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Investors Presentation
December 2019
CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARYAny use of this material without specific permission of McKinsey & Company is strictly prohibited
- 2 -
Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by EDP Renováveis, S.A. (the "Company“; LEI 529900MUFAH07Q1TAX06) solely for use at the presentation to be made on December, 2019. By attending the meeting where this presentation ismade, or by reading the presentation slides, you acknowledge and agree to be bound by the following limitations and restrictions. Therefore, this presentation may not be distributed to the press or any other person, and may notbe reproduced in any form, in whole or in part for any other purpose without the express consent in writing of the Company.
The information contained in this presentation has not been independently verified by any of the Company's advisors. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should beplaced on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein. Neither the Company nor any of its affiliates, advisors or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (innegligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation.
This presentation does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire securities of the Company or any of its subsidiaries in any jurisdiction oran inducement to enter into investment activity in any jurisdiction. Neither this presentation nor any part thereof, nor the fact of its distribution, shall form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract orcommitment or investment decision whatsoever.
Neither this presentation nor any copy of it, nor the information contained herein, in whole or in part, may be taken or transmitted into, or distributed, directly or indirectly to the United States. Any failure to comply with thisrestriction may constitute a violation of U.S. securities laws. This presentation does not constitute and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy securities in the United States. No securities ofthe Company have been registered under U.S. securities laws, and unless so registered may not be offered or sold except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of U.S.securities laws and applicable state securities laws.
Matters discussed in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements other than in respect of historical facts. The words “believe”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “intends”,“estimate”, “will”, “may”, "continue”, “should” and similar expressions usually identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include statements regarding: objectives, goals, strategies, outlook and growthprospects; future plans, events or performance and potential for future growth; liquidity, capital resources and capital expenditures; economic outlook and industry trends; developments of the Company’s markets; the impact ofregulatory initiatives; and the strength of the Company’s competitors. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions,including without limitation, management’s examination of historical operating trends, data contained in the Company’s records and other data available from third parties. Although the Company believes that these assumptionswere reasonable when made, these assumptions are inherently subject to significant known and unknown risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyondits control. Such risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company or industry results to differ materially from those results expressed orimplied in this presentation by such forward-looking statements.
The information, opinions and forward-looking statements contained in this presentation speak only as at the date of this presentation, and are subject to change without notice unless required by applicable law. The Companyand its respective agents, employees or advisors do not intend to, and expressly disclaim any duty, undertaking or obligation to, make or disseminate any supplement, amendment, update or revision to any of the information,opinions or forward-looking statements contained in this presentation to reflect any change in events, conditions or circumstances.
- 3 -
Agenda
1 Our Execution
2 Our Sector
3 EDP Group vision
4 Our Strategy
5 Annex
- 4 -
Our execution
- 5 -
EDPR has successfully executed its 2016-20 strategic agenda…
Presented in May-2016
3.5 GW2016-20
Prioritize quality investments in our core markets
4.0 GW securedfor 2016-20,of which 2.2 GW already built
Selective growth
Presented in May-2016
up to €1.1bnproceeds from assets sale
Sale of stakes to keep enhancing value growth
€1.1bn cashed-inEU assets asset rotation (2016), offshore stakes & Sell-Down (Dec-18)
Self-funding
Presented in May-2016
-1% Core Opex/MWCAGR 2015-20
Unique O&M strategy to keep lowering Core Opex/MW
-2% Core Opex/MWCAGR 2015-18delivering 2020 target in 2018
Operational excellence
- 6 -
…delivering 2 years in advance and above target at the bottom-line
(1) Considers 2015 Adj EBITDA of €1.06bn; (2) Post-2015 considers useful life at 30 years
EBITDA evolution1
€bnNet Profit evolution2
€bn
+7%CAGR 15-18
EBITDA increasing at 7% CAGR vs 2015, despite unexpected regulatory adjustments and lower 2018 wind-resource…
…which along with financial results improvements and gains, allowed EDPR to deliver more than €300m of net profit in 2018 vs target 2020
+43%CAGR 15-18
€1.06bn€1.3bn €1.3bn
€1.55bn
2015 2018Target
2018Actual
2020Target
€0.1bn
€0.2bn
€0.3bn €0.3bn
2015 2018Target
2018Actual
2020Target
- 7 -
Our sector
- 8 -
EDPR operates in a sector with an increased competitiveness and solid outlook…
North America
Europe
Brazil
Other Markets
Offshore
• US: PTC phase-out; Increasing demand drivers at State, Utility and C&I;
• CA: demand supported by auctions (20-yr FiT)
• RES Targets & new governance based on EU coordination;
• Increasing demand for Corporate PPAs;
• Good natural resources (wind & solar);• Strong wind and solar energy demand
(auctions & PPAs);
• Good natural resources, consistent regulation & solid fundamentals;
• Economic growth & infrastructure need
• Increasing state level auctions (e.g. US);• Competitiveness backed by technological
progresses and O&M
(1) Source: EDPR analysis; (2) NA includes US, Canada and México; Source: IHS; C&I stands for Commercial and Industrial companies; Includes wind onshore & solar utilities per region; Offshore & Other Markets excludes China
Wind and Solar are already cost competitive…2018 LCOE1 [€/MWh]
41
44
61
81
89
91
WindOnshore
Solar PV
WindOffshore
CCGT
Coal
Nuclear
-1%
-3%
+1%
+1%
-2%
-%
CAGR 18-25
…which along with solid fundamentals are driving demand across regions2
+67 GW>50% wind; >80% US
2019-22E additions
+84 GW>70% wind; <30% solar
+9 GW80% wind; 20% solar
+102 GWacross different geographies
+17 GWincluding US; NL; UK & FR
- 9 -
>60 GWavg year
…with high expected growth across regions and technologies, with >60 GW avg per year until 2030
Expected renewables total installed capacity by region1… ...and per technology
Total installed GW; wind onshore, offshore & solar utilities Total installed GW; wind onshore, offshore & solar utilities
(1) Source: IHS; excludes China
168 188 203 216 231 235 242 249 257 265 275 285
231 253 276 298 322 344 367 389 411 432 451 470
1618 20 24
28 31 34 40 45 50 56 61
542611
678744
814871
932995
1,0591,123
1,1871,250
2019 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 2030
404 443 476 509 541 570 601 633 666 699 732 7641923 28 33 40 46 54 61 68 77 84 91
119145
173202
234255
278301
324348
371395
542611
678744
814871
932995
1,0591,123
1,1871,250
2019 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 2030
>60 GWavg year
- 10 -
EDP Group vision
- 11 -
EDP envisions to keep capitalising on a winning sector…
EDP is already a global leading renewables player1… ...and aims to strongly increase renewables weight
Source of generated electricity, TWh
20%
66%
>90%>70%
20182005 2022 2030
~21 GW
>€20 BnRenewables
Non-renewablesof renewables capacity2 deployed worldwide
Top global wind player with ~12 GW
>9 GW in hydro, of which 4.3 GW with reservoirs, and ~3 GW pumped hydro
deployed in renewables since 2006
75% in wind onshore
40% in the US
(1) As of March 2019 (2) EBITDA + Equity GWs
- 12 -
…and is committed to accelerate EDPR growth in the new Business Plan 2019-22
EDP Group total investments…€bn; 2016-18
~60%
€5.7bn2016-18
EDPR is the main growth driver of EDP, representing already
~35% of group EBITDA
…to accelerate under new strategic plan…Investments; €bn per year
…with strong focus in renewables€bn; %
1.8
2.9
2016-20 targets 2019-22 targets
+60%
EDP group to accelerate its growth plan, increasing annual investments under new strategy
EDPR continues to be the growth driver of EDP, with new strategy planned to unlock EDPR development capabilites
~70%
~€12bn2019-2022
EDPR
Hydro, Networks; Client solutions &
energy mgmt.
- 13 -
Our strategy
- 14 -
1,164 MW
2,120MW
5,592MW
Poland
Romania
ItalyPortugal
Spain
UKUS
Brazil
Canada
Offshore under constr.
418 MW
521 MW
271 MW
30 MW
330MW
Mexico
Offshore under
develop.
53MW
200MW
project under
develop.Greece
France
project under constr.
Belgium
Onshore under
develop. Colombia
EDPR is one of the largest wind energy producer, with a 10.7 GW portfolio…
As of Sep-19: Installed capacity includes EDPR’s Equity consolidated: 152 MW in Spain and 259 MW in the US; Includes 145 MW of Solar PV and the deconsolidation of 137 MW in Brazil from Sell-down announced in 2H19
Offshore under
develop.
- 15 -
…and has defined a new BP 2019-22 based on the same pillars and complemented by an expanded growth and sell-down model…
Selective growth Self-funding Operational excellence
Solid value creation, investing in quality projects with predictable
cash-flow stream…
…enhanced by selling assets’ stakes, crystalizing value and accelerate
value creation…
…and supported by distinctive core competences &
unique know-how
…unlocking EDPR’s full capabilities, by leveraging on core competences and by crystalizing upfront value
~ 7.0 GW cumulative build-out of which 74% already secured
Technological diversified:70% wind onshore; 25% solar; 5% offshore
Geographical diversified:60% NA; 20% EU; 20% BR & New
33% load factor in 2022from additions of competitive projects
> 97.5% availabilitytechnical expertise to maximise output
Core Opex/MW -1% CAGR 18-221
from efficient O&M strategy
> €8.0 bn of investmentsfinanced by sell-down & assets’ cash flow
> €4.0 bn of sell-down proceedsof which ~€1.3bn already announced
€4.0 bn of net investmentsfully financed by assets’ CF generation
2019-22E 2019-22E 2019-22E
(1) Core Opex defined as Supplies & Services and Personnel Costs
- 16 -
70%25%
5%
Selective growth: a 7 GW growth plan increasing geographical and technological diversification
Capacity Build-out by region (GW; 2019-22)
60%20%
10%10%
of which 74% already secured through PPAs or tariffs awarded
~7.0 GW1.8 GW avg/year
projects with long-term visibility & low risk profile
~7.0 GW1.8 GW avg/year
North America (60%)Driven by RPS, C&I and coal/nuclear retirements; EDPR has already secured 2.8 GW all with LT contracts
Europe (20%)Supported by governance & PPA appetite; EDPR has secured 1.0 GW wind/solar & 0.3 GW offshore
Brazil (10%) & Other (10%)BR: auctions/PPAs & stable regulation (EDPR has 0.6 GW secured); New: Greece (0.1 GW); Colombia (0.5 GW) Other: being analysed
Capacity Build-out by technology(GW; 2019-22)
(1) Includes UK (Moray East; 33% of 950 MW); Floating FR (35% 24 MW); Floating PT (54% of 25 MW); Excludes FR (30% of 992 MW) and projects u/dev. (US Mayflower, UK Moray West and other under EDPR/ENGIE JV)
Wind Onshore – 3.9 GW securedA competitive technology, in which EDPR has competitive advantage and know-how
Solar PV – 1.1 GW securedIncreasing competitiveness, and relevance in EDPR technological mix post-2020
Wind Offshore – 0.3 GW secured1
EDPR & ENGIE JV set to strengthen company’s profitable offshore growth and increase efficiency
with CoD until 2022; excludes projects under
development1Other markets
- 17 -
US Demand driven by increasing cost-competitiveness
RPS29 states + DC
• Defined at state level• RPS policies cover 56% of total US
retail electricity sales
RetirementsCoal & Nuclear
• Coal (23% fleet): old & non-compliant w/environmental;
• Nuclear: ~15 GW proposed until 2030
C&I PPAs>6 GW in 2018
• Renewable demand from RE100 companies is to grow to 123 TWh by 2022, 59% over 2017 levels
Selective growth: North America as the main market with 4.2 GW target of which 2.8 GW already secured…
Build-out capacity breakdownGW
Projects already securedMW
Prairie QueenTimber Road IVBright StalkHidalgo IINation Rise (CA)Broadlands IHeadwaters IIRosewater1
Crossing TrailsReloj del SolWildCatMexico projectIndiana Crossroad1
RiverstartSonrisaCalifornia ProjectGolden Eye
Project Name CoDRegionMW19912520550
100200198102104209180100302202200200139
2019E2019E2019E2019E2019E2020E2020E2020E2020E2020E2020E2021E2021E2021E2022E2022E19/20E
KansasOhio
IllinoisTexas
OntarioIllinoisIndianaIndiana
ColoradoTexasTexas
MexicoIndianaIndiana
CaliforniaCaliforniaEast NA
(1) Build and Transfer project
…and 1.3 GW to be secured in a competitive environment
0.7
1.1
0.6
0.4
1.3
4.2 GW
under negotiation/
identified 2.8 GWalready secured
2019
2020
2021
2022
- 18 -
Selective growth: Europe supported by new governance model and increasing appetite for private PPAs…
Build-out capacity breakdownGW
…with 1.0 GW already secured and 0.4 GW to be secured on both wind and solar technology
Projects already securedMW
Country CoDStatusMW
29105
2019E2021/22E
U/ constructionU/development
Projects’ develop./ promotion Increasing relevance of Private PPAs
Preparing projects for new auctionsSecure Private PPAs & Green-field
Preparing and optimizing projects Projects for new auctions; developing wind & solar
Concluding Ventinveste, OE & solar projectsDevelop pipeline for future growth
Obtain permits for an identified projectsDevelop wind & solar projects
EDPR strategy per market
47279
20192020/22E
InstalledU/ const. & dev.
1995
20192019/20E
InstalledU/ const. & dev.
5016
20192019/20E
U/ const. & dev.U/development
38327
2020E2020/22E
U/constructionU/ development
0.1
0.2
0.7
0.4
1.4 GW
under negotiation/
identified
1.0 GWalready secured
2019
2020
2021/22
- 19 -
Developing portfolio of competitive projects with tariffs already secured
10%
Selective growth: Brazil set to increase its representativeness, while continuing to analyse new markets opportunities
0.1 GWAventura
CoD: 2022
Competitive projects with >50% load factor (wind)
0.2 GW Santa Rosa & Mundo Novo CoD: 2022
0.2 GWPereira Barreto
CoD: 2021
0.5 GW Monte Verde & Jerusalem CoD: post-2022 Strong fundamentals:
renewable demand & good natural resourcesFrom wind and solar resources
Others: Selecting investment opportunitiesIn countries with strong long-term fundamental
1.2 GWportfolio with PPAs
already awarded of which0.6 GW until 2022
and 0.6 GW post-2022
Competitive advantages: implementing our know-how in markets not yet maturedtaking advantage of being pioneers
Profitable: long-term contracts and predictable cash-flowAuction system and or private PPAs
Analyzing new profitable markets to increase potential growth:
Colombia:Executing projects awarded (492 MW in 2022)
10%
Greece:Executing projects awarded (45 MW in 2020 & 77 MW in 2021/22)
0.1 GWBoqueirao & Monte Verde
CoD: 2022
0.1 GW CatandubaCoD: post-2022
- 20 -
JV operational until 2019 YE
New opportunitiesbeing screened
Selective growth: Creating EDPR/ENGIE 50:50 joint-venture to focus on a fastest growing renewable technology
Combination of the right set of skills along with a successful track record…
Energy management and offtake
…and a EDPR/ENGIE 50:50 control structure with the right governance
Project management
Business development
Energy and risk assessment
Procurement
Towards a leadership position by combining complementary competences to accelerate growth, minimize risks and increase efficiency
CEO and COO: 3-yr mandates
Initial CEO proposed by EDPR & COO by ENGIE
At the end of mandate, COO becomes CEO and the other partner proposes new COO
Portfolio of
5.5 GW(~3.3 GW net)
19GW
2019E
91GW
2030E
+15%CAGR
Expected wind offshore global installed capacity1
(1) Source: IHS; excludes China
- 21 -(1) Gross MW; equivalent to c.3.3 GW net; Projects with tariffs/PPAs awarded
29.5%Tréport & Noirmoutier 992 MW U/Development31.0%Offshore-Fixed
Selective growth: Full integrated JV with 5.5 GW1 of pre-determined offshore wind assets
33.3%California 100-150 MW U/Development-Offshore-Floating
100.0%B&C Wind 400 MW U/Development-Offshore-Fixed
EDPR ENGIEPROJECT NAME CAPACITY COUNTRYTYPE
33.3%Moray East 950 MW U/Construction23.3%Offshore-Fixed
STATUS
67.0%Moray West 800-950 MW U/Development33.0%Offshore-Fixed
U/Construction54.4%Wind Float Atlantic 25 MW 25.0%Offshore-Floating
35.0%Leucate 24 MW U/Development45.0%Offshore-Floating
-SeaMade 487 MW U/Construction17.5%Offshore-Fixed
50.0%Mayflower 804 MW U/Development-Offshore-Fixed
Offshore partners since 2013, with 1.5 GW under construction and 1.8 GW awarded
631 MWTotal ownership with tariffs/PPAs (net MW)
Total ownership (net MW)631 MW
2,352-2,470 MW 895-945 MW
1,262 MW
3,247-3,397 MW=+
- 22 -
Mayflower804 MWStatus: DevelopmentJV Stake: 50.0%CoD: post-2022
Selective growth: Together a portfolio of 5.5 GW1 initial capacity across 6 markets and defined growth targets
Moray East950 MWStatus: ConstructionJV Stake: 56.6%CoD: 4Q 2022E
WFA (floating)25 MWStatus: ConstructionJV Stake: 79.4%CoD: 2019E
Leucate (floating)24 MWStatus: DevelopmentJV Stake: 80.0%CoD: 2021E
Tréport & Noirmoutier992 MWStatus: DevelopmentJV Stake: 60.5%CoD: 2023/24E
California (floating)100-150 MWStatus: DevelopmentJV Stake: 33.3%CoD: post-2025
B&C Wind400 MWStatus: DevelopmentJV Stake: 100.0%CoD: post-2025
SeaMade487 MWStatus: ConstructionJV Stake: 17.5%CoD: 4Q 2020E
Moray West800-950 MWStatus: DevelopmentJV Stake: 100%CoD: post-2022
with tariff awarded
(1) Gross MW; equivalent to c.3.3 GW net
- 23 -
JV Growth TargetsGross MW
Selective growth: The Offshore JV has a clear investment framework and selective yet ambitious growth targets
50:50 JV with selective investment criteria
Sound market fundamentals
Stable regulatory frameworks
Contracted NPV (i.e. cash-flows visibility)
Compliance with target risk return profile
Maximize projects self-funding
This JV is set to pave the way for a greener future, by strengthening offshore growth, increasing efficiency and returns
2025E
(1) Gross MW; 1.5 GW Under construction equivalent to 0.6 net GW and 4.0 GW Under advanced development equivalent to c.2.7 net GW
5-7 GW
Operational& Under construction
Under advanceddevelopment
5-10 GW
1.5GW1
Today
4.0GW1
- 24 -
…and extra-value
(2019-22)
Sell-down strategy: set to create extra value through the sale of majority stakes, without increasing capital employed
Sell-down strategy rational…
(incremental value created at project execution)
Build to Sell
To own (value captured throughout 30-yr life)
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Valu
e
…to propelled extra-growth & value…
Sell-downs(capacity)
~50% of 7 GW
Proceeds(Equity & Debt)
> €4bn
(Sell-down: Sale majority stakes)
Visible value creation in Net Profit
Less capital intensive ~€0.7bn of Capital gains in 2019-22Recycling capital and creating value
(Benefits of the Sell-down strategy)
Capital recycleup-front cash-flows crystallization by
selling majority stakes
Service chargeproviding operating and maintenance
services in exchange for management fee
Value Creationgains accounted in P&L and proceeds to be re-invested in accretive growth
- 25 -
…with €1.1bn Sell-down transactions announced, crystalizing value and accelerating value creation
Creating extra value through the sale of majority stakes, without increasing capital employed, and re-investing at higher returns
(1) subject to customary closing adjustment; (2) Illustrative and non-exhaustive; Reinvesting IRR at 7-11% excludes Brazilian projects
…capturing value created & propelling new projects execution with superior returns
4-5%7-11%
Sell-down transaction announced1
Sell-down of EDPR’s full equity in two onshore wind portfolios executing its 2019-22 target of >€4.0bn proceeds, with €1.3bn to be concluded in 2H19…
spreadScope
997 MW491 net MW
137 MW137 net MW
€226m(eq. to €0.4m/MW)
Capital Gains(pre-tax; booked in EBITDA)
n.a.(n.a.)
8years
1year
Assets age(average)
€1.6mper MW
€2.2mper MW
EV/MW
€0.8bn
€0.3bn
Proceeds
Rationale2
low-mid 10s%high 10s%
spread
IRRRe-investing
IRRSelling
Status
Closed3Q19
Pending4Q19E
- 26 -
Operational excellence: EDPR core competences and unique know-how set to maximize efficiency
Wind assessment know-how to maximize asset value…
…and highly experienced teams delivering unique O&M strategy…
…set to maximize efficiency and optimize costs
New MW with above average load-factorvs 2018: 30% (94% P50)
33%NCF
Predictive maintenance and O&M strategy are key to reduce downtime
>97.5%TEA
Driven by accretive contributions from new capacity additions
+7% GWh CAGR
2018 2022
-1% CAGR
Core Opex/ avg. MW
In addition to saving programs and initiatives (e.g. OBZ, OPEX V and US Cost Reduction Program) in place to increase efficiency
O&M contract breakdown (avg MW;%)
optimizing O&M activities by increasing internalization at the end of initial
contract warranty
52% 60%
2018 2022E
M3 & Self-perform
Full scope contracts
- 27 -
Selective growth
Self-funding
Operational excellence
EDPR’s 2022 agenda and the 3 strategic pillars will unlock our full capabilities…
Growth: increasing EDPR own portfolio at a faster pace…
Diversified:…with technological & geo mix (new markets momentum)…
Sell-down:…given extra-visible value generated to speed-up growth…
O&M know-how:…propelled by assets’ management core competences…
Efficiency mind-set:…and cost-control focus and saving programs implementation
- 28 -
…to deliver solid and ambitious growth targets through 2022…
…positioning EDPR to successfully lead a sector with increased worldwide relevance
Capacity build-out
~7.0 GW1
2019-22E
New capacity being technological &
geographical diversified
Excellence in operations
+7% CAGR TWh
2018-22E
From MW to own with output propelled by superior
load-factor & availability
Unlocking bottom-line
+11% CAGR
2018-22E
From growth, recurrent capital gains, controlled cost of debt
and solid balance sheet
Net ProfitMW TWh
Less capital intensive
>€4.0bn proceeds
2019-22E
Generating extra value without increasing capital employed
Sell-down
Excel at operational results
+6% CAGR
2018-22E
From capacity additions, operating efficiency and
sell-down strategy
EBITDA
(1) Of which ~50% to own.
- 29 -
Annex
- 30 -
9M 2019 Results
30% load factor (vs. 30% in 9M18) 96% of LT avg. with 3Q19 @ 98%
Availability @ 97% (vs 97% in 9M18)
Adj. Core Opex/ avg. MW flat YoY(1)
given cost control in the context of a growth strategy
Revenues at €1,364m (+10% YoY; +€125m)MWs (+€46m), Price (+€49m), NCF (+€11m),
PTCs (-€27m) and FX (+€34m)
Quality assets
EDPR operational performance on track to deliver solid growth, along with the execution of Sell-down strategy
- 31 -
96% of Revenues fixed for 2019(2)
€56/MWh avg. price (+5% YoY)Net Profit €342m (vs €115m in 9M18)
on top-line performance and Sell-down execution
€1,218m EBITDA (+40% YoY)including €226m from 491 net MW Sell-down gain
(+36% YoY ex-IFRS16)
+344 MW built YTD1,156 MW Sold-out
1,164 MW already under construction
Already secured c.70% of ~7.0 GW cumulative 19-22 build-out target
Selective and profitable growth
Operating Cash Flow(2) at €838m+9% YoY from top line performance
€63m Net Debt & TEI decreasefrom growth & investments, keeping
solid balance sheet
€1.0bn of Sell-down YTDfrom EU (491 net MW; €0.8bn) & US sell-down tax-equity proceeds
Optimizing Cost of Debt and TEI CostsDebt: 4.0% Sep-19 (+0.1pp YoY; on different mix);
Avg TEI: 6.7%
Self-funding business
(1) Core Opex per average MW adjusted by IFRS16, offshore costs (mainly cross-charged to projects’ SPVs), one offs and FX(2) at Sep-2019
- 32 -
(1) Incl. equity consolidated: 152 MW in Spain & 259 MW in the US; (2)Bright Stalk (205 MW), Broadlands (200 MW), Timber Road IV (125 MW), Hidalgo II (50 MW) and Nation
Rise (100 MW) on which an 80% stake was sold in Dec-18 (keeping the responsibility to build the project);(3) Includes 316 MW of EDPR stake in UK Moray and 14 MW from Windplus floating in Portugal
EDPR built 344 MW YoY reaching 10.8 GW after Sell-down transactions
YTD EDPR built 344 MW, sold 1,156 MW and kept 1,164 MW under construction (including stake in UK offshore)
UnderConstruction
+154 MW
+1,164 MW
+680 MW2
-
+330 MW3
MW Built YTD
+145 MW
+344 MW
+199 MW
-
-
Evolution of Installed Capacity(1)
(EBITDA MW + Equity Consolidated)
11,672
12,016
344
(1,156)
10,860 (24)
10,836
Dec-18 MW Built Sell-down Sep-19 Re-powering Portfolio
• US: PQ (80% of199 MW; 3Q19)
• EU: 997 MW (Net 491 MW; Jul-19)
54%
42%
4%
Load Factor and Technical Availability(1)
96%
89%
95%
99%
- 33 -(1) Technical Energy Availability (TEA)
…while in the 3Q19, EDPR reached a 25% load factor (vs 22% in the 3Q18), with QoQ comparison benefitting from higher wind resource (P50 of 98% vs 89% in 3Q18)
In the 9M19 EDPR achieved a 30% load factor (vs 30% in 9M18) reflecting 96% of P50 (long term average for 9M)…
EDPR Availability1
9M19
33%
26%
41%
96.9%
30%
+1pp
-1 pp
+1 pp
+1 pp
∆ YoY
-0.1 pp
9M19 vs. LT avg.
EDPR Quarterly Load Factor vs. Long-term average (%) 20192018
+5%
-8%
-11% -12%
-7%
-1% -2%
-
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
20.7+1.0
+0.2 21.9
9M18 9M19
- 34 -
EDPR produced 21.9 TWh of clean electricity (+6% YoY), avoiding 15 mt of CO2 emissions Geographical output breakdown: 55% in North America, 39% in Europe and 6% in Brazil
Electricity output higher 6% YoY, with capacity additions over the period and load factor offsetting impact from EU assets deconsolidation
Electricity Production(TWh)TWh
% YoY
+4%
Driven by new capacity and higher wind resource (despite the deconsolidation of 977 MW in Jul-19 related to the EU portfolio Sell-down)
+50% Driven by capacity additions and higher wind resource
+4% From new installed capacity,offsetting lower wind resource
∆ Load Factor
+5%+6%
∆ MW
€53.7 €56.1
9M18 9M19
- 35 -(1) Calculated in local currency
Average selling price totalled €56/MWh (+5% YoY), on the back of positive price performance and FX
Avg. price at €56/MWh (+5% YoY) mainly driven by Eastern Europe price recovery, higher prices in Spain, US and Brazil, along with favorable FX translation
9M19 % YoY(1)
€80.0 +3%
SP higher price +4% (higher realised price); RoE +7% (mainly due to RO & PL recovery);PT -2% (from new additions)
R$205 +6% Different mix of a new wind farm in operation vs 9M18 & inflation linked
$46.3 +1%
US (+2%): primarily due to new MWs in operationCAN (-3%): +1% in local currencyMX: (+1%) from PPA @$65
EDPR Price Evolution(€/MWh)
+5%
+3% ex-fx
1,2391,364
9M18 9M19
+10%
- 36 -
Revenues increased €125m mainly driven by capacity in operation (+€46m), higher price (+€49m), forex translation (+€34m), slightly higher wind resource (+€11m) despite scheduled PTCs expiration (-€27m)
Revenues increased 10% YoY given higher avg. EBITDA MW (+3%), higher avg. price (+5%) and positive forex, despite scheduled PTCs expiration
Higher output: +6% YoY; +€58m (NCF: +€11m; MW: +€46m)
from load factor and higher avg. MW (+3% YoY; including impact from deconsolidation of 997 MW in EU)
Higher average selling price: +5% YoY; +€46mmainly driven by price recovery in Spain
and Rest of Europe
Forex impact & scheduled 10 years PTCs expiringPTCs expiring (10-year life): -€27m
Impact from FX: +€34m
Main drivers for Revenues performance
+7% ex-fx
Revenues(€ million)
9M18 9M19
31… 29.3
9M18 9M19
-3%
-6%
-3%reported
- 37 -
Core Opex increasing YoY on the back of higher installed capacity while Adj. Core Opex/ Avg. MW was flat YoY
Core Opex per Avg. MW Flat YoY given O&M strategy and cost control offsetting the requirements needed to cope with Business Plan expanded growth
Core Opex/Avg. MW (€k)(Supplies & Services and Personnel Costs)
Core Opex(2)
Levies &Non-recurrent
(1) Reported figures presented; for YoY analysis purposes, was included impact (€34m) from IFRS16 in 9M19; (2) Includes Supplies and Services and Personnel Costs; (3) Core Opex/avg MW adjusted by IFRS16, offshore costs (mainly cross-charged to projects’ SPVs), one offs and FX
Opex (excludes Other Operating Income) (1)
(€ million)
IFRS 16 (€34m)
Flat(3)adjusted
+5%ex-IFRS16
+7%ex-IFRS16
+40%
- 38 -(1) Includes hedges from Spain, Rest of Europe and US
EBITDA totalled €1,218m (+40% YoY), being +36% YoY if excluded impacted from IFRS16 given top line performance
Delivering EBITDA of €1,218m (+40% YoY) from the execution of Sell-down strategy, top line performance and IFRS16
869 +125+211
(13)1,218
9M18 9M19
+37% ex-fx
EBITDA YoY(€ million)
EBITDA per Region(1)
(%)
Revenues
OtherIncome
OperatingCost
Includes capital gain(€226m YoY) fromSell-down in EU(997 MW; 491 net MW)
Spain23%
Portugal25%
RoE13%
Braz…
North America36%
€1,218m
- 39 -
Net Profit totaled €342m (+197%), with YoY comparison driven by top-line performance and a Sell-down transaction
342
784
1,218
113
51
277
435D&A
EBIT
Taxes
Minorities
FinancialResults(1)
€m YoY
EBITDA
Effect from YoY capacity additions and IFRS16 -€37m
As a result of top line performance +€312m
YoY comparison impacted higher avg. nominal Debt, IFRS16 and forex
-€59m
Effective Tax Rate of 10% in 9M19 (from tax exempted capital gains; includes CESE)
-€26m
+€0.5m
Operating performance driven by top-line &gains related to Sell-down transaction+€349m
Net Profit Net profit totalled €342m+227m
(1) Includes Share of profit of associates
9M19 EBITDA to Net Profit(€ million)
+197% YoY
Reflecting top-line performance from strategic partnership assets and asset rotation program
1,218
(231)(18)
(251)(8… 636 226
862
+40%
- 40 -(1) Note that RCF includes tax benefits generated by the projects in the US under the TE structures, which are not included in the Organic Free Cash-flow concept;
Cash Flow generation with RCF at €636m, +8% higher YoY
9M19: Retained Cash Flow (RCF) 1
(€ million)
EBITDA Non-operating cash adjustments
Dividends & interests to Minorities
Current income taxes
Interests, TEI, fees & derivatives
+8%
RCF w/ Sell-down gains
RCF(1) of €636m (vs €590m in 9M18) YoY propelled by operating performance and impacted by PTC 10-year expiration and higher interests on debt increase (following growth capex).
Includes the capital gain ofthe EU portfolio Sold-down; €226m cashed-in
RCF Sell-downgains
Gross Debt
€3.6bn30%
Loans with EDP
60%
TEI€1.2bn
63%
Other & TEI40%
7%
Debt & TEI Currency Type
- 41 -
...to €3.0bn of Net Debt and €1.2bn Tax Equity
Solid balance sheet with Net debt and Tax Equity decreasing by €63m...
RCF Net Debt and TEI
decrease
Cash Invest.(1)
Dividends to EDPR
Shareholders
Forex & Other
+8%
9M19 Debt and TEI Breakdown (%)
(1) Cash investments include Capex (net of projects sold), Net financial investments and Changes in working capital related with PPE suppliers and Government Grants
2019 from RCF to Debt and TEI variance(€ million)
636
63
(384)
(61)(127)
ForexImpact
- 42 -
EBITDA performance benefitting from gain on Sell-down strategy execution…
EBITDA YoY variance walk by driver(€ million)
869
(27)
34 25 900 1182
226 1,218
+35%
9M18 Business performance
9M19
Mainly USD
…along with MW additions, price recovery, fx and cost-control.
+4%
+40%YoY
Scheduled
PTC phase-out
Load factor
IFRS16 Sell-down strategy
- 43 -
2019 is being a record year in terms of new investments execution, with +2.4 GW already secured…
…for 2019-22 at attractive returns…
2019: Accelerating growth(GW secured in the period)
Jul-Oct 19
Project Tech. CoD RemunerationMWGolden Eye Solar 139 2019/20 PPA/LT ContractMarchéville Wind 13 2020 CfDRosewater Wind 102 2020 Build & TransferCrossing Trails Wind 104 2020 PPA/LT ContractWildCat Wind 180 2020 PPA/LT ContractReloj del Sol Wind 209 2020 PPA/LT ContractMexico Project Wind 96 2021 PPA/LT ContractPPAs Wind 105 2021/22 PPAIndiana Crossroad Wind 302 2021 Build & TransferChalkodonio Wind 29 2022 AuctionMonte Verde VI Wind 46 2022 PPA/LT ContractBoqueirao I-II Wind 80 2022 PPA/LT ContractRibatejo Solar 142 2022 AuctionCalifornia Project Solar 200 2022 PPA/LT ContractSonrisa Solar 200 2022 PPA/LT ContractAlpha Wind 212 2022 AuctionBeta Wind 280 2022 Auction
0.6
1.8
2.4
1H
2H
YTDNew
Country
4.9 GW
0.7 1.3
0.6 0.9
0.1 0.4
0.5
0.3
0.9
1.31.0
1.8
2019 2020 2021 2022c.70%
- 44 -
…leading to c.70% of the ~7 GW target build-out capacity, already secured for 2019-22…
Execution of ~7 GW build-out target…
SecuredMWs
Build-out GW; Oct-19
~7.0 GW1.8 GW avg/year
under negotiation/identified
…being geographically and technologically diversified
…with 4.9 GW of wind onshore, solar and offshore projects already secured
Build-out GW secured per COD
+2.4 GW YTD
- 45 -
Conclusions
9M19 YoY positive top-line performance benefitted from higher avg. capacity (+3% YoY) and price recovery (+5% YoY), mainly in Eastern Europe along with higher realized price in Spain, US and Brazil. Adj. Core Opex/avg. MW was flat YoY, given cost control in the context of a growth strategy…
…additionally execution of EDPR’s new strategy is well on track with c.70% of the 7 GW capacity build-out secured (1.8 GW only in 2H19), being technologically & geographically diversified, creating an offshore JV, as well as €1.3bn out of ~€4.0bn Sell-down target already announced.
…together with EDPR’s Sell-down strategy execution (€226m gain), lead to an EBITDA of €1,218m (+40% YoY; +36% ex-IFRS16) and to a Net Profit of €342m (vs. €115m in the 9M18)…
46
a company of group