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ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - [email protected] Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management Task1/Task2 System development – raising the level of each system, V1 of WP5, to V2 Done on a regional basis with different systems proposing different developments Task3 Validation of system developments in a Target Operation Period (TOP) Timescale Task1 – months 13 – 27 Task2 – months 13 – 33 Task3 – months 27 – 36

ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - [email protected] Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

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Page 1: ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - rp@pol.ac.uk Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

ECOOP – WP6 – System DevelopmentLeader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - [email protected] February 2008

3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

• Task1/Task2 System development – raising the level of each system, V1 of WP5, to V2

• Done on a regional basis with different systems proposing different developments

• Task3 Validation of system developments in a Target Operation Period (TOP)

Timescale• Task1 – months 13 – 27• Task2 – months 13 – 33 • Task3 – months 27 – 36

Page 2: ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - rp@pol.ac.uk Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

Objectives of WP6

• Progressively develop and implement modelling elements required for individual systems. Advance the baseline systems of WP5, according to the priorities identified in WP4 and WP5, to reach V2, guided by the requirements of the decision support system (WP9), and available data streams (WP2, WP3)

• Harmonise revised model outputs with EuroMISS (WP8) and EuroDESS (WP9).

• Test each implementation in a TOP hindcast study

• Evaluate (where appropriate) improvement to baseline system.

Page 3: ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - rp@pol.ac.uk Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

ECOOP Systems

Page 4: ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - rp@pol.ac.uk Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

Short name Baltic NWS IBI MOON BSEA DOWN PHYS ECO DA TOP MAN

DMI x* x x x x x

BSH x x x x x x

HCMR x x x

IMS-METU x x* x

MERCATOR x* x x

METO (UK) x* x x x x

MHI x* x x x

NERC x x* x x x x x*

USOF x x x x

BIU x x x x*

NERI x x

FIMR x x x x

IO-BAS x

IST x x x x x

MET.NO x x x x

MUMM.RBINS x x* x x x

PML x x x x x

OPPE x x x

SMHI x x x x

UNIBO-CIRSA x* x x x

UNIV-GDA x x x

CNRS-POC x x* x

IMI x x x x

SYKE x x x

NIMRD x x

IEO x x

* = task leader

Page 5: ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - rp@pol.ac.uk Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

Linkages

WP8

WP4

WP5

WP3WP2

WP6

WP9

WP7

Page 6: ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - rp@pol.ac.uk Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

Task 1 – Regional developmentsBaltic regional coastal systems

Ole Karup Leth (DMI) - BSH, DMI, DMU-NERI, FIMR, SMHI, SYKE, UNIV-GDA

Objectives: To develop Baltic coastal systems for the 3 targeted coastal areas: 1) Baltic-North Sea transition zone, 2) SE Baltic Sea and 3) Gulf of Finland.

Description: Baltic Sea coastal system V1 is a coupled physical-ecological model with preliminary data assimilation for physical parameters. The V2 will focus on improved physical data assimilation and coupled ecological-sediment-wave process study.

For each of the three targeted coastal areas, the V2 system will be a coupled physical-ecological-sediment-wave model, with a resolution of 0.5nm or higher and data assimilation of physical parameters.

Page 7: ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - rp@pol.ac.uk Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

Task 1 – Regional developments

NW Shelf coastal systemsRosa Barciela (METO) - BSH, MET-NO, METO, NERC, PML,

RBINS-MUMM

Objectives: Enhance the three coastal systems as follows1) North Sea: add sediment processes, assimilate SST, T/S

profiles, sea level, CDOM2) Liverpool Bay: downscale system (1nm to 0.2nm), assimilate

HF radar currents3) Western English Channel: add wave and sediment processes,

assimilate ocean colour.

Implement HAB prediction scheme.

Page 8: ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - rp@pol.ac.uk Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

Task 1 – Regional developments

Irish and Iberian Atlantic coastal systemsDominique Obaton (MERCATOR) - CNRS-POC, IEO,

IFREMER, IMI, IST, MERCATOR, PdE

Objectives: Enhance the three systems as follows1) downscaling techniques between 2 hydrodynamic models2) add ecosystem processes: have the correct horizontal and

vertical scales as well as advection scheme to be able to predict correctly HAB

3) assimilation of new type of data available near to the coast.

Description: Complete the implementation of enhancements to the three coastal systems: 1) Coastal Irish shelf 2) Coastal Biscay shelf 3) Coastal Iberian shelf.

Page 9: ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - rp@pol.ac.uk Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

Task 1 – Regional developments

Mediterranean coastal systemsMarco Zavatarelli (UNIBO) - BIU, HCMR, UNIBO

Objectives: Enhance the three systems as follows1) Coupling the V1 MOON coastal models with an ecosystem

model2) implement the data assimilation technique suited for

biogeochemical properties.

Description: The main goal of this subtask is to proceed toward the implementation of enhancements to the three Mediterranean Moon coastal systems, namely 1) Adriatic Sea 2) Aegean Sea 3) Israeli shelf.

Page 10: ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - rp@pol.ac.uk Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

Task 1 – Regional developments

Black Sea coastal systemsGennady Korotaev (MHI) - IMS-METU, MHI, NIMRD, USOF

Objectives: Enhance the three systems as follows1) assimilate altimetry, SST, ocean colour2) add ecosystem processes, assimilate altimetry, SST, ocean

colour3) add ecosystem processes, assimilate altimetry, SST, ocean

colour.

Description: Complete the implementation of enhancements to the three coastal systems: 1) Bosphorus and Bulgarian coast 2) Romanian coast and NW shelf 3) Crimean coast and south-eastern Black Sea.

Page 11: ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - rp@pol.ac.uk Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

Task 2 – Who does what, where

DownscalingRoger Proctor (NERC) - BSH, DMI, IST, NERC

Objectives:1) Downscale in Danish Straits transition zone, Liverpool Bay,

and the Iberian coastal regions2) Produce library of open boundary conditions and flooding-

drying treatment.

Description: This subtask will 1) Obtain appropriate resolution bathymetry (down to the

resolution of 0.2km) 2) Establish new sub-domains, better accounting for inter-tidal

areas where present 3) Contribute to a library of open boundary conditions and

flooding-drying treatment.

Page 12: ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - rp@pol.ac.uk Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

Task 2 – Who does what, where

Additional physical processesPatrick Luyten (RBINS-MUMM) - BSH, MET-NO, METO,

NERC, PML, RBINS-MUMM

Objectives:1) Couple wave models into the NW shelf systems2) Couple models to real-time river runoff (where available)

Description: This subtask will 1) Conduct process studies with wave-current interaction 2) Provide an interface with real-time river runoff.

Page 13: ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - rp@pol.ac.uk Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

Task 2 – Who does what, whereEcosystem functionTemel Oguz (IMS-METU) - BIU, BSH, DMI, FIMR, IFREMER, IMI,

IMS-METU, IO-BAS, IST, MET-NO, METO, MHI, PML, RBINS-MUMM, SMHI, UNIBO, UNIV-GDA, USOF

Objectives:1) Implement appropriate ecosystem modules or improvements to

existing ecosystem modules2) Implement HAB prediction scheme

Description: Complete 1) Identification of the key local physical and biogeochemical

processes of potential importance to prediction of eutrophication, oxygen depletion, HABs and their consequences and descriptions in models.

2) Implement community sediment/ecosystem models as necessary in order to reach the same standard in ECOOP core areas.

3) Implement the most appropriate method (e.g. fuzzy logic routines, specialized functional groups) to make forecasts of both HAB type and probability.

Page 14: ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - rp@pol.ac.uk Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

Task 2 – Who does what, whereData AssimilationPierre De Mey (CNRS-POC) - BIU, BSH, CNRS-POC, DMI, FIMR,

HCMR, IMI, IMS-METU, IST, MERCATOR, MET-NO, METO, MHI, NERC, PdE, PML, RBINS-MUMM, SMHI, SYKE, UNIBO, USOF

Objectives:1) implement ecosystem modules or enhance existing ecosystem

modules2) construct a library of assimilation schemes

Description: The different assimilation routines are implemented in different areas, e.g. SEEK in Eastern Mediterranean, EnKF/SEEK in the NW Shelf, OI/EnKF in the Baltic and Black Sea.

Establish a library of assimilation schemes Implement schemes as necessary.

Page 15: ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - rp@pol.ac.uk Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

Task 3 – Validation & the TOP

Hindcast validation and evaluation.Steve Brenner (BIU) - BIU, BSH, CNRS-POC, DMI, FIMR,

HCMR, IEO, IFREMER, IMI, IMSMETU, IST, MERCATOR, MET-NO, METO, MHI, RBINS-MUMM, PML, NERC, PdE, SMHI, SYKE, UNIBO, UNIV-GDA, USOF

Objectives: Demonstrate the improvements to the system, V2, over the baseline systems, V1

Description: For each system select a subset of the TOP of WP5, conduct a hindcast, and evaluate using standard metrics established under WP4.

Page 16: ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - rp@pol.ac.uk Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

Milestones

Mo 27

• Have V2 systems ready for TOP

Mo 34

• Complete TOP

Page 17: ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - rp@pol.ac.uk Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

Deliverables

Mo33

• D6.2.1.1 Report on the downscaling activities, and their impact. Library of open boundary conditions; flooding / drying conditions.

• D6.2.2.1 Report on the impact of wave coupling and the value of real-time river flows.

• D6.2.3.1 Report on the improvements to the different coastal ecosystem models and an assessment of the ecosystem response of V2.

• D6.2.4.1Report on impact of data assimilation schemes. Library of data assimilation schemes.

Page 18: ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - rp@pol.ac.uk Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

Deliverables

Mo36

• D6.1.1.1 – D6.1.5.1Reports describing the impact of the enhancements on 1) the Baltic coastal systems2) the NW shelf coastal systems 3) the IBI-ROOS coastal systems 4) the Mediterranean coastal systems5) the Black Sea coastal systems.

• D6.3.1.1Report on TOP hindcast and evaluation.

• D6.4.1.1Plans for Using and Disseminating of Knowledge, the Gender Action Plan, and for Raising Public Participation and Awareness

Page 19: ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - rp@pol.ac.uk Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

Grid nesting:

- 10 km grid

- 5 km grid

- 900 m grid

Operational BSH Model, Version 4

DownscalingAdd processesAdd assimilation

Page 20: ECOOP – WP6 – System Development Leader: Roger Proctor (NERC-POL) - rp@pol.ac.uk Started February 2008 3 tasks (actually 2 but written as 3) plus management

IBIROOS - NEATL36 = version V2

NEATL36 Ocean Model

NEATL36 Assimilation Method

Without assimilation for the moment

NEATL36 : Mercator high resolution regional modelGrid: tripolar (ORCA type)

Resolution: 1/36° (horizontal) and 50 vertical levels (1m to 480 m)

Parameterizations: • Time splitting• Partial steps• Isopycnal laplacian diffusion for the tracers• Biharmonic diffusion on the dynamic • Energy and enstrophy conservating scheme• TKE vertical mixing model• Radiative OBC for 3D speed, characteristic method for 2D speed , upwind advection for tracer outflow & clamped OBC for tracer inflow• CLIO Bulk formula

Atmospheric forcing:Daily mean ECMWF analysisMonthly run off

Prospects:High frequency signals : - 3h-atmospheric forcings, - Tide (: OBC forcing + tide potential)

IBI