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College of the Redwoods2011

TOTAL White Hispanic Asian Pacific Islander Black American Indian Multirace0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Projected Population Change2010 to 2020

Humboldt California

% C

hang

e

Source: State of California, Department of Finance, Population Projections for California and Its Counties 2000-2050, Sacramento, California, July 2007.

Humboldt County will experience less growth than California. The Hispanic population will grow at the highest rate in Humboldt County, although slower than California as a whole.

County Growth Pacific American County TOTAL White Hispanic Asian Islander Black Indian Multirace

HUMBOLDT (2010) 134,785 107,867 10,426 2,348 286 1,164 8,148 4,546

Projected growth (2020) 5.48% 2.25% 22.01% 12.01% 13.99% 9.28% 17.11% 18.28%

DEL NORTE (2010) 30,983 20,809 5,099 751 18 1,249 2,043 1,014


MENDOCINO (2010) 93,166 64,203 19,197 1,121 128 522 5,861 2,134

Projected growth (2020) 9.50% -1.04% 29.42% 10.44% 15.63% 8.05% 56.22% 18.60%

CALIFORNIA (2010) 39,135,676 16,438,78414,512,81

7 4,684,005 149,878 2,287,190 240,721 822,281



• Humboldt county is projected to grow less than Del Norte and Mendocino counties.

• Growth of ethnic minority groups will vary across counties, but all counties are expected to have much larger Hispanic, Multi-race, and American Indian populations.

Projected Population Change by AgeHumboldt County (2010 – 2030)

2010 2020 20300

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

0-2425-3435-4445-5455-6465+


• The 65 and older age group is projected to increase sharply throughout the next twenty years.

• The 35-44 age group is also projected to grow over the next 10 years, although at a much slower rate.

• All age groups at high school and younger show a slight decline.

High School Graduate Projections

1974-75

1977-78

1980-81

1983-84

1986-87

1989-90

1992-93

1995-96

1998-99

2001-02

2004-05

2007-08

2010-11

2013-14

2016-17

2019-200

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

California

Graduates

1974-75

1977-78

1980-81

1983-84

1986-87

1989-90

1992-93

1995-96

1998-99

2001-02

2004-05

2007-08

2010-11

2013-14

2016-17

2019-200

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

Humboldt

# Graduates

Source: State of California, Department of Finance, California Public K-12 Graded Enrollment and High School Graduate Projections by County, 2011 Series. Sacramento, California, October 2011

• Humboldt County reached an all time high in terms of high school graduates in 2002-2003.• Graduates have declined, and are expected to continue to decline through 2014-15, after

which they will bounce around but remain fairly constant through 2020.

High School Graduate Projections

1974-75

1977-78

1980-81

1983-84

1986-87

1989-90

1992-93

1995-96

1998-99

2001-02

2004-05

2007-08

2010-11

2013-14

2016-17

2019-200

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Mendocino

Graduates

Source: State of California, Department of Finance, California Public K-12 Graded Enrollment and High School Graduate Projections by County, 2011 Series. Sacramento, California, October 2011

1974-75

1977-78

1980-81

1983-84

1986-87

1989-90

1992-93

1995-96

1998-99

2001-02

2004-05

2007-08

2010-11

2013-14

2016-17

2019-200

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Del Norte

Graduates

College-Going RatesHumboldt County

2006 2007 2008 20090%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

UC CSU CCC Total

Colle

ge-g

oing

rate

s - H

umbo

ldt C

ount

y

• About twice as many high school graduates from Humboldt County go to a CC vs. a UC or CSU. High-school going rates for CCCs show a somewhat opposite trend as the CSUs.

High School Yields

• About 30% of high school graduates in the district enroll at CR.

2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

District HS Yield by Year

High School Yields by School

2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Eureka Senior High, EurekaFortuna Union High, FortunaMcKinleyville High, Mc KinleyvilleArcata High, Arcata

124

73

4765

# entering CR in 2010

Eureka Senior High shows no increase in the proportion attending CR over the past five years. Arcata High, however, shows somewhat increased CR attendance.

Humboldt County Economic Forecast

Source: California County-Level Economic Forecast, 2011-2040. Prepared for the Office of Transportation Economics Division of Transportation Planning. August 2011

• Total wage and salary job growth is forecast to turn positive in 2011, at 0.7 percent. Average salaries adjusted for inflation are expected to remain below the California state.

Occupational Employment Projections (2008 – 2018)North Coast Region: Del Norte, Humboldt, Land and Mendocino Counties

Source: Projections of Employment by Industry and Occupation, State of CaliforniaEmployment Development Department. http://www.labormarketinfo.edd.ca.gov/Content.asp?pageid=145

• The majority of jobs in the area require less than a year of on the job training.

Occupational Employment Projections (2008 – 2018)North Coast Region: Del Norte, Humboldt, Land and Mendocino Counties

• The professional and business services industry is projected to be the fastest growing. Other areas are education, health care and social assistance, as well as retail trade.

North Coast Projections. March 2009 benchmark. Sorted by growth.Occupational Title – General Categories

Annual Average Employment

Employment Change

Annual Job Openings 2010 Wages

2008 2018 % increase Total Median AnnualTotal, All Occupations 118,180 125,450 6.20 3,513 $31,590 Business and Financial Operations Occupations 3050 3440 12.79 99 $48,545 Healthcare Support Occupations 2950 3320 12.54 73 $26,493 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 4710 5280 12.10 155 $65,771 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 830 930 12.05 28 $51,002 Sales and Related Occupations 11710 13080 11.70 511 $23,064 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 4160 4550 9.38 121 $37,148 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations 1180 1290 9.32 42 $33,673 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 1630 1740 6.75 62 $50,277 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 5490 5860 6.74 167 $30,656 Construction and Extraction Occupations 5500 5840 6.18 127 $42,902 Community and Social Services Occupations 2920 3100 6.16 82 $38,351

Legal Occupations 490 520 6.12 12 $60,898 Personal Care and Service Occupations 6900 7260 5.22 176 $21,637 Production Occupations 4690 4900 4.48 130 $30,094 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 910 950 4.40 23 $67,572 Education, Training, and Library Occupations 9000 9380 4.22 241 $45,634 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations 10820 11250 3.97 434 $19,316 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 16540 17190 3.93 442 $30,463

Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 5390 5590 3.71 111 $26,217 Management Occupations 10720 10960 2.24 212 $67,894 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 4830 4830 0.00 138 $23,808 Protective Service Occupations 3880 3830 -1.29 127 $49,476

Occupational Employment Projections

• Professional and business services growth is expected to fuel the growth of accountants, auditors, and environmental scientists and specialists. These high paying occupations require a minimum of a bachelor’s degree.

Occupational Titles Requiring AA/AS degrees

Annual Average EmploymentEmployment

ChangeAnnual Job Openings 2010 Wages

2008 2018 % increase Total Median Annual

Physical Therapist Assistants 50 60 20 2 $50,116 Veterinary Technologists and Technicians 110 130 18.2 5 $31,951 Registered Nurses 1,650 1,910 15.8 55 $72,083 Dental Hygienists 130 150 15.4 5 $91,881 Respiratory Therapists 80 90 12.5 3 $64,196

Environmental Science and Protection Technicians, Including Health 90 100 11.1 6 $47,588 Paralegals and Legal Assistants 100 110 10 2 $44,299 Radiologic Technologists and Technicians 140 150 7.1 3 $61,068 Insurance Sales Agents 150 160 6.7 5 $52,940 Medical Records and Health Information Technicians 160 170 6.3 5 $29,059 Computer Support Specialists 250 260 4 8 $36,078 Civil Engineering Technicians 70 70 0 1 $50,145 Biological Technicians 70 70 0 3 $31,059 Chemical Technicians 40 40 0 1 $30,049

Forest and Conservation Technicians 280 280 0 13 $35,013

Life, Physical, and Social Science Technicians, All Other 60 60 0 3 $42,363 Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technicians 80 80 0 3 $36,251 Diagnostic Medical Sonographers 30 30 0 0 $73,911


• All jobs requiring an AA/AS degree show increasing growth, or no change.

• Registered nurse jobs are expected to grow by over 15% with the largest number of annual job openings of all jobs requiring an AA/AS degree.

Occupational Title Requiring Post-Sec Vocational Ed


Employment Change


2008 2018 % increase TotalMedian Annual

Electronic Home Entertainment Equipment Installers and Repairers 30 40 33.3 1 $37,985 Surgical Technologists 50 60 20 2 $47,680

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists 260 310 19.2 9 $26,120 Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers 140 160 14.3 5 $39,625 Real Estate Sales Agents 80 90 12.5 2 $23,689

Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics 560 630 12.5 18 $38,659

Health Technologists and Technicians, All Other 90 100 11.1 3 $35,583 Medical Secretaries 680 750 10.3 16 $29,938

Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists 250 270 8 8 $41,915

Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses 390 420 7.7 15 $49,713 Gaming Supervisors 130 140 7.7 4 $41,239

Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines 140 150 7.1 4 $46,774 Massage Therapists 170 180 5.9 3 $24,511

Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 250 260 4 7 $28,718

• Jobs requiring Vocational Ed training with projected employment increase


• Jobs for automotive service technicians and mechanics are expected to grow at 12.5%, with 18 annual job openings.

• Medical secretaries and LPN/LVNs are also expected to grow, with larger numbers of annual job openings.

Occupational Title Requiring Post-Sec Vocational Ed cont.


Employment Change


2008 2018 % increase Total Median Annual

Appraisers and Assessors of Real Estate 40 40 0 1 $45,223

Architectural and Civil Drafters 80 80 0 2 $50,695 Court Reporters 30 30 0 0 $64,842 Broadcast Technicians 30 30 0 1 $21,879

Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Workers, All Other 40 40 0 1 $61,765

Medical Transcriptionists 60 60 0 1 $35,330 Chefs and Head Cooks 100 100 0 1 $31,099 Slot Key Persons 140 140 0 3 $25,017 Legal Secretaries 190 190 0 3 $37,567

Security and Fire Alarm Systems Installers 40 40 0 2 $38,117

Farm Equipment Mechanics 40 40 0 1 $36,074

Jewelers and Precious Stone and Metal Workers 40 40 0 1 $19,273

Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics 200 180 -10 4 $24,000

• Jobs requiring Vocational Ed training with a stable or declining projected employment

Documents

External Scan