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ETCS Migration > 06 October 2006 > 1Institute of
Transportation Systems > Aerospace technology for road and
railway
ETCS Migration and the Impacts on Railway Transport Markets
Dipl.-Wirtsch.-Ing. Miroslav Obrenovic
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ETCS Migration > 06 October 2006 > 2Institute of
Transportation Systems > Aerospace technology for road and
railway
Content
Railway research at the German Aerospace Center (DLR)
Initial situation
Opportunities and threats of ETCS migration
Market considerations, macro-economic benefits
LCC as crucial economic figure
Development and evaluation of migration scenarios
Conclusions
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ETCS Migration > 06 October 2006 > 3Institute of
Transportation Systems > Aerospace technology for road and
railway
Holistic view on operational, economical and safety aspects of
train automation
Interoperability
Safety
Operating procedures and evaluation
Economical evaluation, migration and LCC
GALILEO applications
Validation and testing
Val
idat
ion
Inte
rope
rabi
lity
Efficiency
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ETCS Migration > 06 October 2006 > 4Institute of
Transportation Systems > Aerospace technology for road and
railway
Initial situation regarding interoperability
Interoperability of railway transport in Europe is affected by
several technical and operational obstacles
Track gaugesBraking curvesElectrical power supply systemsHeight
of station platformsMaximum track gradientsEtc.
Most significant lack of standardisation – more then 20
CC-Systems lead to fragmentation of the European railway
landscape…
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ETCS Migration > 06 October 2006 > 5Institute of
Transportation Systems > Aerospace technology for road and
railway
Automatic train protectionNational system deployment
Share of not equipped track km and vehicles
Country
Track km[%]
Vehicles[%]
Bulgaria 85 71
Poland 39 34
France 12 27
Germany 10 5
Luxemburg 5 12
Netherlands 4 0
Switzerland 0 0
Italy 63 5
Spain 11 20
UK 1 0
Source: UIC 2004
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ETCS Migration > 06 October 2006 > 6Institute of
Transportation Systems > Aerospace technology for road and
railway
International rail transport Share within overall traffic
volume
Share of international transport in overall railway traffic
volume
Country
Freight Traffic[%]
Passenger Traffic[%]
Bulgaria 7 0,2
Poland 30 0,1
France 40 3
Germany 50 2
Luxemburg 73 93
Netherlands 78 4
Switzerland 28 5
Italy 23 2
Spain 20 4
UK 6 4
Source: UIC 2004
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ETCS Migration > 06 October 2006 > 7Institute of
Transportation Systems > Aerospace technology for road and
railway
ETCS – different technical and functional levels Providing
technical interoperability
Level 1
LS
Level 2
Level 3
UNISIG
v supervision Data transmission
spot cont. spot cont.
√√
√√
√√
√√
High-speed linesRail freight lines
Feeder lines
Func
tiona
l R
equi
rem
ents
Low-density secondary
lines
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ETCS Migration > 06 October 2006 > 8Institute of
Transportation Systems > Aerospace technology for road and
railway
Migration of ETCS – motivation and opportunities
EU Directives 96/48/EG und 2001/16/EGInteroperability / impacts
on railway operation and macroeconomics
Market for signalling systemsHarmonisation and standardisation
of technologies Barrier-free access to the European railway
infrastructureSeamless cross-boarder trafficDecrease of transport
time
Operational performance of European railwaysRAMS aspects /
increase and harmonisation of the safety level
inEuropeMicroeconomic impacts, LCC
RAMS: Reliability, Availability, Maintainability, Safety
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ETCS Migration > 06 October 2006 > 9Institute of
Transportation Systems > Aerospace technology for road and
railway
Migration of ETCS – barriers and threats
EU Directives 96/48/EG und 2001/16/EGInteroperability / impacts
on railway operation and macroeconomics
Market for signalling systemsBarrier-free access to the European
railway infrastructureSeamless cross-boarder trafficDecrease of
transport timeHarmonisation and standardisation of technologies
Operational performance of the railwaysRAMS aspects / increase
and harmonisation of the safety level inEuropeMicroeconomic
impacts, LCC
RAMS: Reliability, Availability, Maintainability, Safety
High invests for the track and train-side ETCS equipmentCapable
national CC-Systems (in some countries…)Migration process – cost
and time
National legacy systems with their long life cyclesExpensive
parallel equipment during the migration period
Certification process – cross acceptanceOperational
InteroperabilityEuropean subsidies for IM and TOCPositive
economical effects realised mostly in a long term period
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ETCS Migration > 06 October 2006 > 10Institute of
Transportation Systems > Aerospace technology for road and
railway
ETCS as technological platform
ETCS - main conditions for the success
Efficient cross-boarder
operationMacro economic
aspects
Optimal migration
Low LCC
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ETCS Migration > 06 October 2006 > 11Institute of
Transportation Systems > Aerospace technology for road and
railway
ETCS as a driver for global optimisation
ERTMS / ETCS Logistics
Railway Operators Organisation
Infrastructure Investments
Rules and Regulations
To increase performance and competitiveness compared to road,
various issues are to be addressed on defined corridors
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ETCS Migration > 06 October 2006 > 12Institute of
Transportation Systems > Aerospace technology for road and
railway
Simplified LC model for railway operations control
R & D Operation
System design and Development
Test andCertification
VariableCosts
RetrofitRenewal Rolling Stock / Infrastructure Software
updatesRecycling
Engineering. Installation, Migration
Invest
Fixed Costs
Migration / Re-investDisposal
Hardware
Software
Personnel Costs…
System Integration,
Acceptance
Test
Specification
Definition
Requirements
Production
Development ProcessV-Model
Requirements Specification
Implementation
System Specification
System Validation
Track-side Infrastructure
On-board Systems Supplier
Supplier
Ca. 30 - 35 Years
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n
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OMALCC ++
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1(1
0
- Subsidies
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ETCS Migration > 06 October 2006 > 13Institute of
Transportation Systems > Aerospace technology for road and
railway
ETCS implementationMacro economic benefits
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ETCS Migration > 06 October 2006 > 14Institute of
Transportation Systems > Aerospace technology for road and
railway
ETCS migration on strategic and operational level
Source: TSI CCS
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ETCS Migration > 06 October 2006 > 15Institute of
Transportation Systems > Aerospace technology for road and
railway
Conclusions
ETCS aims to provide technical interoperability of European
railwaysBasis for operational interoperability still has to be
carried outEuropean and national subsidies are necessary to
accelerate the deployment of the systemIn order to improve
efficiency and competitiveness of the railway system, ETCS has to
address following issues
Improvement of operational performance – ETCS as driver for
global optimisationMicro and macro economical benefits, sustainable
decrease of LCCOptimal migration strategies
Migration
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ETCS Migration > 06 October 2006 > 16Institute of
Transportation Systems > Aerospace technology for road and
railway
For further information please contact:
Dipl.-Wirtsch.-Ing. Miroslav Obrenovic
German Aerospace Center (DLR)Institute of Transportation
Systems
Tel: +49 531 295 3424E-Mail: [email protected]
ETCS Migration and the Impacts on Railway Transport
Markets��Dipl.-Wirtsch.-Ing. Miroslav ObrenovicContent �Holistic
view on operational, economical and safety aspects of train
automationInitial situation regarding interoperability�Automatic
train protection�National system deploymentInternational rail
transport �Share within overall traffic volumeETCS – different
technical and functional levels �Providing technical
interoperabilityMigration of ETCS – motivation and
opportunitiesMigration of ETCS – barriers and threatsETCS - main
conditions for the successETCS as a driver for global
optimisationSimplified LC model for railway operations controlETCS
implementation�Macro economic benefits ETCS migration on strategic
and operational level�Conclusions
