Economics Supply Decisions

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    Lecture 4 the supply decisions

    Short-run and long-run costs

    Revenues and output

    Maximisation of profit

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    Outputs vs inputs

    Outputs depend on the amount of resources(inputs) and how they are used.

    An increase in output requires higher

    quantities of inputs. But some inputs cannot be increased within a

    given time.

    Hence a distinction between fixed andvariable factors and a distinction between theshort run and the long run.

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    Fixed vs variable factors

    the short run vs the long run

    A fixed factor, e.g., buildings, is an input thatcannot be increased within a given time period.

    A variable factor, e.g., raw material, can be

    increased within a given time period.

    The short run is a time period during which atleast one factor of production is fixed. In the short run, then, output can be increased only

    by using more variable factors.

    The long run is a time period long enough for allinputs to be varied.

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    Costs of production

    Explicit costs:

    Cost of factors that are not owned by the firm

    Prices the firm has to pay for them = the money the

    firm has to sacrifice to get them = direct payment, so

    explicit

    Implicit costs:

    Costs of factors that are already owned by the firm

    Implicit costs are what the factors could earn in some

    alternative use

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    Costs and output

    Costs are a function of output.

    The more output, the more factors are

    needed.

    Productivity of factors: The greater productivity,

    the less factors are needed for a given level of

    output, hence the lower the cost.

    The more inputs, the higher costs. Price of factors: The higher the prices, the higher

    the costs of production.

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    In the short-run

    Fixed cost (that of a fixed factor) (TFC)

    Does not vary with output.

    Variable cost (TVC) The more that is produced, the more raw materials are

    used and hence the higher is variable cost.

    Total cost (TC) = TFC + TVC

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    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

    TC

    Output

    (Q)

    0

    12

    3

    4

    5

    67

    TFC

    ()

    12

    1212

    12

    12

    12

    1212

    TVC

    ()

    0

    1016

    21

    28

    40

    6091

    TC

    ()

    12

    2228

    33

    40

    52

    72103

    TVC

    TFC

    Total costs for firm X

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    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

    TC

    TVC

    TFC

    Diminishing marginalreturns set in here

    Total costs for firm X

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    Production in the short run

    Output can be increased only by using more

    variable factors given productivity.

    However, when increasing amounts of a

    variable factor are used with a given amount

    of a fixed factor, there will come a point when

    each extra unit of the variable factor will produce

    less extra output than the previous unit

    or the extra output from additional units of the

    variable factor will diminish.

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    The law of diminishing returns

    The extra output from additional units of thevariable factor will diminish.

    When the law of diminishing returns sets in,

    there is a turning point on TC and TVC. The slopes of TC and TVC increase.

    Marginal cost will increase.

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    Marginal cost

    the change in TC that arises when the quantity producedchanges by one unit, i.e., the cost of producing onemore unit of a good.

    marginal cost (MC) and the law of diminishing returns

    the relationship between the marginal and total costcurves

    Average cost

    average fixed cost (AFC)

    average variable cost (AVC)

    average (total) cost (AC)

    relationship betweenACand MC

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    Output (Q)

    Costs()

    AFC

    AVC

    MC

    x

    AC

    z

    y

    Average and marginal costs

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    The long-run costs

    All factors are variable in the long run.

    The long-run costs will be affected by the scale of

    production and the techniques of production used.

    The scale of production:

    Constant returns to scale: a given percentage increase in

    inputs will lead to the same percentage increase in output.

    Increasing returns to scale:

    Decreasing returns to scale:

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    Short run Long run

    Input 1 Input 2 Output Input 1 Input 2 Output

    3 1 25 1 1 15

    3 2 45 2 2 35

    3 3 60 3 3 60

    3 4 70 4 4 90

    3 5 75 5 5 125

    Short-run and long-run increases in output

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    Economies of scale

    Costs per unit of output (AC) fall as the scaleof production increases.

    Other things being equal, it will produce at a

    lower average cost. Due to

    Specialisation & division of labour: production isbroken down into a number of simpler, more

    specialised tasks, thus allowing workers to acquire ahigh degree of efficiency.

    Indivisibilities

    greater efficiency of large machines

    economies of scope

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    Diseconomies of scale

    Costs per unit of output (AC) increase as the scaleof production increases.

    Due to

    Managerial complexity Alienation

    Industrial relations problems

    Disruption if part of complex production chains fail

    External economies/diseconomies of scale: costsof per unit of output decrease/increase as thesize of the whole industry grows.

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    Revenue

    Defining total, average and marginal revenue

    TR=P*Q

    AR=TR/Q=P*Q/Q=P

    MR=TR/Q

    TR, AR and MR depend on Q.

    The relationship between TR, AR and MR and Q willdepend on the market conditions under which a firmoperates.

    A price-taker or a price-maker

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    O O

    Price()

    AR,MR()

    Pe

    S

    D

    D = AR

    = MR

    Q(millions) Q(hundreds)

    (a) The market (b) The firm

    Deriving a firms ARand MR: price-taking firm

    Total re en e for a price taking firm

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    0

    1000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    5000

    6000

    0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

    TR

    TR()

    Quantity

    Quantity

    (units)

    0200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    Price =AR

    = MR()

    55

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    TR

    ()

    01000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    5000

    6000

    Total revenue for a price-taking firm

    Revenues for a firm facing a

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    Q(units)

    P = AR()

    TR()

    MR()

    1 8 8

    62 7 14

    43 6 18

    24 5 20

    0

    5 4 202

    6 3 184

    7 2 14

    Revenues for a firm facing a

    downward-sloping demand curve

    AR d MR f fi f i d d l i D

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    -4

    -2

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    Q

    (units)

    1

    23

    4

    5

    6

    7

    P =AR

    ()

    8

    76

    5

    4

    3

    2

    TR

    ()

    8

    1418

    20

    20

    18

    14

    MR

    ()

    64

    2

    0

    -2

    -4

    MR

    AR,M

    R()

    Quantity

    AR

    ARand MRcurves for a firm facing a downward-sloping Dcurve

    TR f fi f i d d l i D

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    0

    4

    8

    12

    16

    20

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    TR

    Quantity

    TR()

    Quantity

    (units)

    1

    2

    3

    4

    56

    7

    P = AR

    ()

    8

    7

    6

    5

    43

    2

    TR

    ()

    8

    14

    18

    20

    2018

    14

    TRcurve for a firm facing a downward-sloping Dcurve

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    MR vs. PD

    If PD>1, Q>|P|

    an increase in revenue. MR>0.

    If PD

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    -4

    -2

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    Elasticity = -1

    Elastic

    Inelastic

    AR,M

    R()

    Quantity

    MR

    AR

    ARand MRcurves for a firm facing a downward-sloping Dcurve

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    Profit maximisationthe case of a down-ward sloping demand curve

    Using MR=MC to locate at which quantity

    profit will be maximised.

    Profits () maximise where MR=MC

    Using AR and AC curves to measure maximum

    profit

    To find how much profit is at this output

    T=Q*(AR-AC)=Q*A

    R t d fit f Fi X

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    Q

    (units)

    P = AR

    ()

    TR

    ()

    MR

    ()

    TC

    ()

    AC

    ()

    MC

    ()

    T

    ()

    A

    ()

    0 9 0 6 6

    8 4

    1 8 8 10 10 2 2

    6 2

    2 7 14 12 6 2 1

    4 2

    3 6 18 14 42/3 4 1

    1/3

    2 4

    4 5 20 18 41/2 2

    1/2

    0 7

    5 4 20 25 5 5 1

    2 11

    6 3 18 36 6 18 3

    4 20

    7 2 14 56 8 42 6

    Revenue, cost and profit for Firm X

    Finding maximum profit using marginal curves

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    -4

    0

    4

    8

    12

    16

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    Quantity

    Costsandre

    venue()

    e

    MR

    MC

    Profit-maximisingoutput

    Finding maximum profit using marginal curves

    At MR>MC: TR>TC, Total profit can be

    increased by increasing QAt MRTR, total profit can be

    increased by decreasing Q

    Measuring maximum profit using average curves

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    6.00

    4.50

    -4

    0

    4

    8

    12

    16

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    T O T A L P R O F I T

    MR

    Quantity

    Costsandre

    venue()

    MC

    AC

    AR

    ba

    Total profit =

    1.50 x 3 = 4.50

    Profits maximised at the

    output where MC = MR

    Measuring maximum profit using average curves

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    Some qualifications

    Long-run profit maximisation at MR=MC

    The meaning of profit:

    Normal profit to cover the opportunity cost of staying in thebusiness

    = minimum return the owners must make

    = interest rate forgone + a risk premium

    Supernormal profit, over and above the normal profit

    What if a loss is made?

    AC>AR, no profit can be made at any output

    Still produce where MR=MC to minimise loss

    Short-run & long-run shut-down points

    SR: variable costs cannot be covered: P=AVC

    LR: LRAC cannot be covered: P=LRAC

    Loss-minimising output

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    LOSS

    O

    Costsand

    revenue()

    Quantity

    MC

    AC

    AR

    MR

    Q

    AC

    AR

    Loss minimising output

    The short-run shut-down point

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    O

    Costsandr

    evenue()

    Quantity

    AR

    AVC

    ACP =

    AVC

    Q

    IfAVCis higher orAR

    lower than that shown,

    the firm will shut down.

    The firm will shut down in

    the short run if it cannot

    cover variable costs.

    The short run shut down point