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Extrapolation Neutrino Flux measured at Near Detector to the Far Detector. Near Detector Workshop, CERN, 30 July 2011 Paul Soler, Andrew Laing. Outline. Near detector flux systematics at neutrino factory Near detector location and spectra Neutrino oscillation fits and sensitivities - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Extrapolation Neutrino Flux Extrapolation Neutrino Flux measured at Near Detector to the Far measured at Near Detector to the Far
DetectorDetector
Extrapolation Neutrino Flux Extrapolation Neutrino Flux measured at Near Detector to the Far measured at Near Detector to the Far
DetectorDetector
Near Detector Workshop, CERN, 30 July 2011
Paul Soler, Andrew Laing
Near Detector workshop, CERN, 30 July 2011
2
OutlineOutline
Near detector flux systematics at neutrino factory Near detector location and spectra Neutrino oscillation fits and sensitivities Near to Far extrapolation method Near to Far extrapolation simulations Near to Far extrapolation results
Near Detector workshop, CERN, 30 July 2011
3
Near Detector Flux systematicsNear Detector Flux systematics Importance of Near Detector for systematics 2.5% error on flux makes big difference in CP coverage Better to reduce error in flux below 1% if possible
Winter, Tang
Near Detector workshop, CERN, 30 July 2011
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Near Detector LocationNear Detector Location
Assume one ND per straight per ring (ie 4 detectors) The idea is to have ND 80-100 m from end of each straight to
measure flux and possibly also measure divergence ~0.1/
Near Detector workshop, CERN, 30 July 2011
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Spectra at Near Detector Spectra at Near Detector
e
o Near Detector sees a line source (600 m long decay straight)o Far Detector sees a point source
e1 km
100 m
2500 km
2500 kmND
NDFD
FD
Need to take into account these differences for flux measurement
100 m
1 km
Near Detector workshop, CERN, 30 July 2011
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Fitting Far Detector Sensitivity Fitting Far Detector Sensitivity
*J. Burguet-Castell et al. Nucl. Phys., B608:301, 2001; Nucl.Phys., B646:301, 2002; Nucl. Phys., B725:306, 2005.
For Andrew’s thesis, carried out sensitivity plots by fitting spectra with NuTS framework developed by Valencia group*
where Mi is response matrix and Ni,j is interaction matrix
i= channel; j=baseline; k=background channel Fitting for 13 and CP simultaneously, minimise 2:
nei,j=Datasim, Ne
i,j = predicted spectrum, e=energy bin; Aj=rate factor (fiducial mass), xj=ratio cross sections; A=0.05; x=0.01.
Near Detector workshop, CERN, 30 July 2011
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Far detector sensitivityFar detector sensitivity Set up grid of points in 13 and CP and fit sensitivity contours:
NH contours fitted with wrong mass hierarchy: 2 values much worse
Normal mass hierarchy fitted with NH assumption
This was all done using migration matrices from MIND analysis
Near Detector workshop, CERN, 30 July 2011
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Far detector sensitivityFar detector sensitivity Sensitivity to 13:
Inverted mass hierarchyNormal mass hierarchy
This was all done using migration matrices from MIND analysis
Near Detector workshop, CERN, 30 July 2011
9
Far detector sensitivityFar detector sensitivity Sensitivity to CP:
Inverted mass hierarchyNormal mass hierarchy
This was all done using migration matrices from MIND analysis
Near Detector workshop, CERN, 30 July 2011
10
Far detector sensitivityFar detector sensitivity Sensitivity to the mass hierarchy:
Inverted mass hierarchyNormal mass hierarchy
This was all done using migration matrices from MIND analysis
Near Detector workshop, CERN, 30 July 2011
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Flux extrapolation methodFlux extrapolation method Extrapolation near-to-far at Neutrino Factory:
– Our first idea was to directly use a matrix method similar to MINOS:
– Where MFD=matrix of x-section plus response for numu at FD
– MND=matrix of x-section plus response for nue at ND
– MnOsc=matrix of FD nue flux extrapolated from ND nue flux
– NFD=number of numu events in FD
– NND=number of nue events in ND
– Posc is the probability of oscillation and depends on 13 and CP
However, there are problems with this direct method due to the finite resolution of response matrices: inverting three matrices means that the fit did not converge in many cases
11113 ),( nOscNDNDFDFDCPosc MMNNMP
Near Detector workshop, CERN, 30 July 2011
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Flux extrapolation methodFlux extrapolation method Extrapolation near-to-far at Neutrino Factory:
– We now use indirect method, we extract Posc by fitting this formula:
– Where MFD=matrix of x-section plus response for numu at FD
– MND=matrix of x-section plus response for nue at ND
– MnOsc=matrix of FD nue flux extrapolated from ND nue flux
– NFD=number of numu events in FD
– NND=number of nue events in ND
– Posc is the probability of oscillation and depends on 13 and CP
There is only one ND matrix that we need to invert and because the resolution on this matrix should be better than at the FD, then the fits converge for all values of 13 and CP
NDNDnOscCPoscFDFD NMMPMN 113 ),(
Near Detector workshop, CERN, 30 July 2011
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Extrapolation near-to-far at Neutrino Factory: – Simulate a near detector nue response by assuming:
Flux extrapolation simulationFlux extrapolation simulation
)(
%20
)(
)(
GeVEE
E
GeVEE
GeVEe 4%5.17
4%70)(
)(
%35
)(
)(
GeVEE
E
e
e
Prediction of flux from response matrices
GeVEE
GeVE
4%15
4%60)(
GeVEE
GeVE
4%20
4%80)(
Near Detector workshop, CERN, 30 July 2011
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Flux extrapolation resultsFlux extrapolation results Extrapolation near-to-far at Neutrino Factory:
– Using the FD spectrum formula: – Fit FD spectrum to predicted spectrum from ND:
NDNDnOscCPoscFDFD NMMPMN 113 ),(
Tijijiji j
ijij nNVnN 12
Fits assuming standard flux error 1%
Fits using near-far projection method
Near Detector workshop, CERN, 30 July 2011
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Flux extrapolation resultsFlux extrapolation results Extrapolation near-to-far at Neutrino Factory:
– Using the FD spectrum formula: – Fit FD spectrum to predicted spectrum from ND:
NDNDnOscCPoscFDFD NMMPMN 113 ),(
Tijijiji j
ijij nNVnN 12
Fit improves at 3 levelComparison fitted 13 and with true values
Near Detector workshop, CERN, 30 July 2011
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Flux extrapolation resultsFlux extrapolation results Fitted vs true values of 13 and CP: no observed biases
Fitted 13 vs true value
Fitted CP vs true value
Near Detector workshop, CERN, 30 July 2011
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ConclusionsConclusions
Developed extrapolation method for near to far detector While fluxes can be calculated accurately at a neutrino
factory, fitting the spectrum from near to far detector improves performance especially at the 3 level
In my view, the near detector flux measurement and extrapolation to far detector is necessary to go to sub-1% level flux error