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OECD EMPLOYER BRAND Playbook 1 PISA 2012 Evaluating school systems to improve education Andreas Schleicher

Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

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Page 1: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

OECD EMPLOYER

BRAND

Playbook

1

PISA 2012 Evaluating school systems

to improve education

Andreas Schleicher

Page 2: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

2 PISA in brief

• Over half a million students… – representing 28 million 15-year-olds in 65 countries/economies

… took an internationally agreed 2-hour test… – Goes beyond testing whether students can

reproduce what they were taught…

… to assess students’ capacity to extrapolate from what they know and creatively apply their knowledge in novel situations

– Mathematics, reading, science, problem-solving, financial literacy

– Total of 390 minutes of assessment material

… and responded to questions on… – their personal background, their schools

and their engagement with learning and school

• Parents, principals and system leaders provided data on… – school policies, practices, resources and institutional factors that

help explain performance differences .

Page 3: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

Singapore

Hong Kong-China Chinese Taipei

Korea

Macao-China Japan Liechtenstein Switzerland

Netherlands Estonia Finland Canada

Poland Belgium Germany Viet Nam

Austria Australia Ireland Slovenia

Denmark New Zealand Czech Republic France

United Kingdom Iceland

Latvia Luxembourg Norway Portugal Italy Spain

Russian Fed. Slovak Republic United States Lithuania Sweden Hungary

Croatia Israel

Greece Serbia Turkey

Romania

Bulgaria U.A.E. Kazakhstan Thailand

Chile Malaysia

Mexico 410

420

430

440

450

460

470

480

490

500

510

520

530

540

550

560

570

580

Mean score

High mathematics performance

Low mathematics performance

… Shanghai-China performs above this line (613)

… 12 countries perform below this line

Average performance

of 15-year-olds in

Mathematics Fig I.2.13

US

Massachusetts

Connecticut

Florida

26% of American 15-year-olds do not reach PISA Level 2

(OECD average 23%, Shanghai 4%, Japan 11%, Canada 14%, Some estimate

long-term economic cost to be US$72 trillion )

Page 4: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

Socially equitable

distribution of learning

opportunities

High mathematics performance

Low mathematics performance

Average performance

of 15-year-olds in

mathematics

Strong socio-economic

impact on student

performance

Singapore

Hong Kong-China Chinese Taipei

Korea

Macao-China Japan Liechtenstein Switzerland

Netherlands Estonia Finland Canada

Poland Belgium Germany Viet Nam

Austria Australia Ireland Slovenia

Denmark New Zealand Czech Republic France

United Kingdom Iceland

Latvia Luxembourg Norway Portugal Italy Spain

Russian Fed. Slovak Republic United States Lithuania Sweden Hungary

Croatia Israel

Greece Serbia Turkey

Romania

Bulgaria U.A.E. Kazakhstan Thailand

Chile Malaysia

Mexico

Page 5: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

Australia Austria

Belgium Canada

Chile

Czech Rep.

Denmark

Estonia

Finland

France

Germany

Greece

Hungary

Iceland Ireland

Israel

Italy

Japan

Korea

Luxembourg

Mexico

Netherlands

New Zealand

Norway

Poland

Portugal

Slovak Rep.

Slovenia

Spain Sweden

Switzerland

Turkey

UK

US

Singapore

Hong Kong-China Chinese Taipei

Macao-China

Liechtenstein

Viet Nam

Latvia

Russian Fed. Lithuania

Croatia

Serbia Romania

Bulgaria United Arab Emirates

Kazakhstan

Thailand

Malaysia

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26

2012 Shanghai-China

Socially equitable

distribution of learning

opportunities

Strong socio-economic

impact on student

performance

Australia Austria

Belgium Canada

Chile

Czech Rep.

Denmark

Estonia

Finland

France

Germany

Greece

Hungary

Iceland Ireland

Israel

Italy

Japan

Korea

Luxembourg

Mexico

Netherlands

New Zealand

Norway

Poland

Portugal

Slovak Rep.

Slovenia

Spain Sweden

Switzerland

Turkey

UK

US

Singapore

Hong Kong-China Chinese Taipei

Macao-China

Liechtenstein

Viet Nam

Latvia

Russian Fed. Lithuania

Croatia

Serbia Romania

Bulgaria United Arab Emirates

Kazakhstan

Thailand

Malaysia

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Page 6: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

Australia Austria

Belgium Canada

Chile

Czech Rep.

Denmark

Estonia

Finland

France

Germany

Greece

Hungary

Iceland Ireland

Israel

Italy

Japan

Korea

Luxembourg

Mexico

Netherlands

New Zealand

Norway

Poland

Portugal

Slovak Rep.

Slovenia

Spain Sweden

Switzerland

Turkey

UK

US

Australia

Austria

Belgium

Canada

Chile

Czech Rep.

Denmark

Estonia

Finland

France

Germany

Greece

Hungary

Iceland

Ireland

Israel

Italy

Japan

Korea

Luxembourg

Mexico

Netherlands

New Zealand

Norway

Poland

Portugal

Slovak Rep.

Slovenia

Spain

Sweden

Switzerland

Turkey

UK

US

2012

Socially equitable

distribution of learning

opportunities

Strong socio-economic

impact on student

performance

Page 7: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

Australia Austria

Belgium Canada

Chile

Czech Rep.

Denmark

Estonia

Finland

France

Germany

Greece

Hungary

Iceland Ireland

Israel

Italy

Japan

Korea

Luxembourg

Mexico

Netherlands

New Zealand

Norway

Poland

Portugal

Slovak Rep.

Slovenia

Spain Sweden

Switzerland

Turkey

UK

US

Australia

Austria

Belgium

Canada

Chile

Czech Rep.

Denmark

Estonia

Finland

France

Germany

Greece

Hungary

Iceland

Ireland

Israel

Italy

Japan

Korea

Luxembourg

Mexico

Netherlands

New Zealand

Norway

Poland

Portugal

Slovak Rep.

Slovenia

Spain

Sweden

Switzerland

Turkey

UK

US

Page 8: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

Australia Austria

Belgium Canada

Chile

Czech Rep.

Denmark

Estonia

Finland

France

Germany

Greece

Hungary

Iceland Ireland

Israel

Italy

Japan

Korea

Luxembourg

Mexico

Netherlands

New Zealand

Norway

Poland

Portugal

Slovak Rep.

Slovenia

Spain Sweden

Switzerland

Turkey

UK

US

Australia

Austria

Belgium

Canada

Chile

Czech Rep.

Denmark

Estonia

Finland

France

Germany

Greece

Hungary

Iceland

Ireland

Israel

Italy

Japan

Korea

Luxembourg

Mexico

Netherlands

New Zealand

Norway

Poland

Portugal

Slovak Rep.

Slovenia

Spain

Sweden

Switzerland

Turkey

UK

US

Singapore

Shanghai

Singapore

2003 - 2012

Page 9: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

Hong Kong-China

Brazil

Uruguay

Croatia

Latvia

Chinese Taipei

Thailand

Bulgaria

Jordan

Macao-China

UAE

Argentina

Indonesia

Kazakhstan

Peru

Costa Rica Montenegro

Tunisia

Qatar

Singapore

Colombia

Malaysia Serbia

Romania

Viet Nam

Shanghai-China

USA

Poland

New Zealand

Greece

UK

Estonia

Finland

Slovak Rep.

Luxembourg

Germany

Austria France

Japan

Turkey Sweden Hungary

Australia Israel

Canada

Ireland

Chile

Belgium

Spain Denmark

Switzerland

Iceland

Slovenia

Portugal Norway

Mexico

Korea

Italy

R² = 0.19

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

700

-0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5

Ma

the

ma

tics

perf

orm

an

ce

(sc

ore

po

ints

)

Equity in resource allocation (index points)

Countries with better performance in mathematics tend

to allocate educational resources more equitably

Greater

equity Less

equity

Adjusted by per capita GDP

Fig IV.1.11

30% of the variation in math performance across OECD countries is explained by the degree of similarity of

educational resources between advantaged and disadvantaged schools

OECD countries tend to allocate at least

an equal, if not a larger, number of

teachers per student to disadvantaged

schools; but disadvantaged schools tend

to have great difficulty in attracting qualified teachers.

Page 10: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

The American dream of social mobility

In some countries it is close to a reality

10

Page 11: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

Sh

an

gh

ai-

Chin

a

Hon

g K

on

g-C

hin

a

Ma

ca

o-C

hin

a

Vie

t N

am

S

ing

ap

ore

K

ore

a

Ch

ine

se

Ta

ipe

i Ja

pa

n

Lie

ch

ten

ste

in

Sw

itze

rla

nd

E

sto

nia

N

eth

erl

an

ds

Po

lan

d

Can

ad

a

Fin

lan

d

Be

lgiu

m

Po

rtu

ga

l G

erm

an

y

Tu

rke

y

OE

CD

ave

rag

e

Ita

ly

Sp

ain

L

atv

ia

Ire

lan

d

Au

str

alia

T

ha

ilan

d

Au

str

ia

Lu

xe

mb

ou

rg

Cze

ch

Re

pu

blic

S

love

nia

U

nite

d K

ing

do

m

Lith

ua

nia

F

ran

ce

N

orw

ay

Ice

lan

d

Ne

w Z

ea

lan

d

Ru

ssia

n F

ed

. U

nite

d S

tate

s

Cro

atia

D

en

ma

rk

Sw

ed

en

H

un

ga

ry

Slo

va

k R

ep

ub

lic

Me

xic

o

Se

rbia

G

ree

ce

Is

rae

l T

un

isia

R

om

an

ia

Ma

laysia

In

do

ne

sia

B

ulg

ari

a

Ka

za

kh

sta

n

Uru

gu

ay

Bra

zil

Costa

Ric

a

Chile

C

olo

mb

ia

Mo

nte

ne

gro

U

.A.E

. A

rge

ntin

a

Jo

rda

n

Pe

ru

Qa

tar

%

Percentage of resilient students

More than 10

% resilient Between 5%-10% of resilient students Less than 5%

Fig II.2.4 11

Socio-economically disadvantaged students not

only score lower in mathematics, they also report

lower levels of engagement, drive, motivation and

self-beliefs. Resilient students break this link and

share many characteristics of advantaged high-achievers.

A resilient student is situated in the bottom quarter of

the PISA index of economic, social and cultural

status (ESCS) in the country of assessment and

performs in the top quarter of students among all

countries, after accounting for socio-economic status.

Page 12: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

Performance of countries in a level playing field

How the world would look if students around the world were living in similar social and economic conditions

12

Page 13: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

340

360

380

400

420

440

460

480

500

520

540

560

580

600

Sh

an

gh

ai-

Chin

a

Sin

ga

po

re

Hon

g K

on

g-C

hin

a

Ch

ine

se

Ta

ipe

i V

iet N

am

M

aca

o-C

hin

a

Ko

rea

Ja

pa

n

Lie

ch

ten

ste

in

Po

lan

d

Sw

itze

rla

nd

E

sto

nia

N

eth

erla

nd

s

Ge

rma

ny

Be

lgiu

m

Fin

lan

d

Can

ad

a

Po

rtuga

l A

ustr

ia

Cze

ch

Rep

ub

lic

Ne

w Z

ea

lan

d

La

tvia

F

ran

ce

Slo

ve

nia

Ir

ela

nd

A

ustr

alia

O

EC

D a

ve

rage

T

urk

ey

Slo

va

k R

ep

ub

lic

Sp

ain

H

un

ga

ry

Lu

xe

mb

ou

rg

Ita

ly

Ru

ssia

n F

ed

era

tio

n

Un

ite

d K

ingd

om

D

en

ma

rk

Lith

ua

nia

C

roa

tia

U

nite

d S

tate

s

Norw

ay

Sw

ed

en

Ic

ela

nd

R

om

an

ia

Isra

el

Se

rbia

T

ha

ilan

d

Gre

ece

B

ulg

aria

C

hile

U

rugu

ay

Ma

laysia

K

aza

kh

sta

n

Cyp

rus5

, 6

M

exic

o

Costa

Ric

a

Unite

d A

rab

Em

ira

tes

Bra

zil

Mo

nte

ne

gro

T

un

isia

In

do

ne

sia

P

eru

A

rge

ntin

a

Colo

mb

ia

Jo

rda

n

Qa

tar

Me

an

ma

the

ma

tic

s s

co

re

Mean score at the country level before adjusting for socio-economic status

Mean score at the country level after adjusting for socio economic status

Mathematics performance in a level playing field Mean mathematics performance after accounting for socio-economic status

Fig II.3.3 13

US would rank lower in a level playing field: • Ranks 3rd in wealth per person (explains 12%) • Ranks 5th in spending per student • Has average share of disadvantaged students • Ranks 6th in parental attainment • Has 6th largest share of immigrant students

(explains 4%)

Page 14: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

It is not just about poor kids in poor neighbourhoods…

…but about many kids in many neighbourhoods

14

Page 15: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

0

10

20

30

40

50

60 S

ha

ngh

ai-

Chin

a

Sin

ga

po

re

Ch

ine

se

Ta

ipe

i H

on

g K

on

g-C

hin

a

Ko

rea

L

iech

ten

ste

in

Ma

ca

o-C

hin

a

Ja

pa

n

Sw

itze

rla

nd

B

elg

ium

N

eth

erla

nd

s

Ge

rma

ny

Po

lan

d

Ca

na

da

F

inla

nd

N

ew

Ze

ala

nd

A

ustr

alia

E

sto

nia

A

ustr

ia

Slo

ve

nia

V

iet N

am

F

ran

ce

C

ze

ch

Rep

ub

lic

OE

CD

ave

rage

U

nite

d K

ingd

om

L

uxe

mb

ou

rg

Ice

lan

d

Slo

va

k R

ep

ub

lic

Irela

nd

P

ort

uga

l D

en

ma

rk

Ita

ly

Norw

ay

Isra

el

Hun

ga

ry

Unite

d S

tate

s

Lith

ua

nia

S

we

de

n

Sp

ain

L

atv

ia

Ru

ssia

n F

ed

era

tio

n

Cro

atia

T

urk

ey

Se

rbia

B

ulg

aria

G

ree

ce

U

nite

d A

rab

Em

ira

tes

Rom

an

ia

Th

aila

nd

Q

ata

r C

hile

U

rugu

ay

Ma

laysia

M

on

ten

egro

K

aza

kh

sta

n

Alb

an

ia

Tu

nis

ia

Bra

zil

Me

xic

o

Pe

ru

Co

sta

Ric

a

Jo

rda

n

Colo

mb

ia

Ind

on

esia

A

rge

ntin

a

%

Percentage of top performers

in mathematics 15 Tab I.2.1a

UK

Across OECD, 13% of students are top performers (Level 5 or 6). They can develop and work with models for complex situations, and work strategically with advanced thinking and reasoning skills

Page 16: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

Hong Kong-China

Brazil

Uruguay

Albania

Croatia

Latvia

Lithuania

Chinese Taipei

Thailand Bulgaria

Jordan

Macao-China

UAE Argentina

Indonesia

Kazakhstan

Peru

Costa Rica

Tunisia

Qatar

Singapore

Colombia

Malaysia

Serbia

Romania

Viet Nam

Shanghai-China

USA

Poland

New Zealand

Greece

UK

Estonia

Finland

Slovak Rep.

Luxembourg

Germany Austria

Czech Rep.

France

Japan

Turkey

Sweden

Hungary Australia

Israel

Canada

Chile

Belgium

Netherlands Spain

Denmark

Switzerland

Iceland

Slovenia

Portugal

Norway

Korea

Italy

R² = 0.13

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

-1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5

Ma

the

ma

tics

perf

orm

an

ce

(sc

ore

po

ints

)

Index of school responsibility for curriculum and assessment (index points)

Countries that grant schools autonomy over curricula and

assessments tend to perform better in mathematics Fig IV.1.15

Page 17: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

No standardised math policy

Standardised math policy 455

460

465

470

475

480

485

Less school autonomy

More school autonomy

Schools with more autonomy perform better than schools with

less autonomy in systems with standardised math policies

Score points

School autonomy for curriculum and assessment

x system's extent of implementing a standardised math policy (e.g. curriculum and

instructional materials)

Fig IV.1.16

Page 18: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

Schools with more autonomy perform better than schools with

less autonomy in systems with more collaboration

Teachers don't participate in management

Teachers participate in management 455

460

465

470

475

480

485

Less school autonomy

More school autonomy

Score points

School autonomy for resource allocation x System's level of teachers

participating in school management

Across all participating countries and economies

Fig IV.1.17

Page 19: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

Schools with more autonomy perform better than schools with

less autonomy in systems with more accountability arrangements

School data not public

School data public 464

466

468

470

472

474

476

478

Less school autonomy

More school autonomy

Score points

School autonomy for curriculum and assessment

x system's level of posting achievement data publicly

Fig IV.1.16

Page 20: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

0 20 40 60 80 100

Written specification of the school's curriculum and educational goals

Written specification of student-performance standards

Systematic recording of data, including teacher and student attendance and graduation rates, test results …

Internal evaluation/self-evaluation

External evaluation

Written feedback from students (e.g. regarding lessons, teachers or resources)

Teacher mentoring

Regular consultation with one or more experts over a period of at least six months with the aim of improving …

Implementation of a standardised policy for mathematics

%

Percentage of students in schools whose principal reported that their schools have the following for quality assurance and improvement:

Shanghai-China OECD average

Quality assurance and school improvement Fig IV.4.14 20

Page 21: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

21 21 L

essons f

rom

hig

h p

erf

orm

ers

Catching up with the top-performers

Low impact on outcomes

High impact on outcomes

Low feasibility High feasibility

Money pits

Must haves

Low hanging fruits

Quick wins

Page 22: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

22 22 L

essons f

rom

hig

h p

erf

orm

ers

Low impact on outcomes

High impact on outcomes

Low feasibility High feasibility

Money pits

Must haves

Low hanging fruits

Quick wins

Commitment to universal achievement

Gateways, instructional systems

Capacity at point of delivery

Incentive structures and accountability

Resources where they yield most

A learning system Coherence

Page 23: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

23 23 L

essons f

rom

hig

h p

erf

orm

ers

Some students learn at high levels All students need to learn at high levels

Student inclusion

Routine cognitive skills, rote learning Learning to learn, complex ways of thinking, ways of working

Curriculum, instruction and assessment

Few years more than secondary High-level professional knowledge workers

Teacher quality

‘Tayloristic’, hierarchical Flat, collegial

Work organisation

Primarily to authorities Primarily to peers and stakeholders

Accountability

What it all means

Average performers Top performers

Page 24: Evaluating school systems to improve education OECD ... · High mathematics performance Low mathematics performance … Shanghai-China performs above this line (613) … 12 countries

Thank you !

Find out more about PISA at www.pisa.oecd.org

• All national and international publications

• The complete micro-level database

Email: [email protected]

Twitter: SchleicherEDU

and remember:

Without data, you are just another person with an opinion