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  • 8/13/2019 FIA Final Version

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    Justification of Issuing Price of

    RAK Ceramics (Bangladesh) Limited

    Prepared forMr. Manirul Ahsan

    Foreign Private Equity & Debt Specialist

    Course Instructor, Financial Inor!ation Analysis

    Prepared byApon Das "#oll$ %'

    Mushtahir A(i( #ah!an "#oll$ )*'

    Mahbubur #ah!an "#oll$ )'

    M+. i(bul Si-+er "#oll$ '

    M+. Mohiu++in /ahangir "#oll$ 01'2anvir asan Cho3+hury "#oll$ 04'

    M5A 06D, I5A "D7'

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    #A8 at a glance#A8 Cera!ics 5angla+esh 9i!ite+

    Subsi+iary o #A8 Cera!ics PSC, 7AE

    :perational since ;ove!ber *, )44< in5angla+esh

    Asset 0,111,%

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    S>:2 AnalysisStrength

    Strong bran+ na!e "S7PE#5#A;D, M#M business A3ar+, 5ran+ Finance Mi++leEast A3ar+ etc'

    In 5angla+esh, every 0th sanitary 3are i?e+ is non #A8 cera!ics an+ every 0th

    tile is #A8 cera!ics

    Strong supply chain "1%% global suppliers, 4< +ealer'

    >ea-ness

    Susceptibility to e?change rate an+ political ris-

    2hreats

    Stagnating real estate gro3th rate in 5angla+esh "7rban gro3th rate is currently.6@'

    :pportunity

    overn!ent policy "Acco!!o+ation or all by %), 01@ +uty on i!porte+ tiles,targete+ DP gro3th rate o )%@ by %)6'

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    PorterBs Five Forces Mo+elSuppliersB bargaining po3er$ 9o3 "1%% suppliers'

    5uyersB bargaining po3er$ Mo+erate

    Co!petition$ 9o3 ")) co!petitors #A8 has 1@tiles an+ *6@ sanitary 3are !ar-et share'

    Substitute pro+ucts$ Fe3

    2hreat o ne3 entrant$ Mo+erate "high capitalrequire!ent, several co!panies 3ere in pipeline'

    Scale$ .01.%

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    PES2E AnalysisPolitical$ :5Bs +iscourage!ent or i!porte+ goo+s in

    iscal bu+get=%%4, Political stability

    Econo!ic$ #eal DP gro3th rate o 1.60@ in %%4 an+*.%6@ in %)%, Frontier FiveB econo!y "/P Morgan' an+;e?t ))B "ol+!an Sachs',

    Social$ ro3ing !i++le class, Acceptability o oreignco!pany pro+ucts a!ong consu!ers

    2echnological$ ;o history o non operation, superiorquality ra3 !aterials, international +esign quality,access to appropriate ne3 technology

    Environ!ental$ 9arge scale E2P installation on March,%%4

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    #is- PerspectiveInterest rate ris-$ lo3 "cash richness, lo3 +ebt to equity ratio'

    E?change rate ris-$ igh

    In+ustry an+ !ar-et ris-$ Mo+erate

    Slo3 !oving inventory ris-$ Mo+erate

    ;ature o the in+ustry

    )1 +ays sales in inventory

    :ther ris-s$ 9o3 supply chain, technology relate+ ris-s,

    operational ris-s, !anage!ent an+ labour relate+ ris-s

    Cre+it rating$ AA long ter!, S2=) short ter! by C#IS9

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    Techniques Price V

    NAV/NTAV

    P/E Multiple DDM P/BV

    Value 12.56 32.31 38.6 .8!

    "ei#ht$Equal%

    !.25 !.25 !.25 !.25 32.!6

    "ei#ht$Base& 'n()p'rtance%

    !.3! !.3! !.2! !.2! 3!.1

    stimated !air "alue

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    2he Fair Galue o #A8 Stoc- beco!es 0.1*3hich 3as sho3n .)

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    2han- Hou