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Slide 1©R. Schwartz Equity Markets: Trading and Structure
Topic 2
Slide 2©R. Schwartz Equity Markets: Trading and Structure
Purpose
1) Experience what trading involves– Tactical, fast decision making– Be a prop trader, buyside equity trader, market maker
2) Participate in a process that translates news into prices 3) Evaluate the effects of trading rules and alternative market
structures on:– Investor participants (the naturals)– Market maker intermediaries – Market quality
4) Compare and understand alternative market structures5) Compete and have Fun
Slide 3©R. Schwartz Equity Markets: Trading and Structure
An Important Distinction
Simulations can be based on either
1. "Canned" data from past events
2. Computer-generated data
TraderEx is based on computer-generated orders and price changes – not canned repeats of past events
Slide 4©R. Schwartz Equity Markets: Trading and Structure
A Trading Simulation Requires
• Prices can be affected by your actions
• You have some basis for anticipating future price changes
• Prices can move in harmony with news releases
• Prices do not follow random walks
• Simulation runs can be replayed
• Your performance can be assessed
Slide 5©R. Schwartz Equity Markets: Trading and Structure
Performance Assessment
1. Performance characteristics– Profit and loss (P&L)– Beat Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)– Control risk (avoid large inventory positions)– Get the job done (execute your orders, liquidate
your positions)
2. Your Score– Weighted combination of the above
Slide 6©R. Schwartz Equity Markets: Trading and Structure
What Drives Trading?
1. New information (news)2. Liquidity motives3. Technical (noise) trading4. Divergent expectations (people disagree with each other)
Machine generated order flow is based on draws from various statistical distributions. We can view the statistical
events as representing solid economic stories.
Economic stories concerning the motives for trading
Slide 7©R. Schwartz Equity Markets: Trading and Structure
Trading Mechanism
Informed
Is p*>offeror p*<bid?
Orders Come from 3 Types of Traders
LiquidityOrder Flow
Quotes,Prices,Volume
Technical Trading
Is there a trend/pattern?
P*
Do the informedTraders agree with
each other? maybe not!
Slide 8©R. Schwartz Equity Markets: Trading and Structure
The Economic Story Behind the Consensus Price, P*
Bid
Ask
Sells Buys
P*
Bid
Ask
Slide 9©R. Schwartz Equity Markets: Trading and Structure
$22.00
$23.00
$24.00
$25.00
$26.00
$27.00
$28.00
P*
Day 1 Day 2
A Typical Random Walk Pattern Of P*
Slide 10©R. Schwartz Equity Markets: Trading and Structure$21.00
$22.00
$23.00
$24.00
$25.00
$26.00
$27.00
$28.00
Ask
Bid
P*
Day 1 Day 2
P* and Best Bid and Offer Quotes
Slide 11©R. Schwartz Equity Markets: Trading and Structure
P* and News
1. In simulations P* need not change according to random draws from a distribution
2. When united with news release, new P* values are set in accordance with the news
Slide 12©R. Schwartz Equity Markets: Trading and Structure
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%
25.80
25.90
26.00
26.10
26.20
26.30
26.40
26.50
26.60
Price (5¢ Tick Size)
Probability
Limit sell orders
Offer
Bid
Executable sell orders
Distribution For Generation of Liquidity Motivated Sell Orders