36
Week 11 18 th April 2019 BUDAPEST UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY AND ECONOMICS ECONOMICS I Lecturer: Krisztina Sőreg [email protected] FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of Economics Course code: BMEGT301004

FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    4

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Week 11 – 18th April 2019

BUDAPEST UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY AND ECONOMICS

ECONOMICS I

Lecturer: Krisztina Sőreg

[email protected]

FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES

Department of Economics

Course code: BMEGT301004

Page 2: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

TIMELINE OF THE SEMESTER

Week Topic Date

1. Introduction – Basic Definitions of Microeconomics 7th Febr 2019

2. Market Theory: The Basics of Supply And Demand 14th Febr 2019

3. Markets and Welfare 21st Febr 2019

4. Consumer Theory 28th Febr 2019

5. Production and Cost Theory 7th Mar 2019

6. 1st Test 14th Mar 2019

7. SPRING BREAK 21st Mar 2019

8. Sketch Design week 28th Mar 2019

9. Firm Behaviour and the Organization of Industry: Competitive Markets & Monopolistic Competition 4th Apr 2019

10. Firm Behaviour and the Organization of Industry: Monopoly 11th Apr 2019

11. Firm Behaviour and the Organization of Industry: Oligopolistic Markets 18th Apr 2019

12. The Economics of Labour Markets 25th Apr 2019

13. Externalities, The Economics of the Public Sector 2nd May 2019

14. 2nd Test 9th May 2019

15. Draughting Week 16th May 2019

16. Re-Submission: Repetitive Tests – Application in Neptun (Exams)! 20th & 23rd May

Page 3: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Outline of the Presentation

I. Characteristics of Oligopolies

1.1 Market Concentration

1.2 Game Theory

II. Cournot Duopoly

III. Stackelberg Duopoly

IV. Bertrand Competition

Page 4: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Oligopolies – Clash Among the Toughest

Oligopoly

Number of firms

Few

Freedomof entry

Controlled Access

ProductHomogeneous or

Differentiated

Firm sizeLarge

(dominated)

Pricingstrategy

Price takeror maker

(P or Qcompetition)

Oligopoly

T-Mobile, Vodafone

Commercial TV channels

Wizz Air, Ryanair

Page 5: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Oligopolies – Clash Among the Toughest

Page 6: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

What is an Oligopoly?

A market structure in which only a few sellers offer similar

or identical products.

o Market power relatively few firms provide the good or

service within the industry;

o Oligopolies compete with each other: imperfect competition;

o Result: higher prices (P) and lower level of production (Q)

Strategic behavior in oligopoly:

A firm’s decisions about P or Q can affect other firms and cause

them to react. The firm will consider these reactions when

making decisions.

Page 7: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Characteristics of Oligopolies

Few sellers & many customers

High interdependence action and reaction!

Intense competition watching the rivals starting a

counterattack

High entrance barriers (license, patent, high capital,

regulations, social capital, etc.)

No uniformity among companies

Page 8: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Measuring Market Concentration

Concentration ratio: the percentage of the market’s total output

supplied by its largest firms.

The higher the concentration ratio, the less competition.

Page 9: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Market Concentration

Key element: relative market share of the company

Rule: if relatively few firms control most of the market sales,

then an oligopoly exists.

Tool: Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI)

It ranges from 1 (least concentrated) to 10,000 (most concentrated)

HHI >1500: low concentration;

1500 < HHI < 2500: moderate concentration;

HHI > 2500: high concentration.

Page 10: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Market Concentration – Calculating the HHI

1. Take the percentage market share of each firm;

2. Square that number;

3. Add all the squares together.

s refers to the percentage market share

n is the number of companies

Most concentrated industries:

coal mining, metal ore mining,

postal service, tobacco, crude

oil processing, sugar

Least concentrated industries:

real property transactions,

catering industry, construction, wholesale distribution, furniture

Page 11: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Market Concentration – Calculating the HHI

Calculate the HHI of the industry on the base of followingcompanies’ market shares!

A: 40% ; B: 30% ; C: 15% ; D: 15%

HHI = 402 + 302 + 152 + 152

HHI = 1600 + 900 + 225 + 225

HHI = 2950

Type of industry: highly concentrated (>2500)

Only 4 companies

Page 12: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

5045

6040

7035

8030

9025

10020

11015

12010

1305

140$0

QP

1,750

1,800

1,750

1,600

1,350

1,000

550

0

–650

–1,400

Profit

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

$1,400

Cost

2,250

2,400

2,450

2,400

2,250

2,000

1,650

1,200

650

$0

Revenue

Cell Phone Duopoly Example

Competitive

outcome:

P = MC = $10

Q = 120

Profit = $0

Monopoly

outcome:

P = $40

Q = 60

Profit = $1,800

Page 13: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Cell Phone Duopoly Example

o One possible duopoly outcome: collusion

o Collusion: an agreement among firms in a market about quantities to produce or prices to charge

o T-Mobile and Verizon could agree to each produce half of the monopoly output:

o For each firm: Q = 30, P = $40, profits = $900

o Cartel: a group of firms acting in unison, e.g., T-Mobile and Verizon in the outcome with collusion

Cartel is a formal orinformal agreementbetween a number ofoligopolistic firms toexploit and share themarket.

Page 14: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

A Comparison of Market Outcomes

When firms in an oligopoly individually choose production to maximize profit,

oligopoly Q is greater than monopoly Q but smaller than competitive Q.

oligopoly P is greater than competitive P but less than monopoly P.

Page 15: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Types of Oligopolies

OLIGOPOLIES

Pure/Homogeneous

Differentiated

Non-Collusive/Non-

Cooperative

Cournot Duopoly

Stackelberg Duopoly

Bertrand DuopolyCollusive/Cooperative

Page 16: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Types of Oligopolies – What’s the Difference?

1. Pure/Homogeneous Oligopoly: price differences between the products are insignificant great homogeneity great interdependence between sellers. If we change the price the rivals will also modify it!

e.g. Coca Cola and Pepsi, Airbus and Boeing

2. Differentiated Oligopoly: slightly different products. Price changes have less effect on rivals interdependence is less significant!

e.g. Tesco and Auchan

Page 17: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Types of Oligopolies – What’s the Difference?

3. Non-Collusive Oligopoly: firms behave independently

behavior depends on how he thinks his rivals will react to his

decision-making (making guesses). It may often lead to

cutthroat competition among sellers - ultimately leading

towards monopoly business.

4. Collusive Oligopoly: to prevent competitive price cutting

making collusive agreements

Open agreement: cartel

Tacit: price leadership, rule of thumb or average cost pricing

Page 18: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Cournot Duopoly - “Competition Amongst the Few”

Strategic game - Simultaneous quantity decision

players: firms

each firm’s set of actions: set of all possible outputs

each firm’s preferences are represented by its profit

each actor has to take into account what others do

1. Two firms profit maximisers;

2. Each chooses the quantity of output;

3. Neither firm knows the other’s decision;

4. Each firm makes an assumption about the other’s decision;

5. Each firm’s profit depends on the other firm’s output.

Page 19: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Cournot Duopoly - “Competition Amongst the Few”

o Similar companies, homogeneousproduct

o Same cost functions

MC1 = MC2 = MC

o p1 = p2 = P(q1 + q2)

o Firms compete in quantities, and choose quantities simultaneously

Page 20: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Cournot Duopoly - “Competition Amongst the Few”

o p = a – bQ inverse demand curve

o a: reservation price of the highest

WTP-consumer

o b: steepness of the function

price sensitivity

o Q: output

o q1 = 𝒂 −𝑴𝑪𝟏𝟐𝒃

-𝟏

𝟐q2

o q2 = 𝒂 −𝑴𝑪𝟐𝟐𝒃

-𝟏

𝟐q1

Page 21: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Cournot Duopoly – Exercise 1

There are two restaurants by the university campus operating

under similar conditions. The base of their competition is

quantity. The marginal cost of producing the daily menu of the

two restaurants is the same, MC1 = MC2 = 600. The demand

for the menus can be identified by the following inverse

demand function: P = 2400 – 3Q.

a) Indicate the two reaction functions of the firms!

b) How many menus will be sold and at what price?

c) How much consumer surplus and producer surplus would

be compared to a perfect competition situation?

a) Calculate the profit of the first company! What is the

difference between the firms’ producer surplus and profit?

Page 22: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Cournot Duopoly – Exercise 1

MC1 = MC2 = 600, P = 2400 – 3Q

a) Indicate the two reaction functions of the firms!

q1 = 𝑎 −𝑀𝐶12𝑏

-1

2q2 q1 =

2400 −600

2 𝑥 3-1

2q2

q2 = 𝑎 −𝑀𝐶22𝑏

-1

2q1 q2 =

2400 − 600

2 𝑥 3-1

2q1

q1 = 1800

6-1

2q2 ; q2 =

1800

6-1

2q1

q1 = 300 -𝟏

𝟐q2 ; q2 = 300 -

𝟏

𝟐q1

Page 23: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Cournot Duopoly – Exercise 1

MC1 = MC2 = 600, P = 2400 – 3Q

b) How many menus will be sold and at what price?

If MC1 = MC2 q1 = q2

q1,2 = 300 -1

2q

3

2q = 300

q1,2 = 200

q1 + q2 = Q = 200 + 200 = 400

P = 2400 – 3 x 400 = 1200

Page 24: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Cournot Duopoly – Exercise 1

MC1 = MC2 = 600, P = 2400 – 3Q

c) How much would consumer surplus and producer surplus

would be compared to a perfect competition situation?

If Perfect Competition: P = MC

2400 – 3Q = 600 QPC = 600; PPC = 600

CS = (1800 x 600) / 2 = 540,000 Ft per day.

If Duopoly: QC = 400; PC = 1200

CS = ((2400 – 1200) x 400) / 2 = 240,000 Ft per day

PS = (1200 – 600) x 400 = 240,000 Ft per day

DWL = (200 x 600) / 2 = 60,000 Ft per day.

Together: 540,000 Ft

Page 25: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Cournot Duopoly – Exercise 1

MC1 = MC2 = 600, P = 2400 – 3Q

c) How much would consumer surplus and producer surplus

would be compared to a perfect competition situation?

Page 26: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Cournot Duopoly – Exercise 1

MC1 = MC2 = 600, P = 2400 – 3Q

d) Calculate the profit of the first company! What is the

difference between the firms’ producer surplus and profit?

= PS + CS

If no FC = PS

= 240,000 Ft per day total profit of the 2 firms,

= 120,000 Ft per day profit of one firm.

Page 27: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Stackelberg Duopoly – Leader vs. Follower

The leader firm moves first and then the follower firms reacts

sequentially a model of imperfect competition based on a

non-cooperative game 2-period sequential game

Two firms, homogeneous products, the same demand and

cost functions.

One firm (leader), is better known or has greater brand equity

and is better placed to decide first which quantity q1 to sell.

The other firm, the follower, observes this and decides on its

production quantity q2.

The perfect equilibrium of the game is the Stackelberg

equilibrium.

Page 28: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Stackelberg Duopoly – Leader vs. Follower

o Production will be larger for the firm with lower marginal costs

o Total production will be greater and prices lower, but player one will be better off!

o Products: homogeneous

o Mean: to get accurate market information

o Condition: interdependence of each player’s strategies

o Nash equilibrium is not Pareto efficient

o There will be a loss in economic efficiency < Cournot!

o The quantity sold by the leader is greater than the quantity sold by the follower

Page 29: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Stackelberg Duopoly – 4 Scenarios

1.) Duopolist A wants to be leader and B wants to be

follower.

2.) Duopolist B wants to be leader and A wants to

be follower.

3.) Both firms want to be followers.

4.) Both firms desire to be leaders.

Page 30: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Stackelberg Duopoly – Leader vs. follower

p = a – bQ

Intercepts:

qL = 𝑎 −𝑀𝐶

2𝑏

qF = 𝑎 −𝑀𝐶

4𝑏

Reaction functions:

qF = 𝒂 −𝑴𝑪

𝟒𝒃-𝟏

𝟐qL

qL = 𝒂 −𝑴𝑪

𝟐𝒃-𝟏

𝟐qF

Page 31: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Bertrand Duopoly – Stick to Your Price!

Each firm expects that the rival will keep its price constant,

irrespective of its own decision about pricing

a simultaneous game where the strategic choice is on prices.

1. There is a market for a single, homogeneous good.

2. Firms announce prices.

3. Each firm does not know the other’s announcement when making its own.

It does not lead to the maximization of the industry ( joint)

profit firms behave naively by always assuming that their

rival will keep its price fixed!

Page 32: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Bertrand Duopoly – Stick to Your Price!

Few firms in market serving many customers.

Firms produce a homogeneous product at a

constant marginal cost.

Firms engage in price competition and react

optimally to prices charged by competitors.

Consumers have perfect information and there are

no transaction costs.

Page 33: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Bertrand Duopoly – Stick to Your Price!

Consumers will buy from the firm that offers the lowest price

The Nash equilibrium is going to be the two firms setting the same price

Bertrand’s equilibrium occurs when P1=P2=MC, being MC the marginal cost, yielding the same result as perfect competition.

If the price set by both firms is the same but the MC is lower,

there will be an incentive for both firms to lower their prices

and seize the market.

Equilibrium at P = MC

Page 34: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Bertrand Duopoly – Stick to Your Price!

Bertrand’s paradox: in case of imperfect competition (duopoly), where there is a strong incentive to collude the same outcome as in perfect competition.

p1 = p2 = MC

Perfect Competion arises in caseof 2 companies! theoretically, at least…

Limited capacities might solve

the paradox.

Page 35: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

SummaryStackelberg Duopoly

• Homogeneous product

• Quantity based decision

• Price Leader & Price Follower

• Sequential acting

• Leader reduces P

• Follower reduces P

• Differentiation: quality, service,

functionality, customer experience

Bertrand Duopoly

• Homogeneous product

• Perfect Competition

• Price competition

• No leader & follower

• Simultaneous acting

• Independent price decision

• Can adjust capacity easy

Cournot Duopoly

• Homogeneous product

• Output competition

• Decisions based on previos data

• Simultaneous acting

• Independent price decision

• Hard to adjust capacities

Page 36: FACULTY OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Department of

Thank you for your attention!

Mankiw: Chapter 17

pp. 365-378