FACTORS AND FEASIBILITY OF OBAMA ENERGY PLAN WITH REGARDS TO RENEWABLESJames BabiarzNPRE 498ES

TARGET GOAL By the year 2025 renewable energy with account for 25%

of all energy produced in the United States

POWER OVERVIEWTable 1.1  Primary Energy Overview, 1989-2009                     (Billion Btu)

Year

Production      

Fossil ElectricRenewab

le

Total

 Net Imp

orts 1    

 Fuels 2 Power Energy 3 Total 5 Total

Total Produced and

Imported

Change over previous year

1990 58,559,602 6,104,3506,206,02

770,869,

97918,817,

26414,064,

78584,934,

764 xxxx

1991 57,871,727 6,422,1326,237,47

370,531,

33218,334,

82613,193,

86683,725,

198

-1.42411

1804

1992 57,655,059 6,479,2065,992,17

270,126,

43719,372,

20814,435,

27084,561,

7070.99911

2597

1993 55,822,084 6,410,4996,261,22

068,493,

80421,272,

54417,014,

17685,507,

9801.11903

2519

1994 58,043,637 6,693,8776,153,20

970,890,

72322,389,

92418,328,

77989,219,

5024.34055

6285

1995 57,540,133 7,075,4366,700,76

971,316,

33822,260,

46917,749,

59989,065,

937

-0.17212

0441

1996 58,387,225 7,086,6747,164,75

972,638,

65723,701,

77619,068,

51691,707,

1732.96548

3875

1997 58,856,635 6,596,9927,177,14

172,630,

76925,215,

35020,701,

36393,332,

1321.77189

9566

1998 59,314,068 7,067,8096,654,92

573,036,

80226,580,

67622,281,

47695,318,

2782.12804

0962

1999 57,614,483 7,610,2566,678,31

571,903,

05327,252,

25723,537,

25895,440,

3110.12802

6862

2000 57,366,013 7,862,3496,257,01

871,485,

38028,972,

77924,966,

90496,452,

2841.06032

0308

2001 58,541,347 8,028,8535,312,35

471,882,

55330,156,

63326,386,

18998,268,

7421.88327

1111

2002 56,893,563 8,145,4295,892,45

870,931,

45029,407,

13225,738,

70296,670,

152

-1.62675

3297

2003 56,099,243 7,958,8586,138,71

370,196,

81431,060,

51827,006,

89797,203,

7110.55193

7686

2004 55,895,355 8,221,9856,235,01

470,352,

35533,543,

17529,109,

86599,462,

2202.32348

0222

2005 55,037,660 8,160,8106,393,40

169,591,

87134,709,

92030,148,

98199,740,

8520.28013

8529

2006 55,968,153 8,215,4146,773,64

070,957,

20734,673,

00629,805,

026100,762

,2331.02403

4766

2007 56,447,084 8,455,3646,705,52

871,607,

97534,685,

12129,237,

533100,845

,5080.08264

5052

2008 57,613,054 8,427,2977,380,96

673,421,

31632,951,

87425,936,

02599,357,

341

-1.47568

9924

2009P 56,859,891 8,349,2797,760,85

072,970,

01929,781,

08122,849,

18595,819,

204

-3.56102

223

POWER OVERVIEW CONTINUED Varying changes in power produced per year Recent rapid growth in renewable energy Recent decrease in imported energy (mostly petroleum)

POWER GOALS Over 19 years the average rate of Power change

is .6525% Applied until 2025 this would require around 2000GW of

renewable energy at 25%.

PERSPECTIVE

The world produced 1230 GWe of renewable energy in 2009

If renewable energy increase at the an average rate of 7% it will cover 9.3% of the US production in 2025

If we can double that to 14% per year we can meet the goal of 25% by 2025

FACTORS NOT INCLDUDED Estimating Power for the next 20 years is not as easy and

applying on average of growth rates Economic Factors Technology Factors Replacements of Facilities Environmental Restrictions Population growth

WASTEWATER TREATMENT Point Loma, San Diego CA 4.5 MW plant Powered by waste of 2.2 Million people Keeping the same people to power ratio we can generate

687 MW nation wide Reduces emissions

TRANSPORTATION Transportation accounts for 27% of the Nations Power

consumption

TRANSPORTATION CONTINUED 60% of transportation energy is light cars and trucks “The Billion Ton Review” by ORNL suggests 30% biofuels

by 2030 is feasible 30% of the estimated required transportation energy

would be 648GW in 2025 An increase of 10% efficiency by 2025 would also save

216GW

WIND POWER 200,000 10MW turbines at 35% efficiency Span 16,700 square miles Would account for 700 GW of power

SOLAR THERMAL 348 GW required to meet remainder of 2000 GW goal Requires 5,875 sq. feet approximately 1/5th of the Mojave

dessert

PROBLEMS Production Energy Storage Energy Transmission Construction COST!!

EASY SOLUTION!! Conservation is the Key!!! If the total energy produced in the US reduced by 10%

from 2009 541GW would be the new target (almost 25% less)

175 GW from bio fuels 300 GW from wind power 66 GW from Solar energy farm