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Fetal, Perinatal, and Infant Mortality
Danielle Ely, Ph.D. Division of Vital Statistics
National Center for Health Statistics
Presented to the Secretary’s Advisory Committee on Infant Mortality December 4, 2018
Vital Statistics Data Files • National data files currently available:
• Birth (natality)
• 2017 final • Rapid Release provisional estimates through first quarter of 2018
• Mortality
• 2017 final • Rapid Release provisional estimates through first quarter of 2018
Fetal death data file and cause of death • Fetal availability:
• 2016 final (demographic only) • 2015 and 2016 COD anticipated early 2019 • 2017 (both demographic and COD) anticipated early 2019
• Starting with 2017 fetal death data, cause of death will be released
with the demographic file.
• NCHS has dramatically improved timing of COD coding for both general mortality and fetal death.
Vital Statistics Data Files continued • Linked birth/infant death
• 2016 period file; 2012 cohort file
• 2017 period file and 2013 cohort file anticipated early 2019
• Rapid Release provisional estimates through end of 2017 (quarter 4)
Infant mortality data • Links birth and death certificate data for infant deaths (i.e., deaths
within a year of birth). • Purpose: To use more detailed data from the birth certificate for infant mortality
analysis (e.g., maternal demographic characteristics and pregnancy risk factors). • More accurate information on maternal race and ethnicity than mortality (i.e.,
birth certificate = maternal self-report.) • Historically: 2 files- period (2 birth years and 1 death year) and cohort (1 birth
year and 2 death years). • Starting in 2017, users will be able to create their own cohort files by combining
2 period files.
• Improvements in timeliness of release of the infant mortality period file made possible by improvements in the timeliness of the mortality file.
Total fetal, early fetal, late fetal, and perinatal mortality rates: United States, 2000-2016
6.61 6.02
3.31 3.15 3.32
2.88
6.97
6.00
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Infa
nt d
eath
s per
1,0
00 li
ve b
irths
, fet
al d
eath
s per
1,
000
live
birth
s and
feta
l dea
ths
SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System.
Perinatal
Fetal
Early Fetal
Late Fetal
Total infant, neonatal, and postneonatal mortality rates: United States, 2000-2016
6.89
5.87
4.62
3.88
2.27 1.99
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Infa
nt d
eath
s per
1,0
00 li
ve b
irths
, fet
al d
eath
s per
1,
000
live
birth
s and
feta
l dea
ths
Neonatal
Postneonatal
Total Infant
SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System, Linked birth/ infant death data set.
Total infant, neonatal, postneonatal, and perinatal rates, United States 2011-2016
6.07 5.87
4.06 3.88
2.01 1.99
6.26 6.00
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Infa
nt d
eath
s per
1,0
00 li
ve b
irths
or i
nfan
t de
aths
per
1,0
00 li
ve b
irths
and
feta
l dea
ths
SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System, Linked birth/ infant death data set.
Perinatal
Total infant
Neonatal
Postneonatal
DC
MT
WY
ID
WA
OR
NV
UT
CA
AZ
ND
SD
NE
CO
NM
TX
OK
KS
AR
LA
MO
IA
MN
WI
IL IN
KY
TN
MS AL GA
FL
SC
NC
VA WV
OH
MI
NY
PA
MD
DE
NJ CT
RI
MA
ME
VT NH
AK
HI Significantly lower IMR than 2011 Significantly higher IMR than 2011 No significant difference between 2011 and 2016
Changes in infant mortality rates from 2011 to 2016, United States
SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System, Linked birth/ infant death data set.
Perinatal mortality rates, by race and Hispanic origin of mother: 49 states and the District of Columbia, 2014-2016
10.59
5.39 5.04
10.53
5.43 4.97
10.66
5.35 4.98
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Non-Hispanic black Hispanic Non-Hispanic white
2014 2015 2016
Rat
e pe
r 1,0
00 li
ve b
irths
and
feta
l dea
ths i
n sp
ecifi
ed g
roup
NOTE: All years exclude data for Rhode Island, which did not report mother’s race or Hispanic origin for fetal deaths for 2015. SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System.
Infant mortality rates by race and Hispanic origin of mother: United States, 2007-2016
5.76
4.87
13.63
11.21
8.06 8.61
4.89
3.97
5.62 4.96
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Non-Hispanic Black
American Indian/Alaska Native
Hispanic
Asian or Pacific Islander
Non-Hispanic White
Infa
nt d
eath
s per
1,0
00 li
ve b
irths
SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System, Linked birth/ infant death data set.
MT
WY
ID
WA
OR
NV
UT
CA
AZ
ND
SD
NE
CO
NM
TX
OK
KS
AR
LA
MO
IA
MN
WI
IL
IN
KY
TN
MS
AL
GA
FL
SC
NC
VA WV
OH
MI
NY
PA
MD
DE
NJ
CT
.
RI
MA
ME VT
NH
AK
HI
DC
U.S. rate is 5.87
Less than 4.00 8.00-8.99
5.00-5.99
7.00-7.99
4.00-4.99
6.00-6.99
9.00-9.99
Infant mortality rates by state: United States, 2016
NOTE: The range of rates is 3.47 in Vermont to 9.03 in Alabama per 1,000 live births.
Source: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System
MT
WY
ID
WA
OR
NV
UT
CA
AZ
ND
SD
NE
CO
NM
TX
OK
KS
AR
LA
MO
IA
MN
WI
IL IN
KY
TN
MS AL GA
FL
SC
NC
VA WV
OH
MI
NY
PA
MD
DE
NJ CT RI
MA
ME VT NH
AK
HI
DC
2013-2015 U.S. Infant mortality rate for infants of non-Hispanic white women is 4.95.
4.00-4.99 Less than 4.00
5.00-5.99
7.00-7.99 6.00-6.99
Infant mortality rates by state for infants of non-Hispanic white women: United States, 2013-2015
NOTE: The range of rates is 2.52 in the District of Columbia to 7.04 in Arkansas per 1,000 live births.
Source: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System
MT
WY
ID
WA
OR
NV
UT
CA
ND
SD
NE
CO
AZ NM
TX
OK
KS
AR
LA
MO
IA
MN
WI
IL IN
KY
TN
MS AL GA
FL
SC
NC
VA WV
OH
MI
NY
PA
MD
DE
NJ CT
RI
MA
ME
VT NH
AK
HI
DC
2013-2015 U.S. Infant mortality rate for infants of
Unreliable, fewer than 20 infant deaths
Hispanic women is 4.99.
4.00-4.99 Less than 4.00
5.00-5.99
7.00-7.99 6.00-6.99
Infant mortality rates by state for infants of Hispanic women: United States, 2013-2015
NOTE: The range of rates is 3.94 in Iowa to 7.28 in Michigan per 1,000 live births.
Source: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System
MT
WY
ID
WA
OR
NV
UT
CA
AZ
ND
SD
NE
CO
NM
TX
OK
KS
AR
LA
MO
IA
MN
WI
IL IN
KY
TN
MS AL GA
FL
SC
NC
VA WV
OH
MI
NY
PA
MD
DE
NJ CT
RI
MA
ME
VT NH
AK
HI
DC
2013-2015 U.S. Infant mortality rate for infants of non-Hispanic black womenis 11.10.
8.00-8.99 9.00-9.99 10.00-10.99
Unreliable, fewer than 20 infant deaths
11.00-11.99 12.00 or more
Infant mortality rates by state for infants of non-Hispanic black women: United States, 2013-2015
NOTE: The range of rates is 8.27 in Massachusetts to 14.28 in Wisconsin per 1,000 live births.
Source: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System
Non-Hispanic white, Hispanic, and non-Hispanic black 2013-2015 infant mortality rates
Non-Hispanic White Hispanic Non-Hispanic Black
00 UnrL s ha 00 8. eliable, fewer e s t n 4. -8.99 4.00-4.99 9.00-9.99 than 20 infant
deaths 5.00-5.99 10.00-10.99 6.00-6.99 11.00-11.99 7.00-7.99 12.00 or more
SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System, Linked birth/ infant death data set.
Mortality rates for five leading causes of infant death: United States, 2007, 2015, and 2016
134.9
112.7
41.1
57.0
29.7
121.8
102.7
38.4 39.4 32.4
122.2
99.5
35.7 38.0 30.8
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Congenital Malformations Low Birthweight Maternal Complications Sudden Infant deathSyndrome
Unintentional injuries
Infa
nt d
eath
s per
100
,000
live
birt
hs
2007 2015 2016
SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System, Linked birth/ infant death data set.
Mortality rates for five leading causes of neonatal and postneonatal death: United States, 2016
35.8 34.9 27.4
9.1 6.4
97.7
86.4
35.3
21.0 14.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Lowbirthweight
CongenitalMalformations
MaternalComplications
Placenta,cord, andmembrane
complications
BacterialSepsis
CongenitalMalformations
SIDS Unintentionalinjury
Diseasesof the
circulatory system
Homicide
Infa
nt d
eath
s per
100
,000
live
birt
hs
Postneonatal Neonatal
SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System, Linked birth/ infant death data set.
Five leading causes of neonatal death by race and Hispanic origin of mother: United States, 2016
Rank Non-Hispanic White Non-Hispanic Black Hispanic
1 Congenital Malformations Low Birthweight Congenital Malformations
2 Low Birthweight
Congenital Malformations
Low Birthweight
3 Maternal Complications Maternal Complications Maternal Complications
4 Placenta, Cord, and Membrane Complications
Placenta, Cord, and Membrane Complications
Placenta, Cord, and Membrane Complications
5 Bacterial Sepsis Bacterial Sepsis Bacterial Sepsis
SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System, Linked birth/ infant death data set.
Five leading causes of postneonatal death by race and Hispanic origin of mother: United States, 2016
Rank Non-Hispanic White Non-Hispanic Black Hispanic
1 SIDS
SIDS
Congenital Malformations
2 Congenital Malformations
Unintentional Injuries
SIDS
3 Unintentional Injuries Congenital Malformations
Unintentional Injuries
4 Diseases of the Circulatory System
Diseases of the Circulatory System
Diseases of the Circulatory System
5 Homicide Homicide Septicemia/Homicide
SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System, Linked birth/ infant death data set.
SIDS and SUID mortality rates: United States, 1999-2016
66.75
54.55 57.02
37.99
92.24 91.08 95.89
88.80
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Infa
nt d
eath
s per
100
,000
live
birt
hs
SIDS SUID
*
*
SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System, Linked birth/ infant death data set. NOTE: *New SUID reporting guide released in 2006, may have contributed to increase between 2006-2007
Percentage of preterm births by maternal race and Hispanic origin: United States, 2016
9.85 9.06
13.64
9.45
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Total Non-Hispanic White Non-Hispanic Black Hispanic
Perc
ent
NOTE: Gestational age is expressed in completed weeks based on the obstetric estimate of gestation. SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System, Natality.
5.87
190.15
20.12 8.65 3.26 1.72 1.49 4.31
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Total <32 32-33 34-36 37-38 39-40 41 42+
Infa
nt d
eath
s per
1,0
00 li
ve b
irths
Preterm
Infant mortality rates by gestational age, United States, 2016
NOTE: Gestational age is expressed in completed weeks based on the obstetric estimate of gestation. SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System, Linked birth/ infant death data set.
Infant mortality rates for preterm births (less than 37 weeks) by maternal race and Hispanic origin: United States, 2016
173.62
215.62
181.54
19.63 19.42 22.06 8.77 11.13 7.42
0
50
100
150
200
250
Non-Hispanic White Non-Hispanic Black Hispanic
Infa
nt d
eath
s per
1,0
00 li
ve b
irths
<32 weeks 32-33 weeks 34-36
NOTE: Gestational age is expressed in completed weeks based on the obstetric estimate of gestation. SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System, Linked birth/ infant death data set.
Percent of preterm-related infant mortality by maternal race and Hispanic origin: United States, 2016
35.8
29.8
44.1
36.1
0
10
20
30
40
50
Total Non-Hispanic White Non-Hispanic Black Hispanic
Perc
ent o
f inf
ant d
eath
s due
to p
rete
rm
rela
ted
caus
es
NOTE: Gestational age is expressed in completed weeks based on the obstetric estimate of gestation. SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System, Linked birth/ infant death data set.
Infant mortality rates by urbanization level
SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System, Linked birth/ infant death data set.
SOURCE: Ely DM. Infant Mortality Rate, by Urbanization Level*-National Vital Statistics System, United States, 2007 and 2015. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR): 66(41), 1122. 2017.
6.38
7.09 7.45
5.44
6.36 6.78
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Large urban counties Small and medium urban counties Rural counties
Infa
nt d
eath
s per
1,0
00 li
ve b
irths
Large urban counties Small or Medium urban counties Rural counties
Infant mortality rates by urbanization level: United States, 2007 and 2015
SOURCE: Ely DM. Infant Mortality Rate, by Urbanization Level*-National Vital Statistics System, United States, 2007 and 2015. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly
Small or Medium urban counties Rural counties
7.09 7.45
6.36 6.78
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Small and medium urban counties Rural counties
Infa
nt d
eath
s per
1,0
00 li
ve b
irths
Rural 5% higher
Rural 7% higher
SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System, Linked birth/infant death data set.
Infant mortality rates by urbanization level, 2007 and 2015
SOURCE: Ely DM. Infant Mortality Rate, by Urbanization Level*-National Vital Statistics System, United States, 2007 and 2015. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly R t (MMWR) 66(41) 1122 2017
Infant mortality rates by urbanization level: United States, 2007 and 2015
9 Large urban counties Rural counties
8 7.45
hs 7 6.78
rt 6.38 Rural 17% higher
bi
vei 6 5.44
000
l
5
r 1,
pe 4
hsta d
e 3
ntIn
fa 2 Rural 25% higher
1
0Large urban counties Rural counties
SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System, Linked birth/infant death data set. SOURCE: Ely DM. Infant Mortality Rate, by Urbanization Level*-National Vital Statistics System, United States, 2007 and 2015. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly
Total infant, neonatal, and postneonatal mortality rates by urbanization level: United States, 2016
6.70
5.74
4.09 3.85
2.61
1.89
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Rural Urban*
Infa
nt d
eath
s per
1,0
00 li
ve b
irths
Total infant Neonatal Postneonatal
SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System, Linked birth/ infant death data set.
Conclusions - trends • Fetal mortality was essentially unchanged from 2011-2016
• Infant mortality has also been essentially unchanged since 2011
• Accordingly, there have been no recent improvement in overall perinatal
mortality
• Only four states significantly improved infant mortality rates in 2016 compared with 2011
• Lower rate in 2016: California, New Jersey, New York, Virginia
Conclusions – infant mortality by race and Hispanic origin
• Non-Hispanic black infants continue to have infant mortality rates more than twice as high as those for non-Hispanic white, Asian or Pacific Islander, and Hispanic infants
• Native American or Alaska Native infants have the second highest infant mortality rates
• Compared with 2011, mortality rates for non-Hispanic white and Asian or Pacific Islander infants were lower in 2016; rates for the other 3 race and Hispanic origin groups were essentially unchanged
• The lowest mortality rates by state for infants of non-Hispanic black women
were higher than the highest mortality rates by state for infants of non-Hispanic white and Hispanic women
Conclusions – total infant leading causes of death
• The five leading causes of infant mortality for 2016 were:
• congenital malformations • low birthweight • maternal complications • SIDS • unintentional injuries
• Consistently the leading 5 causes of infant mortality since 2006
Conclusions – neonatal leading causes of death • The five leading causes of neonatal mortality for 2016 were:
• low birthweight • congenital malformations • maternal complications • placenta, cord, and membrane complications • bacterial sepsis.
• Consistently the leading 5 causes of neonatal mortality since 2007 (except in
2011 when bacterial sepsis was ranked 6th) • Same 5 leading causes of neonatal mortality for non-Hispanic white, non-
Hispanic black, and Hispanic infants
Conclusions – postneonatal leading causes of death
• The five leading causes of neonatal mortality were:
• congenital malformations • SIDS • unintentional injuries • diseases of the circulatory system • homicide
• Consistently the leading 5 causes of postneonatal mortality since 2010 (before
this, homicide/assault was ranked 6th or 7th for several years) • Same 5 leading causes of postneonatal mortality for non-Hispanic white, non-
Hispanic black, and Hispanic infants (Hispanic infants also have septicemia tied for 5th)
Conclusions – SIDS/SUID and preterm-related infant mortality
• Since 2007 (the year after new reporting guide released), SIDS rates declined 33% and SUID rates declined 7%
• Preterm-related causes of death accounted for more than 1/3 of infant deaths in 2016
• Large differences by race and Hispanic origin (e.g. 29.8% non-Hispanic white; 44.1%
non-Hispanic black.
Conclusions – urban / rural divide
• Total infant, neonatal, and postneonatal mortality rates are higher in rural counties than in urban counties
• Higher rural infant mortality has been consistent over time
• Differences between rural and urban counties have widened over time
Looking ahead
• 2017 linked file data will be based fully on the 2003 birth certificate revision
• Users will be able to make their own cohort files starting with the re-release of the 2017 data
• Will continue to make improvements to data timeliness
Thank you!
Questions?