135
RCP FINAL [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as of 28 May 2010 in 131 Figures. RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al., May 2010 URL: http://www.pik-potsdam.de/~mmalte/rcps

[FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

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Page 1: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

RCP FINAL

[FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as of 28 May 2010 in 131 Figures. RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al., May 2010 URL: http://www.pik-potsdam.de/~mmalte/rcps

Page 2: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

[RADIATIVE FORCING]

Page 3: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−4

−2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

(W/m

^2)

Global TOTAL INCLVOLCANIC EFF Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:27:

11 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 4: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

(W/m

^2)

Global TOTAL ANTHRO EFF Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:27:

08 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 5: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

(W/m

^2)

Global GHG EFF Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:27:

04 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 6: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

(W/m

^2)

Global KYOTOGHG EFF Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:27:

00 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 7: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

(W/m

^2)

Global CO2CH4N2O EFF Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:26:

55 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 8: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−4

−2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

(W/m

^2)

Global TOTAL INCLVOLCANIC Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:26:

51 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 9: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

(W/m

^2)

Global TOTAL ANTHRO Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:26:

46 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 10: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

(W/m

^2)

Global Montreal Protocol Gases Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:26:

41 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 11: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

(W/m

^2)

Global HFCs, PFCs & SF6 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:26:

36 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 12: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

(W/m

^2)

Global GHG Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:26:

32 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 13: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

(W/m

^2)

Global KYOTOGHG Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:26:

27 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 14: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

(W/m

^2)

Global CO2CH4N2O Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:26:

23 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 15: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

(CO

2eq

ppm

)

Global KYOTOCO2EQ Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:26:

19 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 16: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

(CO

2eq

ppm

)

Global CO2EQ Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:26:

15 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 17: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

1

2

3

4

5

6x 10

−4

(W/m

^2)

Global CH3CL Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:26:

11 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 18: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−2

−1

0

1

2

3

4x 10

−5

(W/m

^2)

Global CH3BR Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:26:

06 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 19: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.5

1

1.5x 10

−4

(W/m

^2)

Global HALON2402 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:26:

02 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 20: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1x 10

−3

(W/m

^2)

Global HALON1301 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:25:

58 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 21: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−1

−0.8

−0.6

−0.4

−0.2

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

(W/m

^2)

Global HALON1202 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:25:

54 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 22: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4x 10

−3

(W/m

^2)

Global HALON1211 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:25:

50 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 23: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

5x 10

−3

(W/m

^2)

Global HCFC 142b Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:25:

47 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 24: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4x 10

−3

(W/m

^2)

Global HCFC 141b Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:25:

43 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 25: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

(W/m

^2)

Global HCFC 22 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:25:

39 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 26: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8x 10

−3

(W/m

^2)

Global MCF Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:25:

35 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 27: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.002

0.004

0.006

0.008

0.01

0.012

0.014

(W/m

^2)

Global Carbon Tetrachloride Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:25:

31 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 28: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8x 10

−3

(W/m

^2)

Global CFC 115 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:25:

28 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 29: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

1

2

3

4

5

6x 10

−3

(W/m

^2)

Global CFC 114 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:25:

24 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 30: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.005

0.01

0.015

0.02

0.025

0.03

(W/m

^2)

Global CFC 113 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:25:

20 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 31: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

0.12

0.14

0.16

0.18

(W/m

^2)

Global CFC 12 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:25:

16 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 32: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

(W/m

^2)

Global CFC 11 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:25:

13 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 33: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

(W/m

^2)

Global SF6 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:25:

09 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 34: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.002

0.004

0.006

0.008

0.01

0.012

0.014

0.016

0.018

(W/m

^2)

Global HFC245fa Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:25:

05 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 35: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1x 10

−3

(W/m

^2)

Global HFC227ea Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:25:

01 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 36: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.005

0.01

0.015

0.02

0.025

0.03

0.035

0.04

(W/m

^2)

Global HFC143a Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:24:

58 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 37: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

0.09

0.1

(W/m

^2)

Global HFC134a Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:24:

54 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 38: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

(W/m

^2)

Global HFC125 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:24:

45 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 39: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5x 10

−3

(W/m

^2)

Global HFC43 10 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:24:

42 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 40: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

1

2

3

4

5

6x 10

−3

(W/m

^2)

Global HFC23 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:24:

38 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 41: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

1

2

3

4

5

6

7x 10

−3

(W/m

^2)

Global HFC32 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:24:

34 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 42: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5x 10

−4

(W/m

^2)

Global C6F14 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:24:

30 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 43: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

1

2

3

4

5

6

7x 10

−3

(W/m

^2)

Global C2F6 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:24:

27 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 44: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.005

0.01

0.015

0.02

0.025

(W/m

^2)

Global CF4 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:24:

23 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 45: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−3.5

−3

−2.5

−2

−1.5

−1

−0.5

0

0.5

(W/m

^2)

Global VOLCANIC ANNUAL Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:24:

19 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 46: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−0.1

−0.05

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

(W/m

^2)

Global SOLAR Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:24:

15 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 47: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−0.07

−0.06

−0.05

−0.04

−0.03

−0.02

−0.01

0

(W/m

^2)

Global STRATOZ Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:24:

12 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 48: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

0.45

(W/m

^2)

Global TROPOZ Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:24:

08 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 49: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

0.12

(W/m

^2)

Global BCSNOW Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:24:

04 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 50: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−0.35

−0.3

−0.25

−0.2

−0.15

−0.1

−0.05

0

(W/m

^2)

Global LANDUSE Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:24:

00 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 51: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−0.8

−0.7

−0.6

−0.5

−0.4

−0.3

−0.2

−0.1

0

(W/m

^2)

Global CLOUD TOT Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:23:

56 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 52: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−0.45

−0.4

−0.35

−0.3

−0.25

−0.2

−0.15

−0.1

−0.05

0

(W/m

^2)

Global TOTAER DIR Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:23:

52 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 53: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−0.06

−0.04

−0.02

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

(W/m

^2)

Global BIOMASSAER Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:23:

48 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 54: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−0.06

−0.05

−0.04

−0.03

−0.02

−0.01

0

(W/m

^2)

Global OC (Fossil & Ind.) Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:23:

44 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 55: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

(W/m

^2)

Global BC (Fossil & Ind.) Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:23:

39 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 56: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−0.12

−0.1

−0.08

−0.06

−0.04

−0.02

0

(W/m

^2)

Global NOX (Fossil & Ind.) Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:23:

35 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 57: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−0.45

−0.4

−0.35

−0.3

−0.25

−0.2

−0.15

−0.1

−0.05

0

(W/m

^2)

Global SOX (Fossil & Ind.) Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:23:

31 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 58: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

(W/m

^2)

Global N2O Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:23:

27 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 59: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

(W/m

^2)

Global CH4 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:23:

22 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 60: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

2

4

6

8

10

12

(W/m

^2)

Global CO2 Radiative Forcing

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:23:

18 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 61: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

[CONCENTRATIONS]

Page 62: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500480

490

500

510

520

530

540

(ppt

)

Global CH3CL Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:23:

13 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 63: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25004.5

5

5.5

6

6.5

7

7.5

8

8.5

9

9.5

(ppt

)

Global CH3BR Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:23:

09 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 64: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

0.45

(ppt

)

Global HALON2402 Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:23:

05 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 65: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

(ppt

)

Global HALON1301 Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:23:

01 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 66: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

(ppt

)

Global HALON1202 Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:22:

56 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 67: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

(ppt

)

Global HALON1211 Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:22:

53 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 68: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

5

10

15

20

25

(ppt

)

Global HCFC 142b Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:22:

49 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 69: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

5

10

15

20

25

30

(ppt

)

Global HCFC 141b Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:22:

45 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 70: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

(ppt

)

Global HCFC 22 Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:22:

41 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 71: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

(ppt

)

Global MCF Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:22:

38 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 72: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

20

40

60

80

100

120

(ppt

)

Global Carbon Tetrachloride Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:22:

34 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 73: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

(ppt

)

Global CFC 115 Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:22:

30 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 74: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

(ppt

)

Global CFC 114 Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:22:

26 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 75: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

(ppt

)

Global CFC 113 Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:22:

22 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 76: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

100

200

300

400

500

600

(ppt

)

Global CFC 12 Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:22:

19 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 77: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

50

100

150

200

250

300

(ppt

)

Global CFC 11 Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:22:

15 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 78: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

20

40

60

80

100

120

(ppt

)

Global SF6 Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:22:

11 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 79: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

(ppt

)

Global HFC245fa Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:22:

07 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 80: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

(ppt

)

Global HFC227ea Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:22:

04 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 81: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

50

100

150

200

250

300

(ppt

)

Global HFC143a Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:22:

00 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 82: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

(ppt

)

Global HFC134a Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:21:

56 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 83: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

50

100

150

200

250

(ppt

)

Global HFC125 Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:21:

53 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 84: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

(ppt

)

Global HFC43 10 Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:21:

49 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 85: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

5

10

15

20

25

30

(ppt

)

Global HFC23 Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:21:

45 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 86: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

10

20

30

40

50

60

(ppt

)

Global HFC32 Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:21:

41 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 87: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

(ppt

)

Global C6F14 Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:21:

37 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 88: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

5

10

15

20

25

(ppt

)

Global C2F6 Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:21:

34 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 89: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

50

100

150

200

250

300

(ppt

)

Global CF4 Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:21:

30 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 90: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500250

300

350

400

450

500

550

(ppb

)

Global N2O Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:21:

26 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 91: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

(ppm

)

Global CH4 Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:21:

22 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 92: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

(ppm

)

Global CO2 Concentrations

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:21:

19 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 93: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

[EMISSIONS]

Page 94: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

(GtC

O2e

q/yr

)

Global Montreal Protocol Gases GWP−weighted Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:21:

15 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 95: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

(GtC

O2e

q/yr

)

Global HFCs, PFCs & SF6 GWP−weighted Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:21:

11 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 96: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

(GtC

O2e

q/yr

)

Global KYOTOGHGS GWP−weighted Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:21:

07 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 97: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25003100

3150

3200

3250

3300

3350

3400

3450

3500

3550

(Mg/

yr)

Global CH3CL Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:21:

04 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 98: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500150

160

170

180

190

200

210

220

(Mg/

yr)

Global CH3BR Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:21:

00 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 99: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

(Mg/

yr)

Global HALON2402 Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:20:

56 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 100: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

1

2

3

4

5

6

(Mg/

yr)

Global HALON1301 Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:20:

52 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 101: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

(Mg/

yr)

Global HALON1202 Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:20:

49 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 102: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

2

4

6

8

10

12

(Mg/

yr)

Global HALON1211 Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:20:

45 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 103: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

(Mg/

yr)

Global HCFC 142b Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:20:

41 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 104: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

10

20

30

40

50

60

(Mg/

yr)

Global HCFC 141b Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:20:

37 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 105: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

(Mg/

yr)

Global HCFC 22 Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:20:

34 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 106: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

(Mg/

yr)

Global MCF Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:20:

30 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 107: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

50

100

150

(Mg/

yr)

Global Carbon Tetrachloride Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:20:

26 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 108: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

(Mg/

yr)

Global CFC 115 Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:20:

18 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 109: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

(Mg/

yr)

Global CFC 114 Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:20:

14 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 110: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

50

100

150

200

250

300

(Mg/

yr)

Global CFC 113 Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:20:

10 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 111: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

100

200

300

400

500

600

(Mg/

yr)

Global CFC 12 Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:20:

06 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 112: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

(Mg/

yr)

Global CFC 11 Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:20:

02 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 113: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

(kt/y

r)

Global SF6 Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:19:

59 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 114: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

(kt/y

r)

Global HFC245fa Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:19:

55 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 115: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

2

4

6

8

10

12

(kt/y

r)

Global HFC227ea Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:19:

51 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 116: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

(kt/y

r)

Global HFC143a Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:19:

47 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 117: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

(kt/y

r)

Global HFC134a Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:19:

43 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 118: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

(kt/y

r)

Global HFC125 Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:19:

39 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 119: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

5

10

15

20

25

(kt/y

r)

Global HFC43 10 Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:19:

36 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 120: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

2

4

6

8

10

12

(kt/y

r)

Global HFC23 Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:19:

32 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 121: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

(kt/y

r)

Global HFC32 Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:19:

28 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 122: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

0.45

0.5

(kt/y

r)

Global C6F14 Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:19:

24 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 123: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

1

2

3

4

5

6

(kt/y

r)

Global C2F6 Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:19:

21 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 124: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

5

10

15

20

25

(kt/y

r)

Global CF4 Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:19:

17 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 125: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

(MtN

/yr)

Global NH3 (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + NH3 (Landuse) Emissions 9

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:19:

13 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 126: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25005

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

(Mt/y

r)

Global OC (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + OC (Landuse) Emissions 8

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:19:

09 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 127: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25001

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

(Mt/y

r)

Global BC (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + BC (Landuse) Emissions 7

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:19:

06 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 128: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

(MtN

/yr)

Global NOX (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + NOX (Landuse) Emissions 6

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:19:

02 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 129: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

50

100

150

200

250

(Mt/y

r)

Global NMVOC (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + NMVOC (Landuse) Emissions 5

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:18:

58 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 130: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

(MtC

O/y

r)

Global CO (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + CO (Landuse) Emissions 4

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:18:

54 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 131: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

(MtS

/yr)

Global SOX (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + SOX (Landuse) Emissions 3

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:18:

50 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 132: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

(MtN

2O−

N/y

r)

Global N2O (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + N2O (Landuse) Emissions 2

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:18:

47 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 133: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

(MtC

H4/

yr)

Global CH4 (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + CH4 (Landuse) Emissions 1

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:18:

43 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 134: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−1

−0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

(GtC

/yr)

Global CO2 (Landuse) Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:18:

39 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85

Page 135: [FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE]pik-potsdam.de/...FINAL_RELEASE_31May2010_OVERVIEW.pdf · rcp final release] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as

1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−10

−5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

(GtC

/yr)

Global CO2 (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions

RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>

(c)

RC

P C

once

ntra

tion

& D

ata

Gro

up, M

. Mei

nsha

usen

, S. S

mith

, K. R

iahi

, D. v

an V

uure

n et

al.

31

May

201

0 20

:18:

35 −

FIN

AL

RC

Ps

RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85