EMP A REAL THREAT TO THE ELECTRIC GRID DWIGHT L. ECKERT

Oct 10, 2017 Golden, Colorado

DWIGHT L. ECKERT (Co Director for EMP Task Force) Has over 35 years of experience in Electrical Engineering in the Aerospace Industry. He started his career working on Weapons of Mass Destruction and worked his way into the Space Industry. Much of his career has been in support of the exploration of Deep Space including sample return from the tail of a comet (Wild 2) and Mars Exploration missions. He now works the U.S. manned space program on the Orion spacecraft which fulfills a dream since he watched the early Space Program in the 1960. He knows the science and physics concerning EMP and Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) and their effects on the earth.

Is a Virginia based IRS certified 501(c)(3) organization endorsed by the EMP Congressional Caucus to either advise or seek expert opinion on any and all technical, operational, and policy matters of relevance concerning EMPs impact on critical infrastructures including electric power, communications, transportation, energy, banking and finance, food and water.

Our National Director is former 2001 US EMP Commission Staffer and National Security Expert, Dr Peter V. Pry

EMP Task Force on National and Homeland Security

So What is EMP? Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP)

A Transient Electromagnet Disturbance A Short Burst of Electromagnet Energy

Significant electromagnetic pulse (EMP) threats occur when: 1. A nuclear weapon is detonated 2. An extreme solar storm occurs 3. A non-nuclear EMP (Radio Frequency)

weapon is used

A Brief Overview Solar Effects Nuclear HEMP & The Early-Time (E1&E2) Effects

Nuclear HEMP & The Late-Time (E3) Effects

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Grid 101 The Scope of the Problem

Now Remember

Cleveland, Ohio, 2003

Scope

Interdependencies of Our Critical Infrastructures

A complex web of interconnected parts all dependent on each other for their viability

Interdependencies of Our Critical Infrastructures

Solar Weather Events Carrington Event Sept 1, 1859 at 11:18am Visual Observation

Dawn the Next Day Auroras in Hawaii, Cuba, Jamaica, El Salvador and the Bahamas

Telegraph Incidents Around the World

This was the Advanced Technology of the Time

Messages Transmitted with Batteries Disconnected

Papers in Telegraph Offices Caught Fire

Significant Events Also Occurred on Nov 18,1882: All telegraph transactions east of the Mississippi & North of Washington came to a halt

May 1921 New York Railroad Storm

Aug 4, 1972: Knocked out Telephone Communications in Illinois

Bastille Day Event, July 14, 2000:

March 13,1989: Hydro Quebec (6 million people for 9 hours in blackout)

Melted power transformers in NJ

Halloween 2003: Power outage in Sweden, Aurorae seen in the Med and Texas, Satellites Damaged

Dec 5,2006: Damages GOES 13. Disrupted Satellite com for 10 minutes including GPS

July 23, 2012 CME Near Miss of Earth (May Have Exceeded the Carrington Event) 9

NUCLEAR HEMP AREA COVERAGE

EMP field coverage increases with increasing height-of-burst. A balloon or jet aircraft could loft a nuclear warhead to an altitude of 30 kilometers which, targeted over New York City, would also cover Washington, D.C., New York State, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, and most of New England.

July 9th, 1962 STARFISH PRIME

MEXICOS MICHOACAN STATE BLACKOUT BY

KNIGHTS TEMPLARS TERRORIST DRUG CARTEL OCTOBER 27,2013

TURKEY BLACKOUT REPORTEDLY BY IRAN CYBER ATTACK

MARCH 31, 2015

TERRORISTS BLACKOUT PAKISTAN JANUARY 25, 2015

TERRORISTS BLACKOUT YEMEN JUNE 9, 2014

T H E T H R E A T F R O M N O R T H K O R E A

Orbital passes in April 2013 of the North Korean KMS 3-2 satellite over the most populous parts of the U.S. east of the Mississippi

North Koreas KMS 3-2 satellite is compatible with the size and weight of a small nuclear weapon particularly one optimized for EMP effects and is orbiting at an altitude suited for such use. It also approaches the U.S. from the south, a direction which lacks early warning or missile defenses.

The Impacts on Mankind A Carrington Level Solar Event or High Altitude Atomic Detonation

Could Be A Threat to Civilization Itself Infrastructure Failure

No Power (SCADA & HV Transformers)

No Transportation (Including the Supply Chain)

No Communications (No Cell/Radio/TV Broadcasts/etc.)

Lack of Public Information Lack of Public Safety/Defense Breakdown of Our Civil Structure

The Grid Can Be Hardened, It Will Take Time and Money Our Military Has Hardened Facilities and Power For Decades We Know How to Do It It Does Not All Have to Happen at the Same Time

These Impacts Will Likely be Long Term Effects (Months to Decades) 13

The Situation is Dire But Not Hopeless - If We Act!

Dr. John S. Foster, Jr. et al., 1 Report of the Commission to Assess the Threat to the United States from Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Attack (United States Cong. 2004) [hereafter EMP Commission 2004], http://www.empcommission.org/docs/empc_exec_rpt.pdf. Dr. John S. Foster, Jr. et al., 1 Report of the Commission to Assess the Threat to the United States from Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Attack (United States Cong. 2008) [hereafter EMP Commission 2008], http://www.empcommission.org/docs/A2473-EMP_Commission-7MB.pdf (last visited Aug. 8, 2015). Ostrich, John, DOE/OE GMD Space Weather Program (United States Department of Energy, 2015), p. 2, https://secureweb.inl.gov/gmdworkshop/pres/J_Ostrich_DOE-OEGMDSpaceWeatherProgram.pdf. Barnes, P.R. et al., Electric Utility Industry Experience with Geomagnetic Disturbances (Oak Ridge National Laboratory), http://web.ornl.gov/~webworks/cpr/v823/rpt/51089.pdf. David M. Ericson, Jr. et al., 2 Interaction of Electromagnetic Pulse with Commercial Nuclear Power Plant Systems (Sandia Nat'l Laboratories 1983) [hereafter 1982 Christmas Report], http://prod.sandia.gov/techlib/accesscontrol.cgi/1982/822738-2.pdf. Gaffney, Frank, The Vulnerability of the US Power Gird, (An Introductory Presentation) Washington D.C., http://securethegrid.com

Sources For This Presentation*

*If not referenced on the slide.

http://www.empcommission.org/docs/empc_exec_rpt.pdfhttp://www.empcommission.org/docs/A2473-EMP_Commission-7MB.pdfhttp://www.empcommission.org/docs/A2473-EMP_Commission-7MB.pdfhttp://www.empcommission.org/docs/A2473-EMP_Commission-7MB.pdfhttp://www.empcommission.org/docs/A2473-EMP_Commission-7MB.pdfhttp://www.empcommission.org/docs/A2473-EMP_Commission-7MB.pdfhttps://secureweb.inl.gov/gmdworkshop/pres/J_Ostrich_DOE-OEGMDSpaceWeatherProgram.pdfhttps://secureweb.inl.gov/gmdworkshop/pres/J_Ostrich_DOE-OEGMDSpaceWeatherProgram.pdfhttps://secureweb.inl.gov/gmdworkshop/pres/J_Ostrich_DOE-OEGMDSpaceWeatherProgram.pdfhttp://web.ornl.gov/%7Ewebworks/cpr/v823/rpt/51089.pdfhttp://prod.sandia.gov/techlib/accesscontrol.cgi/1982/822738-2.pdfhttp://prod.sandia.gov/techlib/accesscontrol.cgi/1982/822738-2.pdfhttp://prod.sandia.gov/techlib/accesscontrol.cgi/1982/822738-2.pdfhttp://securethegrid.com/

http://jumpingjackflashhypothesis.blogspot.com/

Grid Vulnerability

What Next Before The Lights Go Out? Be Prepared:

Communities, Individuals, Families and Households Should Prepare for A Long Duration light out scenario

1. Practice it 2. Evaluate Weaknesses 3. Incorporate Corrective Actions

Volunteer: Get Involved With Us, Go to Our Website Raise Awareness of the Issues Talk to, Write or E-Mail:

1. Local, State, Tribal and Federal Government Officials 2. Community Leaders 3. 1st Responders

Urge Your Public Officials to Fix the Grid and Thus Eliminate the Threat.

T H E T H R E A T F R O M N O R T H K O R E A

North Korea has: Tested nuclear weapons, including reportedly a super

EMP design obtained from Russia Repeatedly threatened the U.S. with nuclear attack Orbited a satellite that could be used in an EMP strike Collaborated closely with Iran on nuclear arms and

missiles

An April 2013 photo of North Korean despot Kim Jong Un at an urgent meeting with his top generals. The map is labeled The Strategic Forces Plan to Strike the U.S. Mainland.

I S A N E M P - F R O M - T H E - S E A T H R E A T R E A L I S T I C ?

Two full-up, nuclear-capable SA-2 missiles on their launchers were discovered in Panama on a North Korean-flagged vessel under sugar bags in July 2013

The Chong Chon Gang , a tramp steamer owned by Irans ally, North Korea, and its secret cargo, hidden under 10,000 tons of sugar

The E1 Pulse

Gama Rays Will React With the Earliest Electrons They Find. In the Vacuum of Space Few Are Found

At Low Altitudes Electrons Are Found Early At High Altitude The Source Region Provides Electrons for Compton Scattering

The Electromagnetic Fields are Created by the Motion of the Electrons Short Wave Length (High Frequency) 20

The E3 Pulse The High Altitude Nuclear Blast Distorts Earths Magnetic Field Remember the Electric Field is Produced by the Rate of Change in the

Magnetic Field

This is a Very Rapid Change (Duh, Its a Nuclear Blast)

The Effect is Wide Spread. The Change is in the Earths Magnetic Field

The Effect is Almost Global, Not Localized

The Electric Pulse Produced is the Late Time Effect (E3) Long Power Lines Act Like an Antenna (5-40 V/km)

This is a Very Low Frequency, Long Wave Length Pulse

To The Power Grid (60Hz) This Looks Like DC (0 Hz)

Transformers Hate DC. (Core Saturation & High Current)

They Heat Up, Catch Fire and Die (Destructively)

The Damage is Permanent and Could Spread

Fire Damage

Cascading Electrical Effect Across the Grid

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August 28 to September 2, 1859 Carrington Event - A large CME

500 Year Event?

Extreme Solar Storms JULY 23, 2012

Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) capable of generating catastrophic geomagnetic super-storm narrowly missed Earth on July 22, 2012. NASA estimates the likelihood of such a storm hitting Earth to be 12 percent over the next decade--which virtually guarantees a natural EMP catastrophe will happen in our lifetimes or that of our children.

Slide Number 1Slide Number 2EMP Task Force on National and Homeland SecuritySo What is EMP?A Brief OverviewGrid 101The Scope of the ProblemSlide Number 7Slide Number 8Solar Weather EventsNUCLEAR HEMP AREA COVERAGETURKEY BLACKOUT REPORTEDLY BY IRAN CYBER ATTACKMARCH 31, 2015Slide Number 12The Impacts on MankindSlide Number 14Slide Number 15Grid VulnerabilityWhat Next Before The Lights Go Out?Slide Number 18Slide Number 19The E1 PulseThe E3 PulseExtreme Solar Storms