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www.sustainableroadfreight.org
Energy supply projections in the UK: the potential impact on
vehicle design and logistics operations
Dr Phil Greening
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A Unique Collaboration…
OperationsTechnology
Policy
SMMT*
LowCarbonVehiclePartnership*
CambridgeUniversityEngineeringDepartmentInternationallyleadingcapabilityinheavyvehicleengineering
Heriot-WattUniversity
Aworldleaderinlogistics
DepartmentforTransport
*TransportforGreaterManchester
TransportforLondon*
*AdvisoryCommitteeMember
RHA*,CILT*
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What we found
34-40%reductionby
2035
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Least cost path to -80% CO2 for the UK
SourceETI
Cost optimal decarbonisation pathway -power now, heat next,
transport gradual
TransportisthelargestemitterofC02by2050
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0%
8%
16%
24%
32%
40%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
PercentageofHGVEmptyrunning
Artic Largerigid Smallrigid
Empty running
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0%
18%
35%
53%
70%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
LoadCapacityUtilisation
Smallrigid Artic Largerigid
Capacity Utilisation
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Infrastructure
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Energy supply for EVs
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Energy storage
18GWofextrademand42%morepeakdemandby2050
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Oil Supply
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Redu
ceBarrie
rsIncrease
Impact
Implem
ent
Logistics Systems Living Lab
Data Collection & Analysis
VehicleTechnology
PortfolioManagement/MaximizingImpact
Impact:CorporateStrategy/MarketSolutions/Policy-Regs
/FutureResearch
DecarboffreightopsVehicledatacoll&analysis
Vehicleparam&simulateCorporateStrategy;GovernmentPolicy&Regulation
Congestionmodellingandmitigation
RollingResistance
Logisticsandsystemmodelling
Integratednationalfreightandenergymodel
Roadsidedatacollection
LogisticsdatacollectionAssetutilizn +Logis infrastr
AlternativeEnergyVectors
AerodynamicsLight-weighting
HumanFactors,DriverFeedback
MaximizingCNGBenefitsFutureMapping
Constructionlogistics
ModeChoice&ReboundSTARFISHIII
Higher-capacityvehicles
Double-DeckTrailersUrbanlogistics
Research programme (2018-33)
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Challenging times
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Thank You
