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China United States France Italy Germany Russia Find all our publications on www.coface.com Follow us on DECEMBER 2015 EUROPE’S DOUBLE POSITIONING: QUALITY AND QUANTITY COEXISTENCE OF 3 MODELS GLOBALISATION OF THE WINE MARKET ASIA, THE WORLD’S FUTURE LEADING CONSUMER, FRANCE TO LEVEL OFF EUROPEAN EXPORTERS WEAKENING OVER THE LONG TERM Creation of value Intermediary position Volume increase of world production 48% EU of world production 60% of exports in value and around in volume 50% 2/3 feeble productivity +2% consumption  3 -26% 3.3 Quality ratio  2 crop surface area  1 -20% decreasing productivity -8% consumption 3 -17% Quality orientated production 7 Quality ratio  2 crop surface area  1 -12% a sharp rise in productivity +42% consumption  3 -34% Volume and low and mid- level orientated production Quality ratio  2 1.5 vs crop areas in Italy and France >35% 43,8 litres /year, leading wine consumer but on a declining trend consumption decreasing BY 2027, DEMAND EXPECTED TO MOVE TO ASIA Increase in urbanisation Growing popularity of wine thanks to the growing middle class population Alignment with Western standards 5 between China and Australia, Chile, New Zealand Lower exchange rates in Chile and South Africa strengthen their price competitiveness 17000 hectolitres  4 vs 2013 +1 vs 2013 +4 Competition between European and new world producers on low and mid-level products Spain is vulnerable Free-trade agreements  5 exempt from taxes FRANCE EUROPE 1  average 2003-2013 vs 1983-2003 2  relationship between export value and volume 3  in 2013 vs 2003 Italy, France, Spain 4  beteween 2003 and 2013

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Page 1: EUROPE’S DOUBLE POSITIONING: QUALITY AND QUANTITY …JL.pdf · DECEMBER 2015 EUROPE’S DOUBLE POSITIONING: QUALITY AND QUANTITY COEXISTENCE OF 3 MODELS GLOBALISATION OF THE WINE

China

United States

France

Italy

Germany

Russia

Find all our publications on www.coface.com

Follow us on

DECEMBER 2015

EUROPE’S DOUBLE POSITIONING: QUALITY AND QUANTITYCOEXISTENCE OF 3 MODELS

GLOBALISATION OF THE WINE MARKET

ASIA, THE WORLD’S FUTURE LEADING CONSUMER, FRANCE TO LEVEL OFF

EUROPEAN EXPORTERS WEAKENING OVER THE LONG TERM

Creation of value Intermediary position Volume increase

of worldproduction

48%EU

of world production

60% of exports in value and around

in volume50%

2/3

feeble productivity +2%

consumption 3-26%

3.3 Quality ratio 2

crop surface area 1-20%

decreasing productivity -8%

consumption3 -17%

Quality orientated production7 Quality ratio 2

crop surface area 1-12%

a sharp rise in productivity +42%

consumption 3-34%

Volume and low and mid-level orientated production

Quality ratio 21.5

vs crop areas in Italy and France

>35%

43,8 litres /year, leading wine consumer but on a declining trend

consumption decreasing

BY 2027, DEMAND EXPECTED TO MOVE TO ASIA

Increase in urbanisation

Growing popularity of wine thanks to the growing middle class population

Alignment with Western standards

5 between China and Australia, Chile, New Zealand

Lower exchange rates in Chile and South Africa strengthen their price competitiveness

17000 hectolitres 4vs 2013+1 vs 2013

+4

Competition between European and new world producers on low and mid-level products

Spain is vulnerableFree-trade agreements 5

exempt from taxes

FRANCE

EUROPE

1 average 2003-2013 vs 1983-2003 2 relationship between export value and volume 3 in 2013 vs 2003

Italy, France, Spain

4 beteween 2003 and 2013