Europe Weekly Report - Constant Contactfiles.constantcontact.com/3a24bb17201/c5a6d442-a61b-46e6-bb50-cc0… · CropCast ® Europe Weekly Report Kenny Miller | Monday, June 05, 2017

CropCast® Europe Weekly Report Kenny Miller | Monday, June 05, 2017

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Abundant showers should ease dryness across northern and central UK as well as

across western Norway and Sweden. Improvements are also likely in Germany, west-

ern Poland, Czech Republic, and eastern Hungary. More rains are needed in Spain,

northern France, Italy, and western Romania, however.

Europe Hot Spots

Europe Vegetative Health Index (VHI) Europe Change in VHI from Last Year




PAST WEEK: Light showers were seen across the region last week.

FORECAST: Abundant showers are expected in northern and cen-

tral areas this week, with relatively lighter showers favoring south-

ern locales.

CROP IMPACT: Expected widespread showers in northern and

central areas should greatly improve moisture for crop growth this

week. Showers in southern areas will maintain adequate soil mois-

ture.

United Kingdom

PAST WEEK: Showers were fairly widespread across the region this

past week.

FORECAST: Widespread showers should favor Norway and south-

ern Sweden this week.

CROP IMPACT: Continued showers in Norway this week will main-

tain sufficient soil moisture while showers in southern Sweden con-

tinue to improve moisture for crop conditions.

Scandinavia

PAST WEEK: Widespread showers favored central and southwest-

ern areas. Lighter showers favored northern areas.

FORECAST: Scattered showers will be limited to the northern tier

of the region this week.

CROP IMPACT: Recent showers in central areas have replenished

soil moisture, but dryness can still be found in northern areas. Only

minor improvements are expected there this week.

France

PAST WEEK: Showers were seen across much of the region last

week.

FORECAST: Scattered showers should continue across the region

this week.

CROP IMPACT: Showers should ease dryness some in northern

and western areas, but additional rains will still be needed in those

areas beyond this week.

Germany

PAST WEEK: Showers favored northeastern areas last week.

FORECAST: Conditions should be mostly dry this week.

CROP IMPACT: Dry weather this week will maintain dryness and

stress on corn and sunflower growth this week. Some improve-

ments are possible in eastern areas during the 6-10 day period.

Spain/Portugal

PAST WEEK: Conditions remained dry this past week.

FORECAST: A few showers are expected in northern areas this

week.

CROP IMPACT: Mostly dry weather in central and southern areas

will further increase dryness and stress on crop growth. Only very

minor improvements are possible in northern areas.

Italy

Western Europe

Past Week Rainfall (mm) Precip % Normal-Past 45 Days Past Week Temp Departure (°C)




Eastern Europe

PAST WEEK: Showers were seen across western and southern are-

as last week.

FORECAST: Showers should primarily favor northern and western

areas this week.

CROP IMPACT: Showers in western areas should improve moisture

for crop growth this week. Spotty dryness will linger in northeast-

ern areas, however.

Poland

Past Week Rainfall (mm) Precip % Normal-Past 45 Days Past Week Temp Departure (°C)

PAST WEEK: Showers were noted across Slovakia last week, with

scattered showers favoring Czech Republic.

FORECAST: Showers should increase across Czech Republic this

week, with light showers possible in Slovakia.

CROP IMPACT: Expected showers in Czech Republic should im-

prove moisture for crop growth this week. Dryness will remain fairly

widespread across Slovakia as only light showers are expected.

Czech Republic/Slovakia

PAST WEEK: Showers were noted in western and southern areas

last week.

FORECAST: Showers will be limited to eastern areas this week.

CROP IMPACT: Dryness has increased across the majority of the

region, particularly eastern locales. Showers there this week may

lead to minor improvements, however.

Hungary

PAST WEEK: Spotty showers favored northern and central areas

last week.

FORECAST: Showers should increase across the central tier of the

region this week.

CROP IMPACT: Dryness has redeveloped over western and far

eastern areas, with no major improvements expected there this

week. Showers in central locales will maintain sufficient moisture.

Romania

PAST WEEK: Showers were fairly widespread last week.

FORECAST: Scattered showers are expected this week.

CROP IMPACT: Showers will maintain acceptable soil moisture for

crop growth in most areas this week.

Former Yugoslavia

PAST WEEK: Showers were widespread across the region this past

week.

FORECAST: Showers should continue to favor the region this week.

CROP IMPACT: Showers will continue to supply the region with

sufficient soil moisture for crop growth this week.

Bulgaria




Europe 1-7 Day Forecast

Europe 8-14 Day Forecast

Europe Next Month Forecast




2017 PRODUCTION CHANGE

2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 PERCENT ACTUAL PERCENT ACTUAL

(TMT) (TMT)

GERMANY 3280 3200 7100 7400 23288 23680 -5.9 -1400 1.7 392

FRANCE 5100 5200 6000 6700 30600 34840 -4.5 -1560 13.9 4240

ITALY 575 575 5450 5300 3134 3048 -0.1 -4 -2.8 -86

NETHERLANDS 150 125 8800 8200 1320 1025 -17.4 -179 -22.3 -295

BELG/LUX. 220 225 8650 8575 1903 1929 -0.3 -6 1.4 26

U.K. 1850 1825 8100 7900 14985 14418 0.0 0 -3.8 -568

IRELAND 66 61 9300 9100 614 555 -2.8 -15 -9.6 -59

DENMARK 625 650 7200 7400 4500 4810 -2.7 -130 6.9 310

GREECE 225 180 2350 1700 529 306 -5.9 -18 -42.1 -223

SPAIN 1800 1800 3450 2900 6210 5220 -17.2 -900 -15.9 -990

PORTUGAL 55 47 205 185 11 9 -5.8 -1 -22.9 -3

SWEDEN 450 450 7175 6500 3229 2925 -3.1 -90 -9.4 -304

AUSTRIA 280 265 57050 57200 15974 15158 -5.4 -816 -5.1 -816

EU-15 14926 14813 7187 7338 107271 108699 -4.8 -5218 1.3 1428

ROMANIA 2000 2000 3900 3900 7800 7800 0.0 0 0.0 0

BULGARIA 1050 1100 4500 4725 4725 5198 -0.5 -28 10.0 473

POLAND 2350 2400 4650 4600 10928 11040 1.0 113 1.0 113

CZECH/SLOVAK 1220 1200 10975 11050 7085 6783 -1.2 -78 -4.3 -302

HUNGARY 950 980 5050 4825 4798 4729 -3.6 -172 -1.4 -69

EU-28 22496 22493 6339 6413 142606 144248 -3.7 -5383 1.2 1642

AREA YIELD PRODUCTION

(T HA) (KG/HA) (TMT)

PROPRIETARY

CROPCAST SOFT WHEAT FORECAST FOR EUROPE

June 5, 2017

OVER PAST WK OVER 2016


2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 PCT ACTUAL PCT ACTUAL

(TMT) (TMT)

YUGOSLAVIA 1320 1310 3650 3650 4818 4782 0.0 0 -0.8 -37

TURKEY 7800 7800 2225 2250 17355 17550 0.0 0 1.1 195

OTHER EUR 9120 9110 2431 2451 22173 22332 0.0 0 0.7 159

EU-28 22496 22493 6339 6238 142606 144248 -3.7 -5383 1.2 1642

TOTAL EUR 31616 31603 5212 5271 164779 166579 -3.2 -5383 1.1 1800



PROPRIETARY

CROPCAST SOFT WHEAT FORECAST FOR OTHER EUROPE

June 5, 2017





AREA YIELD PRODUCTION 2016 PRODUCTION CHANGE



(TMT) (TMT)

YUGOSLAVIA 215 225 2650 2750 570 619 0.0 0 8.6 49

TURKEY 3375 3400 2175 1500 7341 5100 0.0 0 -30.5 -2241

OTHER EUR 3590 3625 2203 1578 7910 5719 0.0 0 -27.7 -2192

EU-28 11755 11973 4973 5081 58452 60835 0.0 0 4.1 2382

TOTAL EUR 15345 15598 2203 1578 66363 66553 0.0 0 0.3 191


PROPRIETARY

CROPCAST BARLEY FORECAST FOR OTHER EUROPE

June 5, 2017


(TMT) (TMT)

GERMANY 1650 1600 6800 6600 11220 10560 -1.9 -206 -5.9 -660

FRANCE 1775 1875 6800 6300 12070 11813 -0.4 -50 -2.1 -258

ITALY 250 250 3675 3500 919 875 -5.0 -44 -4.8 -44

NETHER. 35 32 6600 6500 231 208 -18.5 -38 -10.0 -23

BELG/LUX. 56 53 7750 7600 434 403 -3.9 -16 -7.2 -31

U. K. 1135 1120 6400 6050 7264 6776 -2.9 -199 -6.7 -488

IRELAND 200 180 7600 7400 1520 1332 -0.7 -9 -12.4 -188

DENMARK 675 650 5900 5900 3983 3835 -0.8 -33 -3.7 -148

GREECE 140 145 1475 1400 207 203 -7.1 -15 -1.7 -4

SPAIN 2700 2575 3300 2800 8910 7210 -11.3 -815 -19.1 -1700

PORTUGAL 27 26 1900 1900 51 49 -5.3 -3 -3.7 -2

AUSTRIA 150 140 5500 5500 825 770 -5.0 -38 -6.7 -55

SWEDEN 330 325 4900 4900 1617 1593 -2.0 -33 -1.5 -25

FINLAND 500 430 3400 3300 1700 1419 -5.8 -82 -16.5 -281

EU-15 9623 9401 5295 5004 50950 47045 -3.4 -1579 -7.7 -3905

ROMANIA 500 420 3850 3475 1925 1460 -8.8 -128 -24.2 -466

BULGARIA 180 150 4000 4200 720 630 -13.3 -84 -12.5 -90

POLAND 850 950 3700 3600 3145 3420 -0.7 -24 8.7 275

CZECH/SLOVAK 510 480 9600 9475 2595 2414 -1.8 -43 -7.0 -181

HUNGARY 310 300 4600 4525 1426 1358 -1.7 -23 -4.8 -69

EU-28 11973 11701 5075 4814 60761 56326 -3.3 -1880 -7.3 -4435

(TMT)


PROPRIETARY

CROPCAST BARLEY FORECAST FOR EUROPE

June 5, 2017



(T HA) (KG/HA)






(TMT) (TMT)

GERMANY 1320 1300 3500 3450 4620 4485 -6.4 -285 -2.9 -135

FRANCE 1450 1400 3100 3100 4495 4340 0.0 0 -3.4 -155

U.K. 600 550 3700 3425 2220 1884 4.8 90 -15.1 -336

DENMARK 164 165 4250 4100 697 677 -1.2 -8 -2.9 -21

SPAIN 80 80 2400 1950 192 156 6.3 10 -18.8 -36

OTHER <1> 16 16 2000 2025 32 32 0.0 0 1.3 0

SWEDEN 105 105 3350 3225 352 339 -2.3 -8 -3.7 -13

FINLAND 65 70 1450 1450 94 102 -1.7 -2 7.7 7

AUSTRIA 42 42 3250 3250 137 137 -2.4 -3 0.0 0

EU-15 3885 3772 3339 3257 12971 12285 -1.7 -208 -5.3 -687

POLAND 850 875 2850 3000 2423 2625 1.7 45 8.4 203

CZECH/SLOVAK 510 510 6400 6300 1710 1672 -2.5 -41 -2.3 -39

HUNGARY 225 250 2800 2650 630 663 -5.7 -38 5.2 33

EU-28 6090 6137 3259 3151 19847 19337 -0.8 -163 -2.6 -509

<1> ITALY, NETHERLANDS, BELGIUM/LUX, IRELAND


PROPRIETARY

CROPCAST RAPESEED FORECAST FOR EUROPE

June 5, 2017



AREA YIELD PRODUCTION 2017 PRODUCTION CHANGE



(TMT) (TMT)

OTHER EUR 230 235 2050 2100 472 494 0.0 0 4.7 22

EU-28 6090 6137 3259 3151 19847 19337 -0.8 -163 -2.6 -509

TOTAL EUR 6320 6372 3215 3112 20318 19831 -0.8 -163 -2.4 -487

<1> BULGARIA, ROMANIA, YUGOSLAVIA


PROPRIETARY

CROPCAST RAPESEED FORECAST FOR OTHER EUROPE

June 5, 2017






(TMT) (TMT)

YUGOSLAVIA 250 250 1400 1400 350 350 0.0 0 0.0 0

TURKEY 600 625 2200 2150 1320 1344 0.0 0 1.8 24

OTHER EUR 850 875 1965 1936 1670 1694 0.0 0 1.4 24

EU-28 4177 4090 1972 1933 8237 7906 -5.6 -441 -4.0 -331

TOTAL EUR 5027 4965 1971 1934 9907 9600 -4.6 -441 -3.1 -307



PROPRIETARY

CROPCAST SUNFLOWER FORECAST FOR OTHER EUROPE

June 5, 2017




(TMT) (TMT)

GERMANY 26 26 2150 2125 56 55 -1.2 -1 -1.2 -1

FRANCE 620 550 2200 2150 1364 1183 -11.6 -138 -13.3 -182

ITALY 100 120 2250 2200 225 264 3.1 8 17.3 39

GREECE 82 95 1275 1275 105 121 13.7 17 15.9 17

SPAIN 810 725 1000 990 810 718 -27.0 -194 -11.4 -92

PORTUGAL 26 26 800 725 21 19 -10.3 -2 -9.4 -2

AUSTRIA 26 24 2700 2750 70 66 -8.3 -6 -6.0 -4

EU-15 1690 1566 1568 1549 2650 2425 -13.0 -314 -8.5 -225

ROMANIA 1000 1050 2000 1850 2000 1943 -2.7 -53 -2.9 -58

BULGARIA 800 800 2350 2250 1880 1800 -2.2 -40 -4.3 -80

CZECH-SLOVAK 30 27 4750 4675 70 62 -12.3 -8 -11.0 -8

HUNGARY 650 640 2500 2600 1625 1664 -1.6 -26 2.4 39

EU-28 4177 4090 1972 1933 8237 7906 -5.6 -441 -4.0 -331

PROPRIETARY

CROPCAST SUNFLOWER FORECAST FOR EUROPE

June 5, 2017









(TMT) (TMT)

YUGOSLAVIA 2180 2200 3125 3125 6813 6875 0.0 0 0.9 63

TURKEY 580 650 9600 9825 5568 5502 0.0 0 -1.2 -66

OTHER EUR 2760 2760 4486 4484 12381 12377 0.0 0 0.0 -4

EU-28 8716 8413 6297 6457 54884 54321 -4.3 -2350 -1.0 -562

TOTAL EUR 11476 11173 5861 5970 67264 66698 -3.5 -2350 -0.8 -566



PROPRIETARY

CROPCAST CORN FORECAST FOR OTHER EUROPE

June 5, 2017




(TMT) (TMT)

GERMANY 475 400 9650 9650 4584 3860 -7.4 -284 -15.8 -724

FRANCE 1500 1400 8000 8800 12000 12320 -6.4 -790 2.7 320

ITALY 735 700 9200 9150 6762 6405 -0.5 -35 -5.3 -357

GREECE 170 165 7100 7000 1207 1155 -7.6 -88 -4.3 -52

SPAIN 380 365 10100 10600 3838 3869 -8.9 -343 0.8 31

PORTUGAL 100 110 7600 7800 760 858 0.0 0 12.9 98

OTHER <1> 66 68 8250 8250 545 561 0.0 0 3.0 17

AUSTRIA 190 190 1000 1025 190 195 0.0 0 2.5 5

EU-15 3626 3408 8259 8594 29946 29287 -5.3 -1541 -2.2 -660

ROMANIA 2575 2600 3800 3725 9785 9685 -2.0 -195 -1.0 -100

BULGARIA 425 430 5200 5925 2210 2548 -6.0 -152 15.3 338

POLAND 675 575 6000 6725 4050 3867 -5.5 -213 -4.5 -183

CZECH/SLOVAK 315 325 13650 13750 2072 2163 -4.2 -91 4.4 90

HUNGARY 1100 1075 6200 6300 6820 6773 -2.3 -158 -0.7 -48

EU-28 8716 8413 6297 6457 54884 54321 -4.3 -2350 -1.0 -562

<1> BELGIUM/LUX, NETHERLANDS

(TMT)

PROPRIETARY

CROPCAST CORN FORECAST FOR EUROPE

June 5, 2017



(T HA) (KG/HA)






(TMT) (TMT)

YUGOSLAVIA 64 64 1950 1950 125 125 0.0 0 0 0

TURKEY 105 105 2225 2300 234 242 0.0 0 3.4 8

OTHER EUR 169 169 2121 2167 358 366 0.0 0 2.2 8

NORWAY 79 79 3300 3300 261 261 0.0 0 0.0 0

TOTAL EUR 2588 2573 3031 2980 7845 7667 0.4 30 -2.3 -179

<1> BULGARIA

(TMT)

PROPRIETARY

CROPCAST OATS FORECAST FOR OTHER EUROPE

June 5, 2017



(T HA) (KG/HA)



(TMT) (TMT)

FRANCE 94 90 4600 4450 432 401 -3.4 -14 -7.4 -32

ITALY 108 100 2400 2350 259 235 -0.1 0 -9.3 -24

NETHER. 2 2 4850 4500 10 9 -7.8 -1 -7.2 -1

BELG/LUX. 7 7 5000 5000 35 35 -0.5 0 -0.5 0

U. K. 135 135 5900 5725 797 773 -1.3 -10 -3.0 -24

IRELAND 22 22 7500 7500 165 165 0.0 0 0.0 0

DENMARK 40 60 5000 5200 200 312 31.3 98 56.0 112

GREECE 45 45 2200 2200 99 99 0.0 0 0.0 0

SPAIN 475 500 2000 1800 950 900 0.0 0 -5.3 -50

PORTUGAL 53 53 1250 1325 66 70 -1.9 -1 6.0 4

AUSTRIA 24 24 4100 4100 98 98 0.0 0 0.0 0

SWEDEN 180 170 4350 4150 783 706 -3.6 -26 -9.9 -78

FINLAND 325 305 3300 3300 1073 1007 -4.7 -48 -6.2 -66

EU-15 1636 1638 3402 3295 5566 5397 0.3 16 -3.0 -169

POLAND 475 485 2700 2750 1283 1334 2.1 28 4.0 51

CZECH/SLOVAK 58 53 6000 5900 189 171 -3.7 -6 -9.7 -18

ROMANIA 170 160 1650 1650 281 264 0.0 0 -5.9 -17

NORWAY 79 79 3300 3300 261 261 0.0 0 0.0 0

EU-28 2419 2404 3095 3037 7487 7300 0.4 30 -2.5 -187

PROPRIETARY

CROPCAST OATS FORECAST FOR EUROPE

June 5, 2017









(TMT) (TMT)

YUGOSLAVIA 32 32 2300 2300 74 74 0.0 0 0.0 0

TURKEY 145 145 2500 2500 363 363 0.0 0 0.0 0

EU-28 2006 2020 3912 3700 7848 7474 -5.7 -429 -4.8 -374

TOTAL EUR 2183 2197 3912 3700 8284 7910 -5.4 -429 -4.5 -374

<1> BULGARIA, ROMANIA, YUGOSLAVIA

(KG/HA) (TMT)

PROPRIETARY

CROPCAST RYE FORECAST FOR EUROPE

June 5, 2017



(T HA)



(TMT) (TMT)

GERMANY 590 550 5400 5300 3186 2915 -11.1 -325 -8.5 -271

FRANCE 26 25 4500 4500 117 113 -6.3 -7 -3.8 -5

DENMARK 105 120 6100 6050 641 726 -0.8 -6 13.3 86

SPAIN 150 155 2000 1875 300 291 -5.8 -17 -3.1 -9

PORTUGAL 20 20 1075 1075 22 22 0.0 0 0.0 0

OTHER <1> 46 46 4075 4075 187 187 0.0 0 0.0 0

SWEDEN 18 18 6100 6100 110 110 -12.0 -13 0.0 0

FINLAND 32 32 3150 2850 101 91 -8.8 -8 -9.5 -10

AUSTRIA 40 36 4450 4650 178 167 -11.1 -19 -6.0 -11

EU-15 1027 1002 4714 4612 4841 4621 -8.5 -395 -4.5 -220

POLAND 900 950 2900 2650 2610 2518 -0.1 -3 -3.5 -93

CZECH/SLOVAK 43 36 8050 8100 185 153 -4.4 -7 -17.4 -32

HUNGARY 36 32 3100 2850 112 91 -19.0 -17 -18.3 -20

EU-28 2006 2020 3912 3700 7848 7474 -5.7 -429 -4.8 -374


PROPRIETARY

CROPCAST RYE FORECAST FOR EUROPE

June 5, 2017



Documents

Europe Weekly Report - Constant Contactfiles.constantcontact.com/3a24bb17201/c5a6d442-a61b-46e6-bb50-cc0… · CropCast ® Europe Weekly Report Kenny Miller | Monday, June 05, 2017