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Evolving NDBC Buoy Observations to Add Value to Hurricane Research and Forecasting Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference Tropical Cyclone Research Forum Karen Grissom 12 March, 2019 National Data Buoy Center

Evolving NDBC Buoy Observations to Add Value to Hurricane ... · Michael ~30 ft seas. Waves: 42039 & 42003 ~30 ft seas. Waves: 41048. Florence-80 -70 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10

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  • Evolving NDBC Buoy Observations to Add Value to

    Hurricane Research and Forecasting

    Interdepartmental Hurricane ConferenceTropical Cyclone Research Forum

    Karen Grissom12 March, 2019

    National Data Buoy Center

  • Individual Moorings

    Satellites

    Moorings Networks

    Time and Space Observing Needs

  • Value of In-Situ Buoy Observations

    • Initializationo Provide background state prior to TC – improve initial

    conditions

    • Validation/ground truth

    • Developmental testing & calibrationo Contribute to post storm understanding of magnitude &

    duration of ocean response

    • Captures temporal variability

    • Impervious to cloud cover

  • 05/20 06/01 06/15 07/01 07/15 08/01 08/15 09/01 09/15 10/01 10/10980

    990

    1000

    1010

    1020

    1030

    Date (mm/dd)

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    • Ocean observations assimilation critical to improving initialization for intensity

    • Observation (waves, SST) and derived integral properties (heat content) often used as constraint of mesoscale variability – background state

    Initialization

    Station 42039 N. GoM

    Alberto Gordon Michael

  • • Select locations • Observations for testing/validation of satellites and

    models

    Validation

    Businger et al, 2015Tang et al, 2016

  • Calibration

    • Moored sensors can be re-calibrated to become in-situ reference stations for satellites and other type of sensors

    Valamanesh et al, 2016

  • Spatial Density

    Historical DensityCurrent Density (2005-)

  • NDBC Legacy Buoys

    10-meter hull

    6-meter hull

  • NDBC Current Buoys

    3-meter hull

    2.1-meter hull

  • Value Added

    • Moved SST from hull mounted to in-situ bridle mount – faster response time

    • Added capability for RT subsurface in-situ T,S,P (& currents)

    • Excellent coverage of time domain & less time aliasing

    • High-resolution near real-time data to GTS• Hurricane Supplemental Observations: Barometer,

    wind speed and direction reports 1 min extreme

  • Marine Weather:Hurricanes

    Legacy Buoys

  • 09/27 09/30 10/03 10/07 10/10980

    990

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    10/01 10/07 10/10 10/14 10/170

    2.5

    5

    7.5

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    Date (mm/dd)

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    1,000

    1005

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    Michael

    ~30 ft seas

    Waves: 42039 & 42003

  • ~30 ft seas

    Waves: 41048

    Florence

  • -80 -70 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 600

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

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    400

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    OHC Difference (kJ/cm2)

    Num

    ber o

    f Obs

    erva

    tions

    Q = cp ρ ∫ 𝛥𝛥𝛥𝛥0𝑧𝑧(𝛥𝛥=26) (x,y,z,t) dz

    Mean difference = 4.6 kJ cm-2 ± 15 kJ cm-2

    Extra heatLess heat

    Ocean Heat Content

  • • Agreement diminishes with depth• Std dev increases from

    ± 0.2°C to ±0.6°

    • Mean difference changes sign

    Accuracy Required?

  • Summary

    • Value of buoy observations: initialization, validation, testing/calibration.

    • Different spatial representation, buoys ~ order of magnitude smaller, capture temporal variability.

    • Geographical sampling biases due to scarcity of high-quality buoy data

    • Technology refresh o High-resolution RT data to GTSo Cameraso Subsurface observations – OHCo Accuracy