Ecosystem Services Analysis Tues, Jan. 8 2013 ES 281
Slide 2
Daily et al. FEE 2009
Slide 3
The Natural Capital Project: Mainstreaming ecosystem
services
Slide 4
Three main tasks for mainstreaming ecosystem services
1.Understanding the provision of ecosystem services
(Quantification) 2.Understanding the benefits to human well- being
from ecosystem services (Valuation) 3.Creating incentives for
sustainable provision of ecosystem services
(Institutions/policy)
Slide 5
InVEST www.naturalcapitalproject.org
Slide 6
InVEST: Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and
Tradeoffs Set of computer-based models Biodiversity and multiple
services Driven by future scenarios Spatially explicit Biophysical
and economic outputs Flexible and transferable Minimal data
requirements
Slide 7
InVEST 1.003 Beta can map Biodiversity Crop pollination Carbon
seq & storage Managed timber production Avoided sedimentation
Water yield Water purification: nutrient retention Multi-Service
Approach
Tier 1Tier 2Tier 3 Modeling reality Data reality SimpleComplex
A Tiered Approach
Slide 11
Land Use Soil typeTopography Spatial Data Inputs on Natural
Capital
Slide 12
RoadsCitiesInfrastructure Spatial Data Inputs on Built
Capital
Slide 13
China Tanzania West Coast Hawaii Amazon Basin Colombia Ecuador
Applying InVEST Uganda Indonesia Minnesota Delaware
Slide 14
Slide 15
Slide 16
Stakeholder Engagement Identify Objectives Develop Scenarios
Compile Data Biophysical Models Economic Models InVEST
Multi-Service, Biophysical and Economic
Slide 17
Decisions Scenarios How will biodiversity and ecosystem service
values change With climate change? With population growth? Given a
new policy or program?
Slide 18
Modeling multiple ecosystem services, biodiversity
conservation, commodity production, and tradeoffs at landscape
scales Nelson et al. 2009. Frontiers in Ecology and Environment
7(1): 411.
Slide 19
Current Land Cover in the Basin
Slide 20
Nelson et al. 2009 FEE Step 1: Develop scenarios Projected land
use change in 2050 under three scenarios
Slide 21
Modeled Land Use Cover in the Basin under three scenarios Land
use change model developed by Lewis and Plantinga. Monte Carlo
analysis with 500 runs. Lewis and Plantinga (2007) and Lubowski et
al. (2006) Circa 2050
Slide 22
Step 2: Run InVEST models
Slide 23
Slide 24
Change in Ecosystem Services: 1990 - 2050
Slide 25
Scenario
Slide 26
B. Outputs through time Nelson et al. 2009 FEE Step 3:
Visualize results B. Outputs through time
Slide 27
Win-Win Lose-Lose Tradeoff analysis Service 1 Service 2 Step 3:
Visualize results C. Tradeoffs analysis