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February 19, 2015IEEE EDS MQ, WIMNACT 45,Tokyo Institute of Technology, Yokohama, Japan
Hiroshi Iwai
Frontier Research Center, Tokyo Institute of Technology
Future of Electron Devices Technologies
1
1. Brief introduction of our research group in Tokyo Institute of Technology
Outline of my talk:
2. Innovations of logic device technology for past 60 years
3. Innovations of logic device technology for next 60 years
2 & 3 based on ESSDERC Tutorial & IEDM Panel, both in2014
ESSDERC Tutorial, September 22, 2014, Venice, Italy
60 Years of IEDM and Counting: Did we push silicon based devices for integrated electronics to the ultimate and what does the future hold?
IEDM Panel, December 18, 2014, San Francisco, USA
Moderator: Krishna Saraswat (Stanford University)
Panelist:Jesus del Alamo (MIT), Compound/PowerChenming Hu (University of California, Berkeley): Si DeviceHiroshi Iwai (Tokyo Institute of Technology):Process/DeviceYoshi Nishi (Stanford University):MemoryKurt Petersen (Co-founder of MEMS companies):MEMS/sensorPhilip Wong (Stanford University):Nano technology
1. Brief introduction of my research group in Tokyo Institute of Technology
Outline of my talk:
2. Innovations of logic device technology for past 60 years
3. Innovations of logic device technology for next 60 years
2 & 3 based on ESSDERC Tutorial & IEDM Panel, both in2014
Tokyo Institute of Technology (東京工業大学)
Suzukakedai Campus (鈴懸台校庭)
Interdisciplinary Gradate School of Science and Engineering(大学院総合理工学研究科)
Department of Electronics and Applied Physics(物理電子系統創造専攻)
Frontier Research Center (先端研究機構)
Department of Electronics and Applied Physics(集積機能素子分野)
Research Project: Creation of Green Nanoelectronic Devices(環境保全極微電子素子創生事業)
Suzukakedai Campus
Interdisciplinary Gradate School of Science and Engineering
Frontier Research Center
Members of Iwai & Kakushima Laboratory November, 2014
SecretaryBachelorStudents
M. NishizawaA. Matsumoto
L. PuchengM. Okamoto X. H. Tan Y. Nakamura H. Hasegawa S. Munekiyo M. MotokiH. Imamura
Y. Lei J. Jin
T. Shoji
M. Yoon T. Ohashi T. Katou M. Sugiura H. Hori A. Miyawaki
K. Ohga K. MatsuuraT. Suzuki
T. Baba R. Fukui R. Miyazawa
Prof.K. Natori
Prof.H. Iwai
A. Prof.K. Kakushima
Prof.N. Sugii
Prof.K. Tsutsui
Prof.S. M. Sze
Prof.A. Nishiyama
Prof.Y. Kataoka
Prof.H. Wakabayashi
Prof.H. Ohashi
MasterStudents
Researcher
T. Kawanago
DoctorStudents
M. Koyama S. YamaguchiW. Li C. J. Ning A. SasakiH. Yabuhara
研究風景
9
Research Project: Creation of Green Nanoelectronic Devices(環境保全極微電子素子創生事業)
Information Technology
Renewable Energy
Power Saving Technology
Integrated Circuit Technology
Si nanowire-FET, High-k gate stack, silicide S/D
InGaAs/Ge-FET, T-FET, RRAM
CMOS Image sensor, Other sensor
Photovoltaic devices: Si-nanowire, BaSi/FeSi
Si-IGBT, GaN, SiC Power devices
Brain: Integrated Circuits
Hands, Legs:Power device
Stomach:PV device
Ear, Eye:Sensor
Mouth:RF/Opto device
Various semiconductor devicesBrain is very important
11
1. Brief introduction of my research group in Tokyo Institute of Technology
Outline of my talk:
2. Innovations of logic device technology for past 60 years
3. Innovations of logic device technology for next 60 years
2 & 3 based on ESSDERC Tutorial & IEDM Panel, both in2014
Lee De Forest
Electronics started by the invention of vacuum tube (Triode) in 1906
Cathode(heated) Grid
Anode(Positive bias)
Thermal electrons from cathodecontrolled by grid bias
Same mechanism as that of transistor
1947: 1st transistor W. Bratten,
W. ShockleyBipolar using Ge
However, they found amplification phenomenon when investigatingGe surface when putting needles.This is the 1st Transistor: Not Field Effect Transistor, But Bipolar Transistor (another mechanism)
J. Bardeen
14
1960: First MOSFET by D. Kahng and M. Atalla
Al
SiO2Si
Si/SiO2 Interface is extraordinarily good
Top View
Gate Oxd
ChannelSource Drain
Gate electrodeSurface
S D
G
Electron flow
15
1970,71: 1st generation of LSIs (Si-MOSFETs)1k bit DRAM Intel 1103 MPU Intel 4004
(Clock 750 KHz)
1970 Microelecrtonics started
16
2000 “Nano-Electronics” started.
Intel Pentium 4 : Clock 1 ~ 2 GHz
180 nm
17
Now, 2015 “Nano-Electronics” continued.
Device: Still, Si CMOS integrated circuitsDevice feature size: a few 10 nmMajor Appl.: Still Digital (µ-processor, cell phone, etc.)
Still evolution and innovation are going on.
Broadwell SoC (Intel)
http://download.intel.com/newsroom/kits/14nm/pdfs/Intel_14nm_New_uArch.pdf18
1900 1950 1960 1970 2000
VacuumTube
Transistor IC LSI VLSI
10 cm cm mm 10 µm 100 nm
In 100 years, the size reduced by ten million times.There have been many devices from stone age.We have never experienced such a tremendous reduction of devices in human history.
10-1m 10-2m 10-3m 10-5m 10-7m
Downsizing of the components has been the driving force for circuit evolution
2014
VLSI
14 nm
10-8m
19
What is the innovations in the past 60 years.
That is from the beginning of IEDM
IEDM:International Electron Devices Meeting60 year history
1st IEDM, October 24-25, 1955 in Washington DC
10 sessions in total
1 general session
6 Vacuum tube sessions
3 Semiconductor sessions
“Semiconductor Devices” by J. A. Morton, Bell Labs.
“Thermionic Cathodes” by L. S. Nergaad, RCA Labs.
“Microwave Tubes” by L. M. Field, Huges Aircraft Co.
1954: 1st Si Bipolar Transistor by Bell Labs• 1st Commercial Si Bipolar Transistor by TI
1947: 1st Bipolar Transistor (Ge) by Bell Labs.
1952: Diffusion Process by Bell Labs1954: Photo lithography by Bell Labs
http://www.computerhistory.org/semiconductor/welcome.html
1955: Thermally grown SiO2 film by Bell Labs1950’s: Pure Si substrate by Czochralski method by TI 1950’s: Thin film deposition evaporation/sputtering/CVD
Innovations for semiconductor devices before the 1st IEDM (1955)
• But no MOSFETs nor IC.
• Most of Process techniques existed before the 1st IEDM
http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/physics/laureates/2014/
The Nobel Prize in Physics in 2014
The Nobel Prize in Physics 2014 was awarded jointly to Isamu Akasaki, Hiroshi Amano and Shuji Nakamura "for the invention of efficient blue light-emitting diodes which has enabled bright and energy-saving white light sources".
Isamu Akasaki Hiroshi Amano Shuji Nakamura
So, what semiconductor materials are related to Nobel Prize?
Innovations recognized as Nobel Prize
What semiconductor materials are related to Nobel Prize?
Innovations recognized as Nobel Prize
1956 W. B. Shockley, J. Bardeen, W. S. Brattin, Ge bipolar transistor (Germanium)
What semiconductor materials are related to Nobel Prize?
Innovations recognized as Nobel Prize
1973 L. Esaki, I. GIaever, for tunneling effect, Ge-diode (Germanium)
1956 W. B. Shockley, J. Bardeen, W. S. Brattin, Ge bipolar transistor (Germanium)
What semiconductor materials are related to Nobel Prize?
Innovations recognized as Nobel Prize
2000 J. S. Kilby, for Integrated Circuits, Ge bipolar transistor (Germanium)
1973 L. Esaki, I. GIaever, for tunneling effect, Ge-diode (Germanium)
1956 W. B. Shockley, J. Bardeen, W. S. Brattin, Ge bipolar transistor (Germanium)
What semiconductor materials are related to Nobel Prize?
Innovations recognized as Nobel Prize
2000 Z. I. Alferov, H. Cromer, for Semiconductor Hetero-junction: (Compound)
2000 J. S. Kilby, for Integrated Circuits, Ge bipolar transistor (Germanium)
1973 L. Esaki, I. GIaever, for tunneling effect, Ge-diode (Germanium)
1956 W. B. Shockley, J. Bardeen, W. S. Brattin, Ge bipolar transistor (Germanium)
What semiconductor materials are related to Nobel Prize?
Innovations recognized as Nobel Prize
2009 W. S. Boyle, G. Smith, for CCD device (Silicon)
2000 Z. I. Alferov, H. Cromer, for Semiconductor Hetero-junction: (Compound)
2000 J. S. Kilby, for Integrated Circuits, Ge bipolar transistor (Germanium)
1973 L. Esaki, I. GIaever, for tunneling effect, Ge-diode (Germanium)
1956 W. B. Shockley, J. Bardeen, W. S. Brattin, Ge bipolar transistor (Germanium)
What semiconductor materials are related to Nobel Prize?
Innovations recognized as Nobel Prize
2010 A. Geim, K. Novoselov, for 2D Graphene device (Carbon)
2009 W. S. Boyle, G. Smith, for CCD device (Silicon)
2000 Z. I. Alferov, H. Cromer, for Semiconductor Hetero-junction: (Compound)
2000 J. S. Kilby, for Integrated Circuits, Ge bipolar transistor (Germanium)
1973 L. Esaki, I. GIaever, for tunneling effect, Ge-diode (Germanium)
1956 W. B. Shockley, J. Bardeen, W. S. Brattin, Ge bipolar transistor (Germanium)
What semiconductor materials are related to Nobel Prize?
Innovations recognized as Nobel Prize
2010 A. Geim, K. Novoselov, for 2D Graphene device (Carbon)
2009 W. S. Boyle, G. Smith, for CCD device (Silicon)
2000 Z. I. Alferov, H. Cromer, for Semiconductor Hetero-junction: (Compound)
2000 J. S. Kilby, for Integrated Circuits, Ge bipolar transistor (Germanium)
1973 L. Esaki, I. GIaever, for tunneling effect, Ge-diode (Germanium)
1956 W. B. Shockley, J. Bardeen, W. S. Brattin, Ge bipolar transistor (Germanium)
2014 I. Akasaki, H. Amano, S. Nakamura, for GaN Blue (Compound: GaN)
What semiconductor materials are related to Nobel Prize?
Innovations recognized as Nobel Prize
2010 A. Geim, K. Novoselov, for 2D Graphene device (Carbon)
2009 W. S. Boyle, G. Smith, for CCD device (Silicon)
2000 Z. I. Alferov, H. Cromer, for Semiconductor Hetero-junction: (Compound)
2000 J. S. Kilby, for Integrated Circuits, Ge bipolar transistor (Germanium)
1973 L. Esaki, I. GIaever, for tunneling effect, Ge-diode (Germanium)
1956 W. B. Shockley, J. Bardeen, W. S. Brattin, Ge bipolar transistor (Germanium)
7 items
2014 I. Akasaki, H. Amano, S. Nakamura, for GaN Blue (Compound: GaN)
What semiconductor materials are related to Nobel Prize?
Germanium:3, Compound:2, Silicon:1, Carbon:1
Innovations for Process/Device Technologies for MOS LSIs
Innovations for Process/Device Technologies for MOS LSIs So many
Innovations for Process/Device Technologies for MOS LSIs
1955 – 1960 BJT Bipolar IC, Ge Si1957: Selective diffusion into Si using SiO2 as a mask by Bell Labs.
1958: Integrated circuit for Ge bipolar transistors by TI.
1959: Planar technology for Si bipolar by Fairchild.
1960: Planar Integrated Circuit by Fairchild.
So many
Innovations for Process/Device Technologies for MOS LSIs
1955 – 1960 BJT Bipolar IC, Ge Si1957: Selective diffusion into Si using SiO2 as a mask by Bell Labs.
1958: Integrated circuit for Ge bipolar transistors by TI.
1959: Planar technology for Si bipolar by Fairchild.
1st MOSFET by Bell Labs. (1960)1960 – 1970 MOSFET MOS IC
PMOS Technology with Al gate
Prevention of MOS instability by HCl cleaning and Phosphorus gettering by Fairchild & IBM(1964 -69)
Poly Si gate and self-align between gate and source/drain by Bell Labs and Fairchild (1967-68)
Idea of CMOS by Fairchild (1963)
1960: Planar Integrated Circuit by Fairchild.
MOS IC by RCA (1964)
CVD oxide film depositionLOCOS isolation by Philips
So many
1970 – 1980 LSI, PMOS NMOS, 10 um 3 um
Scaling scheme by IBM and Caltech prevention of SCE (1972)
Ik DRAM, 1k SRAM, microprocessor (Intel, etc.) in early 1970’
CAD Layout tool (Calma, Applicon) late 1970’s
E-gun Al evaporation film deposition
LPCVD for Poly-Si, SiO2, SiN
Ion Implantation for channel doping, isolation
Reflow (planarization) by PSG and BPSG: BPSG by Toshiba 1975
Proximity lithography and projection lithography; Projection by Perkin Elmer
Al-Si and Al-Si-Cu interconnects for prevention of Al-spike and electron migration
Plasma etching (Isotropic) for Poly Si and SiN; CED by Toshiba
LDD and gate sidewall formation for suppressing hot-carrier degradation by Bell Labs.
1980 – 1990 VLSI, NMOS CMOS, 3 um 0.5 umDry process;
Planarization by etch-back
TCAD SEDAN, Suprem, Pisces by Stanford
Circuit simulator, SPICE by UC Berkeley
RIE for anisotropic etching poly Si and contact hole
Ion implantation for S/D for shallow junction by Linttot
Stepper lithography by GCA-Mann
Plasma CVD for SiO2 and SiN
Arsenic Source/Drain for shallow junction
Polyside (WSi2/Poly Si) for gate electrode
Metal sputter
IG (Intrinsic gettering) wafer
Planarization by CMP
200 mm wader and related process equipment
1990 – 2000 0.25 0.1 umOxynitride gate insulator
Tunneling gate oxide by Toshiba Dual gate process n+-poly Si for NMOS, p+-poly Si for PMOS
Salicide with TiSi2 and CoSi2NiSi silicide by Toshiba (1991)
Ultra-shallow implantation for S/D
Channel engineering for Halo and pocket
SOI technologySOI wafer technology for smart-cutOPC for lithography resolution
Phase shift mask for lithography resolutionKrF excimer stepper, Victor Pol/Bell Lab. (1986)
Rapid Thermal Process by lamp heating
Trench IsolationCu interconnectsLow-k interlayer300 mm wafer
2000 – 2014 0.1um 30 ~ 20nm
High-k/matal gate stack by Intel
FinFET by Intel (idea, research AIST, Hitachi, UC Berkeley … 1980s, 1990s)
ArF Eximer scanner (1997)
Double/multiple patterning lithography for high resolution
Fully-depleted SOI by STmicroelectronics and IBM (idea, research NTT & others before)
Immersion lithography (2002, 2005)
Air-gap insulation for interconnectDouble/multiple patterning lithography for high resolution
Multi-core microprocessors
Then, what are 5 most important innovations in past 60 years?
Too many important innovations which are 1 ~ 2 for every year!
Conclusions!
5 most important innovations in past 60 years
1960 1st MOSFET operation; Si/SiO2 structure
1971 1st Microprosessor; >1k MOSFETs; 10 um PMOS Tech.
1955 1st IEDM; Already Si BJT, Already most of Process Technologies
2014 Multi-core processor; >1G Fin-FET; 30 ~ 20 nm CMOS Tech.
5 most important innovations in past 60 years
1960 1st MOSFET operation; Si/SiO2 structure
1971 1st Microprosessor; >1k MOSFETs; 10 um PMOS Tech.
1955 1st IEDM; Already Si BJT, Already most of Process Technologies
2014 Multi-core processor; >1G Fin-FET; 30 ~ 20 nm CMOS Tech.
1. Planar BJT (or printing) technology IC technology
5 most important innovations in past 60 years
1960 1st MOSFET operation; Si/SiO2 structure
1971 1st Microprosessor; >1k MOSFETs; 10 um PMOS Tech.
1955 1st IEDM; Already Si BJT, Already most of Process Technologies
2014 Multi-core processor; >1G Fin-FET; 30 ~ 20 nm CMOS Tech.
1. Planar BJT (or printing) technology IC technology2. Si MOSFET (Lateral Device) Suitable: planar (IC) process
5 most important innovations in past 60 years
1960 1st MOSFET operation; Si/SiO2 structure
1971 1st Microprosessor; >1k MOSFETs; 10 um PMOS Tech.
1955 1st IEDM; Already Si BJT, Already most of Process Technologies
2014 Multi-core processor; >1G Fin-FET; 30 ~ 20 nm CMOS Tech.
1. Planar BJT (or printing) technology IC technology
3. Clean & passivation processes Electrical Stability of MOS
2. Si MOSFET (Lateral Device) Suitable: planar (IC) process
5 most important innovations in past 60 years
1960 1st MOSFET operation; Si/SiO2 structure
1971 1st Microprosessor; >1k MOSFETs; 10 um PMOS Tech.
1955 1st IEDM; Already Si BJT, Already most of Process Technologies
2014 Multi-core processor; >1G Fin-FET; 30 ~ 20 nm CMOS Tech.
1. Planar BJT (or printing) technology IC technology
3. Clean & passivation processes Electrical Stability of MOS
4. Miniaturization (Scaling) Moore’s law
2. Si MOSFET (Lateral Device) Suitable: planar (IC) process
Not only one, in fact, so many innovations for enabling miniaturization
5 most important innovations in past 60 years
1960 1st MOSFET operation; Si/SiO2 structure
1971 1st Microprosessor; >1k MOSFETs; 10 um PMOS Tech.
1955 1st IEDM; Already Si BJT, Already most of Process Technologies
2014 Multi-core processor; >1G Fin-FET; 30 ~ 20 nm CMOS Tech.
1. Planar BJT (or printing) technology IC technology
3. Clean & passivation processes Electrical Stability of MOS
4. Miniaturization (Scaling) Moore’s law
2. Si MOSFET (Lateral Device) Suitable: planar (IC) process
Not only one, in fact, so many innovations for enabling miniaturization
5. CMOS LSI Power saving
1. Brief introduction of my research group in Tokyo Institute of Technology
Outline of my talk:
2. Innovations of logic device technology for past 60 years
3. Innovations of logic device technology for next 60 years
2 & 3 based on ESSDERC Tutorial & IEDM Panel, both in2014
• What would be a future innovations for next 60 years?
• I will present the most probable scenario by my own view.
• What would be a future innovations for next 60 years?
• I will present the most probable scenario by my own view.
• What would be a future innovations for next 60 years?
• I am very sorry, if your research area is not included as the most probable candidate!
• I will present the most probable scenario by my own view.
• What would be a future innovations for next 60 years?
• Please not be disappointed in that case!
• I am very sorry, if your research area is not included as the most probable candidate!
• I will present the most probable scenario by my own view.
• What would be a future innovations for next 60 years?
• Please not be disappointed in that case!
• I am very sorry, if your research area is not included as the most probable candidate!
• Because, even the 5 most important innovations in the past were not recognized by Nobel Prize.
• I will present the most probable scenario by my own view.
• What would be a future innovations for next 60 years?
• Please not be disappointed in that case!
• I am very sorry, if your research area is not included as the most probable candidate!
• Because, even the 5 most important innovations in the past were not recognized by Nobel Prize.
• You have even a higer a chance, because Nobel Prize will be given to those accomplished mission-impossible (like Akasaki & Amaya or Nakamura)!.
(1970) 10 μm 8 μm 6 μm 4 μm 3 μm 2 μm 1.2 μm
0.8 μm 0.5 μm 0.35 μm 0.25 μm 180 nm 130 nm
90 nm 65 nm 45 nm 32 nm (28 nm ) 22 nm(2012)
Feature Size / Technology Node
From 1970 to 2013 (Last year)
18 generationsLine width: 1/450
Area: 1/200,000
43 years 1 generation2.5 years
Line width: 1/1.43 = 0.70
Area: 1/2 = 0.5
14 nm (2014)
57
More Moore to More More Moore
65nm 45nm 32nm
Technology node
M. Bohr, pp.1, IEDM2011 (Intel)P. Packan, pp.659, IEDM2009 (Intel)C. Auth et al., pp.131, VLSI2012 (Intel)T. B. Hook, pp.115, IEDM2011 (IBM)S. Bangsaruntip et al., pp.297, IEDM2009 (IBM)
Lg 35nm Lg 30nm
Main stream(Fin,Tri, Nanowire)
22nm 14nm 10nm, 7nm, 5nm, 3.5nm
Alternative
Alternative (III-V/Ge) Channel FinFET
Emerging Devices
Tri-Gate
Now Future
Si channelSi
Others
(FDSOI)
Planar
Si is still main stream for future !! FD: Fully Depleted
58
High-k gate dielectrics
Continued research and development
SiO2 IL (Interfacial Layer) is used at Si interface to realize good mobility
Technology for direct contact of high-k and Si is necessary
Remote SiO2-IL scavengingHfO2 (IBM)
EOT=0.52 nm
Si
La-silicate
MG
Direct contact with La-silicate (Tokyo.Tech)
T. Ando, et al., p.423, IEDM2009, (IBM) T. Kawanago, et al., T-ED, vol. 59, no. 2, p. 269, 2012 (Tokyo Tech.)
K. Mistry, et al., p.247, IEDM 2007, (Intel)
TiN
HfO2
Si
SiO2EOT=0.9nmHfO2/SiO2(IBM)
T.C. Chen, et al., p.8, VLSI 2009, (IBM)
Hf-based oxides
45nmEOT:1nm
32nmEOT:0.95nm
22nmEOT:0.9nm
10nm, 7nm, 5nm, 3.5nm,
K. Kakushima, et al., p.8, IWDTF 2008, (Tokyo Tech.)
EOT=0.37nm EOT=0.40nm EOT=0.48nm
0.48 → 0.37nm Increase of Id at 30%
14nmEOT:0.?nm
59
http://download.intel.com/newsroom/kits/14nm/pdfs/Intel_14nm_New_uArch.pdf
Merit for downsizing to 14 nm (Intel case)
Merit for cost, power consumption, and performance
60
http://download.intel.com/newsroom/kits/14nm/pdfs/Intel_14nm_New_uArch.pdf
Interconnects
SRAM Cell
Intel 14nm Technology by Mark Bohr, August 11. 2014
61
Near term until 2025 (in 10 years)
?
Near term until 2025 (in 10 years)
Si-CMOS deep-miniaturization
Very difficult because of :
1. Subtheshlod leakage current increase.
2. Mobility degradation with deceasing EOT and tSi3. Problem for EUV lithography
4. C & R increase for interconnects
5. Variability, yield, reliability problem
Vg (V)1
0.3 V
0.5 V 1.0 V
Ion
Ioff
Id (A/µm)
10-7
10-5
10-11
10-9
Vd
Vth
0.15 V
0 0.5
Subthreshold leakage current
Electron EnergyBoltzmann statics
Exp (qV/kT)
Lg 1/2Vd, Vg 1/2Vth 1/2
Ioff 103 in this exampleHowever
Because of log-linear dependence64
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
EOT (nm)
Mob
ility
(cm
2 /Vse
c)
at 1 MV/cm
Open : Hf-based oxidesSolid : La-silicate oxide
K. Uchida et al., pp.47, IEDM2002 (Toshiba)T. Kawanago, et al., (Tokyo Tech.) T-ED, 2012
T. Ando, et al., (IBM) IEDM 2009L.-Å. Ragnarsson, et al., (IMEC) Microelectron. Eng,. 2011.
2015 2017 2019 20252021 2023 20272013Year10 7 5 1.83.5 2.5 1.314Commercial name (nm)
6.1 5.1 4.3 2.53.6 3.0 2.07.4TSi (nm) 0.73 0.67 0.61 0.470.56 0.51 0.430.80EOT (nm)
ITRS 2013
tox tSiµ µ
65
µ(mobility) degradation
tSi Si
tSi
Si
tSi
Si
tSi
Nano-wire Fin / Tri
SOI
tox
µ
Gate electrode
Si channel
Gate oxidetox
Gate stack
Metal/Oxideinterface
dd
d
d
d
dd
d dd
dd
d
Si surface
d
Strong interaction betweencarriers and metal/oxide interface
Strong interaction betweencarriers and Si surface (or interface)
µ
d
66
Carrier density decrease
2015 2017 2019 20252021 2023 20272013Year10 7 5 1.83.5 2.5 1.314Commercial name (nm)
6.1 5.1 4.3 2.53.6 3.0 2.07.4TSi (nm)
ITRS 2013
tSi Volume DOS Carrier density
Si nanowireband structure
1 nm 2 nm 3 nm 4 nm 6 nm
Iwata et al., Journal of Computational Physics 229 (2010) 2339–2363
Diameter
67
Near term until 2025 (in 10 years)
Let us see what ITRS says about futureminiaturization!
2015 2017 2019 20252021 2023 20272013
10 7 5 ?3.5 ? ?14
Year
Commercial name (nm)
ITRS 2013 (Published in April 2014)
What about below 3 nm?Continue to miniaturize
69
2015 2017 2019 20252021 2023 20272013
10 7 5 ?3.5 ? ?14
Year
Commercial name (nm)
ITRS 2013 (Published in April 2014)
Reach limit after 2021?
Below 3 nm?
70
2015 2017 2019 20252021 2023 20272013
10 7 5 1.83.5 2.5 1.314
Year
Commercial name (nm)
ITRS 2013 (Published in April 2014)
Not limit at all ! Even 1.3 nm technology!!
71
2015 2017 2019 20252021 2023 20272013
10 7 5 1.83.5 2.5 1.314
? ? ? ?? ? ??
Year
Half pitch (HP) (nm)
Commercial technologyname (nm)
ITRS 2013 (Published in April 2014)
What about HP?
72
2015 2017 2019 20252021 2023 20272013
10 7 5 1.83.5 2.5 1.314
32 25.3 20 1015.9 12.6 840
Year
Half pitch (HP) (nm)
CommercialTechnology name (nm)
ITRS 2013 (Published in April 2014)
Much larger than the commercial technolgyname
73
2015 2017 2019 20252021 2023 20272013
10 7 5 1.83.5 2.5 1.314
32 25.3 20 1015.9 12.6 840
16.8 14.0 11.7 6.79.7 8.1 5.620.2
Year
Lg (nm)
Half pitch (HP) (nm)
Commercial technologyname (nm)
ITRS 2013 (Published in April 2014)
Lg is also larger than the name.
74
2015 2017 2019 20252021 2023 20272013
10 7 5 1.83.5 2.5 1.314
32 25.3 20 1015.9 12.6 840
16.8 14.0 11.7 6.79.7 8.1 5.620.2
Year
Lg (nm)
Half pitch (HP) (nm)
Commercial technologyname (nm)
ITRS 2013 (Published in April 2014)
So, people will be disappointed by the gap between the name and reality.
gap
75
2015 2017 2019 20252021 2023 20272013
10 7 5 1.83.5 2.5 1.314
32 25.3 20 1015.9 12.6 840
16.8 14.0 11.7 6.79.7 8.1 5.620.2
Year
Lg (nm)
Half pitch (HP) (nm)
Commercial name (nm)
ITRS 2013 (Published in April 2014)
Now, HP: X 0.80 / 2 years, Lg: X 0.83 / 2 years Thus, now more generations and more years until reaching limit
Before, HP: X 0.70 / 2 years, Lg: X 0.70 / 2 years
76
ITRS 2013 (Just published in April 2014)
Lg (nm)Metal half pitch (nm) Commercial name (nm)
Vdd (V) EOT (nm)
TSi (nm)
X 0.70 / 2 yearsX 0.80 / 2 yearsX 0.83 / 2 yearsX 0.96 / 2 yearsX 0.91 / 2 years
X 0.84 / 2 years
Only the commercial names decreases X0.7/ 2 years
Year 20271.3 (nm)
8 (nm)5.6 (nm)
0.43 (nm)0.65 (V)
2.0 (nm)
Year 201314 (nm)40 (nm)
20.2 (nm)
0.80 (nm)0.86 (V)
7.4 (nm)
Difference between the commercial name andphysical parameters becomes larger
1.3 nm technology!but HP = 8nm
Lg = 5.6 nm
Recently, companies become not to disclose Lg values at conferences
77
However, careful about the commercial name of technology!
22 nm Technology by Intel
Lg (Gate length) = 30 nm (HP), 34 nm (MP), 34 nm or larger (SP) IEDM 2012, VLSI 2013
10 nm Technology by Leti (FD-SOI)
Lg (Gate length) = 25 nm Euro SOI 2014
Recently, Gate length (Lg) is much larger than the Technology name
14 nm Technology by Global
Lg (Gate length) = 15 nm ECS Fall 201378
Near term until 2025 (in 10 years) Possible solutions
a) Less-aggressive shrink rate to extend the endb) Integration to vertical directionc) Decrease production cost
1. Stick to Si-CMOS device
2. Change channel materials (Alternative channel)a) InGaAs NMOS / Ge PMOS
c) 2D material with Bandgap; MoS2, etc.b) Carbon channel; Graphene/CNT
3. Change operational mechanism (New mechanism) a) T(Tunneling)-FET
d) Spin transistor, etc.
b) RTD (Resonance Tunneling Diode)c) SET (Single Electron transistor)
Near term until 2025 (in 10 years)
1. Stick to Si-CMOS device
2. Alternative channel
Low-risk/Low-return: Possible solution
High-risk/High-return: Not likely, but chance for Novel Prize
3. New mechanismSome of them already shows superior characteristics as a single device, while most of not.
However, very few report for circuit level performance, large size wafer, variability, yield (defect), reliability, etc.,necessary for production.
Middle term from 2025 to 2045 (10 to 30 years)
What will be the our society after 30 years?
What will be the our society after 30 years?
Wearable What is next?
What will be the our society after 30 years?
Wearable Minimum Wearing
What will be the our society after 30 years?
Wearable Minimum/No Wearing
What will be the our society after 30 years?
Wearable Minimum/No Wearing
We do not want bring, many electronic items,such as smart-phone, battery charger, extra battery, PC, etc.
What will be the our society after 30 years?
Wearable Minimum/No Wearing
We do not want bring, many electronic items,such as smart-phone, battery charger, extra battery, PC, etc.
Everywhere in the environment, sensor to detect what human want to do,
What will be the our society after 30 years?
Wearable Minimum/No Wearing
We do not want bring, many electronic items,such as smart-phone, battery charger, extra battery, PC, etc.
Everywhere in the environment, sensor to detect what human want to do, display to watch,
What will be the our society after 30 years?
Wearable Minimum/No Wearing
We do not want bring, many electronic items,such as smart-phone, battery charger, extra battery, PC, etc.
Everywhere in the environment, sensor to detect what human want to do, display to watch, speaker to listen,
What will be the our society after 30 years?
Wearable Minimum/No Wearing
We do not want bring, many electronic items,such as smart-phone, battery charger, extra battery, PC, etc.
Everywhere in the environment, sensor to detect what human want to do, display to watch, speaker to listen, wireless power supply if necessary, ….
What will be the our society after 30 years?
Wearable Minimum/No Wearing
We do not want bring, many electronic items,such as smart-phone, battery charger, extra battery, PC, etc.
Everywhere in the environment, sensor to detect what human want to do, display to watch, speaker to listen, wireless power supply if necessary, ….
Wearable Minimum/No Wearing
Thus, burden to the data processing of the smart phone will become light. And even no mobile smart phone may be necessary,
Wearable Minimum/No Wearing
Thus, burden to the data processing of the smart phone will become light. And even no mobile smart phone may be necessary,
Sensor, short length wireless communication, display maybe powered by solar cell and operated by small scale microprocessor, will become more important.
What will be LSI fabrication process in 2030?
Today’s large size wafer process is necessary?
There are no miniaturization, thus cost reduction for fabrication by new concept will become important.
Today’s large clean room necessary?
For example, how about the chip size fabrication with many parallel chips on belt conveyer?
Middle term from 2025 to 2045 (10 to 30 years)
For minimum/no wearing?
Smart sensor, short length communication,display, speaker, well-distributed in the environment operated by small microprocessor and powered by solar cell.
For fabrication cost reduction?
New fabrication process idea is necessary.
Long term from 2045 to 2075 (30 to 60 years)
???
Long term from 2045 to 2075 (30 to 60 years)
Direct communication between electron device and bio system / brain (insect/animal/human)
Use brain (insect/animal) for data processing
Self-assembly by using DNA.
Introduce the brain algorithm into semiconductor microprocessor.
Brain Ultra small volumeSmall number of neuron cellsExtremely low power
Real time image processing(Artificial) Intelligence3D flight control
Sensor
InfraredHumidityCO2
Mosquito
Dragonfly is further highperformance
System andAlgorism becomes more important!
But do not know how?
Long term from 2045 to 2075 (30 to 60 years)
Self-assembling using DNA.
A kind of dream.
Long term from 2045 to 2075 (30 to 60 years)
Self-assembling using DNA.
A kind of dream.
Assembling a device structure such like coral designed by DNA.
Thank you very much for your attention
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