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Renter fortsatt viktig for valutaen
2 •
0.3
0.6
0.9
1.2
1.5
1.8
2.1
2.4
2Jun10 2Dec10 2Jun11 2Dec11 2Jun12
USD 2 å swap(venstre akse)
EUR 2 å swap(venstre akse)
1.16
1.2
1.24
1.28
1.32
1.36
1.4
1.44
1.48
1.52
-0.5
-0.2
0.1
0.4
0.7
1
1.3
1.6
2Jun10 2Jun11 2Jun12
2 år rentedif(venstre akse)
EURUSD(høyre akse)
Fed underestimerer inflasjonsfaren
Johnny Bo Jakobsen • 14/08/2012
9 •
Tegn til lønns og prispress kommer før – renteøkningen kommer før
NOK har styrket seg mot EUR
14 •
7.00
7.20
7.40
7.60
7.80
8.00
8.20
8.40
23Aug10 29Mar11 02Nov11 07Jun12 11Jan13 17Aug13
EURNOK Forw ard Nordea Consensus
Mind the gap!
Italia
Hellas
Irland
Belgia
Portugal
Frankrike
Tyskland
ØsterrikeMalta
Nederland
Spania
Kypros
Finland
Slovenia
Slovakia
Luxembourg
Euro snitt
UKUSA
Norge
-12
-11
-10
-9
-8
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
-175 -150 -125 -100 -75 -50 -25 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200
Statsgjeld (% av BNP)
Budsje
ttunders
kudd (
% a
v B
NP
)
Norgrs Bank vil gå forsiktig fram og argumentene for kronekjøp
svekkes
Johnny Bo Jakobsen • 22/02/2012
19 •
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
23Aug10 29Mar11 02Nov11 07Jun12 11Jan13 17Aug13
USDNOK Forw ard Nordea Consensus
20
Takk for oppmerksomheten Les mer i vår rapport Økonomisk Oversikt 2/12 på www.nordea.com
som kommer 4 september
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