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Zia Park (10/12/19)TRIFECTA & SUPERFECTA BOX TRIFECTA & SUPERFECTA BOX TRIFECTA & SUPERFECTA BOX
EXACTA BOX EXACTA BOX EXACTA BOX E Q P D
WIN/PLACE/SHOW www.440nation.comKey Horse Top Contender Use Use
Race 1 #4 Jr Oreanna #3 Coyote Love #8 Arbor Slick #1 Fortunate Streaker
Race 2 #4 Rod James #3 Why Buy The Cow $ #5 Amsterdams Big Daddy #7 Big Spurs
Race 3 #6 Vaccarino #10 Jess Lobita $ #7 Mad Max Cartel $ #3 Leading Game $
Race 4 #5 What Huh * #1 The Rocket Wrangler #6 Maiden Coronas #4 Magna Moon $
Race 5 #6 Echos Thru Fire #4 Groovy Chick $ #7 Mae Regard #1 Cork N Perry
Race 6 #7 Braggadocious #1 Rum Running Odee #9 One Prize Eagle #2 Bf Aprilfoose $
Race 7 #6 Another Jess Winner $ #8 Eyeza Beauty $ #10 Lexy Fast Girl #1 Hot Lips Lupita
Race 8 #6 Mr Flashmaster $ #3 Effortless Candy Cat #9 Mr Moon #7 Kama Streaking $
Race 9 #7 Insurmountable Bb * #8 Magical Mushroom $ #4 Handsome Nancy $ #2 My Regards To You $
None
Today’s Stakes Race(s)
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Race 10 #2 Famous Big Daddy #1 Paint Your Eagle #10 Gonna Moon You $ #7 Jo Jo Hot Legs
TRIFECTA & SUPERFECTA BOX TRIFECTA & SUPERFECTA BOX TRIFECTA & SUPERFECTA BOX
EXACTA BOX EXACTA BOX EXACTA BOX E Q P D
WIN/PLACE/SHOW www.440nation.comKey Horse Top Contender Use Use
* = Best Bet
www.440Nation.com
Ryne Valerio
$ = Longshot
Selections by:
Email: [email protected]
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Race 1 #4 Jr Oreanna #3 Coyote Love #8 Arbor Slick #1 Fortunate Streaker
Race 1 Trainer JockeyM/L
OddsPredicted post
Time OddsWin
Probability
#4 Jr Oreanna Bennie “Chip” Woolley Jr.
Albert Arrerola 7/5 6/5
#3 Coyote Love Guadalupe Muñoz Jr. Federico Martinez 9/2 7/2
#8 Arbor Slick Sergio Roman Simon Buechler 3/1 5/1
#1 Fortunate Streaker Francisco M. Gonzalez Alfredo Sigala 8/1 8/1
Race Notes Best Value Suggested Bet Payout Potential Race Rating
Bad bunch. Top choice ran good 1st time 870 from outside post. Toughest competition is 2nd choice coming off 9 month layoff
#3 Coyote Love
Exacta Key 4 / 1,3,8
440 Selections
Payout Potential: This shows whether I think the the potential reward outweighs the risk of the wager. The more stars the more the higher I predict the payouts will be if given selections hit.
Race Rating: Every day there are races where the potential score is much better than in other races. Often times there are races that I don’t like at all where the risk is not worth the reward. The more stars = the more I like the selections I’ve provided. Look for races with both HIGH POTENTIAL PAYOUT + HIGH RACE RATING.
Win Probability : What I think the horses chances are of winning the race. 5 Stars means I think the horse is a lock. Some races will show a horse with a lower selection but higher win probability. That usually happens when I’m trying to beat a favorite with a horse who I found an angle I like.
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Race 2 #4 Rod James #3 Why Buy The Cow $ #5 Amsterdams Big Daddy #7 Big Spurs
Race 2 Trainer Jockey M/L Odds
Predicted post Time Odds
Win Probability
#4 Rod James Alvaro Hinojos Frank Reyes 4/1 8/1
#3 Why Buy The Cow $ Simon Buechler Luis H. Rodriguez 10/1 3/1
#5 Amsterdams Big Daddy James J Gonzalez II Alfredo Juarez Jr. 2/1 9/5
#7 Big Spurs Rudy Valles Martin Felix 6/1 9/2
Race Notes Best Value Suggested Bet Payout Potential Race Rating
Quality group of NMB’s going 870. Top choice makes 4th 870 start after easily winning last start. Prior was close 2nd behind a couple really nice horses.
#4 Rod James Exacta Box Key 4 / 3,5,6,7
Race 3 #6 Vaccarino #10 Jess Lobita $ #7 Mad Max Cartel $ #3 Leading Games
Race 3 Trainer Jockey M/L Odds
Predicted post Time Odds
Win Probability
#6 Vaccarino Osman Iturralde Omar Iturralde 9/5 8/5
#10 Jess Lolita $ Jesus Carrete Alonso Rivera 10/1 4/1
#7 Mad Max Carte $ Jesus Rondan Jr. Raul P Hernandez Jr. 15/1 12/1
#3 Leading Game $ Guadulpe Munoz Jr. Paul Garcia 8/1 12/1
Race Notes Best Value Suggested Bet Payout Potential Race Rating
Top Choice takes big class drop. Was 2nd two back vs $10K Claimers. Should be heavy fav. 2nd choice 3rd Start off layoff for 20% trainer
#10 Jess Lolita Exacta Box
Race 4 #5 What Huh * #1 The Rocket Wrangler #6 Maiden Coronas #4 Magna Moon $
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#1 The Rocket Wrangler Arnulfo Valdez Raul Herrera 4-1 8/1
#6 Maiden Coronas Mario Fernandez JC Villanueva 5-2 2/1
#4 Magna Moon $ Tony Sedillo Frank Reyes 8-1 6/1
Race Notes Best Value Suggested Bet Payout Potential Race Rating
Top Choice 2nd start off 10 month layoff & 1st @ 870. Ran a good 2nd @ 550 vs much better last start. Love this Choice!! 2nd choice has had terrible starts last 4 races, if he leaves decent he’s good enough to get a big piece
#5 What Huh* Exacta Key 5 / 1,4,6
Trainer JockeyM/L
OddsPredicted post
Time OddsWin
ProbabilityRace 4
Race 5 Trainer JockeyM/L
OddsPredicted post
Time OddsWin
Probability
#6 Echoes Thru Fire Filiberto Quiroz Esgar Ramirez 7/2 9/5
#4 Groovy Chick $ Osman Iturralde Omar Iturralde 10/1 8/1
#7 Mae Regard Lillian Silva Federico Martinez 4/1 6/1
#1 Cork N Perry Chris Zamora JR Ramirez 3/1 5/2
Race Notes Best Value Suggested Bet Payout Potential Race Rating
Class drop for top choice who’s been close each of last three starts vs better. Can’t see her staying at 7/2. 2nd choice ships in from Colorado, 4 back ran 1/2 length off Mile High Derby Runnerup.
#4 Groovy Chick
Exacta Box 4,6
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Race 6 Trainer JockeyM/L
OddsPredicted post
Time OddsWin
Probability
#7 Braggadocious Sal Soto Poul Garcia 3/1 9/5
#1 Rum Running Odee Hector Jacquez Sergio Becerra Jr 4/1 6/1
#9 One Prize Eagle Manny Rodriguez Raul Herrera 7/2 5/1
#2 Bf Aprilfoose $ Daniel Cano Alan Hernandez 8/1 8/1
Race Notes Best Value Suggested Bet Payout Potential Race Rating
1st time vs claimers for top choice who when he shows up has beat some really nice horses. Inconsistency worries me.
#1 Rum Running Odee Tri Box
Race 7 Trainer Jockey M/L Odds
Predicted post Time Odds
Win Probability
#6 Another Jess Winner $ Raul Vega Alan Hernandez 10/1
#8 Eyeza Beauty $ Osman Iturralde Omar Iturralde 10/1
#10 Lexy Fast Girl Emily Cardenas Brian Barraza 7/5
#1 Hot Lips Lupita Kenneth Durbin Jansen Melancon 5/1
Race Notes Best Value Suggested Bet Payout Potential Race Rating
Top two choices stand out to me here, if M/L Odds hold up this is the race to make $. Top choice ran 4th vs solid mdn bunch 2 back. 2nd choice ships in from Colorado, 2 back ran 3rd well beaten by Mile High Derby runnerup. 3 back ran 3rd a neck behind All American Derby Trial winner. Either can win!!
#6 & #8 EX Box
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#3 Effortless Candy Cat James J Gonzales II Adrian Ramos 4/1 2/1
#9 Mr Moon Ramon Mendoza Sergio Becerra Jr. 9/5 3/1
#7 Kama Streaking $ Mike Joiner Raul Ramirez Jr. 8/1 12/1
Race Notes Best Value Suggested Bet Payout Potential Race Rating
Taking a shot w/ top choice here off barn switch. Ran 4th in debut in solid trial & exits super tough mdn race. 2nd choice was beaten fav in debut when 3rd behind NM Spring Fut winner, then hit the shelf for 6 months. Great 220 over Zia on 9/16
#6 Mr Flashmaster
Exacta Key Box 6 / 2,3,7,9
Trainer JockeyM/L
OddsPredicted post
Time OddsWin
ProbabilityRace 8
Race 9 Trainer JockeyM/L
OddsPredicted post
Time OddsWin
Probability
#7 Insurmountable Bb * Donna McArthur Tanner Thedford 7/2 3/1
#8 Magical Mushroom $ Wes Giles Adrian Ramos 10/1 12/1
#4 Handsome Nancy $ Alfredo Marquez Hector Aldrete 12//1 10/1
#2 My Regards To You $ Cynthia Gonzalez Sergio Becerra 10/1 8/1
Race Notes Best Value Suggested Bet Payout Potential Race Rating
Only time top choice finished off board in last 8 outs was 5th Place finish in NMBrdrsDby. Looks like one of the few in here that wont mind 400yds. Wide open after that
#7 Insurmountable
BbWin/Place/Show
5
Race 10 Trainer Jockey M/L Odds
Predicted post Time Odds
Win Probability
#2 Famous Big Daddy Beatriz Sanchez Carillo Edgar S Martinez 9/5 7/5
#1 Paint Your Eagle Alejandro Chavez Alejandro Medellin 4/1 3/1
#10 Gonna Moon You $ Fred Danley Noe Garcia Jr. 8/1 12/1
#7 Jo Jo Hot Legs Monse Melendez Alan Hernandez 6/1 8/1
Race Notes Best Value Suggested Bet Payout Potential Race Rating
Top choice comes from hot barn, 2 back ran a good 3rd vs tougher. Don’t see him getting beat here.
#1 PAINT YOUR EAGLE
Exacta Key 2 / 1,7,10
WWW.440NATION.COMEmail: [email protected]
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