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RCP FINAL
[FIGURE COMPILATION: RCP FINAL RELEASE] Harmonized Emission, Concentration and Radiative Forcing data as of 28 May 2010 in 131 Figures. RCP Concentration & Data Group, M. Meinshausen, S. Smith, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren et al., May 2010 URL: http://www.pik-potsdam.de/~mmalte/rcps
[RADIATIVE FORCING]
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−4
−2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
(W/m
^2)
Global TOTAL INCLVOLCANIC EFF Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:27:
11 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
(W/m
^2)
Global TOTAL ANTHRO EFF Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:27:
08 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
(W/m
^2)
Global GHG EFF Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:27:
04 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
(W/m
^2)
Global KYOTOGHG EFF Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:27:
00 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
(W/m
^2)
Global CO2CH4N2O EFF Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:26:
55 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−4
−2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
(W/m
^2)
Global TOTAL INCLVOLCANIC Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:26:
51 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
(W/m
^2)
Global TOTAL ANTHRO Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:26:
46 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
(W/m
^2)
Global Montreal Protocol Gases Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:26:
41 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
(W/m
^2)
Global HFCs, PFCs & SF6 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:26:
36 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
(W/m
^2)
Global GHG Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:26:
32 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
(W/m
^2)
Global KYOTOGHG Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:26:
27 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
(W/m
^2)
Global CO2CH4N2O Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:26:
23 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
(CO
2eq
ppm
)
Global KYOTOCO2EQ Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:26:
19 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
(CO
2eq
ppm
)
Global CO2EQ Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:26:
15 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
1
2
3
4
5
6x 10
−4
(W/m
^2)
Global CH3CL Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:26:
11 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−2
−1
0
1
2
3
4x 10
−5
(W/m
^2)
Global CH3BR Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:26:
06 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.5
1
1.5x 10
−4
(W/m
^2)
Global HALON2402 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:26:
02 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1x 10
−3
(W/m
^2)
Global HALON1301 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:25:
58 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−1
−0.8
−0.6
−0.4
−0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
(W/m
^2)
Global HALON1202 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:25:
54 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4x 10
−3
(W/m
^2)
Global HALON1211 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:25:
50 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5x 10
−3
(W/m
^2)
Global HCFC 142b Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:25:
47 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4x 10
−3
(W/m
^2)
Global HCFC 141b Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:25:
43 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
(W/m
^2)
Global HCFC 22 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:25:
39 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8x 10
−3
(W/m
^2)
Global MCF Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:25:
35 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.002
0.004
0.006
0.008
0.01
0.012
0.014
(W/m
^2)
Global Carbon Tetrachloride Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:25:
31 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8x 10
−3
(W/m
^2)
Global CFC 115 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:25:
28 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
1
2
3
4
5
6x 10
−3
(W/m
^2)
Global CFC 114 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:25:
24 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
0.03
(W/m
^2)
Global CFC 113 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:25:
20 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
0.14
0.16
0.18
(W/m
^2)
Global CFC 12 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:25:
16 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
(W/m
^2)
Global CFC 11 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:25:
13 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
(W/m
^2)
Global SF6 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:25:
09 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.002
0.004
0.006
0.008
0.01
0.012
0.014
0.016
0.018
(W/m
^2)
Global HFC245fa Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:25:
05 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1x 10
−3
(W/m
^2)
Global HFC227ea Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:25:
01 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
0.03
0.035
0.04
(W/m
^2)
Global HFC143a Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:24:
58 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
0.09
0.1
(W/m
^2)
Global HFC134a Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:24:
54 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
(W/m
^2)
Global HFC125 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:24:
45 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5x 10
−3
(W/m
^2)
Global HFC43 10 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:24:
42 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
1
2
3
4
5
6x 10
−3
(W/m
^2)
Global HFC23 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:24:
38 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
1
2
3
4
5
6
7x 10
−3
(W/m
^2)
Global HFC32 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:24:
34 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5x 10
−4
(W/m
^2)
Global C6F14 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:24:
30 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
1
2
3
4
5
6
7x 10
−3
(W/m
^2)
Global C2F6 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:24:
27 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
(W/m
^2)
Global CF4 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:24:
23 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−3.5
−3
−2.5
−2
−1.5
−1
−0.5
0
0.5
(W/m
^2)
Global VOLCANIC ANNUAL Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:24:
19 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−0.1
−0.05
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
(W/m
^2)
Global SOLAR Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:24:
15 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−0.07
−0.06
−0.05
−0.04
−0.03
−0.02
−0.01
0
(W/m
^2)
Global STRATOZ Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:24:
12 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
(W/m
^2)
Global TROPOZ Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:24:
08 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
(W/m
^2)
Global BCSNOW Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:24:
04 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−0.35
−0.3
−0.25
−0.2
−0.15
−0.1
−0.05
0
(W/m
^2)
Global LANDUSE Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:24:
00 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−0.8
−0.7
−0.6
−0.5
−0.4
−0.3
−0.2
−0.1
0
(W/m
^2)
Global CLOUD TOT Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:23:
56 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−0.45
−0.4
−0.35
−0.3
−0.25
−0.2
−0.15
−0.1
−0.05
0
(W/m
^2)
Global TOTAER DIR Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:23:
52 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−0.06
−0.04
−0.02
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
(W/m
^2)
Global BIOMASSAER Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:23:
48 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−0.06
−0.05
−0.04
−0.03
−0.02
−0.01
0
(W/m
^2)
Global OC (Fossil & Ind.) Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:23:
44 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
(W/m
^2)
Global BC (Fossil & Ind.) Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:23:
39 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−0.12
−0.1
−0.08
−0.06
−0.04
−0.02
0
(W/m
^2)
Global NOX (Fossil & Ind.) Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:23:
35 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−0.45
−0.4
−0.35
−0.3
−0.25
−0.2
−0.15
−0.1
−0.05
0
(W/m
^2)
Global SOX (Fossil & Ind.) Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:23:
31 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
(W/m
^2)
Global N2O Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:23:
27 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
(W/m
^2)
Global CH4 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:23:
22 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
2
4
6
8
10
12
(W/m
^2)
Global CO2 Radiative Forcing
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:23:
18 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
[CONCENTRATIONS]
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500480
490
500
510
520
530
540
(ppt
)
Global CH3CL Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:23:
13 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25004.5
5
5.5
6
6.5
7
7.5
8
8.5
9
9.5
(ppt
)
Global CH3BR Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:23:
09 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
(ppt
)
Global HALON2402 Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:23:
05 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
(ppt
)
Global HALON1301 Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:23:
01 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
(ppt
)
Global HALON1202 Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:22:
56 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
(ppt
)
Global HALON1211 Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:22:
53 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
5
10
15
20
25
(ppt
)
Global HCFC 142b Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:22:
49 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
5
10
15
20
25
30
(ppt
)
Global HCFC 141b Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:22:
45 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
(ppt
)
Global HCFC 22 Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:22:
41 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
(ppt
)
Global MCF Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:22:
38 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
20
40
60
80
100
120
(ppt
)
Global Carbon Tetrachloride Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:22:
34 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
(ppt
)
Global CFC 115 Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:22:
30 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
(ppt
)
Global CFC 114 Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:22:
26 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
(ppt
)
Global CFC 113 Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:22:
22 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
100
200
300
400
500
600
(ppt
)
Global CFC 12 Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:22:
19 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
50
100
150
200
250
300
(ppt
)
Global CFC 11 Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:22:
15 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
20
40
60
80
100
120
(ppt
)
Global SF6 Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:22:
11 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
(ppt
)
Global HFC245fa Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:22:
07 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
(ppt
)
Global HFC227ea Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:22:
04 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
50
100
150
200
250
300
(ppt
)
Global HFC143a Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:22:
00 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
(ppt
)
Global HFC134a Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:21:
56 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
50
100
150
200
250
(ppt
)
Global HFC125 Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:21:
53 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
(ppt
)
Global HFC43 10 Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:21:
49 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
5
10
15
20
25
30
(ppt
)
Global HFC23 Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:21:
45 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
10
20
30
40
50
60
(ppt
)
Global HFC32 Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:21:
41 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
(ppt
)
Global C6F14 Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:21:
37 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
5
10
15
20
25
(ppt
)
Global C2F6 Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:21:
34 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
50
100
150
200
250
300
(ppt
)
Global CF4 Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:21:
30 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500250
300
350
400
450
500
550
(ppb
)
Global N2O Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:21:
26 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
(ppm
)
Global CH4 Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:21:
22 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
(ppm
)
Global CO2 Concentrations
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:21:
19 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
[EMISSIONS]
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
(GtC
O2e
q/yr
)
Global Montreal Protocol Gases GWP−weighted Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:21:
15 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
(GtC
O2e
q/yr
)
Global HFCs, PFCs & SF6 GWP−weighted Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:21:
11 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
(GtC
O2e
q/yr
)
Global KYOTOGHGS GWP−weighted Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:21:
07 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25003100
3150
3200
3250
3300
3350
3400
3450
3500
3550
(Mg/
yr)
Global CH3CL Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:21:
04 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500150
160
170
180
190
200
210
220
(Mg/
yr)
Global CH3BR Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:21:
00 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
(Mg/
yr)
Global HALON2402 Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:20:
56 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
1
2
3
4
5
6
(Mg/
yr)
Global HALON1301 Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:20:
52 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
(Mg/
yr)
Global HALON1202 Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:20:
49 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
2
4
6
8
10
12
(Mg/
yr)
Global HALON1211 Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:20:
45 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
(Mg/
yr)
Global HCFC 142b Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:20:
41 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
10
20
30
40
50
60
(Mg/
yr)
Global HCFC 141b Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:20:
37 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
(Mg/
yr)
Global HCFC 22 Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:20:
34 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
(Mg/
yr)
Global MCF Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:20:
30 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
50
100
150
(Mg/
yr)
Global Carbon Tetrachloride Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:20:
26 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
(Mg/
yr)
Global CFC 115 Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:20:
18 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
(Mg/
yr)
Global CFC 114 Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:20:
14 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
50
100
150
200
250
300
(Mg/
yr)
Global CFC 113 Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:20:
10 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
100
200
300
400
500
600
(Mg/
yr)
Global CFC 12 Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:20:
06 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
(Mg/
yr)
Global CFC 11 Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:20:
02 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
(kt/y
r)
Global SF6 Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:19:
59 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
(kt/y
r)
Global HFC245fa Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:19:
55 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
2
4
6
8
10
12
(kt/y
r)
Global HFC227ea Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:19:
51 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
(kt/y
r)
Global HFC143a Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:19:
47 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
(kt/y
r)
Global HFC134a Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:19:
43 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
(kt/y
r)
Global HFC125 Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:19:
39 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
5
10
15
20
25
(kt/y
r)
Global HFC43 10 Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:19:
36 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
2
4
6
8
10
12
(kt/y
r)
Global HFC23 Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:19:
32 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
(kt/y
r)
Global HFC32 Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:19:
28 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
0.5
(kt/y
r)
Global C6F14 Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:19:
24 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
1
2
3
4
5
6
(kt/y
r)
Global C2F6 Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:19:
21 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
5
10
15
20
25
(kt/y
r)
Global CF4 Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:19:
17 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
(MtN
/yr)
Global NH3 (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + NH3 (Landuse) Emissions 9
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:19:
13 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25005
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
(Mt/y
r)
Global OC (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + OC (Landuse) Emissions 8
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:19:
09 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25001
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
(Mt/y
r)
Global BC (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + BC (Landuse) Emissions 7
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:19:
06 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
(MtN
/yr)
Global NOX (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + NOX (Landuse) Emissions 6
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:19:
02 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
50
100
150
200
250
(Mt/y
r)
Global NMVOC (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + NMVOC (Landuse) Emissions 5
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:18:
58 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
(MtC
O/y
r)
Global CO (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + CO (Landuse) Emissions 4
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:18:
54 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
(MtS
/yr)
Global SOX (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + SOX (Landuse) Emissions 3
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:18:
50 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
(MtN
2O−
N/y
r)
Global N2O (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + N2O (Landuse) Emissions 2
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:18:
47 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 25000
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
(MtC
H4/
yr)
Global CH4 (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + CH4 (Landuse) Emissions 1
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:18:
43 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−1
−0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
(GtC
/yr)
Global CO2 (Landuse) Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:18:
39 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500−10
−5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
(GtC
/yr)
Global CO2 (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions
RCPs|−RCP Extension−><−Historical Data −| |−Stabil. RCP4.5−> |−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
(c)
RC
P C
once
ntra
tion
& D
ata
Gro
up, M
. Mei
nsha
usen
, S. S
mith
, K. R
iahi
, D. v
an V
uure
n et
al.
31
May
201
0 20
:18:
35 −
FIN
AL
RC
Ps
RCP3PDRCP45RCP45SCP45to3PDRCP6RCP6SCP6to45RCP85