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Jessica MacNeil, MPH Epidemiologist Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) July 16, 2015 Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in Adolescents National Center for Immunization & Respiratory Diseases Meningitis and Vaccine Preventable Diseases Branch

Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in ... · 0.5 0.6 0 1 Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y Y 3 – ds 2 1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases

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Page 1: Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in ... · 0.5 0.6 0 1 Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y Y 3 – ds 2 1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases

Jessica MacNeil, MPH

Epidemiologist

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)

July 16, 2015

Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in Adolescents

National Center for Immunization & Respiratory Diseases

Meningitis and Vaccine Preventable Diseases Branch

Page 2: Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in ... · 0.5 0.6 0 1 Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y Y 3 – ds 2 1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases

Meningococcal Disease

Three syndromes Meningitis

Bloodstream infection

Pneumonia

“Flu-like” symptoms early

Rapidly progressive

High morbidity and mortality 10-15% case-fatality

11-19% with long-term sequelae

Most disease occurs in

previously healthy persons

2

Page 3: Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in ... · 0.5 0.6 0 1 Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y Y 3 – ds 2 1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases

Neisseria meningitidis bacteria

Capsule

13 types

6 cause most

disease globally (A,

B, C, W, X, and Y)

Target for conjugate

vaccines

Outer-membrane proteins

Targets for serogroup B vaccines

3

Page 4: Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in ... · 0.5 0.6 0 1 Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y Y 3 – ds 2 1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases

Nasopharyngeal Carriage

Approximately 5-10% of the population are carriers

4

Carriage is asymptomatic and ranges from weeks

to months

Longer duration for strains that can establish long-term

commensal relationships with the host

Adolescents and

young adults have

highest carriage

rates

<1% of persons

exposed who

become carriers

develop invasive

disease

Page 5: Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in ... · 0.5 0.6 0 1 Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y Y 3 – ds 2 1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases

Meningococcal Disease Risk Factors

Pathogen

Virulence Factors

capsule, adhesins,

nutrient acquisition

factors, endotoxin

release

Host Factors

deficiencies in

terminal complement

pathway, asplenia,

immunosuppression,

genetic risk factors

Population/

Environmental Factors

household exposure,

crowding, demographic

and socio-economic

factors, active and

passive smoking,

concurrent upper

respiratory tract

infections 5

Page 6: Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in ... · 0.5 0.6 0 1 Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y Y 3 – ds 2 1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases

EPIDEMIOLOGY AND BURDEN OF MENINGOCOCCAL DISEASE

6

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Meningococcal Incidence in All Ages by Serogroup and

Adolescent MenACWY Vaccine Coverage, 1993–2013

0

20

40

60

80

100

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

Inc

ide

nc

e p

er

10

0,0

00

1

Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y

% C

ov

era

ge

with

≥1 M

en

AC

WY

am

on

g 1

3–17 y

ear o

lds

2

1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases from 1993-2013 estimated to the U.S. population with 18% correction for nonculture confirmed cases. In 2010, estimated case counts from ABCs were lower than cases reported to the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS) and might not be representative.

2National Immunization Survey-Teen; 2006-2013. 3NNDSS 2013 final case count

2013: 564 cases3 (0.18/100,000)

2013 MenACWY coverage, NIS-Teen2:

• ≥1 dose: 77.8% (range by state,

40.4%-93.7%)

• 2 dose completion: 29.6%

7

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Meningococcal Incidence by Serogroup* and Age-Group, 2005-2012

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

<1 year 1-4years

5-10years

11-14years

15-18years

19-22years

23-26years

27-64years

65+years

Inc

ide

nc

e p

er

10

0,0

00

Serogroup C & Y Serogroup B

63%

43% 39%

*NNDSS data with additional serogroup data from ABCs and state health departments.

Unknown serogroup (23%) and other serogroups (8%) excluded

41% 45% 39%

28% 16%

(Proportion serogroup B) 67%

8

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Meningococcal Incidence in Adolescents and Young Adults by Serogroup, 2009–2013

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26

Inc

ide

nc

e p

er

10

0,0

00

1

Age (years)

Serogroup B Serogroups C & Y

1Source: National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS) data with additional serogroup data from Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) and state health departments

Unknown serogroup (19%) and other serogroups (8%) excluded 9

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Estimated Average Annual Cases by Age Group and Serogroup, 2009–2013

Age Group Cases1

Serogroup B <5 years 74–94

11-24 years 54–67

All ages 203–260

Serogroups C & Y <5 years 34–43

11-24 years 62–77

All ages 307–393

1Range in estimated cases: Low=NNDSS data supplemented with additional serogroup data from ABCs and state health departments, High= NNDSS data supplemented with additional serogroup data from ABCs and state health departments + proportion serogroup B or serogroup C & Y applied to cases with unknown serogroup.

• The majority (~80%) of serogroup B cases that occur in 11–24 year

olds occur in older adolescents and young adults aged 16–24 years

10

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Average Annual Cases, Deaths, and Incidence from Serogroup B, 2009–2013

Cases1 Deaths1 Incidence per

100,0003

All 18–23 year olds 36 5 0.14

Estimated cases:

College students2 14 2 0.09

Non-college students2 22 3 0.21

1National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS) data with additional serogroup data from Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) and state health departments 240% of serogroup B cases in 18–23 year olds from ABCs were in college students (excluding unknown or missing), 2005–2013 3Assume 61% of persons age 18–23 years enrolled in college 11

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Recent University Based Serogroup B Clusters/Outbreaks†

†Where CDC consulted

*1 additional associated case identified after retrospective case review

University Outbreak Period Number of cases

University 1 Feb – Mar 2009 4

University 2 Nov 2011 2

University 3 Jan 2008 – Nov 2010 13

University 4 Mar 2013 – Mar 2014 9

University 5 Nov 2013 4*

University 6 Jan – Feb 2015 2

University 7 Jan – May 2015 7

12

Page 13: Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in ... · 0.5 0.6 0 1 Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y Y 3 – ds 2 1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases

Meningococcal Disease Case-Fatality Ratios by Serogroup and Age-group, 2005-2012

0

5

10

15

20

25

<1 year 1-4years

5-10years

11-14years

15-18years

19-22years

23-26years

27-64years

≥65 years

Cas

e F

ata

lity

Rati

o

Serogroups C & Y Serogroup B

NNDSS data with additional outcome data from ABCs and state health departments. Unknown outcome excluded (18%)

Case-fatality ratio:

All serogroups = 15.7%

Serogroups C & Y = 16.6%

Serogroup B = 12.5%

13

Page 14: Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in ... · 0.5 0.6 0 1 Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y Y 3 – ds 2 1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases

MENINGOCOCCAL VACCINES

14

Page 15: Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in ... · 0.5 0.6 0 1 Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y Y 3 – ds 2 1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases

Licensed Meningococcal Vaccine Products, U.S.

Vaccine Type Manufacturer Serogroups Ages

Menactra® Conjugate –

Diphtheria

toxoid

Sanofi Pasteur A, C, W, Y 9 months—

55 years

Menveo® Conjugate -

CRM197

Novartis

Vaccines

A, C, W, Y 2 months—

55 years

MenHibRix® Conjugate –

Tetanus toxoid

GSK Vaccines C, Y 6 weeks—18

months

Menomune® Polysaccharide

Sanofi Pasteur A, C,W, Y ≥2 years

Trumenba® Protein Pfizer Vaccines B 10—25 years

Bexsero® Protein Novartis

Vaccines

B 10—25 years

15

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Meningococcal Conjugate Vaccines

Benefits compared to polysaccharide vaccines

Immunogenic in infants and young children

Superior immunologic memory with boosting on re-exposure

Prevent nasopharyngeal carriage with potential for herd

immunity

Recent conjugate vaccine successes

PCV, Hib vaccination programs in the United States

MenC conjugate vaccines in the United Kingdom

16

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Current ACIP Meningococcal Conjugate Vaccine Recommendations

Routine vaccination of all adolescents aged 11-18

years

1st dose at age 11 or 12 years

Booster dose at age 16 years

Routine vaccination of persons aged ≥ 2 months at

increased risk of meningococcal disease

Vaccination of persons in at-risk groups to control outbreaks

17

Page 18: Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in ... · 0.5 0.6 0 1 Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y Y 3 – ds 2 1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases

Meningococcal Incidence in Adolescents and Young Adults by Serogroup, 2009–2013

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26

Inc

ide

nc

e p

er

10

0,0

00

1

Age (years)

Serogroup B Serogroups C & Y

1Source: National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS) data with additional serogroup data from Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) and state health departments

Unknown serogroup (19%) and other serogroups (8%) excluded 18

Period of increased risk

Page 19: Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in ... · 0.5 0.6 0 1 Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y Y 3 – ds 2 1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases

Coverage with ≥1 dose of Meningococcal Conjugate (MenACWY) among 13-17 year olds,

NIS-Teen, 2006-2013

11.7

32.4

41.8

53.6

62.7

70.5 74

77.8

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

% C

ove

rag

e

Year

National Immunization Survey-Teen; 2006-2013. 19

Page 20: Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in ... · 0.5 0.6 0 1 Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y Y 3 – ds 2 1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases

Decreasing Incidence of Serogroup C, W, Y Meningococcal Disease in 11–19 Year Olds

Year Incidence per 100,000 (95% confidence intervals)1

<1 year 11–19 years ≥20 years

2004-2005 0.77 (0.33, 1.55) 0.27 (0.17, 0.39) 0.17 (0.14, 0.21)

2006-2007 1.20 (0.61, 2.11) 0.31 (0.21, 0.45) 0.23 (0.19, 0.28)

2008-2009 0.93 (0.48, 1.69) 0.15 (0.08, 0.26) 0.23 (0.19, 0.27)

2010-2011 1.37 (0.74, 2.33) 0.05 (0.02, 0.12) 0.14 (0.11, 0.18)

2012-2013 0.74 (0.39, 1.32) 0.05 (0.02, 0.10) 0.12 (0.10, 0.15)

1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases from 2004-2013 estimated to the U.S. population with 18% correction for nonculture confirmed cases. In 2010, estimated case counts from ABCs were lower than cases reported to the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS) and might not be representative.

80% decrease in serogroup C, W, Y meningococcal

disease among 11–19 year olds

20

Page 21: Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in ... · 0.5 0.6 0 1 Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y Y 3 – ds 2 1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases

Menactra® Vaccine Effectiveness Estimates, Duration of Protection, GEE

Controls for smoking, underlying condition status, and age

All Adolescents

VE (95% CI)

Vaccinated 69% (51%, 80%)

Serogroup C 77% (57%, 88%)

Serogroup Y 51% (1%, 76%)

Vaccinated <1 year 79% (49%, 91%)

Vaccinated 1-<3 years 69% (44%, 83%)

Vaccinated 3-<7 years 61% (25%, 79%)

21

Page 22: Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in ... · 0.5 0.6 0 1 Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y Y 3 – ds 2 1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases

SBA-BR Seroresponse ≥1:128 Post-Vaccination, Menactra®, Serogroup C

98.9

74.6

54.6

98.3

59.7

42 44 42.1

0

20

40

60

80

100

1 mo 3 years 5 years

% ≥

1:1

28

Time post-vaccination

MenACWY

MPSV4

Age-matched naive

*Data courtesy of sanofi pasteur, 3 year follow-up of MTA02 (11-18 year-olds), 5 year follow-up of 603-02 (2-10 year-olds)

n= 440, 441 n= 71, 72, 84 n= 108, 207, 107

22

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What’s going on?

Immunologic memory not enough

Boost response takes 5-7 days after exposure, incubation period

of N. meningitidis is 1-4 days

Need circulating antibody at time of exposure

Circulating antibody wanes after conjugate vaccine

Approximately 50-60% of persons vaccinated had titers above

level required for licensure 5 years after vaccination

Unlikely getting the additional benefits of herd

immunity with the current U.S. program

Coverage increased slowly

Adolescent immunity at population level lower than 60%

23

Page 24: Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in ... · 0.5 0.6 0 1 Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y Y 3 – ds 2 1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases

SBA-BR Pre- and Post-booster, Menactra®, Serogroup C

1924

99

23613

1639

40 37

9045

1

10

100

1000

10000

100000

1 month 5 years, pre-vac 5 years, post-vac

SB

A-B

R G

MT

(lo

g s

ca

le)

MCV4

MPSV4

Naïve

n= 440, 441

*Data courtesy of sanofi pasteur, 5 year follow-up of (11-18 year-olds at dose 1)

n= 108, 207, 107 n= 55, 56

24

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Rationale: 2011 Booster Dose Recommendations

Optimize protection through late adolescence

Expectation that antibody decline will not be as rapid

after the booster dose

Increase potential for herd immunity

25

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Serogroup B Meningococcal (MenB) Vaccines

Serogroup B capsular

polysaccharide is

poorly immunogenic

Previously developed

serogroup B vaccines

are clone specific

Alternative

approaches for

vaccine development

needed

26

Vaccine 30S:B87,2012

Page 27: Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in ... · 0.5 0.6 0 1 Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y Y 3 – ds 2 1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases

Two MenB Vaccines For Persons Aged 10–25 Years in the United States

MenB-FHbp (Trumenba®, Pfizer)

Components: fHbp subfamily A/v2,3; subfamily B/v1

3 dose series, administered at 0, 2, 6 months

Licensed in the U.S. on October 29, 2014

MenB-4C (Bexsero®, Novartis/GSK)

Components: fHbp subfamily B/v1, NhbA, NadA, Por A1.4

2 dose series, administered at 0 and ≥1 month

Licensed in the U.S. on January 23, 2015

Licensed in >37 countries for persons ≥2 months of age

27

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Licensure of MenB Vaccines

Following outbreaks of serogroup B meningococcal

disease on two college campuses in 2013 licensure

accelerated

Both MenB vaccines were granted Breakthrough

Therapy designations • Expedites drug development and review by FDA

Both MenB vaccines were licensed based on

accelerated approval regulations

28

Page 29: Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in ... · 0.5 0.6 0 1 Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y Y 3 – ds 2 1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases

Options for Use of MenB vaccines

Recommendation for groups at increased risk

Medical conditions

• Persistent complement component deficiencies

• Anatomic or functional asplenia

Microbiologists

Outbreak response

Routine recommendation for expanded groups

Adolescent or college student recommendation

29

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ACIP Recommendation for Use of MenB Vaccine in Persons at Increased Risk, Feb 2015

A serogroup B meningococcal (MenB) vaccine series

should be administered to persons aged ≥10 years at

increased risk for meningococcal disease. (Category

A) This includes:

Persons with persistent complement component deficiencies1

Persons with anatomic or functional asplenia2

Microbiologists routinely exposed to isolates of Neisseria

meningitidis

Persons identified to be at increased risk because of a

serogroup B meningococcal disease outbreak

1Including inherited or chronic deficiencies in C3, C5-9, properdin, factor D, factor H, or

taking eculizumab (Soliris®) 2Including sickle cell disease

30

Use of Serogroup B Meningococcal Vaccines in Persons Aged ≥10 Years at Increased Risk for Serogroup B Meningococcal

Disease: Recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices, 2015. MMWR. June 12, 2015 / 64(22);608-612

Page 31: Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in ... · 0.5 0.6 0 1 Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y Y 3 – ds 2 1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases

Challenges when Considering Routine Use of MenB Vaccines in Adolescents

Proportion of serogroup B cases that could be

prevented with MenB vaccines is unknown

Breadth of strain coverage estimated; actual breadth of strain

coverage unclear

Available antibody persistence data suggests limited duration of

protection

Effectiveness data are not available

Licensure is based on bactericidal activity

Universal programs not implemented in any country to date

Impact on carriage unknown

Potential impact of vaccine pressure on circulating

strains unknown 31

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Potential Cases and Deaths Prevented per 4M Cohort

Cases

Prevented

Deaths

Prevented

NNV* to

prevent

case

NNV to

prevent

death

Cost ($) per

QALY

Series at 11 years 15 2 203,000 1,512,000 $8.700.000

Series at 16 years 28 5 107,000 788,000 $4,100,000

Series at 18 years 29 5 102,000 638,000 $3,700,000

College students 9 1 368,000 2,297,000 $9,400,000

*Number needed to vaccinate

Source: Ismael Ortega-Sanchez 32

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Proposed Policy Option Language June 2015 ACIP Meeting

A serogroup B meningococcal (MenB) vaccine series

may be administered to adolescents and young

adults 16 through 23 years of age to provide short

term protection against most strains of serogroup B

meningococcal disease. The preferred age for MenB

vaccination is 16 through 18 years of age. (Category

B)

33

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Guidance for Use

MenB should be administered as either a 2-dose

series of MenB-4C or a 3-dose series of MenB-FHbp

The same vaccine product should be used for all

doses

Based on available data and expert opinion, MenB-

4C and MenB-FHbp may be administered

concomitantly with other vaccines indicated for this

age, but at a different anatomic site, if feasible

No product preference to be stated

34

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Summary

Meningococcal disease is a rare, but serious illness and each case is life-threatening

Key data on MenB vaccines are not yet available

Desire for access to MenB vaccines

Additional work still needed to reinforce the second

dose of MenACWY in the current adolescent

program

Risk for disease is low

In the absence of vaccination there may be cases that are

preventable

Even with a fully implemented vaccination program the MenB

vaccines will not prevent all cases 35

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Useful References

“Prevention and Control of Meningococcal Disease”

(2013 ACIP Recommendations), MMWR, March 22,

2013

All ACIP recommendations for meningococcal

vaccines:

http://www.immunize.org/acip/acipvax_menin.asp

“Meningococcal Disease” Rosenstein et al. New

England Journal of Medicine, May 3, 2001, 344 (18):

1378-88

“Meningococcal Disease” Red Book Chapter

“Meningococcal Disease” Pink Book Chapter

36

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Questions?

37

Page 38: Epidemiology and Prevention of Meningococcal Disease in ... · 0.5 0.6 0 1 Serogroup B Serogroup C Serogroup Y Y 3 – ds 2 1Source: Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) cases

Thank you!

[email protected]

National Center for Immunizations and Respiratory Diseases

Meningitis and Vaccine Preventable Diseases Branch