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Country-Level Environmental Analysis A Review of International Experience July 2003 ENVIRONMENT STRATEGY PAPERS NO. 8 Lisa Segnestam Åsa Persson Måns Nilsson Anders Arvidsson Ede Ijjasz A Country Environmental Analysis Publication

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Country-LevelEnvironmental Analysis

A Review of International Experience

July 2003

ENVIRONMENT

STRATEGY PAPERS NO. 8

Lisa SegnestamÅsa PerssonMåns NilssonAnders ArvidssonEde Ijjasz

ACountryEnvironmentalAnalysisPublication

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The International Bank for Reconstructionand Development/THE WORLD BANK1818 H Street, N.W.Washington, D.C. 20433, U.S.A.

Manufactured in the United States of AmericaFirst printing July 2003

In 2001, the World Bank completed the comprehensive two-year process of preparing its EnvironmentStrategy, Making Sustainable Commitments: An Environment Strategy for the World Bank. It was endorsedby the Bank�s Board of Directors and published in October 2001. The Environment Strategy Paper seriesincludes reports prepared to facilitate implementation of the Strategy.

The Environment Strategy emphasizes the need to strengthen the analytical foundation of environmentalwork at the country level. Country Environmental Analysis (CEA) has been identified as one of the keyenvironmental diagnostic tools for systematically evaluating the environmental priorities of developmentand poverty reduction strategies in client countries, the environmental implications of key policies, andcountries� institutional capacity and performance to address their priorities.

This report, together with other papers on various aspects of CEA, was prepared as part of the stocktakingexercise for developing guidance on CEA. The recommendations made in this paper represent the views ofthe authors and not those of the World Bank.

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iii

Contents

vii Acknowledgments

ix Acronyms and Abbreviations

1 Chapter 1: Introduction

5 Chapter 2: Country Environmental Profiles and Analyses6 2.1 State of the Environment Reports7 2.2 National Sustainable Development Strategies

12 2.3 National Conservation Strategies13 2.4 Country-Level Environmental Analyses�ADB15 2.5 Country Environmental Profiles�EC DG Development16 2.6 Environmental Threats and Opportunities Assessment (ETOA)�USAID19 2.7 Strategic Environmental Analysis (SEAN)�Sida20 2.8 Strategic Environmental Analysis (SEAN)�SNV23 2.9 Other Country-Level Profiles and Reports by International Financial Institutions

and Donor Agencies

27 Chapter 3: Strategic Environmental Assessment Tools

35 Chapter 4: Concluding Remarks

37 Notes

39 References

42 Internet Web Page Links

Figures

2 1.1 CEA building blocks29 3.1 SEA and the decisionmaking process

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iv Environment Strategy Papers

Country Environment Analysis � A Review of International Experience

Boxes

3 1.1 World Bank experience with country-level environmental analysis7 2.1 Common issues covered by SoE reports8 2.2 State of the environment reports: An example from Uganda9 2.3 Key steps in preparing SoE reports

10 2.4 Issues covered in the Resource Book for NSDSs10 2.5 Components of an NSDS11 2.6 Signals that an issue may be a priority in a NSDS11 2.7 Mongolia�s National Sustainable Development Strategy13 2.8 Assessing Pakistan�s National Conservation Strategy14 2.9 Structure and contents of the ADB�s Environments in Transition15 2.10 General structure and contents of the ADB�s CEPIS17 2.11 Standard structure of EC country environmental profiles18 2.12 USAID�s regional environmental threats and opportunities assessment

for Africa18 2.13 Opportunities to strengthen environmental conservation in the strategic

objectives of other program activities19 2.14 Key indicators of environmental degradation19 2.15 Key development themes in Sida�s SEAN methodology20 2.16 Strategic questions on economic policy and the environment: An example20 2.17 Indicators and sources for the poverty and environment theme22 2.18 Methodological steps in strategic environmental analysis (SEAN)24 2.19 The sustainable livelihoods approach25 2.20 Guiding questions on environmental issues for SDC country programs28 3.1 SEA approaches and methodologies reviewed29 3.2 Typical SEA process31 3.3 A causal chain framework

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v

For more than a decade, various interna-tional development organizationsincluding the World Bank, nongovern-

mental organizations, and client countrieshave developed country-level environmentalanalytic tools to provide inputs to develop-ment policies regarding sustainable develop-ment issues. This paper reviews internationalexperience with such tools, in particular those

Abstract

prepared and used by multilateral and bilat-eral donor organizations. The main purpose ofthis paper is to review and catalogue the keyfeatures of selected tools and help guide thereader to databases and organizations thatprovide further information. The paperillustrates the richness and variety in toolsavailable for undertaking country-levelenvironmental analytic work.

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vii

Acknowledgments

T his review was prepared as part of thework program of the Strategy Team ofthe World Bank�s Environment Depart-

ment under the guidance of Magda Lovei, leadenvironmental economist and team leader. It ispart of a broader effort to learn from experienceand help develop guidance for applying countryenvironmental analysis more systematically inthe World Bank�s client countries. The workon this review was coordinated by PoonamPillai, who also provided inputs and com-ments.

The report was prepared by Lisa Segnestam, ÅsaPersson, Måns Nilsson, and Anders Arvidsson ofthe Stockholm Environment Institute, and EdeIjjasz of the World Bank. The authors aregrateful to Robert Crooks, Senior Environment

Specialist at the World Bank, for peer review-ing this paper, as well as to Hans-Olav Ibrekkat ECON Centre for Economic Analysis,Anders Ekbom of the Environmental EconomicUnit at Gothenburg University, Sweden, andPriya Shyamsundar of the EnvironmentDepartment, World Bank for useful commentsand suggestions. An earlier version of thispaper was presented at the Workshop onCountry Environmental Analysis, organized bythe World Bank in May, 2002.

The authors would also like to thank NancyLevine and Michiko Shima for editorial assis-tance, and Jim Cantrell for design and produc-tion. Thanks due to the governments of Denmarkand Norway for their generous financial supportto the preparation of this paper.

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ix

Acronyms and Abbreviations

ADB Asian Development Bank

AfDB African Development Bank

ANSEA Analytical Strategic Environmental Assessment Project

CIDA Canadian International Development Agency

CEA country environmental analysis

CEP country environmental profile

CEPIS country-level environmental policy integrative studies

CPE country profiles on environment

CSD Commission on Sustainable Development (United Nations)

Danida Danish Agency for Development Assistance

DEIA Division of Environment Information and Assessment, UNEP

DfID Department for International Development (U.K.)

EC European Commission

EC DG Development EC Directorate-General for Development

EC DG Trade EC Directorate-General for Trade

EEA European Environment Agency

EIA environmental impact assessment

ETOA environmental threats and opportunities

EU European Union

IADB Inter-American Development Bank

IAIA International Association for Impact Assessment

IFI international financial institution

IIED International Institute for Environment and Development

IUCN World Conservation Union

JICA Japan International Cooperation Agency

MAA multiple attribute analysis

MCA multicriteria analysis

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x Environment Strategy Papers

Country Environment Analysis � A Review of International Experience

MDGs Millennium Development Goals

NCS national conservation strategy

NEAP national environmental action plan

NEDA Netherlands Development Aid

NGO nongovernmental organization

NSDS national sustainable development strategy

OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

OECD/DAC OECD Development Assistance Committee

RRC.AP Regional Resource Center for Asia and the Pacific, UNEP

REDSO Regional Economic Development -Services Office, USAID

SDC Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation

SEA strategic environmental assessment

SEAN strategic environmental analysis

SEI/fms Stockholm Environment Institute/ Environmental Strategies Research Group

Sida Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency

SNV SNV Netherlands Development Organisation

SoE State of the environment

UN United Nations

UNCED United Nations Conference on Environment and Development

UNDP United Nations Development Programme

UNEP United Nations Environment Programme

UNEP/GRID Arendal UNEP/Global Resource Information Database

USAID U.S. Agency for International Development

WRI World Resources Institute

WSSD World Summit on Sustainable Development

WWF World Wide Fund for Nature

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1

Introduction

Chapter 1

In July 2001 the World Bank adopted a newEnvironment Strategy, Making SustainableCommitments (World Bank 2001). The goal

of the Environment Strategy is to promoteenvironmental improvement as a fundamentalelement of development and poverty reductionstrategies and actions. The EnvironmentStrategy emphasizes the importance of integrat-ing (�mainstreaming�) environment intodevelopment programs, sector strategies, andpolicy dialogue. Among the tools available tothe World Bank in working toward its environ-mental objectives are its analytical and advi-sory activities. Analytical work is the founda-tion for defining strategic priorities and inte-grating environmental concerns into projectsand programs. A systematic approach that takesa multisectoral, long-term view of developmentis essential to ensure that environmentalconsiderations enter the development planningprocess at an early stage.

The commitment by the Bank and the develop-ment community to the Millennium Develop-ment Goals (MDGs), the increased focus ondevelopment outcomes, and the growingsensitivity to ownership and participation allpoint to the crucial role of good policy basedon sound analysis. The Environment Strategy

accordingly calls for a more systematic ap-proach to country-level diagnostic work onenvironmental issues in the Bank�s clientcountries. The proposed tool for this purpose,country environmental analysis (CEA), wouldbuild on experience with national environmen-tal action plans (NEAPs) and other country-ledenvironmental work, as well as on analysesundertaken by the World Bank and develop-ment partners.

The CEA is envisioned as a flexible toolcomposed of three broad analytical buildingblocks (see Figure 1.1): assessment of environ-mental trends and priorities, policy analysis,and assessment of institutional capacity formanaging environmental resources and risks.These analyses would inform the World Bankdialogue with countries, as well as povertyreduction strategies and country assistancestrategies. CEAs would also be essential inconnection with the enhanced role of program-matic lending in some client countries.

The CEA has three main objectives:

! To facilitate mainstreaming by providingsystematic guidance for integrating informa-tion on and analysis of key environment,

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Country Environment Analysis � A Review of International Experience

Environment Strategy Papers

Country Environmental Analysis

Environmental Priorities

for Development Policy Analysis

Capacity/Performance

Assessment

� Key environmental and

sustainability indicators

with focus on priority

issues identified by NEAPs

national strategies, orother

previous documents

� Environmental trends in

priority areas and sectors

� Links of environmental

issues with economic

growth and poverty

reduction (key

environmental and

poverty indicators

� Data gaps

� Identification of key

macroeconomic or

sector policies and

reforms that may have

significant environmental

implications (e.g., energy

and water pricing issues,

privatization, trade

liberalization)

� Lessons from strategic

environmental

assessments

� Suggested measures or

areas for strategic

environmental

assessments

� Institutional and

organizational capacity

assessment

� Methodology and processes

for priority setting and cross-

sectoral coordination

� EA capacity assessment

� Environmental public

expenditure review

� Indicators for measuring

public sector capacity

� Data gaps

� Areas for intervention

development, and poverty links into thecountry policy dialogue

! To guide environmental assistance andcapacity-building supported by the Bank orother development partners throughassessment of capacity issues, especially inrelation to specific environmental priorities

! To facilitate a strategic approach to themanagement of environmental issues byproviding information and analysis aboutenvironment-development links at theearliest stages of decisionmaking, thusshaping key lending and programmaticdecisions at the country and sectoral levels.

The CEA is expected to become an importantsource of information for other organizationswithin the donor and development commu-nity. At a CEA workshop in May 2002,representatives of multilateral and bilateraldevelopment agencies, client country govern-

ments, nongovernmental organizations(NGOs), and other institutions shared theirexperiences with and views on country-levelenvironmental analytical work. It was clearthat the objectives, the tools applied, and theprocesses supported by development partnersare often similar, but they are frequently lesswell coordinated than they could be, placingpressure on developing countries� scarceinstitutional capacity. The initiative to applycountry-level diagnostic analysis more system-atically was therefore generally supported andwelcomed.

The work program on the CEA at the WorldBank is designed to provide guidance and aconsistent approach for the implementation ofCEAs by (a) building on World Bank andinternational experience and on lessonslearned in preparing environmental diagnostictools; (b) coordinating work undertaken byWorld Bank regional offices and development

Source: World Bank 2002.

Figure 1.1CEA building blocks

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Introduction

Segnestam, Persson, Nilsson, Arvidsson, and Ijjasz

BOX 1.1World Bank experience with country-level environmental analysis

The Environment Department of the World Bank undertook a desk review of Bank experience withcountry-level environmental analysis in order to identify the strengths of the existing tools and theirapplicability to the CEA. The review showed that although the World Bank has conducted valuablecountry-level environmental analytical work for over a decade, there has been no systematic,institutionwide approach. The World Bank�s regional environmental departments have developed avariety of environmental diagnostic tools, as shown in the figure below. In addition, since the late 1980sthe Bank and other donors have supported client countries in the preparation of their own nationalenvironmental action plans (NEAPs).

Country-level environmental analytical tools in use by World Bank Regions

Note: The country lists for each tool are examples and are not exhaustive. Regional abbreviations used here are AFR, Sub-Saharan Africa; EAP, East Asia and Pacific; ECA, Europe and Central Asia; SAR, South Asia; MNA, Middle East and NorthAfrica; LCR, Latin America and the Caribbean.

The study highlights several issues:! Many of the tools reviewed have similar objectives; what has varied is the way in which those

objectives have been met in the analytical work.! The content shows general similarities. Policy analysis is usually embedded in the review of the state

of the environment and in the discussion of sectoral issues, but coverage of important links andpolicy issues varies. For example, many studies suggest important actions that need to be taken toredress environmental problems but without clearly outlining the specific role of the Bank in termsof its lending and nonlending operations.

! There has been no systematic process for preparing country-level environmental analytical work.For example, a participatory approach may or may not be used in the preparation of different tools,and client country representatives may be involved to different degrees and at different stages.

Source: Pillai 2002.

AFRAFR EAPEAP ECAECA SARSAR MNAMNA LCRLCR

NationalNational EnvironmentalEnvironmental ActionAction PlansPlans

Environment Strategy Studies/ Papers (ESPs)Environment Strategy Studies/ Papers (ESPs)

Regional Environmental StrategiesRegional Environmental Strategies

- Madagascar - Laos - Albania - India - Guyana- Morocco

- Thailand

- Philippines

- Indonesia - Belarus - Iran- Pakistan

AFRAFR EAPEAP ECAECA SARSAR MNAMNA LCRLCR

National Environmental Action Plans

Environment Strategy Studies/ Papers (ESPs)

Regional Environmental Strategies

- Madagascar - Laos - Albania - India - Guyana- Morocco

Policy Notes

(PNs)

- Mexico

- Colombia

National Environmental Action Plans

Regional Environmental Strategies

Environment Strategy Studies/ Papers (ESPs)

- Indonesia - Belarus - Iran- Pakistan

Environment

Monitors

(EMs)

- Thailand

- Philippines

Country

Environment

Strategy

Papers

(CESPs)

- Niger

- Mali

Environment

Issues Papers

(EIPs)

- Peru

- Uruguay

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Country Environment Analysis � A Review of International Experience

Environment Strategy Papers

partners in phasing in CEAs; and (c) develop-ing and refining the CEA methodology. Animportant part of the CEA work program is toreview experience with the environmentaldiagnostic and strategic tools now used byclient countries, the World Bank, and otherdevelopment partners. A review of WorldBank experience with country-level environ-mental analytical tools has been completedand is summarized in Box 1.1.

The purpose of the present report is to reviewinternational experience with country-levelenvironmental analytical tools. The mainobjective is not to conduct a complete andcritical analysis of the various tools but, rather,to review and catalogue the main features ofselected tools, identify good practices, andguide the reader to databases and organiza-tions that provide further information.

The review reported on here was carried outas a desk study of relevant documents fromvarious organizations. It relies mainly onpublicly available information about thevarious tools but also draws on consultationswith the organizations. The documentsstudied can be categorized as:

! Guidelines, procedures, and manuals

! Applied examples of the reviewed tools! Background papers and literature on a

specific tool or approach! General literature on a type of tool or

approach.

Although it is recognized that tools intendedfor use at the project level (for example,environmental impact assessments) mightprovide important lessons for the CEA method-ology and process, such tools were notincluded in the review to keep the scope ofthe review manageable. Nevertheless, giventhe close relationship of CEAs to strategicenvironmental assessment (SEA) of policies,programs, or regions, a review of recentguidance documents for SEA is included in thescope of this analysis.

Following this introduction, Chapter 2 focuseson country-level assessment tools, grouped innine categories, including state of the environ-ment reports, national sustainable develop-ment strategies, and selected tools used bydevelopment agencies. Chapter 3 reviewsrecent guidance documents for strategicenvironmental assessment. Chapter 4 presentssome concluding remarks.

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Country Environmental Profiles and Analyses

Chapter 2

This chapter presents a review ofenvironmental profiles and analyses atthe country level currently being

undertaken by international financial institu-tions (IFIs) and donor-country agencies. Theapproaches reviewed vary from the traditionalstate of the environment reports that have beenprepared for more than two decades to morerecent methodologies that propose to analyzeenvironment as part of the developmentagenda.

Each of the following sections covers a differ-ent approach or tool. Rather than describeeach tool in detail, the discussion focuses onstructure, approaches, and methodologies andhighlights interesting or innovative features ofthe tools. Each section includes references tothe most useful guidance documents consultedduring the review.

The tools and methodologies reviewed in thefollowing sections are:

! State of the environment reports! National sustainable development strategies! National conservation strategies, originally

proposed by the World Conservation Union(IUCN), the World Wide Fund for Nature

(WWF), and the United Nations Environ-ment Programme (UNEP)

! Country-level environmental analyses by theAsian Development Bank (ADB)

! Country environmental profiles by theEuropean Commission�s Directorate-Generalfor Development (EC DG Development)

! Environmental threats and opportunitiesassessments by the U.S. Agency for Interna-tional Development (USAID)

! Strategic environmental analyses by theSwedish International Development Coop-eration Agency (Sida)

! Strategic environmental analyses by the SNVNetherlands Development Organisation(SNV)

! Country-level profiles and reports by otherorganizations such as the United NationsDevelopment Programme (UNDP), the Inter-American Development Bank, the AfricanDevelopment Bank, the Danish Agency forDevelopment Assistance (Danida), the U.K.Department for International Development(DfID), the Japan International CooperationAgency (JICA), and the Swiss Agency forDevelopment and Cooperation (SDC).

The review of these tools indicates three mainchanges in the focus and approach to country-

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level reviews of environmental issues. First,there has been a shift from cataloging environ-mental and natural resources stocks andproblems to undertaking a more substantiveanalysis of the causes of environmentalproblems, in particular in the overall contextof economic development and povertyreduction. Second, there is greater interest inand understanding of the importance of policyand institutional analysis in environment �although experience with such analyses andmethodologies for conducting them are stillvery limited. Third, a greater level of participa-tion by national stakeholders is noticeable insome of the reports.

2.1 STATE OF THE ENVIRONMENT

REPORTS

State of the environment (SoE) reports havebeen prepared for more than two decades.They were among the first tools designed toprovide environmental information accessibleto decisionmakers. In the 1970s and 1980sSoEs generally presented a purely descriptiveapproach to the state of environmental mediaand the depletion of natural resources.Currently, SoEs tend to have a broadersustainable development perspective and toexamine the relations between the environ-ment and economic policies.

UNEP/GRID-Arendal{{W2-1}}, the UNEPRegional Resource Centre for Asia and thePacific (RRC.AP){{W2-2}}, the EuropeanEnvironment Agency (EEA){{W2-3}}, and theWorld Resources Institute (WRI) SustainableDevelopment Information Service{{W2-4}}maintain databases of SoEs around the world.1

More than 70 country and regional SoEs havebeen completed, and most of them can befound in the databases maintained by theseorganizations.

Among the key guidance documents for SoEsare the checklists recently prepared by theEEA with the objective of harmonizingnational approaches to SoE in the EuropeanUnion (EEA 1998, 2000). These documentsinclude comprehensive checklists on 14 keyenvironmental issues, from climate change tobiodiversity, organized around the fourquestions - What is happening? Why is ithappening? Are the changes significant? Howeffective are the responses? UNEP/GRID-Arendal has prepared a brief guidance bookon how to structure a SoE, how to present thedata, and how to place the report on theInternet. UNEP�s RRC.AP has developed an

Environmental Information Database tosupport SoEs in the Asia and Pacific region by

making available a standard format for data

collection on biophysical and socioeconomicconditions and trends. UNEP�s Division of

Environment Information and Assessment

(DEIA) has commissioned a sourcebook onmethods and approaches for SoEs (Rump

1996).

As part of this report, seven examples of SoE

reports were reviewed: national reports for

Australia, China, Jamaica, Uganda, and

Ukraine; a regional report for Africa; and the

UNEP�s Global Environmental Outlook (GEO)

2000.

The general objectives of SoE reports are to

present information on environmental condi-tions and trends; to identify and analyze

causes, linkages, and constraints; and to

indicate emerging issues and problems andtheir relevance to policies (WRI, IIED, and

IUCN 1996). A major impetus for preparing

SoE reports as a basis for decisionmaking wasthe chapter on environmental information in

Agenda 21, the primary document adopted at

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Country Environmental Profiles and Analyses

Segnestam, Persson, Nilsson, Arvidsson, and Ijjasz

the United Nations Conference on Environ-ment and Development (UNCED) held in Riode Janeiro in 1992 (UNEP/GRID-Arendal1998). Another objective of SoEs is to fulfillnational legal requirements for environmentalreporting and public information (Parker andHope 1992). All the reports reviewed herewere prepared by official government bodies,but NGOs have also prepared SoEs.

Box 2.1 presents typical issues reviewed inSoEs. The SoEs examined for this report arecomprehensive in scope and include most ofthe components presented in the box. (Theexception is the report for China, whichfocuses on the environmental status of mediaand ecosystems.) The Uganda report has abroader notion of environment and alsodiscusses some social and demographic issues(see Box 2.2).

The EEA and UNEP/GRID-Arendal guidancedocuments for SoE discuss the issue of thetarget audience. Whereas early reports weretargeted at environmentalists and technicalexperts, more recent versions of SoEs presentthe information in a way that is understoodand used by policymakers, the media, thegeneral public, and environmental stakehold-

ers. The change in audience is reflected in thescope and nature of SoE reports, as well as inthe preparation process. Box 2.3 summarizesthe EEA guidance on SoE preparation.

Despite the common difficulties with environ-mental data quality and reliability, SoE reportstend to be good sources of information, andall the reports reviewed are rich in data. Datacollection for these reports ranges from simpleuse of existing sources to initiation of largerschemes for collecting primary data. The SoEreports have also pushed forward the use ofindicators and have promoted the harmonizeduse of these indicators to make informationfrom different countries comparable. SeveralSoE reports use the �driving force�pressure�state�impact�response� (DPSIR) framework, orvariants on it, for the presentation of indica-tors.2 The use of graphics, maps, and indica-tors as a means of structuring and presentinginformation is a key feature of SoE reports. TheSoE for Ukraine provides a good example of acomprehensive set of indicators based on thecountry�s existing statistical system and theinternationally used indicators of theOrganisation for Economic Co-operation andDevelopment (OECD).

Overall, SoE reports are a key source ofinformation for country-level policy analyses,as they are comprehensive in scope andgenerally present environmental informationin a processed and organized structure thatfacilitates policy analysis.

2.2 NATIONAL SUSTAINABLE

DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES

Agenda 21, adopted at the 1992 UNCED (the�Earth Summit�), called on all countries todevelop national sustainable development

BOX 2.1Common issues covered by SoE reports

! Media and resources�for example, airquality, climate change, forest resources

! Cross-cutting concerns�acidification, health! Spatial systems�coastal areas, urban

settlements! Economic sectors! Other drivers�economy, population! Instruments�technology, policies, informa-

tion

Source: UNEP/GRID Arendal 1998.

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strategies (NSDSs) with the aim of building onand harmonizing the sectoral economic,social, and environmental policies and plansoperating in each country. In 1993 govern-ments began preparing national reports forsubmission to the UN Commission on Sustain-able Development (CSD). Five years after theEarth Summit, the United Nations held a

BOX 2.2State of the environment reports: An example from Uganda

One of the core functions of Uganda�s National Environmental Management Authority (NEMA) is toprepare and disseminate a national SoE report every two years. In 1996 the second State of the Envi-ronment Report for Uganda was published in line with this requirement.

The 1996 report uses an �issue-pressure-state-response� framework (rather than the sector approachemployed in Uganda�s first SoE report). In this framework, human beings exert pressure on the environ-ment; these pressures induce changes in the state or condition of the environment; and society re-sponds with policies and programs to prevent, mitigate, or repair environmental damage. The reporthas the following structure of contents:1. Introduction: Uganda�s natural resources�location and size, physiography, geology and soils,

climate, vegetation2. Environment and development: sustainable development vision for Uganda, basic prerequisites for

sustainable development, history of Uganda�s economy, Uganda�s economy, gross domestic product(GDP), green GDP, inflation, public finance, monetary indicators, the Human Development Index,etc.

3. Land resources and terrestrial ecosystems: land use, agricultural resources (crops), rangelands andlivestock resources, forest resources, wildlife resources

4. Water resources and aquatic ecosystems: water resources, water hyacinth, fisheries resources,wetland resources

5. Biodiversity: what is biodiversity, biodiversity in Uganda, principal causes of loss of biodiversity,controlling the loss of biodiversity

6. Population, environment, and development: the population of Uganda, consequences and implicationsof the population situation, population policy, human settlements, provision of water and sanitation,education and literacy, environmental health, transport and communication systems

7. Trade, tourism, mining, and industry: sector characteristics and trends, environmental issues8. Energy and climate change: includes energy trends and technologies9. Legal, policy, and institutional framework and environmental information: legal and policy framework,

institutional framework, environmental information (organization, roles, initiatives, gaps, needs forreform).

The report is comprehensive and detailed and makes extensive use of data and maps. Rather than focusonly on the environment, it discusses the overall economy and sectors such as tourism and industry, aswell as the human dimension, environmental health, and the institutions and policies in place to protectthe environment.

Source: Uganda 1996.

special session to review the progress, and thissession set a target date of 2002 for theformulation and elaboration of NSDSs. TheWorld Summit for Sustainable Development(WSSD) in 2002 urged the countries thatadopted Agenda 21 to make progress in theformulation and elaboration of NSDSs and tobegin their implementation by 2005.

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Segnestam, Persson, Nilsson, Arvidsson, and Ijjasz

The CSD maintains a database of NSDSs{{WP5}} prepared by member countries, aswell as annual reports outlining progress inimplementing Agenda 21. On the basis ofthese reports, the CSD has prepared summa-rized versions of national reports as part of itsCountry Profiles series. A first version waspublished for the Special Session of theGeneral Assembly to Review and Appraise theImplementation of Agenda 21 and a secondversion for the WSSD. Each profile covers all40 chapters of Agenda 21, as well as addi-tional topics such as trade, energy, transport,sustainable tourism, and industry. The CSDdatabase contains more than 90 countryprofiles and NSDS reports.3

Detailed guidance documents for the prepara-tion of sustainable development strategies atnational level include (a) the OECD policy

guidance document Strategies for SustainableDevelopment: Practical Guidance for Devel-opment Cooperation (OECD/DAC 2001){{W2-5}}; (b) the background documentprepared by a UN International Forum onNSDS held in Accra in preparation for theWSSD, Guidance in Preparing a NationalSustainable Development Strategy: ManagingSustainable Development in the NewMillennium{{W2-6}}; and (c) the comprehen-sive Resource Book prepared by the Interna-tional Institute for Environment and Develop-ment (IIED) and published by the OECD andthe UNDP{{W2-7}} (see Box 2.4).4 TheResource Book is accompanied by a volumesummarizing lessons from eight countryexperiences in developing and implementingNSDSs.

As part of this report, three examples of NSDSreports were reviewed: those for Mongolia,the Slovak Republic, and Syria.

BOX 2.3Key steps in preparing SoE reports

1. Examine and learn from previous SoE reports.2. Determine the target groups and objectives.3. Organize the compilation: establish an organizational structure, assign responsibilities, and develop

a detailed project plan.4. Define the structure: select an analytical framework and consistent approach (for example, the

pressure-state-response model, the ecosystem approach, information hierarchy, policy cycle, or acombination) and identify the priority environmental issues. For each issue, answer the followingquestions:! What is happening?! Why is it happening?! Are the changes significant?! What is, or could be, the response?

5. Choose the content: establish the contents of each chapter and identify chapter dependencies.! Design the organization for data delivery and verification! Choose the datasets and indicators (diagrams, tables, and maps) for each chapter! Frame outlooks (creation of socioeconomic scenarios).

6. Design the publication: prepare template; check diagrams.7. Plan presentation of the report: identify the main messages to media and target groups; prepare

educational material and Websites.8. Evaluate the SoE report and the reporting process.

Source: EEA 1998.

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! Stakeholder analysis: identification ofstakeholders and their interests, power, andrelations

! Sustainability analysis: review of humanand environmental conditions, and keyrelationships between human and ecosys-tem elements

! Strategy process/mechanism analysis:analysis of possible component systems andprocesses that could be used in an NSDS,including a review of the systems� effective-ness, reliability, equitability, and perfor-mance to date

BOX 2.4Issues covered in the Resource Book forNSDSs

! What sustainable development is! What NSDSs achieve! How to start an NSDS or improve one! How to generate the knowledge needed for

an NSDS! How to get the right people involved! How to ensure good communication! How to get a secure financial basis! How to keep knowledge up to date through

monitoring and evaluation! How to make decisions about strategy,

objectives, plans, and instruments.

Source: OECD and UNDP 2002.

BOX 2.5Components of an NSDS

Depending on the circumstances, a sustainabledevelopment strategy may be viewed as a systemthat comprises the following components:! Regular multistakeholder fora and means for

negotiation at national and decentralizedlevels, with links between them

! A shared vision and set of broad strategicobjectives

! A set of mechanisms to pursue thoseobjectives in ways that can adapt tochange�notably, an information system,communication capabilities, analyticalprocesses, international engagement, andcoordinated means for policy integration,budgeting, monitoring and accountability

! Principles and standards to be adopted bysectors and stakeholders through legislation,voluntary action, market-based instruments,etc.

! Pilot activities to generate learning andownership

! A secretariat or other facility with authorityto coordinate these mechanisms

! A mandate for all the above from a high-levelcentral authority such as the primeminister�s office and, to the extent possible,from citizens� and business organizations.

Source: OECD/DAC 2001.

The recent guidance on NSDS calls for the

reports to move beyond the traditional

approach of a single master plan document for

sustainable development. The goal is for these

reports to become a coordinated set of

participatory processes of analysis, debate,

capacity-strengthening, planning, and invest-

ment that integrates the economic, social and

environmental objectives of society, seeking

trade-offs where the integration of objectives

is not possible (OECD/DAC 2001). NSDSs are

defined as nationally owned strategies, and

they focus more on the process than on a

single report (see Box 2.5). The scope of a

NSDS is much broader than a traditional

country-level environmental analysis or

strategy, and, because of their long-term

perspective, they can be visionary in defining

objectives.

The Resource Book (OECD and UNDP 2002)

presents a detailed review of analytical tools

and processes recommended for the prepara-

tion and assessment of a NSDS, including:

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! Scenario development, as a means ofexploring strategic options

! Analysis and ratings of options, by compar-ing the costs, benefits, and risks of optionalinstruments or programs for implementingthe NSDS (see Box 2.6)

! Review of achievements under the strategy,linked to the monitoring and evaluationefforts of the NSDS.

Participatory analysis tools are also identifiedand described in the Resource Book. Theyinclude community-based analysis, participa-tory appraisal, market research, focus groups,and key informant interviews.

The NSDSs reviewed for this report arerelatively comprehensive in their listing ofenvironmental priorities. For example, theNSDS for Mongolia seems to have identified anearly exhaustive set of environmental issues(see Box 2.7). The NSDS for Syria sets nineoverall goals for sustainable development

BOX 2.6Signals that an issue may be a priority in aNSDS

The issue is a priority if it:! Is an opportunity for or threat to poor

people�s livelihoods! Is an opportunity for or threat to key

economic sectors! Is an opportunity for or threat to key

ecosystem assets and processes, especiallywhere these are critical to livelihoods andsectors

! Can be acted on without extra financing! Presents a major learning opportunity! Is visible to the public! Has an extension or multiplier effect! Is an international obligation! Is timely in relation to a pending decision! Is linked to current political concerns, other

initiatives, and skills.

Source: OECD and UNDP 2002.

BOX 2.7Mongolia�s National SustainableDevelopment Strategy

The Mongolian Action Programme for the 21stCentury (MAP 21), adopted in 1998, has fourparts:! Sustainable social development! Sustainable economic development! Proper use of natural resources and protec-

tion of the environment! Means of implementation.

MAP 21 was prepared between 1996 and 1998under the leadership of Mongolia�s NationalCouncil for Sustainable Development (NCSD).As part of the process of preparing MAP 21 andrelated aimag (province) action programmes, theNCSD appointed sustainable developmentadvisers to the local governors. These advisers,together with local branches of the NCSD (theeconomic, social, and environmental commit-tees), coordinated and prepared the aimag actionprogrammess. The main points of the aimagaction programmes were used in the preparationof the national MAP 21.

In the environmental section of the MAP 21document, 12 priorities are identified:1. Protection of the atmosphere2. Use and protection of land resources3. Use and conservation of forest resources4. Mitigation of desertification and drought5. Management of mountain ecosystems6. Protection of biodiversity7. Biotechnological development8. Use and conservation of water resources9. Natural disaster management10. Ecologically sound management of toxic

chemicals11. Waste disposal management12. Radioactive waste management.

Most of these general points are subdivided intomore specific priorities: for example, protectionof the atmosphere is to involve development ofscience and technology, reduction of atmo-spheric pollution, protection of the atmosphericozone layer, and reduction of transboundary airpollution. All these are dealt with by explainingthe basis for action, setting objectives, andoutlining activities.

Source: Mongolia 1999.

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(poverty eradication, population growth, trade,and so on) over a 12-year horizon and thenbreaks them down into more specific goals atthe national, regional, and subregional levels.The NSDS for Syria lists five priority problemsin environment, examines their effects andcauses and the institutional issues involved,and identifies strategic priorities for short- andmedium-term actions.

All of the NSDSs reviewed are relatively clearand explicit in their identification of objectivesand priorities. There is some variation in thetype of objective identified in the NSDSs, fromthe improvement of an environmental condi-tion to the establishment of institutions orstrategies.

Despite the inherent difficulties in preparing abroad sustainable development strategy andthe slow progress in their completion, theNSDSs are important frameworks for coordi-nating sectoral and thematic national strategiesand for addressing critical choices andtradeoffs. Two important features of NSDSemphasized by the Resource Book are publicparticipation in the development of thestrategy and priority-setting for more rationaland transparent policymaking. The ResourceBook goes into great detail on alternativeapproaches and good practices in strategicdecisionmaking, from the emerging universalnormative framework (human rights, MDGs,the 1992 Rio Principles, and so on) to risk-based priority setting, to multistakeholdermechanisms for building consensus.

The analysis and priority actions in NSDSwould be of particular importance in thepreparation of country-level environmentalanalyses. The broader perspective of a NSDScan provide the basis for more detailed

analyses of environmental issues and for cross-linkages with various sectors.

2.3 NATIONAL CONSERVATION

STRATEGIES

The national conservation strategy (NCS), atool that preceded the NSDS, was originallyproposed and devised by the IUCN, theWWF, and the UNEP in 1980 to provide acomprehensive, cross-sectoral analysis ofconservation and natural resource manage-ment. It was conceived as a nationally ownedprocess aimed at ensuring the integration ofenvironmental protection into the nationaldevelopment agenda, bringing attention to therelevant priority requirements for conserva-tion, stimulating appropriate action, raisingpublic consciousness, and overcoming apathyor possible resistance to taking the actionsneeded (IUCN and others 1980).

More than 100 countries prepared NCSs in the1980s and early 1990s. The IUCN keepscopies of many of these reports{{W2-8}}, aswell as related review documents, such asthree studies commissioned by the IUCN in1997 to review experience with the NCS inAsia, Africa, and Latin America, and a guid-ance note (IUCN 1984).5 The NCSs forEthiopia and Pakistan were reviewed for thisreport.

NCSs entail a process of initial coordinationbetween NGOs, national governments, anddonors in identifying priority issues andstrategies for implementation. They areadopted by the national government. The NCSprogression envisions a process-orientedapproach to intersectoral implementation ofprograms. The description of steps for the NCSin IUCN and others (1980) makes it clear that

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the process focuses to a large extent on the

reduction of disturbances in the ecological

setting. The initial approach is similar to that

of an environmental impact assessment, but at

a more strategic level, with a greater emphasis

on conservation objectives.

In the NCS for Pakistan, 14 priority program

areas are identified and are further subdivided

into 60 detailed programs with specific

outputs and implementation strategies (Paki-

stan 1994). In the Pakistan NCS and in other

cases, the strategies can have complex

strategic goals and implementation structures.

For example, Ethiopia�s NCS envisions

coordinated action plans and investment

programs at the regional, national, sectoral,

and cross-sectoral levels (Ethiopia 1990). The

Ethiopia NCS led to the adoption of a national

environmental policy and follow-up environ-

mental measures. Overall, it has become a

policy framework for guiding later interven-

tions.

An SoE analysis is usually included in the NCS

and is often the basis on which objectives are

defined. NCSs assess development objectives

in relation to conservation priorities identified

in the SoE. They then develop strategies for

conservation, focusing on priority programs,

institutions, and implementation plans.

Finally, they review options for securing the

required financial resources. A review of

Pakistan�s NCS notes that although the report

aims at strategies for sustainable development,

there is a tendency to focus only on environ-

mental objectives without adequately address-

ing other important sustainability parameters

such as poverty alleviation.

2.4 COUNTRY-LEVEL ENVIRONMENTAL

ANALYSES � ADBThe Asian Development Bank (ADB) country-level environmental analyses include threemain products: country environmental profilesin the Environments in Transition series,country-level environmental policy integrativestudies (CEPIS), and country environmentalanalyses. These country-level reviews aredesigned to serve as the basis for planning the

BOX 2.8Assessing Pakistan�s National ConservationStrategy

Pakistan�s NCS, one of the earliest and mostcomprehensive of its kind, was adopted in 1992and was followed up by the 1993�98 Plan ofAction, which outlined the implementationstrategy for the NCS. In 2000 an extensivemidterm review was undertaken by independentreviewers to assess the success of the NCS andprovide input for future NCSs.

The report notes some key findings:! The primary achievements under the NCS

have been awareness-raising and institution-building rather than actual improvements inthe quality and productivity of the environ-ment and natural resources.

! The NCS was not designed to be and is notadequately focused as a national sustainabledevelopment strategy.

! The NCS process has strengthened civilsociety institutions and their influence, and ithas enhanced the capacity of public institu-tions.

! NCS implementation capacity requires muchimprovement.

! The NCS continues to have a major catalyticrole in furthering Pakistan�s sustainabledevelopment agenda, but it needs refocusingand closer links with achievable develop-ment outcomes.

Source: Pakistan 1994.

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ADB�s environmental projects and technicalassistance, and they provide a comprehensiveoverview of environmental issues at thecountry level.

For this paper, three examples of environmen-tal profiles in the Environments in Transitionseries and three examples of CEPIS (includinga comprehensive report for the region) werereviewed. The reports are available at theADB Website{{W2-9}}.6 At the time ofpreparation of this paper, no final versions ofthe country environmental analyses wereavailable. No specific guidance or terms ofreference are available in the ADB publicdatabase for the three types of country-levelanalysis.

The ADB has prepared environmental profilesof Afghanistan, Mongolia, Tajikistan, and theMekong River countries of Cambodia, the LaoPeople�s Democratic Republic, Thailand, andVietnam (ADB 2000). The profiles wereprepared for internal use in drawing upoperational programs and policies and as areference to sharpen the ADB�s environmentalstrategy, and they are also useful for develop-ment practitioners.

The environmental profiles were based onconsultations with and assistance from na-tional governments and NGOs. They arecomprehensive in scope, going beyond thedescription of environmental issues and trendsto analyze underlying causes, the institutionalframework, policy and legislation, environ-mental governance (including public participa-tion and NGOs), and donor activities. Theyconclude with concrete ADB strategies forimproving the environment in the specificcountries. The Mekong regional report isparticularly interesting in its approach to the

selection of areas for ADB support: it definesbuilding blocks of strategic support, identifiesspecific areas of support within that frame-work, and summarizes the plan of action in astrategic implementation plan.

Box 2.9 presents the typical structure andcontents of the Environments in Transitionreports.

As a basis for the ADB�s 2001 Asian Environ-ment Outlook (AEO), a series of CEPIS wasprepared for China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan,the Philippines, Sri Lanka, Thailand, andVietnam. It is expected that the AEO willbecome a biennial publication. Its targetgroups are government decisionmakers andplanners, and environmental executives and

BOX 2.9Structure and contents of the ADB�sEnvironments in Transition

1. Introduction: basic economic, cultural, humanresource, and physical geography character-istics

2. Environmental setting and priority areas forenvironmental action: transboundary issuesand regional assistance, forests, biodiversity,water resources, management of coastal andmarine resources, urban and industrialpollution, energy

3. Environmental policies and institutionalframework: political and socioeconomiccontext, institutional structures, environ-ment and development plans, environmentalpolicy legislation, legal issues, humanresource development, environmentalimpact assessment, implementation, limita-tions, environmental governance, govern-ment structures, public participation, NGOs,data

4. Development framework for environmentalaction: short strategies for the sectors ineach country, summarized in a strategicimplementation plan.

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specialists from international assistance

agencies.

The CEPIS were prepared by the ADB with

inputs from national governments, other

assistance agencies, NGOs, research institu-

tions, and the private sector. The preparation

process for some of the studies was conducted

by consultants from various institutions,

including NGOs, private companies, and a

university.

The CEPIS have two main features that

distinguish them from traditional country-level

environmental analyses. First, they are short

(usually about 20 pages long). Second, they do

not contain expanded descriptions of the state

of the environment and trends; rather, they

focus on development policies and cross-

sectoral linkages with environment. Their

main emphasis is on presenting policy recom-

mendations at the sectoral and cross-sectoral

levels to deal with key environmental issues.

Their short length precludes a detailed

analysis, prioritization, or elaboration of the

country policies or of the recommendations,

particularly for large countries such as China,

India, and Pakistan with multiple and complex

environmental issues. Nevertheless, the

document presents very clearly key policy

issues and their linkage to environment.

Most CEPIS attempt to discuss all the key

development policies of the country, but

some�for example, the one for India�focus

on key sectors such as energy and transport.

All CEPIS present policy recommendations at

the general level, but in some cases, such as

the Pakistan study, the report links these

recommendations to proposed ADB actions.

Some of the CEPIS use cause-and-effect trees

to describe policy linkages. Box 2.10 presentsthe CEPIS structure and approach.

2.5 COUNTRY ENVIRONMENTAL

PROFILES � EC DG DEVELOPMENT

The European Commission�s comprehensivestrategy, Integrating Environment and Sustain-able Development into Economic and Devel-opment Co-operation Policy, issued in 1999,calls for increased integration of environmen-tal issues into all EC aid and into theorganization�s programming and projectcycles. In an effort to improve the coherence

BOX 2.10General structure and contents of theADB�s CEPIS

1. Development policies: a description of generaldevelopment policies and strategies cur-rently under implementation by the country;brief analysis of linkages to environment

2. Environmental priorities (as defined by theauthors): soil degradation, water pollution,degradation of coastal zones, solid wastepollution, and so on, with brief descriptionsof their relevance and severity

3. Environmental capabilities: existing environ-mental management framework�policies,legislation, institutions

4. Policy analysis: review of sectoral policies forthe key sectors (e.g., agriculture, waterresources, energy) and cross-sectoral issuessuch as environmental impact assessmentprocedures and environmental monitoring

5. Policy and program recommendations: con-crete recommendations for sectoral policiesand cross-sectoral policy issues, but definedat a general level of specificity. In someCEPIS there is an incipient analysis of theimplications of the recommended policiesand programs (e.g., feasibility of implementa-tion, linkage with other policies, impacts onthe poor, and role of donors and interna-tional financial institutions).

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of EC development cooperation policies, theprogramming exercise is being harmonized to

use the same environmental integration

procedures for all regions.

The recently revised guidelines call for a

three-step approach to environmental integra-

tion. First, a country environmental profile andrelevant indicators serve as inputs to the

country strategy document. Second, an

environmental profile of the risks and opportu-nities of the proposed program is conducted.

Finally, the overall quality of the integration of

environmental aspects of the program isimproved through quality support groups.

The EC has developed a comprehensive

Environmental Integration Manual{{W2-10}}with a structure based on tools such as country

environmental profiles (CEPs), strategic

environmental assessments (SEAs) at thepolicy and sector program levels, and environ-

mental impact assessments (EIAs). The manual

includes procedures for policy, programming,and projects and sector notes linked to

potential environmental impacts and mitiga-

tion measures. It also contains standard termsof references and review checklists for SEAs

and CEPs. The guidance notes for CEPs are

very brief. EC DG Development maintains adatabase of CEP reports and related informa-

tion for most developing countries{{W2-11}}.7

For this report, five examples of CEPs werereviewed for the Arab Republic of Egypt,

Jordan, Lebanon, the Syrian Arab Republic,

and West Bank�Gaza. These CEPs wereprepared before the final version of the EC

manual was completed.

CEPs are to outline the major environmentalcharacteristics and the important issues in a

country; summarize the major environmentaltrends and pressures; analyze their linkages topoverty; and describe the government andcivil response to these issues, including thestatus of the regulatory reforms and institutionsinvolved. Box 2.11 summarizes the structureof the expected content of a CEP.

The CEP reports are useful because theycontain information on the environmentalconditions of a country, national environmen-tal policy, and the institutional framework andthus provide decisionmakers in the EC andpartner countries with sufficient information toidentify opportunities for cooperation. Theexamples reviewed for this paper werecommissioned reports prepared by externalconsultants. The five CEPs reviewed largelyfollow the outline presented in Box 2.11except that none of them include recommen-dations for action; rather, they focus on thediscussion of environmental issues. Only oneof the CEPs reviewed actually assessedenvironmental institutions, as opposed togiving a general description. Finally, noinformation was found in these reports on themethodology for analyzing or structuring thedata and information.

2.6 ENVIRONMENTAL THREATS AND

OPPORTUNITIES ASSESSMENT (ETOA)� USAIDThe U.S. Foreign Assistance Act of 1961contains conservation provisions relating totropical forests and biodiversity. Under theact, all USAID strategic plans must include ananalysis of the actions needed in the hostcountry to achieve conservation and sustain-able management of tropical forests andbiodiversity and the extent to which theactions proposed for support by USAID meet

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the needs identified. In response to thisrequirement, each USAID country missionconducts an environment sector analysis priorto strategy-related decisionmaking. At aminimum, such analysis covers the country�s

biodiversity and tropical forest resources. TheUSAID procedures also recommend a morecomprehensive environmental analysis.

A guidance document, Guidelines for Strate-gic Plans (USAID 1995), has been developedto assist USAID missions in formulatingstrategies. As part of this report, six examplesof environmental threats and opportunitiesreports were reviewed. Five were country-level reports for Bulgaria, Kenya, Mongolia,Nigeria, and Uganda. The sixth example was aregional strategic analysis by USAID�s Re-gional Economic Development Services Office(REDSO) for Eastern and Southern Africa. Allthese reports and guidance documents can beobtained at the USAID Website{{W2-12}}.8

The longer reports include their respectiveterms of reference as an appendix.

According to the guidelines, country strategicplans submitted in and after fiscal 1995 are tobe based on a comprehensive assessment ofenvironmental threats and opportunities.

There is great variation in the level of detail

and analysis of the assessment reports, from a

short appendix in the country strategic plan to

150-page reports containing a detailed review

of the state of the environment with respect to

a variety of environmental issues. The most

noticeable feature of the assessment reports is

the strong emphasis on cross-sectoral linkages

with non-environmental USAID programs and

strategic objectives in the country. The

linkages are based not only on cautions and

impacts but also, and more significantly, on

ways of improving synergies across activities.

The regional strategic analysis for REDSO is a

particularly interesting example of this cross-

sectoral view (see Box 2.12). A draft proposal

for a guidance document to incorporate

strategic environmental planning into the

BOX 2.11Standard structure of EC countryenvironmental profiles

1. Summary2. Background: physical conditions, economic

trends and social conditions, environmentalawareness and politics, overall administrativeand legal context for environmental protec-tion

3. State of the environment: physical environ-ment; biological conditions, biodiversity,ecology and nature conservation; socioeco-nomic conditions, sociocultural conditions,human health; reference to internationallyrecognized indicators

4. Environmental policy, legislative, and institu-tional framework· Environmental policy and legislation:policy and action plans, including effective-ness of enforcement; legislation, includingEIA/SEA and public participation; approachto international environmental conventions;efforts to harmonize national and Europeanlegislation· Environmental institutional framework:institutional structure; formal structures andprocedures for public participation; capacityand financial resources of authorities· Sectoral integration: agriculture, fisheries,and forestry; mineral resources; utilities;industry; transport; other relevant sectors· EC and other international developmentassistance: EC experience with environmen-tal interventions and integration; otheragencies� involvement and experience; listsof recent and planned projects

5. Recommended priority actions6. Technical appendices: (a) map, (b) reference

list of environmental policy documents.7. Administrative appendices.

Source: EC DG Development 2000.

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development of country strategic plans

(Freeman and Vondal 2000) presents a

methodology to support this cross-sectoral

linkage analysis (see Box 2.13).

Most assessments are focused on biodiversity

issues to comply with agency requirements.

The analysis follows the threats and opportuni-

ties methodology, with varying details on the

state of the environment. The analysis and

linkage of issues to the USAID program is

usually strong, as is the integrated review of

national, donor, and NGO efforts, in which

activities are classified in categories as a way

of facilitating presentation and review (as in

the assessments for Bulgaria and Uganda). The

institutional and policy analysis tends to be

descriptive, and on some occasions a linkage

between environment and poverty is made.

No new data collection is undertaken for the

reports. (The guidance document suggestsexpert judgment as an alternative.) The longerreports are prepared by outside consultantsand take about two months, including deskreviews and in-country interviews.

In general, there is a strong emphasis onindicators for all strategic objectives. Theguidance document includes a list of indica-tors that can be used to determine whetherenvironmental degradation is severe (see Box2.14). As part of the prioritization process, theguidance document calls for consideration ofthe full range of environmental and naturalresource threats identified and its linkage tothe three USAID environmental objectives:

BOX 2.12USAID�s regional environmental threatsand opportunities assessment for Africa

As part of the process for preparing a strategicplan, in May 2000 USAID�s Regional EconomicDevelopment Services Office (REDSO) forEastern and Southern Africa conducted acomprehensive environmental threats andopportunities assessment (ETOA). The assess-ment included three interrelated activities:! Review of information on environmental

threats and opportunities relevant tocountries in the region of study

! Environmental review of proposed strategycomponents to identify critical factors andlinkages with other sectors, transboundaryissues, and areas of opportunity in environ-mental and other programmatic areas

! Identification of environmental strategicobjectives and opportunities for addressingenvironmental issues under strategicobjectives and activities in other sectors.

Source: Freeman and Vondal 2000.

BOX 2.13Opportunities to strengthen environmentalconservation in the strategic objectives ofother USAID program activities

! Adding environmental education to basiceducation programs

! Conducting environmental awarenessprograms that cut across sectors, strategicobjectives, and customer groups

! Including environmental resource valuationin development planning for economicgrowth

! Combining environmental conservationwork with civil society development throughcommunity-based natural resource programs

! Developing conflict prevention or mitigationactivities for resource access issues betweencommunities or tribes

! Adding environmental health issues topreventive health programs

! Identifying environmentally friendly tech-nologies for energy sector programs

! Adding natural resource management andconservation practices to commercial exportagriculture programs

! Addressing environmental resource issues infood security programs

Source: Freeman and Vondal 2000.

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safeguarding the environmental underpinnings

of broad-based economic growth, protecting

the integrity of critical ecosystems, and

ameliorating and preventing environmental

threats to public health.

2.7 STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL

ANALYSIS (SEAN) � SIDA

Sida had prior to 2000, prepared environmen-

tal profiles for some of its cooperation coun-

tries. After evaluating the integration of

environment in its country strategies, the

agency decided to issue new guidance on

strategic environmental analysis, or SEAN

(Sida 2000, 2002). The main objective of

SEAN is to analyze the environmental issues

that are central to a country�s developmentfrom a poverty and sustainability perspective.

Guidance documents in English are not yetavailable on Sida�s Website{{W2-13}}, but anexternal consultant runs a help-desk functionto support and advise the people conductingSEANs. To date, only a few SEANs have beencarried out.9 For this report, SEANs for China,Tanzania, and the Balkan region were re-viewed. All of these reports were prepared bySida staff supported by external consultants.

The SEAN objectives are defined in theguidance document as follows: (a) to under-stand how environment and sustainability arerelated to other aspects of development; (b) tomap the environmental and sustainabilityaspects that should be considered when thegeneral scope of development cooperation isdecided; and (c) to develop a basis for deci-sions on environmental interventions.

The guidance document does not outline aspecific process or procedural requirements;

BOX 2.14Key indicators of environmentaldegradation

1. Quantifiable losses in gross domesticproduct (GDP) of 5 percent or more due tonatural resource depletion (deforestation,depletion of fisheries, soil erosion, overgraz-ing of rangeland), pollution (work time lostfrom disease and death, environmentalrestrictions on industrial activity and trans-port, costs of mitigation and remediation),or both

2. Rapid rate of degradation (for example, 1percent a year) of key ecosystems through,for example, deforestation, conversion ofwetlands, loss of coral reefs, or conversionof savannah

3. Unacceptable environmental health risks, forexample:! Annual mean concentration of fecalcoliforms in highly used water bodiesexceeding 1,000 per milliliter sample! Annual mean concentrations of sus-pended particulate matter and sulfur dioxidein major urban areas exceeding 300 and 100micrograms per cubic meter, respectively.

BOX 2.15Key development themes in Sida�s SEANmethodology

! Poverty and environment! Economic policy and environment! Health and environment! Population and environment! Capacity development! Institutions! Legislation and environment! Human rights! Equity and environment! Conflict risk! Vulnerability and environment! State of environment and sustainable

development! Country�s work for sustainable develop-

ment.

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instead, it focuses on analytical methods and,in particular, on the linkages between environ-mental and other development issues ratherthan on environment per se. The guidancecontains sets of 5 to 10 strategic questions onthe key themes listed in Box 2.15. Box 2.16presents an example for the theme, economicpolicy and environment. In addition, 5 to 10indicators for each theme�mainly, existingindicators monitored by international organi-zations�are suggested in the guidancedocument. Box 2.17 gives an example for thepoverty and environment theme.

SEANs can vary extensively in scope and levelof detail, provided that their findings are

integrated with the country analysis and thatthe main conclusions are part of the countrystrategy document. The contents of a typicalSEAN (based on the review of three examples)include environmental state and drivingforces, national initiatives, framework andcapacity, existing and planned Swedishcooperation, and strategic recommendationsfor the future.

2.8 STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL

ANALYSIS (SEAN) � SNVStrategic environmental analysis (SEAN) is amethodological framework developed in 1996by the Netherlands DevelopmentOrganisation (SNV) and AIDEnvironment.10

SEAN is used to develop concrete inputs for apolicy or a strategic plan for a specific region,sector, or target group. Although the originalintention was to apply SEAN primarily forSNV country policy plans, the methodologyhas mainly been used at sub-national levels bylocal governments and NGOs.

Netherlands Development Aid (NEDA)maintains an active Web-based platform{{W2-

BOX 2.16Strategic questions on economic policy andthe environment: An example

Strategic question: What are the connectionsbetween the country�s economic policies and theenvironment?

Underlying questions to support the analysis:! Is the country�s economy based on unsus-

tainable resource consumption?! Are there �critical� sectors or actors that

contribute particularly to environmentaldegradation?

! Are there subsidies that cause significantemissions or overexploitation of resources?

! Are policy instruments (regulations, taxes)used to contribute to sustainable resourceuse?

! Do quotas, concessions, and permitscontribute to unsustainable resource use?

! Is the country financing its debt servicethrough unsustainable exploitation andexport of natural resources?

! How have structural adjustment andeconomic reforms affected theenvironment?

! Are there existing initiatives in the countryto analyze and understand these issues?

BOX 2.17Indicators and sources for the poverty andenvironment theme

! Poverty: percentage poor of the totalpopulation and of the urban and ruralpopulations (World Bank)

! Poverty: income of less than US$1 per day(World Bank)

! Poverty: Human Development Index(United Nations Development Programme)

! Child mortality: children age 0�1 and 1�5(World Bank)

! Access to safe water: percentage of totalpopulation (World Bank)

! Deforestation: square kilometers per year.

Source:

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14}} that contains guidance materials (SNV1999), a toolbox, newsletters, and brief

descriptions of case studies in which the SEANmethodology has been applied.11 SEAN is a

generic process tool, and therefore the

guidance materials are generic in character.So far, the methodology has been applied in

14 countries of Africa, Central Europe, East

Asia, and Latin America. The applicationshave ranged from integration of environmental

protection into development policies at the

district level in Zimbabwe, to development ofa strategy for Benin�s National Committee on

Sustainable Development. The guidance

materials and several summarized case studieswere reviewed for this report.

SEAN has four main objectives: (a) to analyze

the environmental context of human develop-ment, its potentials, and constraints; (b) to

integrate key environmental issues with other

issues of sustainable development; (c) toprovide inputs for sustainable development

policies and strategic plans at early stages of

decision-making; and (d) to raise awarenessand generate commitment through the active

involvement of a variety of participants. The

SEAN methodology strongly emphasizes thefourth objective. A significant secondary

output of SEAN is the initiation and support of

a participatory process aimed at increasingunderstanding and awareness of the relations

between socioeconomic development and

sustainable environmental management.

The SEAN process consists of 10 steps

grouped in four clusters (see Box 2.18).

Depending on the information provided bycluster I, the next step may include one of the

two clusters, II or III. Cluster II represents the

steps to be taken when negative situationarises from the cluster I analysis while cluster

III are the steps when a positive opportunity

arises. For each step, the guidance materials

suggest specific analytical tools and outputs.

In addition to the 10 methodological steps, the

guidance documents identify five process

phases:

1. Initiation and preparation: awareness

raising, exploration of the conditions for

SEAN, identification of the owner of the

process, agreement on terms of reference

and objectives, training, data collection

2. Introduction and scoping workshop: SEAN

methodology, networking, agreement on

key issues and gaps in knowledge, terms of

reference for subsequent phases

3. Fieldwork on identified key issues: meet-

ings, studies, and so on

4. Planning phase: feedback of results,

networking, workshop, vision and priori-

ties, strategic plans

5. Follow-up and monitoring: legal support,

design of monitoring system, definition of

responsibilities, institutionalization of SEAN

process.

The SEAN process can take from 4 to 18

months and can cost between US$20,000 and

US$100,000, depending on the availability of

data, training needs, and the level of owner-

ship, among other factors.

It is important to distinguish SEAN from

strategic environmental assessment (SEA), as

there are similarities in the approaches. The

guidance documents indicate that whereas the

SEA evaluates the environmental impacts of a

proposed policy, plan, or program, SEAN aims

to contribute to its formulation or reformula-

tion. Generally, the SEA has a well-defined

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end product, while SEAN is viewed as a moreopen-ended process that is part of the plan-ning cycle. The SEA requires detailed informa-tion; SEAN, given its process and participatory

approach, can work with qualitative informa-tion. Finally, SEAN can provide useful generalinsights for the scoping phase of a SEA thatcan later provide more detailed insights.

BOX 2.18Methodological steps in Strategic Environmental Analysis (SEAN)

Cluster I: Analysis of ecological and human context

1. Identification of main stakeholders and environmental functions, priority -setting

Tools : environmental profiles, resource use surveys, rapid rural assessments (RRAs).

Output: lists of environmental functions and stakeholders, insights into resource use systems of

stakeholders

2. Analysis of trends of environmental functions and cause-effect chains

Tools : RRA, historical mapping, geographic information system (GIS), environmental impact chain

Output: baseline environmental data, trends in relevant environmental functions, relevant indicators

3. Assessment of impacts of current environmental trends on society

Tools : trend-impact matrix, with final goals and criteria of sustainable development

Output: impacts of trends on final goals of present and absent stakeholders, priorities among trends

4. Definition of norms, standards and thresholds involved

Tools : inventories, interviews, carrying capacity, safety perceptions, development goals

Output: list of accepted and debatable norms and thresholds for relevant environmental functions

Cluster II: Problem analysis Cluster III: Opportunity analysis

5. Problem definition, based on insights

from steps 1-4

Tools : risk analysis, economic valuation tools,

precautionary principle

Output: ranking and description of environmental

problems, assessment of risks and costs

7. Inventory of opportunities, long list and

short list

Tools : land evaluation, market analysis, inventory

of indigenous knowledge systems,

historical trends

Output: environmental, institutional, and

economic opportunities, win-win

opportunities

6. Problem analysis, finding root causes and

actors involved

Tools : poverty analysis, gender analysis,

institutional analysis, sectoral analysis,

problem-in-context analysis

Output: actors’ options and motivations, root

causes

8. Opportunity analysis, defining potentials

for realisation

Tools : impact assessment of main opportunities

Output: negative and positive impacts, favourable

and unfavourable factors

Cluster IV: Strategic planning and follow -up activities

9. Synthesis, defining inputs for a policy and strategic plan for sustainable development

Tools : priority setting, sectoral analyses, policy and institutional checklists, institutional/internal

capacity analysis (SWOT—strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats)

Output: strategic inputs to environmental policy

10. Set-up of environmental monitoring system and other follow-up activities

Tools : project and program cycle procedures, evaluation, monitoring

Output: implementation of strategy, environmental monitoring, information sharing, communication

strategySource: SNV 1999.

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2.9 OTHER COUNTRY-LEVEL

PROFILES AND REPORTS BY

INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL

INSTITUTIONS AND DONOR AGENCIES

Many other international financial institutions(IFIs) and donor agencies prepare country-level profiles and reports of varying complex-ity. The World Resources Institute maintains adatabase of abstracts of country-level environ-mental strategies, action plans, and assess-ments dating from the 1980s to the mid-1990s{{W2-4}}.12 The most important featuresof some of these reports are highlighted in thissection.

UNDP�s Environmental Overviews are briefdocuments (fewer than seven pages) used asinputs and attachments to the advisory note.The advisory note presents views on whatshould be included in country programs. Theguidance document (UNDP Environment andNatural Resources Group 1992) calls for theoverviews to include a short synopsis ofenvironmental issues, a review of economicdevelopment and the environment, a descrip-tion of the country�s capacity to manage theenvironment, and the likely impacts associ-ated with the UNDP country program.

The Inter-American Development Bank (IADB)prepares country environmental strategies toanalyze key environmental issues as an inputto potential operations to be included in thecountry program. The guidance documentcalls for review of the situation of socialgroups or communities that are particularlyvulnerable to alterations in their environment.The IADB Environment Strategy calls forassistance to countries in drawing up theirown environmental and natural resourcemanagement strategies and in fostering the

participation of various sectors of governmentand civil society.

Between 1994 and 1997, the African Devel-opment Bank (AfDB) prepared 12 countryenvironmental profiles (CEPs) of Africancountries as part of its Working Paper Serieson Environment and Development. Theobjective was to promote systematic exchangeof information that is critical to policy dia-logue and to support the identification ofopportunities to fund projects with environ-mental components. The examples reviewedwere mainly devoted to a description ofenvironmental issues and institutions; the finalchapter of each profile discusses priorities foraction as defined by the national government.

As a follow-up to the Earth Summit resolutionsand the establishment in 1993 of the DanishEnvironment and Disaster Relief Fund, astrategy for Danish environmental assistancewas prepared in 1996. The strategy argued fora regional perspective in order to focus onholistic and cohesive initiatives in high-priority regions. Accordingly, two regionalstrategies for Danish environmental assistancewere prepared: for southern Africa (1996) andfor Southeast Asia (1997). In the strategy forSoutheast Asia, the analysis of environmentalproblems is structured according to problemcomplexes. A problem complex is defined as�a broader development issue which manifestsitself significantly as one or more environmen-tal problems.� For example, the unsustainableuse of coastal and marine resources (anexample of a broader development issue) isanalyzed using a framework of environmentalproblems such as pollution from cities,industry, and tourism; threats to the marineenvironment from oil- and gas-related activi-ties; destruction of mangrove forests; andoverexploitation of marine fish resources,including by-catch of other vertebrates.

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Another approach to the analysis and presen-tation of information is the SustainableLivelihoods approach used by the U.K.Department for International Development(DfID), as outlined in Box 2.19.

In 1999 the Japanese International Coopera-tion Agency (JICA) prepared 20 countryprofiles on environment (CPE). Theoverarching objective of the profiles was to

provide a guidebook and repository of generalinformation concerning the planning ofinternational cooperation on environmentalissues. It is expected that the reports will beused to examine the potential environmentalimpact of development projects, provide inputfor JICA�s country development strategy, anddetermine which institute or agency is respon-sible for a certain issue and who should becontacted. Since the CPEs are factual docu-

BOX 2.19The sustainable livelihoods approach

The Sustainable Livelihoods approach is used by the U.K. Department for International Development(DfID) to increase the effectiveness of development assistance at the project and policy levels by puttingpeople at the center of development. Although the approach treats environment as only one amongseveral elements of analysis, it has an interesting focus on livelihoods. Key features of the approach arethat: ! It is people-centered. The process begins by analyzing the vulnerability, assets, and livelihood

strategies of poor people and identifying factors that can be changed to improve their livelihoods.! It is holistic. The approach takes a nonsectoral view of the constraints on improving the livelihoods

of the poor, building on the perceptions of the people themselves.!· It is integrating. It links the micro and macro levels by understanding the relationships between

individual and local livelihood conditions and macro-level policies and institutions.

In the Sustainable Livelihoods framework, the livelihood strategies of poor people and the subsequentlivelihood outcomes depend on several factors. The vulnerability context is the external environment inwhich people exist�trends, shocks, and seasonality related to economic, environmental, health, andother issues. As a result of changes in the vulnerability context, people�s livelihood assets�their human,social, physical, financial, and natural capital�are created or destroyed. A third component is thetransformation of structures and processes that constrain or facilitate people�s livelihood choices. Struc-tures refers to public and private organizations, and processes refers to the way in which structuresoperate and interact (for example, through policies, legislation, institutions, culture, and power). Thereare many links and feedback loops between these components of the analytical framework.

The following is a generic outline of questions to be asked in the application of the Sustainable Liveli-hoods approach:1. Who and where are the poor?2. What are their livelihood priorities (assets and strategies)?3. What policies and institutions are relevant to these priorities?4. In what way are existing institutions and policies enabling or disabling to poor people?5. What policies and environment would be most conducive to assisting people to achieve sustainable

livelihoods?6. What key constraints need to be removed or mitigated?7. What procedures and mechanisms are appropriate for securing the best chance for reform?

Source: DfID 2001.

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ments, they do not analyze underlying causesand potential cross-linkages in depth.

The Swiss Agency for Development andCooperation (SDC) treats integration of theenvironment as a cross-sectoral theme ininternational development activities. Tofacilitate this integration at all levels ofdecisionmaking, the SDC has prepared a

BOX 2.20Guiding questions on environmental issues for SDC country programs

1. Which environmental problems impede sustainable development in the country concerned, fromboth a national and global perspective (e.g., degradation of natural resources such as soil, vegeta-tion and water; pollution; loss of biodiversity; climate change)?

2. How do environmental problems affect the population (mortality, life expectancy, environmentallyinduced diseases, poverty, quality of life)?

3. What is the status of environmental policy (e.g., legislation, enforcement, institutional capacities,training, significance of the topic for development partners)?

4. What socio-economic processes constitute the driving forces behind the environmental problemsthat have been observed (e.g., urbanization, marginalization of resource users, migration)?

5. What eco-regional (sub-national) aspects are important and need to be included when settingpriorities for planning (e.g., special conditions in arid and mountain regions that have an influenceon aims at the regional level)?

6. What experience with environmental questions can be garnered from the partners� own projectsand programs?

7. Is the country program adapted, on the whole, to the environmental conditions in the countryconcerned? Does the significance accorded to environmental issues in the country programcorrelate with the results obtained frorm previous analyses (strategic aim, cross-sectoral theme,focus on a special sector or special strategy)? What new aims need to be added?

8. Is there a plan for dealing with the environmental issues identified in the country program?

guideline document, Integrating Environmen-tal Issues in Planning, Evaluation and Moni-toring (SDC 2000), that is organized around aset of eight key questions (see Box 2.20).These questions can be used when planning aprocess for formulating programs, preparingterms of reference for preliminary studies,identifying people and institutions for partici-pation, and planning workshops.

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Chapter 3

Strategic environmental assessment (SEA)is commonly defined as a systematicprocess for evaluating the environmental

consequences of proposed policies, plans, orprogram initiatives to ensure that these conse-quences are fully included and properlyaddressed at the earliest appropriate stage ofdecisionmaking, on par with economic andsocial considerations (Sadler and Verheem1996). Applications include sustainabilityassessments, strategic environmental planningframeworks, sector assessments, regionalassessments, and policy assessments. SEAs areexpected to be useful in the development ofsector programs, privatization schemes,structural adjustment programs, and nationalbudgets. The information, analysis, and insightsof SEAs in a given country are of great impor-tance for country-level environmental analysis.

Over the past decade, SEAs have gainedconsiderable ground in the policy arena, aswell as in the international donor community(Lenschow 2002). The current trend in devel-opment cooperation of concentrating onstrategic-level activities such as sector pro-grams and budget support, as opposed to aproject-driven approach, has led to a widerecognition of the need for SEAs in the devel-

opment cooperation context. When OECD/DAC examined the status of SEAs in develop-ment agencies in 1997, it found that most ofthe agencies surveyed had undertaken someform of SEA, but in most cases this had beendone in an ad hoc manner. Few agencies basedtheir SEAs on procedural guidelines. Sincethen, progress in this area has been rapid, andsome donors and national agencies havedeveloped their own guidelines and proce-dures for SEAs. A selection of SEA guidancemethodologies prepared by various develop-ment agencies was reviewed for this paper (seeBox 3.1).13

In practice, there are two approaches to thepreparation process of a SEA: the impact-centered approach, and the decision-centeredapproach. The impact-centered approach hasits roots in environmental impact assessment(EIA) methodology. The objectives in this caseare to predict the environmental impacts of aprogram or policy that has already beendefined, to inform decisionmakers about theseimpacts, and to suggest appropriate mitigationmeasures. In the more recent guidance docu-ments this approach has been challengedbecause of its limited success in influencingdecisions at an upstream level (Rees 1999).

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In response to the limitations of the impact-centered approach, a more upstream, deci-sion-centered approach has evolved. Itexpands the scope of the SEA beyond impactprediction to include integration of environ-ment into the early stages of thedecisionmaking process, such as the formula-tion of problems, objectives, and alternatives.The decision-centered approach often empha-sizes the institutional context. Its methodologi-cal basis is derived from policy analysis ratherthan from EIA traditions (Nilsson andDalkmann 2001). Closely related to, orsubsets of, the decision-centered approach areobjective-led and sustainability-led SEAapproaches that emphasize environmentalobjectives as central to the entiredecisionmaking process (Germany 2001).

Although recent SEA guidelines promote adecision-centered approach, evaluations showthat current SEA practice continues to bedominated by the impact-centered approach.Neither practitioners nor decisionmakers are

used to the upstream shift in focus (ICON2001). The institutional barriers against thischange in perspective are difficult to over-come.

Very rarely is the SEA a legal or a strictprocedural requirement, although there havebeen some recent developments in thisdirection. For example, the EC directive onenvironmental assessment of certain plans andprograms will be implemented in all EuropeanUnion countries.

The SEA process, as outlined in all the re-viewed applications, resembles a conventionalEIA process using both the impact-centeredand the decision-centered approaches (seeBox 3.2). In principle, and in particular for thedecision-centered approach, the ideal situationwould be for the SEA process to run in parallelwith the decisionmaking process and beintegrated with it at strategic points in time(see Figure 3.1).

BOX 3.1SEA approaches and methodologies reviewed

! Environmental assessment for sustainable development (Danida)! Guidelines for dialogue on SEA in sector programs (Sida){{W3-1}}! Environmental assessment guidance (DfID){{W3-2}}! Environmental assessment (CIDA){{W3-3}}! Strategic environmental assessment (South Africa){{W3-4}}! Environmental Assessment Sourcebook (World Bank){{W3-5}}! Strategic environmental framework (ADB){{W3-6}}! Sustainability impact assessment (EC DG Trade){{W3-7}}! SEA directive (European Parliament){{W3-8}}! Environmental Integration Manual (EC DG Development){{W3-9}}! Systems approach to SEA (SEI/fms)! Decision-centered framework for SEA (ANSEA){{W3-10}} (ANSEA Project 2002)! Environmental impact assessment for macroeconomic reform (WWF){{W3-11}}! Strategic environmental planning: proposal (USAID) (Freeman and Vondal 2000){{W3-12}}! International Association for Impact Assessment (IAIA){{W3-13}} (IAIA 2002).

Note: Names of organizations are listed in the Abbreviations and Acronyms section.

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Many of the guidance documents reviewed,especially those based on the decision-centered approach, acknowledge that analysisof the institutional context is a key element inthe ability of the assessment to influence thedecisionmaking process. In the context of

environmental issues, SEAs often addressthese institutional issues, including the policyand legal context, political will, and institu-tional capacity. The assessments are meant tolead to recommendations about measures forbuilding institutional capacity for environmen-

Figure 3.1SEA and the decisionmaking process

BOX 3.2Typical SEA process

! Screening: determination of the need for the SEA (its environmental relevance) and its feasibility inthe light of availability of experts, resources, and data

! Objectives: establishment of environmental and sustainability goals, based on national or interna-tional policy objectives, that should guide the decision

! Scoping: determination of what should be part of the SEA; includes establishment of area andsystems boundaries, analysis units, key sustainability parameters, and criteria for the assessment

! Alternatives: definition and elaboration of the alternatives that should be examined! Impact prediction: assessment of relevant baseline conditions and trends, some type of systems

description of each alternative, and prediction of impacts in the resulting systems based on toolssuch as checklists, risk assessments, and other means; identification of environmental enhancementand mitigation measures

! Valuation and synthesis: identification of evaluation standards and criteria; often some kind ofaggregation procedure; comparison of alternatives

! Monitoring and mitigation: implementation of a plan of environmental enhancement and mitigationmeasures, including institutional measures and follow-up of performance indicators.

SEAProcess

SEAProcess

DecisionmakingProcess

Framing ofdecision

ScopingMonitoring

Documentation

Mitigation

Valuation

Environmentalanalysis

Scenario andsystems analysis

Alternatives

Problemformulation

Settingobjectives

Informationcollection

Informationprocessing

Selection of alternative

Decision

Implementation

Evaluation

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tal management, to be included in the pro-gram or strategy.

SEAs employ a wide range of methods andtools. Some of these methods, which can be ofgreat interest for country-level environmentalanalysis, include scenario and systems analy-sis, environmental impact prediction, andvaluation and weighted data. A brief summaryof their main features is presented below.

Scenario and systems analysis. Most of theguidelines reviewed say very little about howto analyze the system under review, oftenjumping straight to impact prediction. How-ever, before the possible impacts or risks canbe described, there needs to be an under-standing of how the system affects the pro-gram or strategy. In recent years this method-ological gap has been addressed in some ofthe guidance documents, including those ofthe Stockholm Economic Institute/Environ-mental Strategies Research Group (SEI/fms),USAID, and the EC�s Directorate-General forTrade (EC DG Trade). The main approachespresented in these guidance documents aredescribed below:

! Policy scenarios, The scenario approachhas been applied in other SEA contexts(see, for example, Therivel and Partidario1996), but it is relatively unexploredterritory in SEAs for development assistanceactivities. EC DG Trade uses scenariosbased on quantitative macroeconomic andtrade models for its sustainability assess-ments. These are expert-generated and arebased on mainstream economic assump-tions and conditions. The SEI/fms approachsuggests a more open and deliberativeprocess whereby one or several futurescenarios, which are not restricted to

economic sectors, are determined throughscenario workshops with experts andstakeholders that may involve small projectteams or larger groups. These two ap-proaches are not necessarily mutuallyexclusive. For instance, macroeconomicmodels and commodity forecasts can beused as inputs into the SEI/fms deliberativeapproach.

! Quantitative systems models and causalchains. These frameworks are set up totrace the suggested intervention or reformthrough the social, economic, and politicalsystems and to track the resulting changesin the production and consumption sys-tems. Quantitative systems modelingincludes macroeconomic models like thosebeing used by EC DG Trade, which basesits impact predictions on changes ineconomic conditions and productionsystems. Causal chain frameworks, used,for example, by the WWF and by EC DGTrade, emphasize the causal relationshipsbetween variables rather than the statisticalrelationship (see Box 3.3). This shift infocus is useful when data are limited, as itallows the assessor to incorporate qualita-tive information into the analysis, includingvariables that are important but hard tomeasure or to express quantitatively.

Prediction of environmental impacts. SEAs areintended to predict how alternative strategiesmay affect the environment. The extent towhich the prediction of environmentalimpacts is the focal point of a SEA depends onwhether an upstream or a downstreamapproach is taken. For the downstreamapproach, the prediction of environmentalimpacts has its roots in the traditional EIA, butat the methodological level it can be quitedifferent. Certain types of environmental

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impacts become more relevant at the strategiclevel than at the project level (for example,indirect and systems effects, or cumulative orcombined effects in an entire sector and

across national borders), and in these cases theprediction is generally more difficult. Theguidance documents reviewed mentionchecklists, expert opinion, and risk assessment

BOX 3.3A causal chain framework

A program or strategy affects sustainability through a variety of complex interactions and linkages.Often it is not possible to identify quantitative or generalized relationships because of data gaps orinadequate analytical methods. A causal chain framework organizes the information and enhancesunderstanding of the generic cause-effect relationships as the analysis proceeds from the proposedstrategy to its sustainability impacts. The framework deploys a transparent narrative of a key set ofissues and linkages and how they fit together in each case. The analysis is normally based on expertinterpretation of existing country and sector studies from various sources, supported by empirical dataand modeling results to the extent that they are available.

The framework shown in the figure is generally applicable to the analysis of trade reform in the agricul-tural sector of a country. The baseline conditions and scenarios are accounted for throughout allmodules of the conceptual framework: current economic structures, production systems, tradeconditions, policy environment, and sustainability performance. The framework defines the analyticalfocus and information needs of the assessment and hence informs the choice of methods, measures,and indicators.

Note: WTO, World Trade Organization.

Source: Maltais and others 2002.

Changes in:

Tariffs

Export subsidies

Domestic support

Market access

TRADE REFORM

Outcome and scenario

Changes in:

Tariff structures

Relative prices

Terms of trade

Business opportunity

ECONOMIC STRUCTURE

Changes in:

Production volumes

Production technology

Crop mix

Transportation

Resource allocation

PRODUCTION SYSTEM

Changes in:

Water quality/quantity

Land conversion

Soil degradation

National income

Employment

Rural poverty/livelihoods

Equality

SUSTAINABILITY IMPACTS

Domestic agricultural policy

International support activities

Land management

Conservation measures

Technology transfer

Rural education

Taxes and incentives

POLICY OPTIONS

Exogenous domestic and

flanking measures in WTO

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as possible techniques for environmentalimpact prediction in SEAs, but there is gener-ally little methodological support.

Some of the upstream, decision-centeredapproaches recognize that the traditionalemphasis on activities and outputs is notpossible or meaningful in SEAs and that theprediction of environmental impacts becomesless relevant at strategic decision levels than atthe project level. The emphasis in upstreamassessments is usually not on impacts but onobjectives and alternatives and on a generalassessment of whether the program or strategycan be supported from an environmentalperspective, taking into account institutionalconditions and other factors. Information onimpacts is, however, still important for assess-ing the acceptability of a program or strategyfrom an environmental point of view.

Valuation and weighted data. Several ap-proaches (for example, those of SEI/fms,USAID, and the World Bank) use valuationand weighting of data as a decision supportsystem. When decisions are being made, theachievement of multiple objectives and thetradeoffs between different objectives need tobe analyzed, processed, and interpreted. Anexplicit valuation can help structure thedecision process, identify tradeoffs amongcriteria, help in applying value judgmentsconcerning tradeoffs, assist in making morerational and consistent evaluations of risk anduncertainty, facilitate negotiation, and docu-ment how decisions are being made (Hobbsand Meier 2000).

A clear and explicit treatment of values in thedecisionmaking process strengthens itstransparency and robustness. The usefulness ofvaluation is, however, highly culture- and

context-specific, and it should be applied withcare in many cases. Furthermore, doing it rightis resource-demanding, and the value addedof a formal valuation approach in a complex,multiobjective decisionmaking process shouldbe carefully considered.

Few of the guideline documents reviewedprovide explicit guidance on valuation andweighting, and use of these methods in theSEA is discussed only summarily. Neverthe-less, they are often applied implicitly. Twotypes of method generally described in theguidance documents are multicriteria analysis(MCA)�also known as multiple attributeanalysis (MAA), or multiobjective analysis�and economic valuation.

! Multicriteria analysis (MCA) aims toimprove decisionmaking by making thechoices about conflicting or multipleobjectives explicit, rational, and efficient.The analysis involves assigning a positionor a value to a certain parameter relative toanother through the use of different criteria.Decision research has led to the accumula-tion of a wide array of methods and con-cepts for dealing with MCA. Some areintended for a single analyst ordecisionmaker; others entail groupdecisionmaking (Patton and Sawicki 1993).Matrix display systems, which are impor-tant for MCA problem statement andrepresentation, are rather common.

! Economic valuation can be classified as atype of multicriteria analysis, but it has itsown theoretical basis in welfare economics,and, given its prominence indecisionmaking, it is usually discussedseparately. This approach is described inWorld Bank and Sida guidance documents.Economic valuation is commonly used to

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Segnestam, Persson, Nilsson, Arvidsson, and Ijjasz

allow the integration of cost-benefit analysisinto various economic information systemssuch as the national accounts. It is, how-ever, important to consider whether the

assumptions regarding markets and infor-mation that underlie the valuation reallyhold in developing country contexts.

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Concluding Remarks

Chapter 4

Perhaps the most striking aspect of this reviewis the multiplicity and rich variety of tools,practices, and methods now in use for countrylevel environmental analytic work and thewealth of experience that has been amassed.The descriptions of the salient features of thetools show how the many instruments havegrown out of the unique needs of particularinstitutions and countries. The review alsoimplicitly suggests the synergies and efficien-cies that can be gained through continued andintensified coordination of donor work onenvironmental analysis. In a world of finiteresources, competing claims, and increasingcomplex linkages, donor coordination isessential.

Many of these existing tools provide lessons,guidance, and insights for the development ofthe country environmental analysis (CEA)proposed in the World Bank�s EnvironmentStrategy. The intent of the CEA is not to add yet

another tool to those already available, nor todisplace any tools. Rather, the CEA is envi-sioned as a synthesis of the contributions of thevarious approaches that focuses on the countryas a whole and provides information andanalysis at the earliest stages ofdecisionmaking.

The CEA offers a framework for systematicallylinking country-level environmental analyticalwork with strategic planning processes. It hasthe potential for bridging environmental,economic, and sectoral work and so facilitatingboth dialogue within a country and coordina-tion among development partners. It is hopedthat the CEA will be a valuable focal point forharmonization of efforts and exchange ofinformation on environment and developmentand that it will provide the systematic analyti-cal underpinning that is an important part ofthe basis for sustainable development assis-tance.

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Notes

1. UNEP/GRID Arendal is the UNEP/Global

Resource Information Database, with

centers in Geneva and in Arendal,

Norway. Websites for the sources listed

here are as follows: UNEP/GRID-Arendal,

<www.grida.no/soe>; RRC.AP,

<www.roap.unep.org>; EEA,

<www.eea.eu.int>; WRI, <www.wri/

org/wdces>.

2. A typical example would be: driving

force�industrial production; pressure�

wastewater loading; state�water quality

in water bodies; impact�percentage of

water unsuitable for drinking; response�

protected watersheds (UNEP/GRID-

Arendal 1998).

3. The CSD Country Profiles are available at

< http://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/

natlinfo/cp2002.htm>.

4. Websites for the resources listed in this

paragraph are as follows: for OECD/DAC

(2001), <www.nssd.net/pdf/gsuse.pdf>;

for the WSSD document,

<www.johannesburgsummit.org/html/

documents/backgrounddocs/

nsdsreport.pdf>; for the Resource Book

(OECD and UNDP 2002),

<www.nssd.net/res_book.html>.

5. For IUCN documents, see<www.iucn.org>.

6. The ADB Website is <www.adb.org>.7. The Environmental Integration Manual is

available at <europa.eu.int/comm/development/sector/environment/env_integ/env_integration_manual/index1.html>. The EC DG Developmentdatabase is available at <europa.eu.int/comm/development/sector/environment/geographical_info/index.htm>.

8. The USAID Website is<www.usaid.gov>.

9. The Sida Website is <www.sida.se>.10. AIDEnvironment, based in Amsterdam, is

an independent, nonprofit research andmanagement consultancy for nature andnatural resources.

11. The SEAN Website is at <www.seanplatform.org>.

12. Available at <www.wri.org/wdces>.13. Many of the listed resources are available

on the sponsors� Websites, as follows:Sida, <www.sei.se/policy/SEA-Sida.html>; DfID, <www.dfid.gov.uk>; CIDA, <www.acdi-cida.gc.ca/ea>; South Africa, <www.environment.gov.za>; World Bank, <www.worldbank.org/environment>; ADB,

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<www.adb.org/Documents/Books/Environment_Impact>; EC DG Trade,<europa.eu.int/comm/trade/issues/global/sia/docs/siawto.pdf>; EuropeanParliament, <europa.eu.int/comm/environment/eia/sea-legalcontext.htm>;EC DG Development, <europa.eu.int/

comm/development/development_old/sector/environment/env_integ/env_integration_manual>; ANSEA,<www.taugroup.com/ansea>; WWF,<www.panda.org/downloads/policy/eia.pdf>; USAID, <www.usaid.gov>;IAIA, <www.iaia.org>.

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INTERNET WEB PAGE LINKS

Chapter 2

W2-1 http://www.grida.no/soeW2-2 http://www.roap.unep.org/W2-3 http://www.eea.eu.int/W2-4 http://www.wri.org/wdces/W2-5 http://www.nssd.net/pdf/gsuse.pdfW2-6 http://www.johannesburgsummit.org/html/documents/backgrounddocs/nsdsreport.pdfW2-7 http://www.nssd.net/res_book.htmlW2-8 http://www.iucn.org/W2-9 http://www.adb.org/W2-10 http://europa.eu.int/comm/development/sector/environment/env_integ/

env_integration_manual/index1.htmlW2-11 http://europa.eu.int/comm/development/sector/environment/geographical_info/index.htmW2-12 http://www.usaid.gov/W2-13 http://www.sida.se/W2-14 http://www.seanplatform.org/WP5 http://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/natlinfo/cp2002.htm

Chapter 3

W3-1 http://www.sei.se/policy/SEA-Sida.htmlW3-2 http://www.dfid.gov.uk/W3-3 http://www.acdi-cida.gc.ca/eaW3-4 http://www.environment.gov.za/W3-5 http://www.worldbank.org/environmentW3-6 http://www.adb.org/Documents/Books/Environment_Impact/W3-7 http://europa.eu.int/comm/trade/issues/global/sia/docs/siawto.pdfW3-8 http://europa.eu.int/comm/environment/eia/sea-legalcontext.htmW3-9 http://europa.eu.int/comm/development/development_old/sector/environment/env_integ/

env_integration_manual/W3-10 http://www.taugroup.com/ansea/W3-11 http://www.panda.org/downloads/policy/eia.pdfW3-12 http://www.usaid.gov/W3-13 http://www.iaia.org/