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Ethiopian Economics Association(EEA)
16th International Conference on the EthiopianEconomy
(Co-organized by IFPRI-ESSP)
Conference Program(July 19 – 21, 2018)
I am a proud member of the Ethiopian Economics Association 1
Objectives of the Ethiopian Economics Association
The Association is a non-profit making, non-political and non-religious professional organization established with aview to advancing the objectives outlines hereunder: To contribute to the economic policy formulation capability and broadly to the economic advancement of
Ethiopia To promote the professional interests of economists To promote the study of economics in the country’s educational institutions Top promote economic research and assist in the dissemination of the findings of such research in Ethiopia To provide fora for the discussion of economic issues To promote professional contacts between Ethiopian economists and those of other countries
Vision“To become the premier Economic Association in Africa renowned for its excellence in
membership services and economic policy research”Mission
“To represent the professional interests of our members, advance the discipline of Economicsand contribute to the development of the Ethiopian Economy”
Organizational Values of EEAProfessionalismIndependence
CredibilityIntegrity
TeamworkInspiring leadership
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Conference Programme Manager: Assefa Admassie
8:00 Registration
8:30 Opening Ceremony
9:00 Welcoming address by Dr. Tadele Ferede, President, Ethiopian Economics Association
9:30 Official Opening Statement by Higher Government Official
10:00 Presidential Address
10:30 Honoring Ethiopian Economists11:00 TEA/COFFEE BREAK
11:30 Panel Discussion 1 Conference Room 1State of the Ethiopian Economy: Quality and Sustainability of Economic Growth and Key Challenges
Chairperson: Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse
Panelists1. Nora Dihel
2. Mezgebe Amha
3. Seid Nuru
4. Alemayehu Geda
5. Admassu Shiferaw
13:00 LUNCH
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14:00 PARALLEL SESSION I Day 1 July 19, 2018Strategies to accelerate theachievement of theSDGs/Agenda 2063Co-organized by UNECA
Conference Room 1Chairperson: Paul Mpuga
Paper presenters1. Francis Ikome: African
Governance Report V:Natural resourcegovernance and domesticrevenue mobilization forstructural transformation
2. Duncan Ochieng Ouma:Exchange Rate Stability,Foreign ExchangeReserves, Monetary Policyand Expectations: TheCase of Kenya.
3. Paul Mpuga: AfricaSustainableDevelopment Report2018
Poverty Dynamics,Rural Road andExportsCo-organized byWorld Bank
Conference Room2Chairperson:Nora Dihel
Paper presenters3. Arden Jeremy
Finn: Povertydynamics andeconomic mobilityin Ethiopia: 2012to 2016
4. Shohei Nakamura:Welfare Impacts ofRecent Rural RoadDevelopment inEthiopia
5. Nora Dihel:Beyond coffee:Toward thediversification ofEthiopia’s exports
The economics oflivestock systemsCo-organized byIFPRI-ESSP
Conference Room3Chairperson:Yetmwork Habte
Paper presenters1. Fantu Bachewe:
Evolving livestockproduction inEthiopia
2. Bart Minten:Innovation andtransformation ofEthiopia’s dairyvalue chains
3. Yetmwork Habte:Urban dairymarkets
Different TopicsCo-organized by IGC
Conference Room 4Chairperson:Andualem Tilaye
Paper presenters1. Berihu Assefa: Low Cost
Housing for Africa's Cities?The Impact of theGovernment CondominiumScheme in Ethiopia.
2. Fitsum Zewdu: TradeLiberalization,Infrastructure and FirmPerformance: Evidencefrom Ethiopia
3. Girum Abebe: Domanagers use financialincentives effectively?Evidence from a fieldexperiment in urbanEthiopia
4. Andualem Tilaye: FadingChoice: Marketdevelopment and consumergood choice in remotemarkets
Climate Change, Energy, Inflation andRural LivelihoodCo-organized by Gonder University
Conference Room 5Chairperson: Workineh Asmare
Paper presenters1.Melkamu Workie, Tadele Ferede
and Samuel Sebsibie: Impact ofClimate Change on Food Security inEthiopia: a Computable GeneralEquilibrium-MicrosimulationAnalysis
2.Samuel Sebsibie: Evaluating theEconomic Impact of EnergyEfficiency in Ethiopia: A RecursiveDynamic CGE Analysis
3.Fentahun Baylie and WorkinehAsmare: Is there InflationThreshold-effect on Growth for thePINE Countries?
4.Workineh Asmare and SolomonZena: The effect of risk attitude onrural livelihood diversification:Evidence from Amhara NationalRegional State of Ethiopia
15:30 TEA/COFFEE BREAK
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16:00 PLENARY SESSION I: Conference Room 1 Day 1 July 19, 2018Launch of the book “The economics of teff”
Chair Person: Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse
Panelists1. Bart Minten: Introduction
2. Kbebew Assefa: Agronomics of teff
3. Fantu Bachewe: Productivity and efficiency analysis of teff
4. Seneshaw Tamiru: The teff supply chain
5. Bart Minten: Dynamics in teff value chains
6. Kaleab Baye: Nutrient composition and health benefits
7. Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse: Policy implications
18:00 COCKTAIL RECEPTION AT EEA ATRIUM
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8:00 Arrival8:30 PLENARY SESSION III Co-organized by AKLDP/USAID Tufts University: Conference Room 1
Agricultural Transformation and Private Partnership Co-organized by AKLDP/USAID Tufts University
Chairperson: Amdissa Teshome
Panelists1. Daniel Temesgen: Examining Alternative Livelihoods for Transformation and Improved Resilience in Pastoral areas with the
case to Afar
2. Bewket Siraw Adgeh: Public-Private Partnerships (PPP): An alternative service delivery model for Municipal Abattoirs
3.11:00 TEA/COFFEE BREAK
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11:30 PARALLEL SESSION II Day 2 July 20, 2018Micro and Small Enterprises in EthiopiaCo-organized by EDRI
Conference Room 1Chairperson: Girum Abebe
Paper presenters1. Mulu Gebreeyesus, Tsegaye
Gebrekidan and Kidanemariam Hailu:Determinants of labor turnover inmicro and small enterprises in Ethiopia
2. Getahun D. Tigabu and Sied Hassen:The Effect of Power Outage on Microand Small Enterprises Productivity:Evidence from Urban Ethiopia
3. Girum Abebe and Mulu Gebreeyesus:Group Entrepreneurship: Can workercooperatives provide viable paths tocreate successful enterprises
4. Girum Abebe and Tsegay Gebrekidan:What Determines ManagementPractices in Micro and SmallEnterprises -
5. Berihu Assefa and Abebe Ambachew:How does the business environmentaffect firm entry and performance?Evidence from MSE sector in Ethiopia-
FDI and Capital FlightOrganized by EEA
Conference Room 2Chairperson:Bilisuma Bidito
Paper presenters1. Seid Nuru,
Yetsedaw Emagne,Simon Bayou,Kumadebis Tamiru: The determinantsof FDI
2. Kumadebis Tamiru:The Effects of Fiscalpolicy on Capitalflight in Ethiopia:Evidence fromARDL Approach
3. Kumadebis Tamiru:Themacroeconomicdeterminants ofMultidimensionalpoverty in EastAfrica: Evidencefrom panel Data
Growth andGovernance
Conference Room 3Chairperson:Beyene Gizaw
Paper presenters1. Sisay Assefa:
Rebuilding theEthiopian NationState for thefuture to becomeEconomic powerof the Horn ofAfrica
2. Fassil Tassew :Modeling TheUndiscoveredGross DomesticProduct
3. Beyene Gizaw:SituationAssessment onLocal EconomicGovernance forthe Private Sectorin Ethiopia
Child Marriage, Health andLabour
Conference Room 4Chairperson:Mengesha Yayo
Paper presenters1. Mengesha Yayo :
Child Health InequalityDynamics
2. Terefe Admaw Bekure:Determinants of ChildLabour Exploitation andits Impact on TheirEducational Achievementin South WesternEthiopia: The Case ofJimma Town
3.Robel Meskele:Unemployment durationand impact evaluation ofactive labor marketprograms onwelfare(measured byearnings)
4.Yoseph Getachew: Sharethe Love_ parantal Biaswomen empowermentManuscript
Tax, ICT and Industry
Conference Room 5Chairperson:Zewdie Habtie
Paper presenters1. Hassen Azime,
GollagariRamakrishna: TheInfluence ofAgricultural Sectorin improving theoverall-tax RevenuePerformance ofEthiopia
2. Andualem Telayeand GiuliaMascagni: CanICTs increase tax?Experimentalevidence fromEthiopia
3. Zewdie Habtie:Impact ofIndustrial policy onthe regionaleconomy inEthiopia
12:30 LUNCH
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14:00 PLENARY SESSION IV: Co-organized by IFPRI/ESSP: Conference Room 1 Day 2 July 20, 2018Learning agenda IFPRI/ESSPChairperson: Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse
Paper presenters1. Kibrom Abay: Can Weather Risk Explain Low Demand for Agricultural Credit and Credit Rationing? Panel Data Evidence from Ethiopia -
2. Bethelhem Koru: How Should Rural Financial Cooperatives Be Best Organized? Evidence from Ethiopia
3. Kalle Hirvonen: The Impact of the large-scale safety net programs on food prices in poor countries: The case of the PSNP in Ethiopia
4. Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse: Realizing Rural and Agricultural Transformation in Ethiopia: Some Reflections
16:00 TEA/COFFEE BREAK16:30 Panel Discussion IIState of the Ethiopian Economy: Avenues for Liberalization and Financial Development
Chairperson: Assefa Admassie
Panelists1. Eyesuswork Zafu
2. Sintayehu Woldemichael
3. Getahun Nana
4. Gebrhehiwot Ageba
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8:00 Arrival8:30 PLENARY SESSION IV: Organized by EEA: Conference Room 1FDI in Ethiopia: Policy, Structure and Performances
Chairperson: Assefa Admassie
Paper presenters1. Seid Nuru: Overall Structure, Performance and Determinants of FDI
2. Amin Abdella: FDI in the Manufacturing Industries
3. Degnet Abebaw: FDI in the Service Sector
10:30 TEA/COFFEE BREAK
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11:00 PARALLEL SESSION V Day 3 July 21, 2018Land access, land rightsand livelihood strategiesCo-organized ByIFPRI/ESSPConference Room 1Chairperson:Fikirte Girmachew
Paper presenters1. Daniel Behailu: Land
Law Assessment on theLand Transfer Rights ofLand Holders inSNNPR
2. Yared Berha: LandLaw Assessment on theLand Transfer Rights ofLand Holders in Tigray
3. Abebaw Abebe: LandRental Practices: Ade’aWoreda OromiaNational Regional State
4. Fikirte Girmachew:Land access, land rightsand youth livelihoodstrategy in Ethiopia
Different TopicsCo-organized By AAUConference Room 2Chairperson:Etsehiwot Semreab
Paper presenters1. Tsegaye Mulugeta
Habtewold: A Meta-Analysisof the Impact of ImprovedAgricultural TechnologyAdoption on Welfare inAfrica
2. Yemane Michael: The FDI-Domestic Investment Nexusin SSA
3. Yigermal Maru: Devaluation,Balance of Payment andOutput Dynamics inDeveloping Countries: TheCase of Ethiopia
4. Etsehiwot Semreab: TheDeterminants of AgriculturalTechnology Adoption andIts’ Impact on TeffProductivity in the Case ofAmhara and OromiaNational Regional State
Social Protection andPovertyConference Room 3Chairperson:Kassie Dessie
Paper presenters1. Giulio Schinaia: Labour
Market Effects of SocialProgrammes: Evidencefrom Ethiopia’s ProductiveSafety Net
2. Zemzem Shigute ShukaChristoph Strupat: Linkingsocial protection schemes:The joint effects of apublic works and a healthinsurance program inEthiopia
3. Seid Sani & Biruk Kemaw:Analysis of HouseholdsFood Insecurity and ItsCoping Mechanisms inAssosa Zone of WesternEthiopia
4. Kassie Dessie: Access toland, livelihood transitionand rural poverty inEthiopia
Export trend andperformanceConference Room 4Chairperson:Hikma Abdu Aman
Paper presenters1. Benat Mohammedamin
Mussa and GollagariRamakrishna: Impact ofTrade Costs on ExportPerformance of Ethiopia – APpml Panel Gravity EquationApproach
2. Ferhana Jelaludin: FutureTrends of Foreign Trade ofEthiopia
3. Hikma Abdu Aman: TheNexus of Export, DomesticDemand and EconomicGrowth in Ethiopia: Evidencefrom ARDL approach to cointegration
4. Getachew Abebe:Macroeconomic andDistributional Impacts ofCurrency Devaluation inEthiopia: An Assessment ofRecent Central Bank Moves
AgriculturalCommercializationConference Room 5Chairperson:Arega Shumetie
Paper presenters1. Menasbo Gebru
Tesfay: Impact of landrental on smallholders’commercialization
2. Delelegne Abera andothers: BeerMultinationals EnhanceAgriculturalCommercialization inAfrica: EmpiricalEvidence from Ethiopia
3. Arega Shumetie andAbebe Ambachew:Backward Linkage ofAgriculture with theUrban Sector inEastern and CentralEthiopia: Determinantsand implication foragriculturaltransformation
12:30 LUNCH
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14:00 PARALLEL SESSION VI Day 3 July 21, 2018Financial Sector Liberalization,Saving and TechnologyCo-organized By IFPRI-ESSPConference Room 1Chairperson: Samson Gebrerufael
Paper presenters1.Fetene Bogale Hunegnaw:
Foreign Bank Entry and Issues ofEfficiency, Stability and EconomicGrowth: Implication for Ethiopiafrom Sub-Sahara African CountriesPanel Data
2.Tizita Gebeyehu Yismaw:Determinants of Private Saving inEthiopia
3.Samson Gebrerufael: Dynamics ofTechnology Gaps between OECDand African Nations
Improving Agricultural ProductivityConference Room 2Chairperson: Negese Tamirat
Paper presenters1. Bedilu Demissie, Adem Kedir, Hussien
H. Komicha, Sisay Asefa: Determinantsof adopting improved bread wheatvarieties (IWVs) in Central Highland ofEthiopia: A Double-Hurdle Approach
2. Endeshaw Habte Hailemichael:Explaining maize productivity gap: Doesit matter who manages the maize plot?
3. Haftu Kelelew, Jema Hajia and AbbadiGirmay: Determinants of SmallholderFarmers’ Adaptation Strategies againstClimate Change Stresses: Evidence fromRaya Azebo District, Northern Ethiopia
4. Negese Tamirat: Adoption and Impact ofRow Planting of Wheat Crop onHousehold Livelihood: A Case Study ofDuna Woreda in Hadiya Zone, Ethiopia
Agriculture and Natural ResourceConference Room 3Chairperson: Melkamu Tadesse
Paper presenters1. Tiruwork Arega: Valuing Wild
Pollination Ecosystem Services toCrop Production in Ethiopia
2. Nkwetta Ajong Aquilas: Testing theEnvironmental Kuznets CurveHypothesis for the Depletion ofNatural Resources in Sub-SaharanAfrican Countries
3. Kide Gebru Tesfay: Determinantsof Farmers’ Adaptation Decision toAgro-biodiversity Loss: The Case ofAssosa Zone, Benishangul GumuzRegional State
4. Melkamu Tadesse Wazza: Doesdairy feed technology adoption inEthiopia have an impact on milkproduction? Impact Estimation withMatched Difference-in-DifferencesTechnique
Energy and OthersConference Room 4Chairperson: Abdella Kosa
Paper presenters1. Dawit Diriba: Factors
Affecting HouseholdAdoption of Solar EnergyTechnology in RuralEthiopia
2. Tesfaye Etensa Guta:Energy Consumption andEconomic Growth InEthiopia
3. Abdella Kosa and Idris:Mohammad: Uncoveringthe Unseen Passion: A Fireto Foster Ambitiontowards Innovation
15:30 TEA/COFFEE BREAK16:00 Clos ing Sessions16:30 COCKTAIL RECEPTION
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Note to Paper Presenters
Considering the number of papers we have and the need to have reasonable time for discussion, the Secretariat of theEthiopian Economics Association would like to advise paper presenter to note the following points:
1. Paper presenters are advised to briefly introduce themselves;2. Each paper presenter will have 15 minutes including self-introduction; and3. Paper presenters are advised to give due attention for their findings (minimize or take out discussion on
methodologies) and limit the number of their slide accordingly.
Note to ChairpersonsThe Secretariat of the Ethiopian Economics Association would like to remind the following points to chairpersons:
1. Introduce or Advise paper presenters to briefly introduce themselves;2. The chairpersons have the responsibility of facilitating the discussion i.e. the chairpersons are advised as
much as possible not to involve themselves in the discussion;3. Should always try to keep the time allotted to each paper presenter which is about 15 minutes in order to
allocate more time for discussion; and4. Remind paper presenter when 5 minutes remains and stop when the time is over.
Thank you
EEA address: Tel: 251-(0)11-645 3200; Fax:251-(0)11-645 3020; P.O.Box 34282Email: [email protected]; Website: www.eeaecon.org
Addis Ababa, Ethiopia