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Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

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Page 1: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China

Joachim BöhmeSenior consultant

UNIRULE Institute of EconomicsBeijing 2008-05-30

Page 2: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

China‘s energy consumption

Page 3: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Energy intensity

Page 4: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Energy demand and import requirements

Page 5: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Fuel consumption

Page 6: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Residential energy consumption

Page 7: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Carbon intensity of heating

Page 8: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Energy demand at transport - world

Page 9: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Rising demand..

Page 10: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Energy demand on transport – world

Page 11: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Final energy demand world

Page 12: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Leap model

Page 13: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Leap model

Page 14: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Opportunities to save energy

At public and residential buildings At industrial sector At transport On electricity consumers/

households

Page 15: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

CDM on buildings

Page 16: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Improvement of energy efficiency

Page 17: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Greater and lesser demand

Page 18: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Enhancement of energy efficiency of buildings

Page 19: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Economic impact by sectors - samples

By a rising demand By rising energy prices (global

impact) By environmental harm/ losses By investments in energy saving

measures

Page 20: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Co-Benefits from energy saving

Page 21: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Fuel economy

Page 22: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Mitigation option szenario 1 – steel

Page 23: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Mitigation option szenario 2 - steel

Page 24: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Mitigation option szenario 3 - steel

Page 25: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Policy requirements to reduce energy consumption at 6 main sectors

Tarif models for water and electricity Gas/ fuel limitation and prices Bans on articles ( e.g. plastic bags ) Limits on individual traffic Energy consumption/ emission

limits/ industry Insulation of Buildings

Page 26: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Policy requirements to reduce energy consumption

Making the Alternative Policy Scenario a reality There are formidable hurdles to the adoption and

implementation of the policies and measures in the Alternative Policy Scenario.

In practice, it will take considerable political will to push these policies through, many of

which are bound to encounter resistance from some industry and consumer

interests. Politicians need to spell out clearly the benefits to the economy and to

society as a whole of the proposed measures. In most countries, the public is

becoming familiar with the energy-security and environmental advantages of

action to encourage more efficient energy use and to boost the role of

renewable energies like solar, wind and biogas

Page 27: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Policy influence

Page 28: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Fuel saving in different terms

Page 29: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

Mitigation options

Page 30: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

A big challenge..

UNIRULE is requested to increase capabilities and capacities in future researches at the energy efficiency sector !!!

Page 31: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

What everyone can do..

Tips at Greenchoice webside http://www.greenchoice.cn/index_eng.p

hp?var1=content/mainpage/main.htm&

Page 32: Economic Impact of Energy Saving Measures in PR China Joachim Böhme Senior consultant UNIRULE Institute of Economics Beijing 2008-05-30

thank you…

…for your attention !