also, unlike debt, there are no fixed payments of principal or interest attached tooperational liabilities. The capitalization ratio (total debt/total capitalization) compares

    the debt component of a company's capital structure (the sum of obligations categorized

    as debt + total shareholders' equity) to the equity component. Expressed as a percentage,

    a low number is indicative of a healthy equity cushion, which is always more desirable

    than a high percentage of debt.

    Additional Evaluative Debt-Equity Considerations:

    Companies in an aggressive acquisition mode can rack up a large amount of purchased

    goodwill in their balance sheets. Investors need to be alert to the impact of intangibles on

    the equity component of a company's capitalization. A material amount of intangible

    assets need to be considered carefully for its potential negative effect as a deduction (or

    impairment) of equity, which, as a consequence, will adversely affect the capitalization

    ratio.

    Funded debt is the technical term applied to the portion of a company's long-term

    debt that is made up of bonds and other similar long-term, fixed-maturity types of

    borrowings. No matter how problematic a company's financial condition may be, the

    holders of these obligations cannot demand payment as long the company pays the

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    interest on its funded debt. In contrast, bank debt is usually subject to acceleration clauses

    and/or covenants that allow the lender to call its loan. From the investor's perspective, the

    greater the percentage of funded debt to total debt disclosed in the debt note in the notes

    to financial statements, the better. Funded debt gives a company more wiggle room.

    Lastly, credit ratings are formal risk evaluations by credit-rating agencies - Moody's,

    Standard & Poor's, Duff & Phelps and Fitch of a company's ability to repay principal

    and interest on debt obligations, principally bonds and commercial paper. Here again, this

    information should appear in the footnotes. Obviously, investors should be glad to see

    high-quality rankings on the debt of companies they are considering as investment

    opportunities and be wary of the reverse.

    Seeking the Optimal Capital Structure:

    Many middle class individuals believe that the goal in life is to be debt-free. When you

    reach the upper echelons of finance, however, that idea is almost anathema. Many of the

    most successful companies in the world base their capital structure on one simple

    consideration: the cost of capital. If you can borrow money at 7% for 30 years in a world

    of 3% inflation and reinvest it in core operations at 15%, you would be wise to consider

    at least 40% to 50% in debt capital in your overall capital structure. Of course, how muchdebt you take on comes down to how secure the revenues your business generates are - if

    you sell an indispensable product that people simply must have, the debt will be much

    lower risk than if you operate a theme park in a tourist town at the height of a boom

    market. Again, this is where managerial talent, experience, and wisdom come into play.

    The great managers have a knack for consistently lowering their weighted average cost of

    capital by increasing productivity, seeking out higher return products, and more. To truly

    understand the idea of capital structure, you need to take a few moments to read Return

    on Equity: The DuPont Model to understand how the capital structure represents one of

    the three components in determining the rate of return a company will earn on the money

    its owners have invested in it. Whether you own a doughnut shop or are considering

    investing in publicly traded stocks, it's knowledge you simply must have.

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    Median

    Oil Companies

    Average

    Oil Companies

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    STDAV

    Oil Companies

    Examining the results above we can see that there seems to have been a change in the

    debt pattern amongst the Oil companies. Just as Lev and many others presented in the

    there is a change taking place in the way that we see and evaluate the corporate world and

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    its value drivers. Maybe the search for security has made the banks and the market

    extending the wrong companies credit; if there is a correlation between the value of the

    underlying assets and the loan capacity of a corporation then companies who cannot

    securitize their assets will be worse off in a recession. The Oil company has up until now

    been assessed as once whole entity which gives it a lower leverage compared to the

    traditional company; but this would also make it better positioned and less volatile in

    recession. Unfortunately the lack of further data to conclude the regression analysis and

    finalize this study the data just shows us that we can identify but not explain a change.

    This article did not have the aim to further increase or change the amount of information

    provided to the creditors; what we can see is that suddenly corporations without any real

    assets have a proportionally large amount of debt in their capital structure. The reason for

    this is almost without a doubt that their market value on equity has deteriorated; but whatis interesting is that the trend related to the traditional companies has changed. This can

    indicate that the loans given to the conceptual companies prior to the deterioration of the

    market value of equity were proportionally larger than in the past. Further tells us that the

    there has been a market driven change in how we assess corporate without any substantial

    securities; if this change was driven by increased liquidity or a fundamental assessment

    change in the market is for future research to tell. To conclude; there been a change in

    capital structure where the proportion of debt and in long term debt over the last ten years

    has increased amongst conceptual companies; it is though far away from being in the

    same proportions as for the Oil companies.

    Growth opportunities:

    For companies with growth opportunities, the use of debt is limited as in the case of

    bankruptcy, the value of growth opportunities will be close to zero. This show that firms

    should use equity to finance their growth because such financing reduces agency costs

    between shareholders and managers, whereas firms with less growth prospects should use

    debt because it has a disciplinary role. This shows that firms with growth opportunities

    may invest sub-optimally, and therefore creditors will be more reluctant to lend for long

    horizons. This problem can be solved by short-term financing or by convertible bonds.

    From a pecking order theory perspective, growth firms with strong financing needs will

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    issue securities less subject to informational asymmetries, i.e. short-term debt. If these

    firms have very close relationships with banks, there will be less informational

    asymmetry problems, and they will be able to have access to long term debt financing as

    well. A common proxy for growth opportunities is the market value to book value of total

    assets. IT companies with growth opportunities should exhibit a greater market-to-book

    than firms with less growth opportunities, but it is suggest that this is not necessarily the

    case. This will typically occur when assets whose values have increased over time have

    been fully depreciated, as well as when assets with high value are not accounted for in the

    balance sheet. They find a negative relationship between growth opportunities and

    leverage. They suggest that this may be due to firms issuing equity when stock prices are

    high. As mentioned by them, large stock price increases are usually associated with

    improved growth opportunities, leading to a lower debt ratio.

    Size:

    Oil companies tend to be more diversified, and hence their cash flows are less volatile.

    Size may then be inversely related to the probability of bankruptcy. They suggest that

    large firms have easier access to the markets and can borrow at better conditions. For

    small firms, the conflicts between creditors and shareholders are more severe because themanagers of such firms tend to be large shareholders and are better able to switch from

    one investment project to another. However, this problem may be mitigated with the use

    of short term debt, convertible bonds, as well as long term bank financing. Most

    empirical studies report indeed a positive sign for the relationship between size and

    leverage. Less conclusive results are reported by other authors. For India, however, they

    find that a negative relationship exists. They confirm the finding of them for company

    and argue that the negative relationship is not due to asymmetrical information, but rather

    to the characteristics of the bankruptcy law and the system which offer better protection

    to creditors than is the case in other countries.

    Profitability:

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    One of the main theoretical controversies concerns the relationship between leverage and

    profitability of the firm. According to the pecking order theory, firms prefer using

    internal sources of financing first, then debt and finally external equity obtained by stock

    issues. All things being equal, the more profitable the firms are, the more internal

    financing they will have, and therefore we should expect a negative relationship between

    leverage and profitability. This relationship is one of the most systematic findings in the

    empirical literature In a trade-off theory framework, an opposite conclusion is expected.

    When firms are profitable, they should prefer debt to benefit from the tax shield. In

    addition, if past profitability is a good proxy for future profitability, profitable firms can

    borrow more as the likelihood of paying back the loans is greater. Dynamic theoretical

    models based on the existence of a target debt-to-equity ratio show (1) that there are

    adjustment costs to raise the debt-to-equity ratio towards the target and (2) that debt caneasily be reimbursed with excess cash provided by internal sources. This leads firms to

    have a pecking order behavior in the short term, despite the fact that they aim at

    increasing their debt-to-equity ratio.

    Collaterals:

    Tangible assets are likely to have an impact on the borrowing decisions of a firm because

    they are less subject to informational asymmetries and usually they have a greater value

    than intangible assets in case of bankruptcy. Additionally, the moral hazard risks are

    reduced when the firm offers tangible assets as collateral, because this constitutes a

    positive signal to the creditors who can request the selling of these assets in the case of

    default. As such, tangible assets constitute good collateral for loans. According to them, a

    firm can increase the value of equity by issuing collateralized debt when the current

    creditors do not have such guarantee. Hence, firms have an incentive to do so, and one

    would expect a positive relation between the importance of tangible assets and the degree

    of leverage. Based on the agency problems between managers and shareholders, they

    suggest that firms with more tangible assets should take more debt. This is due to the

    behavior of managers who refuse to liquidate the firm even when the liquidation value is

    higher than the value of the firm as a going concern. Indeed, by increasing the leverage,

    the probability of default will increase which is to the benefit of the shareholders. In an

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    agency theory framework, debt can have another disciplinary role: by increasing the debt

    level, the free cash flow will decrease. As opposed to the former, this disciplinary role of

    debt should mainly occur in firms with few tangible assets, because in such a case it is

    very difficult to monitor the excessive expenses of managers. From a pecking order

    theory perspective, firms with few tangible assets are more sensitive to informational

    asymmetries. These firms will thus issue debt rather than equity when they need external

    financing, leading to an expected negative relation between the importance of intangible

    assets and leverage. Most empirical studies conclude to a positive relation between

    collaterals and the level of debt. Inconclusive results are reported for instance by them.

    Operating Risk:

    Many authors have included a measure of risk as an explanatory variable of the debt

    level. Leverage increases the volatility of the net profit. Firms that have high operating

    risk can lower the volatility of the net profit by reducing the level of debt. By so doing,

    bankruptcy risk will decrease, and the probability of fully benefiting from the tax shield

    will increase. A negative relation between operating risk and leverage is also expectedfrom a pecking order theory perspective: firms with high volatility of results try to

    accumulate cash during good years, to avoid under investment issues in the future.

    Taxes:

    The impact of taxation on leverage is twofold. On the one hand, companies have an

    incentive to take debt because they can benefit from the tax shield. On the other hand,

    since revenues from debt are taxed more heavily than revenues from equity, firms also

    have an incentive to use equity rather than debt. As suggested by them, the financial

    structure decisions are irrelevant given that bankruptcy costs can be neglected in

    equilibrium. They show that if non-debt tax shields exist, then firms are likely not to use

    fully debt tax shields. In other words, firms with large non-debt tax shields have a lower

    incentive to use debt from a tax shield point of view, and thus may use less debt.

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    Empirically, this substitution effect is difficult to measure as finding an accurate proxy

    for the tax reduction that excludes the effect of economic depreciation and expenses is

    tedious. According to them, the tax shield accounts on average to 4.3% of the firm value

    when both corporate and personal taxes are considered.

    A capital structure is the mix of a company's financing which is used to fund its day-to-

    day operations. This source of funds can originate from equity, debt and hybrid

    securities. The equity will come in the form of common and preferred stocks. The debt

    is broken out into long-term and short-term debts. Lastly hybrid securities are a group of

    securities that are a combination of debt and equity. When analyzing a company it is

    important to note their mix of debt and equity, because it gives a firm picture of the

    financial health of the company.

    If capital structure is irrelevant in a perfect market, then imperfections which exist in the

    real world must be the cause of its relevance. The theories below try to address some of

    these imperfections, by relaxing assumptions made in the M&M model.

    Trade-off theory:

    Trade-off theory allows the bankruptcy cost to exist. It states that there is an advantage tofinancing with debt (namely, the tax benefit of debts) and that there is a cost of financing

    with debt (the bankruptcy costs of debt). The marginal benefit of further increases in debt

    declines as debt increases, while the marginal cost increases, so that a firm that is

    optimizing its overall value will focus on this trade-off when choosing how much debt

    and equity to use for financing. Empirically, this theory may explain differences in D/E

    ratios between industries, but it doesn't explain differences within the same industry.

    Pecking order theory:

    Pecking Order theory tries to capture the costs of asymmetric information. It states that

    companies prioritize their sources of financing (from internal financing to equity)

    according to the law of least effort, or of least resistance, preferring to raise equity as a

    financing means of last resort. Hence: internal financing is used first; when that is

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    depleted, then debt is issued; and when it is no longer sensible to issue any more debt,

    equity is issued. This theory maintains that businesses adhere to a hierarchy of financing

    sources and prefer internal financing when available, and debt is preferred over equity if

    external financing is required (equity would mean issuing shares which meant 'bringing

    external ownership' into the company. Thus, the form of debt a firm chooses can act as a

    signal of its need for external finance. The pecking order theory is popularized by Myers

    (1984) when he argues that equity is a less preferred means to raise capital because when

    managers (who are assumed to know better about true condition of the firm than

    investors) issue new equity, investors believe that managers think that the firm is

    overvalued and managers are taking advantage of this over-valuation. As a result,

    investors will place a lower value to the new equity issuance.

    Agency Costs:

    There are three types of agency costs which can help explain the relevance of capital

    structure.

    Asset substitution effect: As D/E increases, management has an increased

    incentive to undertake risky (even negative NPV) projects. This is because if the

    project is successful, share holders get all the upside, whereas if it is unsuccessful,

    debt holders get all the downside. If the projects are undertaken, there is a chance

    of firm value decreasing and a wealth transfer from debt holders to share holders.

    Underinvestment problem: If debt is risky (e.g., in a growth company), the gain

    from the project will accrue to debt holders rather than shareholders. Thus,

    management have an incentive to reject positive NPV projects, even though they

    have the potential to increase firm value.

    Free cash flow: unless free cash flow is given back to investors, management has

    an incentive to destroy firm value through empire building and perks etc.Increasing leverage imposes financial discipline on management.

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    Other:

    The neutral mutation hypothesisfirms fall into various habits of financing,

    which do not impact on value.

    Market timing hypothesiscapital structure is the outcome of the historicalcumulative timing of the market by managers.

    Accelerated investment effecteven in absence of agency costs, levered firms

    use to invest faster because of the existence of default risk.

    Following Modigliani and Miller's pioneering work on capital structure, we are left with

    the question, "Is there such a thing as an optimal capital structure for a company? In

    other words, is there a best way to finance the company: an optimal debt/equity ratio?"

    According to the trade-off theory, the answer is yes - in fact, you might even say that

    there is an optimal range. There is a specific debt/equity ratio that will minimize a

    company's cost of capital. (This is also the point at which the value of the company will

    be maximized.) However, because the cost of capital curve is fairly shallow (like the

    bottom of a bowl), you can deviate from this optimal debt/equity ratio without

    appreciably increasing the cost of capital This creates a range in the bottom portion of

    the curve where the cost of capital is essentially the same throughout the range. There is a

    danger of getting outside of this range however. The cost of capital will increase rapidlyonce you get outside the range, as shown by the blueAverage Cost of Capitalline in the

    graph below.

    The Trade-off View of the Cost of Capital

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    A company's overall cost of capital is a weighted average of the cost of debt and the cost

    of equity. For example, if a company's debt/equity ratio is 30/70 and the after-tax cost of

    debt is 4% and the cost of equity is 10.5%, the company's overall cost of capital is 0.30 *

    4% plus 0.70 * 10.5%, or 8.55%.

    Let's take a company from its inception:

    1. When a company is new, it will likely be financed entirely with equity, so its

    average cost of capital is the same as its cost of equity (10% in the graph above

    for a 0/100 debt/equity ratio).

    2. As the company grows, it establishes a track record and attracts the confidence oflenders. As the company increases its use of debt, the company's debt/equity ratio

    increases and the average cost of capital decreases. In essence, the company is

    substituting the cheaper debt for the more expensive equity, thereby decreasing its

    overall cost. (It might be useful to think of the company borrowing money, then

    using that borrowed money to buy back some of its common stock. The debt goes

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    up, the equity goes down, and the company's average cost of capital decreases

    because the company has substituted the cheaper debt for the more expensive

    equity.)

    3. Eventually, as the company's debt/equity ratio increases, the cost of debt and the

    cost of equity will increase. Lenders will become more concerned about the risk

    of the loan and will increase the interest rate on its loans. Common shareholders

    will become more concerned about default on the loans (and, in bankruptcy,

    losing all of their investment) and will insist on receiving a higher rate of return to

    compensate them for the higher risk. Since both the cost of debt and equity

    increases, the average cost of capital will also increase.

    4. This results in a minimum point on the cost of capital curve. However, the curve

    (for most industries) is relatively shallow. This means that the financial manager

    has considerable flexibility in choosing a debt/equity ratio. He or she wants to

    move to the shallow portion of the curve and, once there, remain there. However,

    there is a range of debt/equity ratios that will allow the company to stay in this

    shallow portion of the curve.

    Just remember that there is a danger in getting outside of this range.

    If you move too far to the left-hand side of the curve, you are paying too much to

    raise money - you would be better off borrowing money (at a relatively low after-

    tax interest rate) and buying back some of the more expensive equity. (The cost

    of financing with debt is always considerably lower than financing with equity.)

    If you move too far to the right-hand side of the curve, you are paying too much

    to raise money - lenders and stockholders perceive your company as being too

    risky. You should either pay down the debt or issue new equity in the next round

    of financing in order to reduce the risk and to move back into the shallow portion

    of the curve.

    Pecking Order Theory:

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    PetroleumHindustan Motors 2.18 0.78 0.3 0.7Skoda 0.8 0.94 0.43 0.57Mahindra &

    Mahindra 1.56 0.19 0.43 0.57

    Moving Average for 2002/03 to 2006/07

    Company Return (2007-08) Debt-Equity Dividend Payout Retention RatioIndian Oil

    Corporation 0.37 1.39 0.49 0.51ONGC 0.2 0.13 0.21 0.79Bharat Petroleum 0.09 0.06 0.2 0.8Hindustan

    Petroleum -0.24 0.22 0.12 0.88Hindustan Motors 0.11 0.73 0.24 0.76Skoda 0.32 0.94 0.41 0.59Mahindra &

    Mahindra 0.09 0.15 0.49 0.51

    Moving Average for 2003/04 to 2007/08

    Company Return (2008-09) Debt-Equity Dividend Payout Retention RatioIndian Oil

    Corporation 1.14 1.32 0.46 0.54ONGC 1.79 0.14 0.22 0.78Bharat Petroleum 1.55 0.08 0.23 0.77Hindustan

    Petroleum 0.91 0.17 0.22 0.78Hindustan Motors 0.67 0.65 0.21 0.79Skoda 0.87 0.9 0.46 0.54Mahindra &

    Mahindra 0.63 0.14 0.56 0.44

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    Moving Average for 2004/05 to 2008/09

    Company Return (2009-10) Debt-Equity Dividend Payout Retention RatioIndian Oil

    Corporation -0.06 1.12 0.36 0.64ONGC 0.0087 0.12 0.22 0.78

    Bharat Petroleum -0.1 0.11 0.25 0.75Hindustan

    Petroleum 0.02 0.12 0.24 0.76Hindustan Motors 0.01 0.6 0.22 0.78Skoda 0.03 0.79 0.44 0.56Mahindra &

    Mahindra -0.22 0.14 0.59 0.41

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    Cross Sectional Regression Results

    Model Y = a + b 1 X 1 + b 2 X 2

    The above table shows the year wise regression results of all the samples studied. Here Y

    denotes the return on the equity shares, X 1 denotes debt equity ratio and X 2 denotes

    dividend payout.

    From the P- Values ascertained, we can conclude that:-

    In the year 2005/06 there is no relationship between debt- equity ratio and return

    on equity whereas there is relationship between dividend payout ratio and return

    on equity

    In the year 2006/07 there is no relationship between debt- equity ratio and return

    on equity whereas there is relationship between dividend payout ratio and return

    on equity.

    In the year 2007/08 there is no relationship between debt- equity ratio and return

    on equity whereas there is relationship between dividend payout ratio and return

    on equity.

    In the year 2008/09 there is relationship between debt- equity ratio and return on

    equity and also between dividend payout ratio and return on equity.

    In the year 2009/10 there is relationship between debt- equity ratio and return on

    equity and also between dividend payout ratio and return on equity.

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    2007/08 0.42 1.42 0.42 0.492008/09 1.2 1.35 0.31 0.482009/10 -0.03 1.1 0.4 0.61

    Bharat

    Petroleum

    Return on

    Shares

    Debt-Equity

    Ratio

    Dividend Payout

    Ratio Retention2000/01 -0.24 1.17 1.07 -0.32001/02 0.06 1.24 0.06 0.72002/03 0.1 1.37 0.04 22003/04 0.09 1.21 0.13 0.122004/05 -0.12 1.43 0.23 0.062005/06 -0.23 1.33 0.65 0.132006/07 0.10 1.32 0.05 0.332007/08 0.38 1.44 0.34 0.452008/09 1.08 1.30 0.29 0.442009/10 -0.09 1.09 0.06 0.59

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    Hindustan

    Petroleum

    Return on

    Shares

    Debt-Equity

    Ratio

    Dividend Payout

    Ratio Retention2000/01 -0.39 1.13 1.5 -0.42001/02 0.04 1.19 0.6 0.392002/03 0.21 1.24 0.3 02003/04 0.13 1.23 0.12 0.292004/05 -0.05 1.42 0.33 0.062005/06 -0.09 1.39 0.66 0.092006/07 0.78 1.37 0.22 0.322007/08 0.28 1.33 0.39 0.462008/09 1.04 1.32 0.45 0.432009/10 -0.23 1.13 0.05 0.58

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    New Issues of shares, which may be made by a company when it requires further

    funds. Such new shares are usually offered at a discount to existing shareholders,

    based on a predetermined ratio, without having to pay brokerage. The entitlements to

    the new shares offered are known as Rights, as shareholders have the right to acquire

    the shares or to sell the rights to these new shares on the stock market. A company

    may also make a Bonus Issue to shareholders at no cost.

    1. DIVIDEND PAYOUT A ratio showing the percentage of net profits paid out in

    dividends on common stock, after reducing net profits by the amount of dividends paid

    on preferred stock. It calculated as the percentage of dividend paid on profit after tax. In

    this study dividend payout ratio is expressed as the ratio of dividend paid to the net profit

    after tax. D/P Ratio = Dividend Paid / Net profit after tax

    2. RETENTION RATIOS Retention ratio shows the rate of earnings retained by the

    company for financing the investments needs. Retained earnings are the main internal

    source of finance for the company. This explains to what extent the earnings of the firm

    are ploughed back to the business. Technically it is one minus the dividend paid out ratio.

    Retention Ratio = 1 D/P Ratio.

    3. DEBT EQUITY RATIOS Debt Equity ratio shows capital structure of the firm. This

    represents the capital structure of the company. It is defined as the ratio of debt to equity

    of the firm. D/E Ratio = Debt / Equity

    4. RETURNS ON SHARES Return on shares is calculated by dividing the previous year

    s price from the current year price and the log natural of the resultant figure is

    calculated as it gives a continuously compounded rate of return

    5. VALUE OF THE FIRM The effect on the value of the firm is analyzed by studying thereturn on equity shares. Return on Equity share = P1 / P0, where P1 is the market price of

    equity share for current year and P0 is the market price of the equity share for the

    previous year.

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    Net Sales & PAT Chart:

    P/E Chart:

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    Calculation of WACC when cost of equity is to be calculated through first formula,

    As we have calculated the WACC for ONGC motors, Infosys, Indian oil, Bharat

    Petroleum, Maruti, and Ranbaxy for past five years are given below.

    ONGC

    YEAR 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007

    WACC0.174

    50.228

    30.20

    80.27

    60.14

    6OPTIMAL MIX 90% 90% 90% 90% 90%

    Hindustan Petroleum

    YEAR 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007WACC 0.096 0.057 0.061 0.044 0.042OPTIMAL MIX 90% 90% 90% 90% 90%

    INDIAN OIL

    YEAR 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007

    WACC 0.4029 0.5787 0.6011.312

    6 0.6072

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    OPTIMAL MIX 90% 90% 90% 90% 90%

    Bharat Petroleum

    YEAR 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007

    WACC 0.6733 0.7448 0.96280.962

    8 0.7524OPTIMAL MIX 90% 90% 90% 90% 90%

    Calculation of WACC when cost of equity is to be calculated through second formula,

    As we have calculated the WACC for ONGC motors, Infosys, Indian Oil, Bharat

    Petroleum, Maruti, Ranbaxy for past five years are given below.

    ONGCYEAR 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007WACC 0.5545 0.6633 0.111 -0.3892 -0.5668OPTIMAL MIX 90% 90% 90% 10% 10%

    Hindustan Petroleum

    YEAR 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007WACC 0.086 0.156 0.025 0.047 0.042OPTIMAL MIX 90% 90% 90% 90% 90%

    INDIAN OIL

    YEAR 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007WACC 2.462 2.809 0.979 0.708 0.968OPTIMAL MIX 90% 90% 90% 90% 90%

    Bharat Petroleum

    YEAR 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007WACC -1.608 0.5985 2.1677 1.304 1.145OPTIMAL MIX 10% 90% 90% 90% 90%

    Calculation of WACC when cost of equity is to be calculated through third formula,

    As we have calculated the WACC for ONGC motors, Infosys, Indian oil, Hll, Maruti,

    Ranbaxy for past five years are given below.

    ONGC

    YEAR 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007

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    WACC 0.018 0.1513 0.014 0.0183 0.0241OPTIMAL MIX 0% 90% 0% 0% 0%

    Hindustan Petroleum

    YEAR 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007WACC -0.0204 -0.0204 -0.0204 -0.0204 -0.0204OPTIMAL MIX 90% 90% 90% 90% 90%

    INDIAN OIL

    YEAR 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007WACC 0.0722 0.073 0.0542 0.0731 0.07OPTIMAL MIX 0% 0% 90% 0% 0%

    Bharat Petroleum

    YEAR 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007WACC 0.0129 -0.003 -0.0043 0.0289 0.0291OPTIMAL MIX 0% 90% 90% 0% 0%

    5. RECOMMENDATION

    At the current market price of Rs.602.00 the stock is trading at a P/Ex of 19.26xfor FY10E and 17.41x for FY11E.

    The EPS of the stock is expected to be at Rs.31.26 and Rs.34.58 for FY10E and

    FY11E respectively.

    On the basis of price to book value, the stock trades at 4.84x and 3.79x for FY10E

    and FY11E respectively.

    Oil Products business added 37 new clients during the quarter taking the total

    active clients to 840 clients up from 830 at the end of sequential quarter.

    Indian Oil Corporation has entered into a multi-year contract with an iconic

    beverage company

    Indian Oil Corporation has entered into a 5 year agreement with BP to provide IT

    Applications Development and Maintenance (ADAM) services for BP's Fuels

    Value Chain and Corporate businesses globally.

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    Despite the weakness in demand, the healthcare, energy & utility &

    communication media service segments have experienced double-digit growth in

    the last six quarters. This will help the Company in offsetting the impact of the

    slowdown in the other verticals.

    ONGC crossing, a tata subsidiary signed a significant and large multi-year

    outsourcing contract with a large outsourcer of data processing services in the US.

    Some large UK based dealers have chosen Tata, as its IT partner, to deliver a new

    and robust operating model that supports the retailers strategic and commercial

    objectives.

    The Net sales and PAT of the company is expected to grow at a CAGR of 15%

    and 16% respectively over FY08 to FY11E.

    6. CONCLUSION

    This study tests DeAngelo and Masulis' (1980) and Masulis' (1983) theory that Indian Oil

    Corporation would seek an "optimum debt level," and that a firm could increase or

    decrease its value by changing its debt level so that it moved toward or away from the

    industry average. Our results do not find support for the argument. We defined industry

    using two different databases and calculated the leverage ratio based on book and market

    values for equity, but the results did not change. Our overall conclusion is that the

    relationship between a firm's debt level and that of its industry does not appear to be of

    concern to the market. A single post-event interval (day 2 to 90) depicted a slow,

    negative effect following the debt issue (a 3.2% loss). The High Debt firms hadsignificant negative market reactions for several intervals; however, the difference

    between this group and the Low Debt firms was not statistically significant. These results

    suggest, overall, that the market does not consider industry averages for leverage as

    discriminators for firms' financial leverage.

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    The findings were surprising. The above review of empirical research cited numerous

    studies which had documented a relationship between industry membership and capital

    structure. Firms in a given industry tend to have similar capital structures. Our study

    shows that the market does not appear to consider the relationship between a firm's

    leverage ratio and the industry's leverage ratio important. This finding is consistent with

    the original Modigliani and Miller (1958) proposition that financial leverage is irrelevant

    to the value of the firm. Further research that employs additional leverage ratios and

    alternate industry classifications will provide additional evidence and insight into this

    problem.

    7. RFERENCES

    Jensen, M. C., "Agency Costs of Free Cash Flow, Coporate Finance and

    Takeovers,"American Economic Review 76, 1986, pp. 323-339.

    Jensen, M.C., and W.H. Meckling, "Theory of the Firm: Managerial Behavior,

    Agency Costs and Ownership Structure," Journal of Financial Economics 3,

    December 1976, pp. 305-360.

    Kim, E.H., "A Mean-Variance Theory of Optimal Capital Structure and Corporate

    Debt Capacity,"Journal of Finance 33, March 1978, pp. 45-63.

    Kraus, A. and R.H. Litzenberger, "A State Preference Model of Optimal Financial

    Leverage,"Journal of Finance, September 1973, pp. 911-922.

    Lev, B., "On the Association Between Operating Leverage and Risk," Journal of

    Financial and Quantitative Analysis, September 1974, pp. 627-641.

    Websites:

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    http://myiris.com/shares/research/firstcall/WIPRO_20091109.pdf

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_structure

    http://www.rhsmith.umd.edu/faculty/Gphillips/courses/bmgt640/Capstr.pdf

    http://www.igidr.ac.in/~money/mfc_5/malabika.pdf