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THE GLOBAL ANALYST | MARCH 2014 3 EDITORIAL A s the fiscal year 2013-14 draws to an end, India Inc. must be heaving a sigh of relief after facing a tumultuous year during which scams and scandals kept tumbling out one after another, rocking the entire nation as it watched in disbelief. And now the news of rising NPAs which has been grabbing headlines for sometime now gives rise to the concern about banking sector’s robustness. In fact, recent troubles at the embattled United Bank of India (UBI) clearly underline the fact that if appropriate measures are not initiated at the earliest the troubles could even spread to more banks. However, it is not to say that the central bank is not aware of the NPA crisis that has begun to trouble a growing number of banks. As per a Mint report, in December last, the Reserve Bank of India restrained the Kolkata- headquartered UBI from advancing a loan of more than Rs.10 crore to any single borrower and barred it from restructuring stressed loans. The absolute level of restructured assets and NPAs together is around 10 per cent and that’s not a comfortable level,” the RBI governor Raghuram Rajan had said in an October interview to Mint. The troubles on the NPA front have already begun to hit banking sector’s bottom lines. A number of PSBs reported lower profit numbers during the October-December quarter of 2013-14. Industry experts warn of further troubles ahead as the economic growth continues to remain sluggish, while interest rates remain high which could hurt corporate profitability and in turn constrain their ability to repay loans. A recent study by industry body Assocham adds to the fear. It forecasts NPAs to deteriorate further to reach Rs 1,50,000 crore mark by the end of the FY14 due to the lag effect on asset quality in relation to the state of the economy. Gross NPAs as on September 30, 2013 stood at Rs 2,29,007 crore, 27 per cent higher when compared to Rs 1,79,891 crore as of March 31, 2013 for the 40 listed banks, mentioned the Assocham paper. One of the major reasons, according to the paper, is the guided lending for banks. Besides, factors such as faulty credit management, lack of professionalism in the work force, unscientific repayment schedule, mis- utilization of loans by user, lack of timely legal solution to cases filed in different courts, political interference at local levels and waiver of loans by government have also been contributing to mounting NPAs in India, the paper says. It’s not that the reasons have not been known earlier, but the big question is: were the policymakers and regulators slow in responding to the situation and initiate timely and effective measures. While it’s easy to put the blame on the banking sector for its growing NPA woes, but the corporate sector too needs to share some burden. Every time a loan becomes a bad asset or an NPA, it deprives a needy, prospective corporate borrower of the access to funds and hence can impact its growth. But a much bigger impact can be seen on economy as lack of credit in the system, led by a rise in bad debts, could raise cost of capital for the corporate sector, in general, thereby hurting their growth. Another major worry stems from the growing cases of import alerts and warning letters from the USFDA to several domestic drug makers. In recent times, a number of Indian pharmaceutical firms have invited wrath of the US drug regulator over quality lapses and poor compliance with production standards. These examples really raise alarm bells for India Inc. Needless to say there is a need to raise the bar when it comes to corporate governance and transparency. While these alone cannot treat all ails impacting the domestic corporate sector, they could go a long way in helping the industry put itself on a path of growth and long-term prosperity. May FY15 bring a new dawn of hope. editor - D Nagavender Rao managing editor - N Janardhan Rao editorial director - Amit Singh Sisodiya advisory board Dr. Paritosh Basu, Former Group Controller, Essar Group N Harinath Reddy, Advocate & Sr. Partner, H&B Law Offices (Hyd) Sanjay Banka, Chief Financial Officer Landmark Group, Saudi Arabia Prashant Gupta, IIT-K, IIM-L, CEO - Edunirvana Dr David Wyss, Former Chief Economist, S&P & Visiting Fellow, Watson Institute at Brown University. NY, US Dean Baker, Economist and Co-founder Center for Economic and Policy, Washington, US William Gamble, President, Emerging Market Strategies, US Andrew K P Leung, International and Independent China, Specialist at Andrew Leung, International Consultants, Hong Kong M G Warrier, Former GM, RBI CEO - Syed H Maqsood Executive Director - D N Singh Marketing Head - Amita Singh Sales Head – Mumbai - Freeda Bhati 098330 14501 | [email protected] Sales Head Chennai - Emmanuel Rozario 098844 91851 | [email protected] research team Surya Prakashini (Proof Reader), Anjaneya Naga Sai Prashanth Vijaya Lakshmi, Naga Lakshmi, GV Tarun, Mahesh, Nagaswara Rao and MSV Subba Rao SUBSCRIPTION Payment to be made by crossed Cheque/DD drawn in favor of “MEDIA FIVE PUBLICATIONS (P) Ltd.” Payable at Hyderabad. KNOWLEDGE PARTNER - Target Research & Consulting ADVERTISEMENT ENQUIRIES Media Five Publications (P) Ltd. #302, Kautilya Complex, 6-3-652, Beside Medinova, Somajiguda, Hyderabad - 82, AP, India Cell: +91- 9247 769 383 | 988 545 1717 SEND YOUR FEEDBACK/ARTICLES TO The Editor, The Global ANALYST Submit through our website - www.theglobalanalyst.co Email: mediafi[email protected] COVER PRICE : Rs. 100/- subscription details (See inside for offer details) By Post By Courier 1 Year (12 Issues) Rs. 1200/- Rs. 1700/- 2 Years (24 Issues) Rs. 2400/- Rs. 3400/- overseas subscriptions 1 Year (12 Issues) $180 2 Years (24 Issues) $330 design & layout - Creative Graphics Designers WEB DESIGNERS - Y L Narayana Theerdha, Team Leader, K Krishna Reddy, Krishna Chaitanya Printed at Sai Kiran Graphics, RTC ‘X’ Roads, Hyderabad-20. Published on behalf of Media Five Publications (P) Ltd, #302, Kautalya Complex, 6-3-652, Beside Medinova, Somajiguda, Hyderabad - 500082, AP (India). n ©All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or copied in any form by any means without prior written permission. n e views expressed in this publication are purely personal judgements of the authors and do not reflect the views of Media Five Publications (P) Ltd. n e views expressed by outside contributors represent their personal views and do not necessarily the views of the organizations they represent. n All efforts are made to ensure that the published information is correct. Media Five Publications is not responsible for any errors caused due to oversight or otherwise. Published & Edited by D Nagavender Rao March 2014 VOL. 3 | NO.3 Amit Singh Sisodiya Bidding Adieu - The Forgettable FY14

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The Global AnAlyst | march 2014 3

EDITORIAL

As the fiscal year 2013-14 draws to an end, India Inc. must be heaving a sigh of relief after facing a tumultuous year during which scams and scandals kept tumbling out one after another, rocking the entire

nation as it watched in disbelief. And now the news of rising NPAs which has been grabbing headlines for sometime now gives rise to the concern about banking sector’s robustness. In fact, recent troubles at the embattled United Bank of India (UBI) clearly underline the fact that if appropriate measures are not initiated at the earliest the troubles could even spread to more banks.However, it is not to say that the central bank is not aware of the NPA crisis that has begun to trouble a growing number of banks. As per a Mint report, in December last, the Reserve Bank of India restrained the Kolkata-headquartered UBI from advancing a loan of more than Rs.10 crore to any single borrower and barred it from restructuring stressed loans. The absolute level of restructured assets and NPAs together is around 10 per cent and that’s not a comfortable level,” the RBI governor Raghuram Rajan had said in an October interview to Mint. The troubles on the NPA front have already begun to hit banking sector’s bottom lines. A number of PSBs reported lower profit numbers during the October-December quarter of 2013-14. Industry experts warn of further troubles ahead as the economic growth continues to remain sluggish, while interest rates remain high which could hurt corporate profitability and in turn constrain their ability to repay loans. A recent study by industry body Assocham adds to the fear. It forecasts NPAs to deteriorate further to reach Rs 1,50,000 crore mark by the end of the FY14 due to the lag effect on asset quality in relation to the state of the economy. Gross NPAs as on September 30, 2013 stood at Rs 2,29,007 crore, 27 per cent higher when compared to Rs 1,79,891 crore as of March 31, 2013 for the 40 listed banks, mentioned the Assocham paper. One of the major reasons, according to the paper, is the guided lending for banks. Besides, factors such as faulty credit management, lack of professionalism in the work force, unscientific repayment schedule, mis-utilization of loans by user, lack of timely legal solution to cases filed in different courts, political interference at local levels and waiver of loans by government have also been contributing to mounting NPAs in India, the paper says. It’s not that the reasons have not been known earlier, but the big question is: were the policymakers and regulators slow in responding to the situation and initiate timely and effective measures. While it’s easy to put the blame on the banking sector for its growing NPA woes, but the corporate sector too needs to share some burden. Every time a loan becomes a bad asset or an NPA, it deprives a needy, prospective corporate borrower of the access to funds and hence can impact its growth. But a much bigger impact can be seen on economy as lack of credit in the system, led by a rise in bad debts, could raise cost of capital for the corporate sector, in general, thereby hurting their growth. Another major worry stems from the growing cases of import alerts and warning letters from the USFDA to several domestic drug makers. In recent times, a number of Indian pharmaceutical firms have invited wrath of the US drug regulator over quality lapses and poor compliance with production standards. These examples really raise alarm bells for India Inc. Needless to say there is a need to raise the bar when it comes to corporate governance and transparency. While these alone cannot treat all ails impacting the domestic corporate sector, they could go a long way in helping the industry put itself on a path of growth and long-term prosperity. May FY15 bring a new dawn of hope.

editor - D Nagavender Raomanaging editor - N Janardhan Rao

editorial director - Amit Singh Sisodiyaadvisory board

Dr. Paritosh Basu, Former Group Controller, Essar GroupN Harinath Reddy, Advocate & Sr. Partner, H&B Law Offices (Hyd)

Sanjay Banka, Chief Financial OfficerLandmark Group, Saudi Arabia

Prashant Gupta, IIT-K, IIM-L, CEO - Edunirvana Dr David Wyss, Former Chief Economist,

S&P & Visiting Fellow, Watson Institute at Brown University. NY, USDean Baker, Economist and Co-founder

Center for Economic and Policy, Washington, USWilliam Gamble, President, Emerging Market Strategies, US

Andrew K P Leung, International and Independent China, Specialist at Andrew Leung, International Consultants, Hong Kong

M G Warrier, Former GM, RBI

CEO - Syed H Maqsood

Executive Director - D N SinghMarketing Head - Amita Singh

Sales Head – Mumbai - Freeda Bhati098330 14501 | [email protected]

Sales Head – Chennai - Emmanuel Rozario 098844 91851 | [email protected]

research teamSurya Prakashini (Proof Reader), Anjaneya Naga Sai Prashanth Vijaya Lakshmi, Naga Lakshmi, GV Tarun, Mahesh, Nagaswara Rao and MSV Subba Rao

suBscRIPtIonPayment to be made by crossed Cheque/DD drawn in favor of

“MEDIA FIVE PUBLICATIONS (P) Ltd.” Payable at Hyderabad.

kNOwLEDgE PArTNEr - Target research & Consulting

ADVErTISEMENT ENqUIrIESMedia Five Publications (P) Ltd. #302, Kautilya Complex, 6-3-652, Beside Medinova, Somajiguda, Hyderabad - 82, AP, India

Cell: +91- 9247 769 383 | 988 545 1717

SEND yOUr FEEDBACk/ArTICLES TO

The Editor, The global ANALyST Submit through our website - www.theglobalanalyst.co

Email: [email protected]

COVEr PrICE : rs. 100/-

subscription details (See inside for offer details)

By Post By Courier

1 Year (12 Issues) Rs. 1200/- Rs. 1700/-

2 Years (24 Issues) Rs. 2400/- Rs. 3400/-

overseas subscriptions

1 Year (12 Issues) $180

2 Years (24 Issues) $330design & layout - Creative Graphics Designers

WEB DESIGNERS - Y L Narayana Theerdha, Team Leader, K Krishna Reddy, Krishna Chaitanya

Printed at Sai Kiran Graphics, RTC ‘X’ Roads, Hyderabad-20. Published on behalf of Media Five Publications (P) Ltd, #302, Kautalya Complex, 6-3-652, Beside Medinova, Somajiguda, Hyderabad - 500082, AP (India).

n ©All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or copied in any form by any means without prior written permission.

n The views expressed in this publication are purely personal judgements of the authors and do not reflect the views of Media Five Publications (P) Ltd.

n The views expressed by outside contributors represent their personal views and do not necessarily the views of the organizations they represent.

n All efforts are made to ensure that the published information is correct. Media Five Publications is not responsible for any errors caused due to oversight or otherwise. Published & Edited by D Nagavender Rao

march 2014 Vol. 3 | No.3

Amit Singh Sisodiya

Bidding Adieu - The Forgettable FY14