EPC Contracting Strategy balancing Risk & Rewards for Customers and Contractors

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/6/2019 EPC Contracting Strategy balancing Risk & Rewards for Customers and Contractors

    1/10

    , 2006

    ATOMEXPO 2009, 26-28 2009

    EPC Contracting Strategybalancing Risk & Rewards

    for Customers and Contractors

    Juan Ccahuana Tito, Director Fossil Power

    Sector Energy, OOO Siemens Moscow

  • 8/6/2019 EPC Contracting Strategy balancing Risk & Rewards for Customers and Contractors

    2/10

    ,

    , 2006

    Overestimationof demand,impacts of oilprice crises

    Steep rise inpower demand

    Market boom inS/E Asiareplaced by US-boom

    Penetration ofnuclear power

    Extraordinary growth inEurope, Russia, China,Middle East and RSA

    Source: Siemens Energy GS4Base Case scenario

    Status: April 2008

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020

    GW/a

    All Types

    Unit Size > 1 MW

    Renewables

    Hydro

    Fossil Marke

    t >100MW

    Renewables

    Nuclear

    Hydro

    Drivers,

    uncertainties

    Economic growth

    Energy prices

    Ecology awareness Power plant types

    Commodity prices

    Liberalization

    Customer behavior

    Replacements

    Regional markets

    Grid extension Production

    capacity

    Slow down due tolower consumptiongrowth, highbacklog?

    Short term is characterized by stagnating market after extraordinary high growth

    Historic Development ofWorld Power Plant Market Since 1950

  • 8/6/2019 EPC Contracting Strategy balancing Risk & Rewards for Customers and Contractors

    3/10

    , 2006

    Limited capacities at

    sub-suppliers

    Presently no capacity

    extension in the market

    available

    Long lead times for keycomponents

    High price level for supplies

    e.g.: Forging Civil Casting

    HRSG

    Strong market demand led to bottlenecks

    in the entire supply chain

    Power Plant Manufacturers

    Engineering

    Procurement

    Manufacturing

    Construction

    Erection/Commissioning

    Sub-supplier Customer / MarketSteep Market Increase

    Volatile Market Prices

    100%

    Feb

    200

    4

    105%

    Oct

    200

    4

    112%

    Aug

    200

    5

    125%

    Jul

    200

    6

    135%

    Feb

    200

    7

    - Lead times and cost have increased significantly (+35%) within last 3 years

    - Current EPC business models need to be rethought by industry e.g. -> EPC-M

    - Develop alternative business models - Siemens is strengthening its product business by

    providing pre-engineered product packages to the market.

    Source:Thermoflow, e.g.Iberian peninsular CCPP

    144

    05-07

    203

    08-10

    178

    11-13

    GW/a

  • 8/6/2019 EPC Contracting Strategy balancing Risk & Rewards for Customers and Contractors

    4/10

    , 2006

    Reference sales models structure

    the Siemens offerings to our customers

    General model: Customer request vs. Siemens offering

    Scope of service and deliveries

    Reduceds

    cop

    e

    Entire

    PP

    Custom

    erreque

    st

    Siemens offering

    3b

    4b

    1

    2b

    Entire

    Power

    Plant

    Power

    Block

    Power

    Island

    Extended

    Power

    Train

    3a 4a2a

    Partner needed

    Source: New Business Mix Initiative

    1 Entire Power Plant as Turnkeybusiness from Siemens

    xa -Models:Customer award for an EPC full

    scope delivery will be servedfrom Siemens and a partner(e.g. EPC Consortium).

    xb - Models:Customer awards reduced

    scope. Integration to complete

    Power Plant is underresponsibility of customer or a 3rd

    party contracted by the customer

    (e.g. EPC-M, Architect Engineer)

    %

  • 8/6/2019 EPC Contracting Strategy balancing Risk & Rewards for Customers and Contractors

    5/10

    , 2006

    Scope of delivery

    Source: New Business Mix Initiative

    Reference sales models cover

    the full range of solution business

    Reference sales models - Overview

    1

    2b

    3a

    3b

    4a

    4b

    SAG Customer Consortium Partner

    100%70-80%20-30%

    Model

    50-60%

    2a

    Entire power plant as General Contractor Appropriate rebalance risk tools to be applied

    Control over Power Block design (incl. 3D model) Model to cooperate with construction companies

    Carve-out of civil & erection to ensure ~40% partner scope

    Control over Power Block design (incl. 3D model) Customer is responsible for scope outside power block

    Control over process: Min. scope for gross perf. guarantee Model to cooperate with AE/EPC capable of power plant eng. Consortium partner responsible for plant integration

    Control over process: Min. scope for gross perf. guarantee Customer responsible for plant integration

    No Siemens plant design Model to cooperate with EPCs in multi block projects Min. scope for SAG (~40%) only in case of multi block projects

    No Siemens plant design Delivery of components (GTs, STs plus e.g. electrical

    equipment, I&C, etc.)

    Applied principle

    Turnkey

    ConsortiumPartner

    Power Block

    Customerscope

    Power Block

    Consortium PartnerPower Island

    Customer scopePower Island

    Consortium PartnerExt.

    PowerTrain

    Customer scopeExt.

    PowerTrain

    %

    Priority

    Limited volumedepending onresources and

    project risk

    3

    1

    4

    2

    For equipmentsupply only

  • 8/6/2019 EPC Contracting Strategy balancing Risk & Rewards for Customers and Contractors

    6/10

    , 2006

    Standard scopes of supply

    including SGT5-PAC 4000F multi-shaft plants

    SGT5-PAC 4000F SCC5-4000F 2x1

    Power Island

    SCC5-4000F 2x1

    Turn key

    SCC Power Island

    Condenser with air exhaustsystemFeeding pumps of a

    boiler Condensate pupms

    Safety valves

    Fuel preheaterwith filters,counter unit etc.

    Power Island monitoringsystem

    Options

    SCCHeat and power

    equipment

    SST-PACwithout condenserSteam turbine and

    auxiliaries without pipingGenerator and auxiliary

    systemsElectric and I&C equipment Heat recovery boiler

    Options

    SCC Turn key

    Building and structures Cranes and life support systems of the

    turbine building Power plant cooling system

    Water treatment Initial and waste water system

    Tankage Piping and valves of the plant Electrical equipment

    I&C of the power plant

    Additional fire alarm and fire extinctions

    systems Erection and commissioning

    Other options

    SCC Power island SCC heat and powerequipment

    SGT-PAC

    Complete turn key

    delivery of the plantSystem inegration /Optimized solution

    Cycle optimization /Manufacturing solution

    SGT-PAC

    Gas fuel and auxiliaries Air intake / exhaust system Gas fuel systemModules

    Connectiong lines Generator and auxiliary

    systems Fire extinction system of GT

    plant

    Electric and I&C equipment Options

    Manufacturing and delivery

  • 8/6/2019 EPC Contracting Strategy balancing Risk & Rewards for Customers and Contractors

    7/10

    , 2006

    Sales Model(Customer Value)

    Shared Risk

    Power BlockRe

    balan

    cingV

    alue

    and

    Risk

    Reb

    alancing

    Value

    andR

    isk Full Scope EPCTurnkey

    Focus on Customer Value and balanced riskFocus on Customer Value and balanced risk

    Power Island

    Extended Power Train

    Flexible ApproachFlexible Approach

    to balance Risk Sharingto balance Risk Sharing

  • 8/6/2019 EPC Contracting Strategy balancing Risk & Rewards for Customers and Contractors

    8/10

    , 2006

    Partnering Initiative:

    Selected EPC partners worldwide

    Source: Partnering Initiative

    KiewitWorley Parsons

    Fresh MeadowBE&K

    John HollandSumitomo

    Orascom

    YTLDaewoo

    SNCBilfinger Berger

    Iberinco

    Techint

    FluorBilfinger Berger

    YTL

    SamsungDaewoo

    MarubeniHHI

    HDECSNC

    Techint

    Al RahjiNCC Saudi

    Al GhanimASTE

    ETADoosan Heavy

    L&TDaelim

    Samsung

    DaewooGS E&C

    SumitomoYTLCTCI

    MarubeniSamsung

    EnkaMetka

    AE&E

    FluorGamaKentz

    AE&EDuro FelgueraIberinco

    Bilfinger Berger

    Techint

    AE&E

    AE&E

    EnkaSNC

    Metka

    Bilfinger Bergar

    EnkaGamaMetka

    DaewooDaelim

    Posco E&C

    Hanwah E&CSK E&C

    Boiler

    IHIDoosan Babcock

    Burmeister & Wain

    Water Island

    SidemDoosan Water

    Fisia

    Hitachi Zoosen

    GS E&C

    Aker Kaeverner

    Bilfinger Berger

    Duro Felguera

    Partner with SAG experience

    Partner w/o SAG experience Project PartnerNormal

    Strategic PartnerBold

  • 8/6/2019 EPC Contracting Strategy balancing Risk & Rewards for Customers and Contractors

    9/10

    , 2006

    Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Step 4 Step 5

    Source: Partnering Initiative

    Partner co-operation programcovers full life cycle of partner relationship

    Partner Development Process

    Identify Partners

    with sales for

    regions and

    countries

    Collect feedback

    from existing

    projects with the

    partners

    Get partnerconsent in taking

    part in program

    Perform partner

    workshop, discuss

    experience and

    find common ways

    for future coope-

    ration, identify

    co-operation

    development plan

    and sign a MOU

    Partner agree-

    ment signed and

    projects identified

    to bid together

    Co-operation

    development

    plans detailed and

    tasks allocated

    Dedicated Liaisonmanager

    identified.

    Execute executive

    relationship mgt.,

    projects deve-

    loped together,

    first bids prepared

    on the basis of

    partnering

    agreement

    First project in

    implementation

    as per partnering

    agreement,

    regular feedbacks,

    evaluation of the

    agreed co-

    operation

    developmentplans (1 p.a.)

    Identification ofPartners

    Perform partnerworkshop

    Sign a partne-ring agreement

    defining basis ofpartnership

    Build up ofrelationship andbid projects in

    consortium

    Successfullyimplementprojects inconsortium

  • 8/6/2019 EPC Contracting Strategy balancing Risk & Rewards for Customers and Contractors

    10/10

    2006

    ATOMEXPO 2009, 26-28 2009

    Thank youfor your attention