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Editor's Welcome
Welcome to Issue 18 of On Course profits.
This month in our feature article we take a close look at the trainers that make a profit in
May and June and we uncover three systems that will find you some value winners this
spring.
For Gold members we drill down a little deeper and manage to exclude the bad value
and increase the return on investment.
On the subject of On Course Profits Gold.
Gold members have had profitable big race tips from Nick Hardman for both
Cheltenham and Aintree and hopefully we will organise the same for the big flat
festivals this summer.
We have also had a look at a much ignored but profitable aspect of racing and that is
summer National Hunt racing.
The fact is that, although in the minority, there are jumps horses who prefer ground
firmer than the soft that prevails during the winter and there are trainers that make it
their business to record some wins for these horses.
Our research has uncovered some systems that we expect to make profits from this
angle in the off season.
We also have an interview with Scott Beckman of Tipsters Review and a profile of the
guys behind Biscayne Bets a look at the timing behind the uncovering of arbitrage bets
and the usual product reviews and tipster tables.
I hope you enjoy this month’s issue.
Happy Punting
Darren Power
Taking A Look at Some Profitable
Trainer Strategies – The Spring /
Summer Transition
Of the medium to larger sized racehorse training establishments nearly all will follow a
particular patter, or a modus operandi, year in and year out.
Notwithstanding the odd problem such as adverse weather conditions making training
difficult or a virus in the yard many of the trainers are somewhat predictable in their
future plans for the horses in their yards. But can we use this to our advantage?
Bearing this in mind we are going to look to consider, and more importantly hopefully
uncover, a select group of trainers which have a historic track record of performing well
during this time of the year, in particular from the beginning of May through to the end
of June. Our research will be based on the most recent three season campaigns, 2013-
2015, in an attempt to ensure that our findings are relevant to the current traits and
habits of the trainers we will be looking at.
David Elsworth
First up is David Elsworth and readers of a certain age will undoubtedly be aware that
he is famed for training the wonderful Desert Orchid, the statue of which stands proudly
at Kempton race course.
Desert Orchid or Dessie as he was affectionately known achieved an amazing record as
a Novice Hurdler through to a top class chaser between 1984 and 1990.
Dessie was an aggressive front running horse and it was this style which endeared him
to the racing public. Over his illustrious career he won 34 races in total, including seven
at the Kempton track, where four of those victories were in the King George VI Steeple
Chase which only went to underline his immense talent.
The table below shows the basic record of all of the runners saddled during the months
of May and June from the David Elsworth yard during the 2013 to 2015 period.
Although he is very clearly not what you would call prolific in terms of the numbers of
runners / winners, he is however highly consistent and based on the calculated A/E ratio
figures in the final column he is also clearly performing far better than the market
expectations, and on this basis he is well worth investigating further, if not following
blindly.
For those of you who are unfamiliar with the principle of A/E ratio briefly it can be
explained like this:-
If we take the odds at the Starting Prices for each runner we can calculate what should
have been their likely chance of winning and therefore how many winners we would
have expected.
We then compare this to the actual results achieved and of we have more winners than
we had expected you will achieve a ratio figure of greater than 1 and this then gives us a
good indication of where there has been “value”. For example a 10/1 shot would be
expected to win once in every 10 runs, but if it wins twice then the horse is over
performing and the A/E ratio would be 2.00. Actual number of wins 2 divided by the
expected number of wins 1 equals 2.00.
Obviously the more data that you use to run your figures the more accurate that A/E
figure will be, the larger the sample size the more reliable the results.
Alan Swinbank
Moving on, the next trainer who has pricked our interest is Alan Swinbank. Based near
the quiet village of Melonsby in North Yorkshire Swinbank has been involved with
horses all of his life.
Having had horses in training with the late Arthur Stephenson and also training point to
point runners he eventually took out a full licence at Thorndale Farm in 2001. He has
had numerous successes and now over 700 winners later he has built a new training
complex at Western House.
Collier Hill is probably the most successful horse to date for Swinbank as the horse
holds the record for the most prize money won by a gelding, over £2 million.
Having purchased the unraced 3 year old Swinbank and the horse travelled from meagre
beginnings, from winning a National Hunt Flat race at Catterick, to taking on some of
the world’s richest races. In total Collier Hill won 15 races, 6 of which were Group
races and included 3 Group 1’s, the Canadian Pacific International, the Hong Kong
Vase and the Irish St Leger. In addition he was placed on 16 occasions including in a
further 4 Group 1 races and a Group 3 race.
Collier Hill is now living out his retirement at the Western House Stables and spends his
days in the paddocks hopefully passing on his vast racing knowledge to all of his stable
companions.
Anyway back to business; let’s take a look at the yard’s overall performance during the
months of May and June for the past 3 years.
First off the performance doesn’t necessarily offer a promising start…but if we consider
splitting out the race types between Handicap and Non Handicaps we see a clear picture
emerge which offers more promise.
The Strike rate of the handicap runners is a healthy 81% better than those runners in non
handicaps. You can see from the 0.80 A/E ratio figure that the non-handicappers clearly
underperform compared to the expectations of the market. In addition the Non-
Handicap groups Betfair SP (£1 BF) level stakes profit has been inflated by the win of
Royal Temptress in 2014 as the 25/1 shot paid 51.87 on the Betfair Starting Price.
There is another factor which is encouraging in respect of Alan Swinbank’s Handicap
runners during the months we are interested in and that refers to the win Strike Rate.
During the last three years there has been a marked up turn with the win strike rates.
2013 – 9.52%
2014 – 17.31%
2015 – 20.31%
The 2015 campaign had 13 winners from the 64 runners and the A/E was 1.34, so the
horses were performing 34% better than expected. With this in mind it could be very
well worth following Alan Swinbank’s handicap runners during the months of May and
June.
Mrs Ruth Carr
Our third and final trainer under the microscope is another Northern based trainer in the
shape of Ruth Carr. Her yard is ten miles north of York and is therefore ideally based
within an hour’s drive of 10 racecourses including York, Thirsk, Beverly and Pontefract
and just a couple of hours drive to a further 7 courses.
She took out her training licence as recently as 2008 having previously assisted her
grandfather for fifteen years until he decided to take retirement and she has already
trained more than 250 winners and another 500 horses placed.
She has a particular skill it would appear of finding improvement in horses which
switch to her yard having been previously trained elsewhere. Whilst the runners may
not have many big race wins under their belt her training style certainly seems adept at
placing her runners to win on a regular basis.
First of all let’s take a look at all of her runners during the months of interest over the
last three years.
The figures for 2013 certainly suggest that there was some sort of issue at the yard with
the runners performing significantly under par when compared with the subsequent two
years.
However the 2014-2015 periods do seem to offer some encouragement as to the
possibility of finding profit in her runners.
A close inspection of the research data shows that the runners in the 2 year old and 3
year old brackets produced just 1 winner out of 36 runners and a level stake loss of -
31.50 points. If we remove these runners from the equation and concentrate solely on
those runners aged 4 years and older we are immediately in profitable territory as can be
seen below.
In fact, of we remove all the non handicap runners in this age bracket we improve the
profit and loss figures to result in a level stakes profit based on Betfair Starting Prices of
+76.56 points which equates to a commendable + 23.78% return on investment.
So, in summary, during the months of May and June, look to the following:
Back all David Elsworth runners
Back all Alan Swinbank Handicap runners
Back all Mrs Ruth Car Handicap runners aged 4 years or older
We would suggest staking 1 point to WIN ONLY using the Betfair Starting Prices.
For On Course Profit Gold members we have drilled down into these stats to see more
precisely where the profit is, the resulting extra systems should boost the ROI from
these trainer systems.
You can upgrade to On Course Profits Gold here…
http://www.oncourseprofits.com/upgrade-to-gold/
© 2016 Blue Delta Marketing Ltd
Click Here for a Special Offer
A Q & A with Scott Beckman of Tipsters
Review
1. Hi Scott, first up could we ask you to tell us a little about yourself and your
background?
Hi, I am from a small town in Cumbria where there isn’t really a great deal to do! As a
child I spent the vast majority of my time playing football or wasting my pocket money
on the fruit machines at the bowling alley.
Up until last year I spent 10 years working for a local company as a Mechanical
Engineer but ever since I was young I always had aspirations to work for myself. After
work, I would look at the football and racing that was on that evening and have a few
bets, I was certainly what you would call a "mug" punter.
After a while I got fed up losing and admitted defeat with my own bets and wanted
something that would give me more of a steady income. I stopped betting on football
and started focusing solely on following horse racing tipsters. After a few bad
experiences I began to build up a portfolio of services that I could rely on to bring in a
second income for a good few years.
Now I work for myself running the Tipsters Review website and do some contracting
work for small engineering companies.
2. Why a review site? What made you decide that this was the business for you and
how do you go about ensuring that your reviews are transparent and impartial?
The idea for this particular type of review site came from my own sufferance of
following a Tipster service that failed to live up to expectation. Me and a couple of
friends decided to sign up to a tipster service after reading about how much money he
was making his members and we wanted a piece of the action! Sadly, after a few
months it became clear that all the claims of big priced winners and mega profits had
been false.
This was not just a rough patch for the tipster, he was basically just a con man lying
about results, bragging about winners and covering up his many losers.
Over £1000 out of pocket I wanted to vent my anger and warn off anyone else thinking
about singing up to this "tipster". I was surprised to find that apart from a couple of
forums there wasn’t really anywhere to be able to do this. A couple of months later I
saw a post on social media about someone else who had also lost a large sum of money
following the same service - so I set about creating Tipsters Review.
Making sure that the reviews posted on the site are transparent, unbiased and impartial
is the most important factor in the functionality of the website. My web design team
built a vigorous spam filter system that assesses numerous factors before allowing a
review to be accepted on to the site. (Unique IP addresses, unique emails, timing,
targeting, language, content etc.)
3. Would you tell us a little about the Tipsters Review site? What can it offer
potential punters and how does it differ from other services on the market?
The Key difference Tipsters Review has to any other review site is the origin of the
reviews. All our reviews come from real punters with real experiences; there are over
2500 reviews on the website from fellow gamblers that we can all relate to.
There are lots of other great review sites out there offering professional opinions but I
think the views of punters who have been there and done it are invaluable. It is much
like buying a product from Amazon or booking a holiday using Trip Advisor - we all
want to know what people with previous experience think of it.
Aside from the reviews another feature that is becoming increasingly popular are the
“live 7-day tipster trials” that I started running back in August. Every week we conduct
a live 7 day trial on one of the services featured on the website.
In doing this it allows all our members to sample life as a full member to a wide variety
of services without paying.
4. What traits do you think a good tipster of any sport should possess?
Honesty honesty honesty. Without it nothing else they can offer has any real value!
5. What do you think the average punter is looking for in a tipping service?
Again, even before looking at the profits you need to know how honest and transparent
any particular service is. Do they keep full records of tips? Do they proof their
selections to other website's? You then need to know if the service is right for you, just
because it makes X amount of profit doesn’t mean that it will be a good fit for yourself.
How many tips per day do they send out? What time do they send them out? What
staking plan do they use? What size betting bank do they recommend? Don’t be afraid
to email the service and ask them questions.
On top of giving you all the information you need, this will also give you an idea of the
quality of customer service they offer. There are also other important factors to consider
before signing up such as; Do they offer a trial period? Do they have a money back
guarantee? What bookmakers do they advise you to bet with? Oh, and of course don’t
forget to check them out on Tipsters Review to see what fellow punters think!
6. Do you like a gamble yourself and if so what approach do you take to your
gambling? Are there any services which you would personally recommend?
Due to time restraints I only have the odd "fun" bets these days. I believe that if you’re
serious about making money from gambling, you need to commit some good time in
doing so!
However, when I was betting more or less full time my approach was always to aim for
long term steady profits. After I got over my “mug” punting days I was never one for
chasing the “get rich quick” type of bets which may sound a bit boring but ultimately,
this minimised risk and provided more of a consistent extra income.
As for recommending a service, I think I will let Tipsters Review do the talking on that
one!
7. What about the bookmakers? Within the gambling industry would you like to
see anything changed? There are many criticisms of the bookmakers and there
treatment of their customers? Is this something you have an opinion on?
Well they certainly don’t make it easy for anyone wanting to win money do they!
My belief is that it should be enforced upon them to accept a minimum stake from all
customers no matter how much they have won or lost.
I have signed numerous petitions in the past supporting this case, fingers crossed in the
near future something can be put in place.
8. Do you have any personal success or highlights in your sporting experiences to
date which bring a smile and if so what?
The highlight for me has to be launching the Tipsters Review website and seeing the
first review come through. It was a great feeling seeing all the ideas and hard work
paying off.
In terms of betting highlights, I will never forget the first bet I placed at my local betting
shop, £2 on Milan Baros to be top goal scorer in the euros at 50/1 and it came in.
Unfortunately this was not a sign of things to come and I have since failed to eclipse a
50/1 winner all these years later!
9. Do you have any plans to develop the Tipsters Review service further which you
can tell us about?
I am always looking to improve the service Tipsters Review offers and it has come a
long way since its launch. I do have some very exciting plans for the future but I will be
keeping them to myself for the time being :) .
10. What others interests do you have outside of managing the Tipsters Review
site?
Things are very busy in the Tipsters Review house at the moment, we have our second
child on the way, due in the summer and we also have a wedding to plan, so there isn’t
really anytime for much else other than Sleep!
You can check out the reviews on top tipsters at http://www.betting-school.com/ocptr
© 2016 Blue Delta Marketing Ltd
What really happened to Shergar?
Thirty-three years ago possibly one of the most famous race horses ever, Shergar, was
kidnapped and held for ransom.
He was a stunning large bay colt with a stand out white blaze on his face and four white
“socks”. People knew that face, it was unmistakeable to anyone who held an interest in
the racing world. He had a distinctive running style of racing with his tongue hanging
out and was a gentle and calm horse loved by many.
In his two year old season he had just two races, the first where he set a blistering pace
in his first run at Newbury setting a new course record and the second in what is now
called The Racing Post Trophy at Doncaster where he finished second.
Irish bred and British trained he won the 1981 Derby by a record 10 lengths, which to
date is the longest winning margin. He continued to impress all by then going on to win
the Irish Derby and the King George and became one of the most valuable racehorses in
the world at that time and went on to be named European Horse of the Year.
The plan was to finish Shergar’s racing career with the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe but
his retirement came earlier than expected when he finished an unexplained 4th in the St
Leger at Doncaster. This was his only failure as a three year old when he failed to stay
the extended 14f.
His jockey, Walter Swinburn, was sending out signs with just 2f to go that things were
not right and Shergar finished behind Cut Above a horse he had beaten earlier in the
season in the Irish Derby. The belief of many was that ultimately Shergar would go to
the US for syndication after his racing career ended as the monies on offer over there
were reportedly in the realm of $40 million; however his owner had other ideas.
Shergar’s owner was the Aga Khan IV whose late grandfather; Aga Khan III, was
introduced to English horse racing back at the turn of the 20th century. The third Aga
Khan had established a number of powerful breeding and racing operations around the
world by the time of his death in 1957.
Trained by Sir Michael Stoute at Newmarket, and ridden by the “choirboy” Walter
Swinburn, a trainer in his own right now, Shergar was returned to Ireland after his first
winning season where he was syndicated for £10 million between 34 people, each share
of the horse being worth a reported £250,000, and a further six shares were retained by
the Aga Khan himself.
Syndicating Shergar for significantly less than the American breeders were offering
meant that the Aga Khan IV was able to keep one of the best racehorses in the world
close to hand.
During his first season at stud Shergar “covered” 35 mares and owners paid up to
£80,000 a time for the privilege of owning one of his offspring.
As his second season at stud approached the expectation was that during 1983 he would
cover a further 55 mares and that his legacy would live on in his progeny for years to
come. The career ahead of him at stud was going to be a distinguished one, but aged just
five years old certain individuals had other ideas and on the evening of February 8th
1983 fate intervened and Shergar was kidnapped.
Everyone both in the UK and Ireland were determined that they were going to get him
back, there was a massive media storm (we can only imagine with the advent of social
media how big that storm would have been in today’s terms), and the Dublin police also
offered a reward for his return which was worth almost £300,000 in today’s money.
Tens of British journalists headed to Co Kildare and the then Chief Superintendent
James “Spud” Murphy became the face of the media as he tried to use psychics and
mediums to solve the case of the missing horse. On his first media interview he told
reporters that he was “slightly concerned” about the theft of Shergar and he added that
“a stallion” “cannot be kept by someone who is not well up in the horsey field.”
The sad fact is that Murphy was portrayed as the bumbling Inspector Clouseau but the
real problem for Murphy was that he was totally unprepared for the international
attention that the theft created.
He had previously been a prominent player in the investigation of Ireland’s most
notorious art theft where nineteen master pieces were stolen and held for ransom to fund
weapons for the IRA. Murphy was part of the team that tracked and eventually arrested
Bridget Rose Dugdale the major player in the heist, so he was no stranger to big cases.
But who stole Shergar and why, and more importantly what happened to the horse?
There are numerous stories as to what actually happened to Shergar, and in truth no-one
will ever know, but who stole him is strongly believed to have been the work of the
Irish Republican Army (IRA).
Shortly after 8pm Jim Fitzgerald, Shergar’s head groom who lived on site at the stud
yard opened the door to be face with two masked gunmen, one of whom turned to
Fitzgerald and said “We have come for Shergar. We want £2 million for him”.
Kidnapped from his stable in County Kildare in the height of the troubles in Ireland,
Shergar was to be held for ransom.
The gunmen forced Fitzgerald toward Shergar’s stable and on arriving there Fitzgerald
found a further six masked gunmen who proceeded to force the groom to load Shergar
in to a horsebox they had brought along. They then forced Fitzgerald in to a car with
them while holding a gun to him, two of the men remaining behind and keeping his
family at gunpoint to ensure his silence. After giving him a code word to be used during
the ransom negotiations, and driving around for three hours he was dumped on the side
of the road.
Fitzgerald says, "I can still remember that night in that car with them lads. All sorts of
thoughts were racing through my head about what they might do to me. One of them,
with the revolver, was very aggressive," Mr. Fitzgerald told the Telegraph in an
interview.
No one really knows why it took a further five hours for the police to be informed but it
is reported that after being dumped Fitzgerald found his way to a telephone and rang his
brother. Following on from this call a series of further calls were made between the
shareholders, the vet, racing associates and at least two Irish cabinet Ministers who were
informed prior to the police being advised of the incident.
All in all eight hours had already passed before anyone had even started looking for the
missing horse, the kidnappers could have driven anywhere!
The kidnapper’s advantage was further exacerbated by Fitzgerald’s reluctance to give
the police any information regarding details of the vehicles used by the gunmen.
Naturally he was concerned for the welfare of his family and he had been warned what
would happen if he spoke to the police.
In addition, the kidnappers had been very clever in ensuring that the police investigation
would be a difficult one as they had chosen the day before Ireland’s big Goff racehorse
sale to kidnap Shergar. There were so many horseboxes driving around the countryside
that it would have been nigh on impossible to differentiate which box contained the
stolen horse.
The painstaking search by the police did eventually start with the public being
encouraged to check every stable, barn and outbuilding as the speculation grew that the
IRA had taken him. It was a time when the IRA was at the height of their powers,
fearless in their “task” and in dire need of cash to support the purchase of the arms for
the paramilitary wing.
There was silence, the kidnappers made no contact until some 24 hours after the
kidnapping.
Negotiations eventually began with a representative of the Aga Khan over the
telephone, the kidnappers ensuring that they were never on the phone long enough to be
traced, but little did they know that the syndicate had collectively agreed not to pay any
ransom for Shergar.
The kidnappers had failed to realise that Shergar belonged to a syndicate and was not
solely owned by the Aga Khan and the syndicate was of the opinion that if they made a
payment it would open the flood gates for the potential for any racehorse to be held to
ransom and many like Shergar were worth serious amounts of money.
Mind you even if any of the members had wanted to pay it was highly likely that the
Garda would have blocked any ransom payment.
Eventually the kidnappers agreed that they would negotiate with a racing journalist, a
man called Derek Thompson, yes that Derek Thompson, and he flew to Belfast. On
arrival he said “It was like being a film star, there were cameras all around”.
Sadly, after several failed attempts to demand money for the safe return of the Shergar
Thompson received a phone call where the kidnappers advised "The horse has had an
accident. He's dead."
There are a number of ideas which surround what may have actually happened to
Shergar one of which was that as he was in such a frightened state that an accident of
some kind occurred while in a frenzied panic and he was killed because his captors
couldn’t handle him.
Shergar's former jockey Walter Swinburn however said that he had “…never gone
along with the theory that he was too hard to control because he was the quietest,
gentlest horse, with a bombproof temperament." Other suggestions are more gruesome.
A former IRA member reported told the Sunday Telegraph: "Shergar was machine
gunned to death. There was blood everywhere and the horse even slipped on his own
blood. There was lots of cussing and swearing because the horse wouldn't die. It was a
very bloody death."
Most of the syndicate members had purchased insurance to protect their investment in
the horse and some of them had policies which covered them for death OR theft of
Shergar. There was no doubt that the horse had been stolen and theft claims were paid
in full by the end of a year, but those who only had mortality cover were going to be
unable to collect on the insurance without proof of the death of the horse.
Every now and then a package from someone who makes the claim that they have found
the remains of Shergar finds its way to the Irish Equine Centre addressed to a well-
known equine veterinarian and clinical pathologist, Des Leadon who works at the
centre. He keeps under lock and key a DNA sample from Shergar as a reference so that
if one day the horses remains are found then there can be no doubt that they belong to
the horse, and the story can be laid to rest.
Other snippets of information pertaining to the investigation continue to surface such as
a controversially highly redacted cover sheet for an FBI memo which suggests that the
gang which stole Shergar may well have relocated themselves to Spain; however any
files on this matter apparently remain closed. No-one has ever admitted the theft of
Shergar. The body has never been found.
The most valuable horse in the world disappeared without trace, and so the kidnap
continues to be one of those stories which remain very sensitive among many in Ireland
given the inability of any of the authorities to be able to locate the horse, or even
identify the men who were responsible for his kidnap.
The IRA have never officially admitted that they were responsible for the kidnapping
and many of the individuals involved in the story have died now, and many others are
reluctant to talk about the kidnapping, but still, more than 30 years after the event the
kidnap of Shergar and his undeniable untimely death continues to be one of horse
racing’s most famous cold cases.
Shergar’s story has been the inspiration for numerous books, documentaries, together
with a number of film productions. You can see a selection on Amazon -
http://amazon.co.uk
© 2016 Blue Delta Marketing Ltd
Tipster Profile
This month’s Tipster Profile takes a look at Andy Wilson and Shaun Roberts the guys
behind the Biscayne Bets tipping service.
(Discount trial offer at the end of this article)
These two guys are happy to have a laugh and enjoy life but don’t be fooled, they are
equally as passionate in their professional life with their soul aim being to ensure that
their profitable product remains exactly that, profitable.
With more than 20 years’ experience in the racing industry they are well connected to
various “sources” given their location close to the racing industry’s headquarters in
Newmarket.
So, what do they put their success down to? This can be summed up in one simple
word, consistency. Even during periods of losing runs which are inevitable for all
services maintaining a consistent approach has been their key word for profitable
success.
They admit that they are in a very privileged position in that a close friend of theirs used
to be a handicap race specialist based at a top yard in Newmarket, and as the saying
goes it’s not what you know but who you know, and he has passed on his wealth of
knowledge to these guys.
On a daily basis they will sit down and analyse the days racing using the techniques
they have been provided with and, together with their own acquired knowledge, will
flag up particular trends, form, jockey bookings and class bias which gives them a good
indication of when a particular horse is primed to strike or being lined up by a trainer
for a particular race and the horse can be considered a value bet.
Like all of us though their success came as a result of a learning curve and the guys
openly admit that they have made many mistakes over the years. Trying different
approaches throughout the time they have dedicated to horse racing and gambling has
led them to where they are today.
They have had to refine their selection processes and endeavour to always review their
methods and make adjustments where necessary in enhancing their approach. They feel
that this has worked well and they are very satisfied with the service they offer and the
Return On Investment currently being met.
The bulk of their selections are geared around the handicap races with the odd maiden
race here and there. Like many of us they are not particularly interested in the short
priced bets and will search out the value bets. Short priced selections require a
phenomenal strike rate to return a healthy profit and whether we like to admit it or not
we all encounter losing runs so value is the only way to make a profit in the long term.
They also admit to having a particular interest in choosing certain selections based on
breeding but predominantly they stick to a well-structured and systematic analysis
approach.
Depending on a number of factors they will look to put in at least four hours of study
every day, there is no other way to find the selections, it requires a time commitment,
and normally they will produce recommended tips every day. There can obviously be
exceptions when racing is poor, but they work hard to get the selections out early in the
morning so that subscribers can achieve the best odds possible.
They openly admit that there is no pure science to being successful at betting, there have
been years of hard work, late nights, plenty of frustration and a lot of refinement, but
they have learnt a lot on the journey to where they are now. They don’t see it as
gambling, it’s their business and winners are profits and it is no different to having a full
order book, losers are the expenses, and yes there are times when it can be a very bad
day at the office. As long as at the end of the month the expenses are kept to a minimum
and the orders keep coming in, a positive bottom line is all that matters.
Horse racing is their passion day in and day out so that certainly helps to ensure that the
business runs smoothly, having a passion about your work means you can give it your
all. What gets them up in the morning is horse racing, but for others it may equally be
two flies crawling up a wall.
If it is profitable and pays don’t knock it but the guys specialise in what they are best at.
The one question which you can guarantee will always be asked of any tipping service
is, if you are successful with your selections and your own gambling, why would you
want to sell your tips to others?
The guys do bet on their own selections and have made long term profits doing so, but
they feel that with the numerous scams which are being produced via the internet they
have to demonstrate a reputable platform and promotion model. Betfan and its
subsidiaries offer them that platform as it has already built a reputation which is both
professional and transparent. The “Academy” model in Tipster Planet offers services the
opportunity to prove themselves as a viable, consistent and profitable service before
being launched to potential members and subscribers.
The most rewarding thing for the guys at Biscayne Bets is that buzz of when the
winners and the results are tallied up at the end of the month. They feel that if they can
share that feeling and help their subscribers step in to the world of serious investment
then that is fine with them.
They also feel strongly that any potential punter when searching for a tipster worth
following should look for an honest, consistent and reliable service. The long term
objective should be to achieve a profit but using sensible staking levels and also
importantly a sensible staking plan. All emotion has to be taken out of the equation and
both the punter and the service provider need to treat the gambling as a business, they
can’t emphasise this enough. It is easy to become emotional and from that emotion
emerges irrationality.
We all read often the situation regarding the bookmakers “closing” of accounts or
virtual closing by restricting your stake to the smallest amount possible. So what is the
guy’s advice when it comes to minimising the impact of this bookmaker behaviour?
First up they suggest opening as many accounts as you can and spread your bets across
those accounts. By spreading the bets you are minimising the chances of being flagged
by the bookmaker as a potential risk account. Also do NOT open multiple accounts “in
the wife’s name” etc., the bookmakers these days are well set up to monitor post codes
and addresses.
Sadly bookmakers although on the surface smile and encourage you to bet with them,
they are a business too and are in that business to make profits. If they see a potential
threat to those profits then, like any business, they will cut the ties. Of course you
always have the Betting Exchanges and as long as they make their commissions then
they are not going to be interested in restricting you. They make money whether you
win or lose.
The exchanges will more than likely offer shorter odds on the early prices but as long as
you are making a good return on your money that shouldn’t be an issue.
So why should you join their service over and above anyone else’s? Hopefully their
results speak for themselves.
Since the service commenced in September 2015 they have produced over 730 points
profit, and in fact 2016 alone has already produced more than 150 points to best odds
guaranteed and advised stakes!
On Course Profit readers can try Biscayne Bets for just £5 + Vat using this special
link http://hop.betfanplus.com/10099/7/discount/23/ba8uje7y
© 2016 Blue Delta Marketing Ltd
Summer National Hunt Racing
It is very easy for us to get caught up in the prestige of the Flat season once it gets
started that we forget that the National Hunt campaign continues now throughout the
year. As a matter of course our punting switches from one race code to another.
We follow our chasers when the weather is gloomy and grey and see them purely as an
aside once the summer sunshine arrives. We are sure that we are probably all guilty of
this, but why? A little investigation will show us that there are profitable angles to be
had during the summer jump meetings too if we know where to look.
We do have to pick and choose, we are aware of this, as there are undoubtedly instances
where a horse will be running so that the owners can have a jolly jaunt out on a sunny
afternoon, but there are also those horses which much prefer the firmer footing of the
ground during the summer months.
G L Moore
Gary Moore (G L Moore) operates from the Cisswood Racing Stables at Sandygate
Lane in Horsham, West Sussex and is the largest dual purpose trainer in the UK. The
stable is very much a family affair with his wife Jayne playing an important support role
and children Jamie, Joshua and Hayley also lending significant hands.
They originally started from home built stables located opposite the Brighton racecourse
but later moved to Cisswood in 2007.
The stables have top class training facilities and are set in 180 acres of woodland and
countryside allowing horses to be turned out to grass whenever necessary.
He has always been held in high regard with his big handicap hurdlers but is also a
respected All Weather trainer.
We have mentioned him in previous issues but he also merits a mention with regard to
his summer jumpers.
Over the past three years he has produced 49 placed horses from 161 runners over the
summer jumps during the months of May to August inclusive, including 27 winners.
Interestingly though the majority of those winners have occurred in the past two years.
Is Mr Moore looking to capitalise on the summer jumping circuit while other National
Hunt trainers are off on their holidays with their feet up?
So, if you had been backing his summer jumpers to win over the past two years you
would have cleared over 70 points profit to £1.00 Level Stakes (LS) using Industry
Starting Prices (ISP).
Not surprisingly he has twice as many runners in the handicap races as non handicaps
and this is where the bulk of the profits have come from.
In fact with the Non Handicap runners the winners were priced 9/2, 4/1, 4/5, 11/4, 20/1,
6/4 and 11/4.
Without that 20/1 winner we would undoubtedly have been looking at a sizeable loss
with the Non-Handicap runners.
Our handicap runners have a pretty even strike rate over the past two years.
Handicap Runners Only 1
And in fact splitting our results out to show the monthly results there have been in fact
just 3 months out of the 8 where we would have seen a very small loss, and we are
happy to stomach that given the overall results.
August 2015 did have both a 20/1 and a 10/1 winner from the 4 winners during that
month, but without these we would still have seen a profit.
The Place Strike Rate may suggest that an Each Way betting approach may be
beneficial, but when we look at the results in depth we find that overall we would have
made slightly less profit.
The prices of the 15 winners varied from 11/10 out to 20/1, and 12 of these have been
greater than 4/1, but 12 of those winners came from his 4yr old + handicap hurdlers.
If you had backed the 47 selections at Betfair SP you would have in fact enhanced your
profits to 101.14 to level stakes.
That equates to a 215% return on your investment.
So, on this basis we would suggest a straight back to win approach on Gary
Moore’s Handicap Hurdlers (Aged 4 +) is worthy of our time this year as it will be
interesting to see if these results can be achieved again.
Take Betfair Starting Prices or BOG’s if you can achieve them.
A J Carroll
Tony Carroll operates out of Mill House Racing Stables in Cropthorn Worcestershire,
where the purpose built premises were opened in 2006.
Another dual purpose trainer Carroll sends his horses over the jumps, to the flat and the
all-weather.
A quick look at his national Hunt entries during the months of May-August clearly
shows a positive return over the past five years although the number of selections would
not have been massive.
But it is the most recent two years which have produced the bulk of these profits as with
our hurdles candidate G L Moore.
6 winners from 17 selections during 2014 and 2015 give us a win strike rate of 35% and
interestingly the place success rate is only one better with 7 from 17, so the suggestion
would be if they run well then they win.
The wins were also priced in the main at healthy odds in the betting which is interesting
and therefore indicates that maybe, just maybe, we are looking at a trainer whose entries
during the summer jumping months continue to be missed by many. Priced at 9/1, 16/1,
7/2, 9/1, 17/2 and 12/1 the prices appeal and although as we are historically looking at
just a handful of runners over the summer months we shouldn’t be looking at long
losing runs before achieving a winning bet at a reasonable price.
Again, it is the handicap races he targets with just one selection running in a non
handicap race in the past 2 years.
Don’t be put off if you see the same horse entered in a race during the months in
question on more than one occasion. This may well be because the horse prefers the
firmer going and the summer months may offer the only opportunity for the horse to run
on conditions which suit. 2014 saw Got Attitude run on three separate occasions on
Good and Good/Firm going and win each race. Those three wins returned half of the
profits shown above. And as we have said before a profit is a profit no matter what
avenue it comes from.
Do not disregard a principle just because the sample size is small. It may well be that
the small sample size is small for a reason and it can offer a highly selective and
lucrative approach to your betting.
The key thing here is that we have targeted two trainers who we will be following over
different and very specific codes of racing. This ensures that, as we have learned in the
past may happen, we do not find ourselves looking to back more than one selection in a
race and hence dilute any potential profits.
And finally let’s cover all of the National Hunt bases during the summer months and
take a look at the National Hunt Flat races.
W Greatrex
The stand out performer in recent years seems to have been Warren Greatrex operating
out of Upper Lambourn, Berkshire.
The numbers of runners again are not prolific as we can see but the past three years
have shown excellent strike rates both to win and to place.
During these three years there have been just two out of the 12 months which have
shown a small loss (the largest of which was June last year when we would have lost 3
points), and so on that basis we certainly think it is worth running with this year.
Selections tend to run during the front end of the summer and the winning prices have
varied from 1/2 – 11/1 but in the main have been in single figures and therefore we will
be looking to back the selections to Win.
In addition take note of Seamus Durack entries on the summer National Hunt turf.
Another trainer whose summer runners have had an excellent strike rate over the past
three years.
Numbers of runners are limited, but they tend to come out toward the back end of the
summer months and the returns have been worthy of note offering almost the same level
stakes profit as Greatrex but with almost half the number of runners.
Combining these two trainers over the past three years has provided consistent levels
stakes profits with the worst losing month showing a loss of 2 points back in July 2013.
Acorn 10 – G J Moore / A W Carroll / W Greatrex & S Durack
Applies during the months of May – August inclusive
G J Moore – Back all 4yr old + Handicap Hurdlers to WIN only using BFSP
A W Carroll – Back all Handicap Chasers to WIN only using BFSP
W Greatrex & S Durack – Back all NHF runners to WIN only using BFSP
© 2016 Blue Delta Marketing Ltd
Acorn Updates
Acorn 1 – The Next day Runners
In a previous issue we planted the seed with regards to the possible successes of
following those horses which run on consecutive days, where they go off favourite in
the race if they had run the previous day.
It was an old idea which had originally been picked up on by a few punters out there
way back in 2000.
This was a true “Acorn” as we knew that there would be a very limited number of
selections.
We were concerned with Handicap flat runners ONLY. The premise being that
handicappers are more likely to be run again quite quickly before the handicapper has
the opportunity to raise their handicap mark.
As we were looking at the Flat season we looked to also concern ourselves solely with
the months of April to September only.
2015 produced just 7 selections but of those 2 were winners, Berrahri 11/4 (BFSP –
4.53) and Pour La Victoire 13/2 (BFSP – 7.95).
Resultant Profit 4.96 points (after 5% commission)
Strike Rate: 28.5%
ROI: 70.9%
2016 to date (12th April) – No selections so far but keep a note to watch out for any
potential runners.
Method Recap – Operates for the months of April to September inclusive
UK Racing ONLY, Flat and All Weather ONLY, Handicaps ONLY.
Horse must have run the previous day, Running the next day (today) and going off
Favourite / Co Favourite or Joint Favourite just before the off.
_____________________________________________________________________
Acorn 2 – The Small Field Angle
The small field angle looked at particular jockeys who performed well in those races
with 5 runners or fewer, and we applied the method throughout the year.
In particular we were concerned with the following: Harry Bentley – Flat and AW,
Richard Kingscote – Flat and AW, Fergal Lynch – Flat and AW, Charles Bishop – Flat
Only, Ryan Powell – Flat Only, Michael J M Murphy – Flat and AW.
Bets were to be placed as WIN only and even if the horse was favourite, we had no
price criteria.
The performance for 2015 overall to Level Stakes and Industry Starting Prices was as
follows:
We have little doubt that these figures would have been improved upon if you had used
Betfair Starting Prices.
2016 to date has had 13 selections with 2 winners in Gambit 4/7 and Kemsing 7/2, so it
is still early days but we are expecting a number of potential races on the turf in
particular over the coming months.
______________________________________________________________________
Acorn 3 – Creatures of Habit – Nigel Twiston Davies
Applies to month of October only.
Back to win when priced between Evens and 12/1 all Non Handicap Chasers and
Hurdlers.
We have covered the success of this method previously but to recap 2015 results were
as follows:
Resultant Profit 10.23 points (after 5% commission)
Strike Rate: 18.2%
ROI: 120.3%
______________________________________________________________________
Acorn 4 – The Three Amigos
As we write this Issue The Three Amigos will be coming to a close for this year as the
method operates during the months of November through to the end of April.
The Three Amigos method is as follows:
Trainers to follow: Kevin Bishop, Victor Dartnall and Anthony Honeyball.
Months to follow: November – April inclusive
Race Types to follow: Handicap Hurdles ONLY
Staking: Back selections Each Way
To the date or writing (12th April 2016) the results to Level Stakes profits have been as
follows:
November 2015 – 23 selections / 5 winners / 11 placed – Each Way return + 9.10
December 2015 – 15 selections / 3 winners / 4 placed – Each Way return -4.00
January 2016 – 6 selections / 1 winner / 3 placed – Each Way return -0.42
February 2016 – 14 selections / 1 winner / 3 placed – Each Way return -3.62
March 2016 – 15 selections / 2 winners / 8 placed – Each Way return + 21.50
April 2016 (as at 14/04/16) – 6 selections / 3 winners / 3 placed – Each
Way return +16.50
Current totals based on 1 point each way.
Points profit +39.06
Place Strike Rate: 40.51%
ROI : 24.72%
______________________________________________________________________
Acorn 5 – Something Old Something New
We have shelved this one (well we can’t win all the time).
______________________________________________________________________
Acorn 6 – Profitable Trainers
Jonjo O’Neill runners resulted in us losing 7 points with just 3 of the 7 selections
actually finishing in the places.
Seamus Mullins runners also resulted in a loss with the 11 runners producing 10 each
way selections of which just 2 placed and a loss overall Each Way of -14.62 points.
______________________________________________________________________
Acorn 7 – Here Come The Girls
Jennie Candlish – No Selections to date
• UK Flat runners (excluding All Weather)
• Class 4, 5, 6,7
• Handicap ONLY
• Back to WIN ONLY
5f and 8f – Watching brief.
As the new Flat Turf season kicks in start taking note of the runners for this one, we
think it could well be a profitable one.
Mrs Sheila Crow
• ALL UK runners
• Back to PLACE ONLY
• Use Betfair place market and Betfair Place Starting Prices.
Just 4 runners so far in 2016 and no luck as yet but we will keep with this one as it is
early days.
Tracey Collins
• Irish All Weather runners at DUNDALK
• Runners over 1m or less
• Priced in single figures
• Back to WIN ONLY
Since the beginning of February we have had 4 selections and one winner in Captain
Joy 4/5 (BFSP 1.86).
______________________________________________________________________
Acorn 8 – Here Come The Girls – Part 2
Julie Camacho – No selections to date
Deborah Sanderson – No selections to date
M J Smith – Just one runner to date finished 7th
______________________________________________________________________
Acorn 9 – Early Season Trainers
R M Beckett – 7 selections and 3 winners to date in Hereawi 4/1, Mountain Bell 6/4
and Sightline 9/4
D O’Meara – 17 selections and 2 winners in Alphabetical Order 9/2 and Dandyleekie
12/1.
D K Weld – 13 selections so far with 3 winners, Va Pensiero 100/30, Topaz Clear 11/4
and Harzand 2/1 with Burma Star finishing 2nd having been beaten by less than a
length!
R Hannon Jnr – 4 selections so far with 1 winner from Sterling Silva 7/4
© 2016 Blue Delta Marketing Ltd
Arbitrage – The Timing Is Everything
One common question often asked is “when is the best time to arbitrage trade”, in fact,
is there a best time?
The short answer to both of these questions is, all the time!
No matter what time of the day or night you check in to the betting world the odds are
changing continually and as long as the odds are changing there will always be an
opportunity somewhere for an arb to occur. You just have to be in the right place at the
tight time.
If you use any of the software packages available on the market you will undoubtedly
be finding price changes but you will also be chasing these with the other hundreds of
people using the software so you may find that in fact the very best time to arb is when
all the others are not sat at their pc’s and may well be safely tucked up in their beds.
Now we are not advocating staying up all night, though there is an idea…but we also
need to remember that arbitrage is a global phenomenon and as such there will be
arbitrage traders operating throughout the night over in Australia and New Zealand.
Arbitrage is a strange one though as you can spend all day and all night sitting at the pc
and not catch one single bite of a worthwhile arb, but you can blink and in a matter of
seconds make several hundred pounds as the arbs come along like the proverbial buses.
Needless to say the time you arb will be dependent on the sports you are looking to
trade and in particular trading opportunities can manifest themselves at two particular
times of the day, there are others, but more about them later.
The first time of note is when the bookmakers first post up their odds. A price which is
out of line sufficiently will very easily create a money making opportunity. Bookmakers
will post up at various times and finding exactly when is nigh on impossible to
establish, but, having said that, certain times of the day can be more lucrative than
others.
Analysis confirms that bookmakers post their odds for certain sports at certain times of
the day, give or take a half an hour here or there and if you are aware of this then you
can take advantage of this knowledge.
The second time is shortly before the start of a particular sporting event: Bookmakers
may well be looking to balance their books and take more money on one side of an
event than another. For example, trading the NFL American Football where matches
start at 6 pm and around 9 pm (UK time) on a Sunday evening means that you would be
advised to be sitting at your pc and logged on an hour or so prior to these kick off times.
There are of course other factors which mean that the lines, or the odds, can move for an
event.
“Team News” is one such piece of information which can have a significant effect on
the odds. For example if Messi isn’t playing for Barcelona this evening then the price
on them winning their match will almost certainly lengthen. Any injuries to key players
will have a similar effect and this kind of news does not just affect football. You only
need to watch what happens if one of the major “superstar” players pulls out of a
basketball match.
Watch also for those mid-week football fixtures where the team are also playing again
at the weekend. If they win well mid-week you can be sure that their odds will shorten
on their weekend match.
We can also profit from that other wonderful football novelty, the manager merry go
round. How many sackings are there every season, too many some may say. Well when
a manager or senior coach leaves a club you can guarantee that the prices will move on
that teams next match fixture.
It used to be that the market would also be influenced by the American tipsters who
were able to use their influence on the markets quite effectively.
If the “hot tipster” suggested that the Miami Dolphins should beat the handicap this
time around then the price would shorten considerably.
Sadly the demise of betting in the US has bought this avenue to a close, but you can see
how the principle can be applied elsewhere.
It is worth remembering though that it is not just the time of day which can make your
work more productive and more importantly profitable.
A calendar of forthcoming sporting events is a very handy tool to have in the arbitrage
armoury. Make sure you know when all of the major events are taking place, the tennis
and gold majors are often lucrative and along with the host of other events going on
around the world at any one time you can start to plan your time to make the most of
your efforts.
Don’t go booking your holidays at the same time as the Wimbledon fortnight or you
will probably miss out on some decent arbing opportunities and of course no
professional arbitrager will even contemplate going on holiday at the same time as the
World Cup that just wouldn’t bear thinking about.
The key to any arb is the differing opinions of the bookmakers; their differences are
what create those arbing opportunities. There are occasions when it is pure fact that
Manchester United gets drawn against a team such as Shrewsbury Town in the good old
English FA Cup, but how on earth to the bookmakers price up that match? Okay sure,
we know that Manchester United will be priced up as favourites but what price do the
bookmakers price them up at, and what on earth do they do about the pricing for
Shrewsbury Town? What if Man Utd decided that they are going to field a weaker team
and rest some of their more important star players? The bookmaker has to find a way to
price the teams up and this can undoubtedly cause them a few headaches and also see
them out of line with their colleagues at other bookmakers.
As long as all of these types of variables are around, such as injuries, sackings,
mismatched fixtures then there will always be a potential for an arbitrage opportunity.
We have touched previously on the betting coupons available in the betting shops
around the UK and these are another source where there will be changes in the odds
which can be capitalised on. Admittedly it appears to be getting more and more difficult
for arbitragers to get sufficient funds on in the betting shops on these coupons to make
some of these opportunities worth their while but it is still possible, particularly if you
are prepared to travel a little further afield and to a shop that maybe doesn’t see your
friendly face too often.
© 2016 Blue Delta Marketing Ltd
Product Reviews
We are pleased to report on a number of services with positive results, and we also have
a few looking as though they may have potential.
Cost: First 30 days £1.00 thereafter £29.95 per month or £69.95 per quarter
The Trial: The trial for this service, which comes from the Betting Gods stable,
commenced mid-January.
To date we have received 101 lay selections, of which 84 have been successful at an
average Betfair price of 5.42.
All of the lays are made to 1 point at the prevailing Betfair Starting Price (BSP) and the
profit after allowing 5% commission currently stands at 24.45 points.
A further full month for review will give us an even better picture.
Conclusion: This is one of the most consistent laying services we have reviewed to
date. We would certainly consider adding this to any portfolio of services.
You can find out more by visiting the website
Cost: £24.00 + VAT every 28 days or £48.00 + VAT every 90 days.
The Trial: After just two months we ceased receiving the advices from Howards Eye-
Catchers which, in truth, didn’t really feel like any loss.
During the period we received the selections our total advises received was 89 of which
11 were winners, but our loss overall was to the tune of almost 67 points based on
staking of between 1 and 3 points per selection.
Conclusion: One to be avoided in our opinion, though if you are interested to find out
for yourself you can do so by visiting the service here.
Cost: £37.00 + VAT every 28 days or £74.00 + VAT every 90 days
The Trial: Unfortunately our 3 month trial has now ended and we say unfortunately as
this is one service which we have been very pleased with.
Our final results overall show 83 selections of which there were 23 winning bets and a
resultant profit of almost 37 points.
With a Return on Investment of 13.50% we feel that this is a realistic return which can
be offered with a strong degree of consistency.
Conclusion: Well worth your serious consideration. Find out more by visiting the
website.
Cost: £57.00 + VAT every 28 days or £99.00 + VAT every 90 days
The Trial: This is another trial which has come to its conclusions and unlike Maximum
Racing Profits we are afraid to say that this service continued with its poor performance.
Our final position at the end of the trial of 200 selections was a resultant 26 winners and
an overall loss of 190 points!
Conclusion: Not one to be recommended, but you can find out more here.
Cost: £7.00 for the first month and then £27.00 per month or £57.00 per quarter.
The Trial: yet another positive month for Statpicks with 12 winners from 43 selections
and a profit for the latest month of 17.50 points.
Overall we are currently standing at 33 winning bets from the 128 selections received
and almost 38 points profit which equates to a Return On Investment of just short of
30%.
You may find that on occasions there is a quart or half a point shaved off the prices
achieved but our results have still proven very positive.
Conclusion. Highly recommended - Find out more here.
Cost: £7.00 for the first 7 days then £90.00 every 90 days.
The Trial: Another trial which has come to an end is that of Lay Bet Profits.
The latest month has in fairness recovered almost all of the previous losses incurred
during our trial; however, just managing to break even after 3 months before even
taking in to account the costs of subscriptions to the service means better results are
needed.
Conclusion: Not recommended, but you can find out more here.
Cost: £49.00 monthly / £99.00 quarterly / £279.00 yearly
The Trial – This football tipping service changed its approach during our trial and
instead of backing the advised teams as singles and as a double all of the selections
were advised to be backed as double bets only.
The email delivery for the service has been a little erratic at times and there were six
days where there were no selections at all however of the doubles advised were winning
bets at advised prices of between/ 4/6 and 4/1.
Our shortest priced winning double was Bayern Munich and Borussia
Monchengladbach and the largest priced being in the International Friendlies with
Ukraine and Northern Ireland.
The strike rate of 58% resulted in a profit of almost 12 points based on level stakes, so
although this is a way off from recovering the losses for the previous two months it is a
start and hopefully an indication that the service is returning to winning ways.
Conclusion: Awaiting final review but in the meantime you can find out more here.
Cost: Dependent on desired contract
The Trial: With this service you pay for your profit in advance of receiving the
selections with the aim being that the tips make the profit for you.
Our target has been 50 points but at the end of last month our returns had gone
backwards so for the contract to be honoured the service needed to produce for us 70
points of profit.
With 58 selections under our belt, and backing between 1 and 5 points per selection we
have had 16 winning selections and a number of placed selections we have sadly
slipped a little further in to the red.
As things stand now we need 75 points to complete the deal. We are not giving up so
we will update again next time.
Conclusion: Under review. Find out more here
© 2016 Blue Delta Marketing Ltd
Top Ten Tipsters
Looking back over the last three months clearly demonstrates that the levels of profits
suggested by some services of 200-300% Return on Investment are almost impossible
to achieve long term.
It is unlikely that any service can maintain these levels of returns indefinitely.
Finding a service whose approach is one which can offer a much steadier and consistent
return with carefully selected tips is certainly more preferable.
All figures are based on Best Odds Guaranteed to Advised Stakes
1. Value Backing Extra – Strike Rate 21% ROI 51%
The Value Backing service has consistently delivered positive profits and continues to
do so with the service concentrating on the bigger race meetings, but in between, and
for those who like a more regular punt, there are the Value Backing Extra tips which
also come as part of the service. Prices of the selections vary but as the name suggests
value is the key.
Find out more about the service here
2. Early Odds – Strike Rate 26% ROI 45%
Since mid-January this service has been on the up and up with steady profits being
regularly added.
The latest winners, Card Game 7/2 and Attain 8/1 are an example of the prices of the
runners selected but they do go in for a larger priced selection every now and then. They
quite often find themselves suffering a case of seconditis, but this in itself is a positive
as it suggests they are certainly picking those which intend to run to their best.
Find out more about the service
3. The Serious Betting Club – Strike Rate 39% ROI 39%
February and March were positive months for this service with their profits peaking in
mid-March. Since then they have managed well to maintain much of the profits earned.
Find out more about the service
4. Russell Blair Racing – Strike Rate 16% ROI 35%
The strike rate for Russell Blair Racing is low in comparison to many of their
counterparts however a ROI of 35% is one we would be very happy with. Finding
winners at 20/1 such as Roudee and Insolenceoffice is not an easy task but find them
they do.
Find out more about the service
5. Winning Way – Strike Rate 32% ROI 30%
Winning Way peaked at the end of January and in truth it has been a roller-coaster since
but they are maintaining their head above water and if they can find more winners like
Ubak 20/1 things should remain positive.
Find out more about the service
6. Weekend Racing – Strike Rate 45% ROI 30%
As the name suggests the service concentrates on the weekend meetings. A good strike
rate so far and sine the end of January they have maintained positive results.
Find out more about the service
7. Paul Lines SureFire Tips – Strike Rate 27% ROI 23%
The SureFire Tips were a little hit and miss in March but April has started off on a
blinder with Diamond Vine and Dream Ally winning priced at 10/1, and Loughlader
16/1 to name a few.
Find out more about the service
8. Maximum Racing Profits – Strike Rate 34% ROI 21%
Maximum Racing Profits was desperately in the red in mid-January but the results since
have been worthy. Selections of note have been Miss Lillie 6/1, Welease Brian 8/1, and
Portway Flyer 17/2
Find out more about the service
9. Lucky 7 Naps – Strike Rate 22% ROI 18%
Lucky 7 Naps have been lucky with one or two big priced winners usually carrying
them through, however their latest month has shown a little more consistency with
Suqoor 8/1, Kemsing 8/1, Kylla Instinct 5/1, and Librisa Breeze 4/1
Find out more about the service
10. Unity Racing Club – Strike Rate 20% ROI 15%
Another service which has benefited from the spring weather is the Unity Racing Club.
The end of March saw a nice win with Insolenceoffice 12/1 (Advd) and they have been
maintaining a good level of profit since the end of February.
Find out more about the service
© 2016 Blue Delta Marketing Ltd