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© 2015 ESRD, Inc. All Rights Reserved. StressCheck ® is a registered trademark of ESRD, Inc. Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold-Expanded Holes 2015 AFGROW User’s Conference 15-16 September 2015, Layton UT Ricardo Actis ESRD, Inc. 16 September 2015

Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

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Page 1: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

© 2015 ESRD, Inc. All Rights Reserved. StressCheck® is a registered trademark of ESRD, Inc.

Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack

Propagation from Cold-Expanded

Holes

2015 AFGROW User’s Conference

15-16 September 2015, Layton UT

Ricardo Actis ESRD, Inc.

16 September 2015

Page 2: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Outline

Simulation

• How we understand simulation

Modeling fatigue crack propagation

• Modeling assumptions and sources of error

Model predictions

• With & without cold-working

Factors affecting predictions

• Variation in residual stresses

Summary and Conclusions

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 2

Page 3: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

What is simulation?

Simulation: The imitative representation of the

functioning of one system by means of the

functioning of another

• Functioning of structural systems and the imitative

representation by mathematical models

• A mathematical model is a transformation of a set of data D

based on a precisely formulated idea of physical reality I to the

quantities of interest F

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 3

(D, I) → F

Page 4: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

What is simulation?

Simulation: The imitative representation of the

functioning of one system by means of the

functioning of another

• Functioning of structural systems and the imitative

representation by mathematical models

• A mathematical model is a transformation of a set of data D

based on a precisely formulated idea of physical reality I to the

quantities of interest F

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 4

(D, I) → F

Physical reality. One should never confuse an idea of

physical reality with physical reality itself:

The layman always means, when he says "reality" that he is speaking

of something self-evidently known; whereas to me it seems the most

important and exceedingly difficult task of our time is to work on the

construction of a new idea of reality. – Wolfgang Pauli (Nobel Prize in

Physics, 1945).

Our intellect does not draw its laws from nature but tries – with varying

degrees of success – to impose upon nature laws which it freely

invents. Theories are free creations of our own minds, the results of

almost poetic intuition, of an attempt to understand intuitively the laws

of nature. – Karl Popper (1902-1994) regarded as the one of the

greatest philosopher of Science of the 20th century.

Page 5: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Uncertainties in Simulation

Evaluation of the effects that uncertainties

in (D, I) have on the data of interest F.

• Two types of uncertainties

Aleatory (random) uncertainties associated with the

statistical dispersion of model parameters

Residual stresses, crack propagation data, etc.

Epistemic (model-form) uncertainties

Associated with the definition of mathematical

models

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 5

(D, I) → F

Page 6: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Numerical Simulation

(D, I) F Fnum

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 6

Model-form

uncertainties

Aleatory

uncertainties

(D, I) FnumF

Errors of

approximation

Mathematical

modelNumerical

solution

Physical

reality

FEA ExtractionConceptualization

Prediction

Approximation

Errors

Page 7: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Assumptions

The driver of fatigue crack propagation is the stress intensity factor amplitude DKI

• The principle of superposition is applicable (LEFM)

• Residual stresses only affect the load ratio

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 7

Modeling Crack Propagation

1max

min K

KR

1max

min K

KR

Page 8: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Assumptions

Crack propagation rates derived from da/dN – Δ𝐾curves obtained from calibration experiments at fixed load ratios• Curves derived for thru-cracks are applicable for

corner cracks

• Interpolation for finding da/dN for load ratios not covered by the experimental data

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 8

Modeling Crack Propagation

Page 9: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Assumptions

The direction of crack growth is normal to the crack front• The crack grows in the plane of the initial flaw

• Along the crack front the load ratio depends on the RS at the point

• Only the residual stresses normal to the plane are needed to compute 𝐾𝑟𝑒𝑠

The shape of the crack is controlled by the growth rate

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 9

Modeling Crack Propagation

Page 10: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Modeling Crack Propagation

Sources of Error

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 10

Sources of Error – Model of Crack Propagation

Aleatory Epistemic Approximation

Initial stresses before

CX

Driver of crack

propagation

Computation of SIFs

with RS

Residual stresses dataDirection of crack

extension

Computation of SIFs

remote load

da/dN-DK data Interpolation and fitting

of test data

Numerical Integration

to find DN

Number of control

points to define the

crack shape

jj adNdaN DD1

/

Page 11: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Model Predictions

Prediction using CP Model

• Number of cycles to failure & shape of the

crack front

7075 Specimen with central hole – No CW

2024 & 7075 Specimen with central hole – CW

Uncertainty in predictions

• Effect of variation in residual stresses

• Spectrum load vs. equivalent constant

amplitude loading

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 11

Page 12: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Prediction 7075-T6

Specimen Non Cold-Worked Hole

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 12

Constant Amplitude loading

7075-T6

AFGROW database

Page 13: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Prediction 7075-T6

Specimen NonCX7075-02

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 13

13,916 16,627

Page 14: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Prediction 7075-T6

Specimen NonCX7075-03

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 14

138,499 159,547

Page 15: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Prediction 7075-T6

Specimen NonCX7075-04

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 15

140,168 163,789

Page 16: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Prediction 2024-T3

Specimen with Cold-Worked Hole

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 16

Constant Amplitude loading

AFGROW database

Page 17: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Prediction 2024-T3

Specimen with Cold-Worked Hole

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 17

Constant Amplitude loading

AFGROW database

Residual Stress distribution

Page 18: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 18

Cold-Worked & Pre-Cracked

Prediction 2024-T3

Fatigue Life(121,312)

Prediction

CouponSurface Pre-

crack, in.

Bore Pre-

crack, in.

Fatigue Life,

Cycles

1 0.02810 0.03486 121312

2 0.02166 0.04136 65890

3 0.02200 0.03204 126587

4 0.02032 0.02936 180066

Page 19: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Prediction 2024-T3

Cold-Worked & Pre-Cracked

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 19

Fatigue Life

(65,890)

CouponSurface Pre-

crack, in.

Bore Pre-

crack, in.

Fatigue Life,

Cycles

1 0.02810 0.03486 121312

2 0.02166 0.04136 65890

3 0.02200 0.03204 126587

4 0.02032 0.02936 180066

Page 20: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Prediction 2024-T3

Cold-Worked & Pre-Cracked

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 20

CouponSurface Pre-

crack, in.

Bore Pre-

crack, in.

Fatigue Life,

Cycles

1 0.02810 0.03486 121312

2 0.02166 0.04136 65890

3 0.02200 0.03204 126587

4 0.02032 0.02936 180066

Fatigue Life

(126,587)

Page 21: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Prediction 2024-T3

Cold-Worked & Pre-Cracked

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 21

CouponSurface Pre-

crack, in.

Bore Pre-

crack, in.

Fatigue Life,

Cycles

1 0.02810 0.03486 121312

2 0.02166 0.04136 65890

3 0.02200 0.03204 126587

4 0.02032 0.02936 180066

Fatigue Life

(180,066)

Page 22: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Typical Crack Propagation Map

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 22

Page 23: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Effect of Variations in RS

Assessment of the effect of aleatory

uncertainty in the prediction of the fatigue

life

Specimen 1 (CX & pre-crack) was analyzed

with 3 RS distributions

• RS as measured

• RS 10% lower than measured

• RS 10% higher than measured

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 23

Page 24: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Prediction 2024-T3

Specimen 1 – RS as Measured

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 24

Predicted Fatigue Life

137,305 cycles

Page 25: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Prediction 2024-T3

Specimen 1 – RS 10% Lower

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 25

Predicted Fatigue Life

78,913 cycles

Page 26: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Prediction 2024-T3

Specimen 1 – RS 10% Higher

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 26

Predicted Fatigue Life

266,500 cycles

Page 27: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 27

Sensitivity to Input RS

Prediction 2024-T3

Predicted Life [Cycles] Fatigue

Life

[Cycles]90% RS 100% RS 110% RS

78,913 137,305 266,500 121,312

Prediction 137,305+ 94%

– 43%

+/-10% variation in RS3.4

Page 28: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Prediction 7075-T6

Specimen with Cold-Worked Hole

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 28

AFGROW database

Constant & Variable Amplitude loading

Page 29: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Prediction 7075-T6

Specimen with Cold-Worked Hole

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 29

AFGROW database

Constant & Variable Amplitude loading

Residual Stress distribution

Page 30: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Prediction 7075-T6

Specimen 100% RS – CA Loading

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 30

Equivalent Constant

Amplitude loading

Predicted Fatigue Life

300,000 cycles

Page 31: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Prediction 7075-T6

Specimen 100% RS – VA Loading

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 31

Spectrum Loading

Predicted Fatigue Life

270,000 cycles

Page 32: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Prediction 7075-T6

Specimen 95% RS – CA Loading

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 32

Predicted Fatigue Life

165,000 cycles

Equivalent Constant

Amplitude loading

Page 33: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Prediction 7075-T6

Sensitivity to Input RS & Loading

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 33

71,400 136,400 31,400

90% 95% 100%

CA CA CAVA

100%

3.2

CA

No RS

90,000

Page 34: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Summary & Conclusions

The prediction of fatigue life for crack in cold-worked holes is affected by

• The statistical dispersion of the input data (D) Residual stress and crack propagation data

• Our idea of reality (I) Which serves as the basis for the formulation of the

mathematical model

• The mathematical model used for the computation of the data of interest (K, Kres) The control of the errors of approximation when

computing Knum.

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 34

Page 35: Factors Affecting Fatigue Crack Propagation from Cold

Summary & Conclusions

The prediction of fatigue life is strongly

affected by variation in residual stresses

• ±10% variation in RS factor > 3.0 in fatigue life

estimates for the 2024 & 7075 specimens

considered

The prediction of fatigue life was much less

affected by the loading

• 11% variation when comparing the equivalent

constant amplitude load cycle with the spectrum

load cycle with 100% RS for the 7075 specimen

Sept 2015 ESRD, Inc. 35