Upload
trinhdieu
View
217
Download
3
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
� Pradhan and Abraham (2002): “Does Human Development Policy Matter for
Economic growth”, www.econ.yale.edu/`egcentre/research.httm
� Chakraborty, Lekha S. (2003): “Public Expenditure and Human Development: An Empirical Investigation”, http://www.wider.unu.edu/conference/conference.
� Dutta (2005): “Human Development: India in the world context”, Indian Human Development Report 1995, NCAER, Oxford University Press, New Delhi.
� Mohan, Rakesh (2005): “Human Development and State Finances”, Reserve Bank of
India Bulletin, 59 (12), pp. 1123-1129.
ECONOMIC GROWTH AND HUMAN DEVELOPMENT - A THEORETICAL JUSTIFICATION
3.1 Introduction
The theoretical evidences focusing on the role of human capital in shaping
economic development. The stock of skill and productive knowledge embodied in
people constitute human capital. The idea of investment in human capital actually
started with Theodore W. Schultz’s presidential address to American Economic
Association in December 1960. Human capital is defined as ‘the body of knowledge
possessed by the people and the capacity of the population for using knowledge
effectively. (T.W. Schultz, 1961).
Since then, there has been a growing recognition of human capital as a central force
by economists like Simon Kuznets (1966),Psacharopollob and Woodhall (1985), Becker
(1964) Dennison (1967), PQLI of Morrison and Morrison (1970) and Acemogen (1988).
However, since 80s, a much broader perception of human capital i.e., Human
Development begain to receive crucial importance in development literature. Generally
all these exercises culminated in the publication of human development reports by the
UNDP every year focusing on various dimensions of human development. The human
development approach emphasizes investment in education, health, nutrition and
income.
This chapter has a threefold objective. One is to explore the strong theoretical
foundation of human capital vis-à-vis human development and the other one is to
examine the causality perception between economic growth and human development
and vice-versa. The last part examines empirically the causal relationship between
human development and economic growth in Indian states. This entire exercise serves
as a background to understand better the regional disparities in human development in
the context of economic growth.
This chapter is classified into three parts. Section I consists exclusively of theoretical
perception of human development, section II deals with the causality between economic
growth and human development and the section III examines empirically the causality
between economic growth and human development in Indian states.
Section I
3.1.1 Human Development Perspective: A Theoretical Analysis
A study of the theoretical perspective of human development enables an
understanding of the evolution of the concept of human development over a
period of time reflecting different nuances of human development.
Adam Smith (1776) was the first classical economist to include human capital in
his famous book “An Enquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of
Nations”. He argues that growth means not only capital accumulation and
technical progress, but also growth of human capital which play a critical role in
the process of economic development. He included in the capital stock of a
nation the inhabitantly ‘acquired and useful talents of human being which
improves wealth of society and individuals country as a whole. He expressed
the view that “economic development should enable a person to mix freely with
others without “being ashamed to appear in public”. Thus expressing Smith
concerned himself with the notion of poverty that went beyond counting calories -
a notion that integrated the poor into the mainstream of the community. Thus,
quality of people’s life becomes the central concern of development.
Marshall (1890) the neoclassical economist, seems to have recognised that capital
consists in a great part of knowledge and Organisation and of this, some part is private
property and other part is knowledge, a most powerful engine of production; it enables
us to subdue nature and force her to satisfy our wants (Marshall, 1961). Marshall also
stressed education and parental care as investment in human capital. However,
Marshall rejected the capitalized-net-earnings approach to human capital as being
unrealistic as human beings are not marketable.
Frank Knight (1944) states that investment in man, the traditional concept of capital,
had to be extended to make room for human capital. Human capital is also of many
different forms, and it renders many different consumer and producer services.
Investment in human capital is probably, the major theme of human development. The
investment in man particularly in education, health, nutrition etc, are essential to take
advantage of better job opportunities.
Schultz T.W. (1961) in his Human Capital model shows how education allows the
production process to benefit from positive externalities and promotes growth. The
growth theories that emphasize Research and Development (R & D) also underline the
importance of human capital in economic growth. Both sets of theories, however,
consider human beings as means and not the end of economic development. According
to Schultz, there are five ways of developing human resources:
1. Health facilities and services, broadly conceived to include all expenditure that affect
the life expectancy, strength and stamina, and the vigor and vitality of the people.
2. On-the-job training, including old type apprenticeships organised by firms.
3. Formally organised education at the elementary, secondary and higher levels.
4. Study programmes for adults that are organised by firms, including extension
programmes notably in agriculture. And
5. Migration of individuals and families to adjust to changing job opportunities.
Kenneth J. Arrow (1962) emphasised the acquisition of knowledge through “Learning
by Doing”. The term learning is a product of experience that takes place during activity
since it usually occurs through the attempt to solve a problem. Increases in cumulative
output brought about by the learning curve results in higher productivity. He firmly
believes that each new input is used more effectively than the old ones, which, can be
explained only by ‘Learning by Doing’.
Gary Becker (1966) following the same argument of Schultz says that human capital is
the investment in training, education, health, values, and other aspects of human
potential. Human capital investments increase the ability of people to create wealth.
He justified that the current century is the "Age of Human Capital," citing the
tremendous growth in investment in human capital in this century, and the resulting
huge increase in wealth1. He noted that the widely varying economic growth rates
among nations could best be explained by investments in human capital rather than by
raw materials or other measures.
Dennison (1967) states that human capital stock improves labour productivity, and
contribute to the general betterment of society. He provided a direct link between
educational attainment and the economic and social welfare of countries. In the modern
era, the conventional inputs such as labour and capital could explain only 60% of the
total growth of United States. The remaining 40% growth in real national income could
be attributed to improvements in human capital. It is estimated that the direct benefit of
education accounts for 11% and the remaining 29% is due to the indirect influence in
the form of advances in knowledge. (Dutt, 2003)
Harbison (1970) stated that Human Resource constitutes the ultimate basis for wealth
of nations. Capital and natural resources are passive factors of production, human
1 Gary Becker, the Nobel Laureate in Economics, addressed the "human capital" aspect of school choice in a presentation in Grand Rapids, Michigan, on October 24, 1996.11
beings are the active agents who accumulate capital, exploit natural resources, build
social economic and political organisations, carry forward national development. Clearly
a country which is unable to develop the skills and knowledge of its people and to utilise
them effectively in the national economy will be unable to develop any thing else.
(Harbison et all 1970)
Paul Streeten (1970) developed the Basic Needs Approach, in the mid 1970’s,
and he defined basic needs in terms of food, housing, health, sanitation and
education. He rightly says that fulfillment of Basic Needs is the criterion for
economic development. He identified the six reasons to promote human
development
� Human development is an end in itself that needs no further justification.
� It is a means to higher productivity.
� It reduces human reproduction by lowering the desired family size.
� Human development is good for the physical environment. It reduces the deforestation, desertification.
� Reduced poverty contributes to a healthy civil society, democracy, and greater
social stability and
� It reduces civil disturbances and increase political stability.
Tinbergen (1975) he has made an attempt to analyse the relationship between human
capital and inequality. He suggested that inequality was ultimately determined by the
opposing effects that technology and education exerted on the relative wage. He
stipulated that the relationship between growth and inequality was determined by the
race between technological development and education (Jan Tinbergen, 1975).
He suggested five areas of human qualities, which are conducive to economic
development –
� An interest in material well being.
� An interest in techniques and innovation.
� An ability to look ahead and a willingness to take risks.
� Perseverance and
� An ability to collaborate with other people and to observe certain rules.
Romer (1986) in the Endogenous Growth Theory highlights the fact that technological
progress is not an exogenous factor influencing development but is the result of
‘intentional actions’ taken by people who respond to market incentives. Technology is
considered to consist of a non-rival component, which being separate from individuals,
can grow without bound and, therefore, leads to increasing returns to scale. Thus,
private investment in Research and Development (R & D) raises the level of technology
so that it acquires the nature of a public good.
Lucas (1988) was another endogenous growth theorist who emphasised investment in
human capital more directly and links it to long-term rates of economic growth. These
human capital theories indicate how investment in education enables the entire
production process to benefit from positive externalities. Educated people not only use
technology more efficiently, they are also likely to innovate and spread the benefits of
such innovation to co-workers thereby increasing the efficiency of all factors of
production. The human capital theories attribute the lack of convergence between the
growth rates in developed and developing countries to the fact that the poorer countries
do not make adequate investments in human capital, which results in their recording low
growth rates.
Nancy Stocky (1990) her model ‘Human capital, product quality and growth’ explains
heterogeneous labour, differentiated by level of human capital, determines a country’s
comparative advantage. The growth phenomena experienced by some successful new
industrialized countries in East Asia, where rapid economic growth was accompanied by
higher volume of exports, rapid growth in education and rapid changes in the
composition of output. In this process she highlighted that –
� The labour is heterogeneous and differentiated by the level of human capital.
� The technology for human capital accumulation used in the model is one that distinguishes between the private human capital of individuals and the stock of knowledge of the society as a whole.
� An individual accumulates human capital by investing, in his education. His level
of human capital determines the quality of labour force. UNDP Human Development Reports since 1990, every annual report has focused
on a particular dimension of human development along with the strategies to achieve
the same. (See appendix No. 3).
Mahbub Ul Haq (1997) defined human development paradigm as “the process of
enlarging people’s choices”. In principle, these choices can be infinite and change over
time. But at all levels of development, the most critical and essential ones are for people
to lead a long and healthy life, to be educated and to have access to resources needed
for a decent standard of living. If these choices are not available, many other
opportunities remain inaccessible
He advocated five important aspects of human development –
1. People must be in the centre of development and each activity should be analysed to see how much each person participates and benefits from this.
2. Human development is analysed in two ways – formation of human capabilities
and making use of their acquired capabilities.
3. Importance of human development lies in distinction between ends and means of development.
4. The idea of human development paradigm embraces all aspects of society – not
only in economic terms but also social, political, psychological and cultural. Amartya Sen (1998) argues that the standard of living of a society should be judged not
by the average level of income but by people’s capabilities to lead the life they value. He
also expressed that commodities should not be valued in their own right but as ways of
enhancing capabilities such as health, knowledge, self-respect and ability to participate
actively in common life. The Capabilities refer to what a person can (not) do or can (not)
be. Freedom from hunger, being free to participate in the political process, being
adequately sheltered, access to health and education etc., can be quoted as different
manifestations of capabilities.
Sen has argued that development ought to be viewed as capability expansion and
freedom, rather than being viewed as purely economic phenomenon (Sen, 1989).
Development should be evaluated from the perspective of enriching human life focusing
on –
1. Entitlements, such as good health and education.
2. Capabilities, which are generated by entitlements, and can provide individuals with the freedom to choose between different ways of living.
3. Functioning’s, which refer to the ‘doings and beings’ that constitute the nature of
an individuals existence in society.
In brief, the theoretical perspective of human development traces the
evolution of human development from human capital concept � Basic Needs
Approach � PQLI � endogenised factor � enlarging people’s choices �
human capability approach � human poverty and deprivation � human security
and ultimately human freedom. As such, even the list of human development
indicators is growing ever since. This analysis provides the potential background
for understanding critical the issues connected with regional disparities in human
development.
Section II
a. Economic Growth and Human Development – A Causality Analysis
Economic growth is also an important factor leading to high human development.
Section I, examines the role of human development in economic growth. However, an
attempt is made in this section to examine the causality between these two. The
provision of large quantities of goods and services improve the standard of living of the
people. In developing countries, economic growth is needed for reducing poverty,
providing access to basic social services, building of basic capabilities in the people and
generating the resources required for human development. (Taylor et al, 1997). Even
empirical evidences have shown that people in high-income countries have greater
capabilities than those people in poorer countries.
Economic growth is a necessary but not a insufficient condition for the promotion of
human development. Beyond quantity, it is the quality of growth that is crucial for human
well-being. Growth can be jobless, rather than job creating – ruthless, rather than
poverty reducing – voiceless, rather than participatory – rootless, rather culturally
enshrined and futureless, rather than environmental friendly. Growth that is jobless,
ruthless, voiceless, rootless and futureless is not favourable to human development
(Jahan, 2000). In this regard, economic growth is a means of development and not its
ultimate goal. Increased income contributes largely if it improves people’s life. But
income growth is not an end by itself. Development should be people centered and
economic growth must be equitable for its benefits to have an impact on people’s lives.
Clearly, there exists a strong connection between economic growth (EG) and
human development (HD). On the one hand, EG provides the resources to permit
sustained improvements in HD on the other, improvements in the quality of the labour
force are an important contributor to EG. Yet, while this two-way relationship between
human development and economic growth are widely accepted, the specific factors
linking them have not been systematically explored. Nor has the question of priorities in
the phasing of policy.
i. Causality links between EG and HD Economic growth expands the material resources available for the fulfillment of
human needs. But the extent to which these needs are met depends on the allocation of
the rewards of growth through the distribution of private and public resources (both
income & assets). The distribution of opportunities, particularly, employment is crucial.
Economic growth will not invariably translate into human development if other important
factors are not in place. Among the most important of these factors is public policy.
There is also a key link back. Human development raises the levels of education,
health and nutrition in an economy. The results are a healthier and better-educated
population capable of being economically more productive. Modern growth theories
explain economic growth primarily in terms of expanded human and social capital rather
than physical capital. Growth can also be linked to many other elements of human
development such as political freedom, cultural heritage, societal progress and
environmental sustainability.
Presently, accelerating growth is a major challenge, an equal, if not the greater,
challenge for many developing countries including India is to ensure that the growth
translates into human development in terms of better living condition, more choice and
greater opportunities. In this endeavour public action is needed -
� To accelerate growth in order to expand resources available for human development.
� To ensure that the available resources are actually allocated towards human
development priorities, and
� To ensure their efficient use to address people’s priorities.
3.2.2 Chain relationship between HD and EG
The causal link between human development and economic growth has been
quantitatively examined on its two Chains relations from Economic growth to human
development and from human development to economic growth. Obviously there exists
a strong two-way relationship between economic growth (EG) and human development
(HD). On the one hand, economic growth provides the resource to permit sustained
improvements in human development; on the other, sustained improvements in the
quality of human capital are an important contributor to economic growth.
Figure 3.2.1: Economic Growth and Human Development
Source: Human Development Report 1996, page No. 68. The above flowchart 3.2.1 shows the two-way causal chains linkages between
EG and HD and vice versa. Human development is featured “at the top”, in recognition
of its status as the fundamental objective, with respect to chain A, running from
economic growth to human development, we may note that, from a given level of
income generated by past growth, the expenditure of households, governments and civil
society, including NGO’s, on inputs which serve to enhance human development as
defined above. The impact of given aggregate levels of household income on human
development, of course, depends not only on the average level but also on the
distribution of that income and on the extent to which societal poverty has been
eliminated. Thus, the nature of the growth process, that is how growth is generated,
how employment sensitive, and how income distribution friendly it is, as well as how
well it has succeeded in reducing poverty, will have an effect on how households spend
their income.
3.2.3 Chain A: From EG to HD
From the material side of HD, the use of economic resources is essential. Hence a
society’s total command over economic resources (GNP) provides the source of HD
achievements in this dimension. But the way economic resources are distributed and
allocated can lead to very different HD performance for any given macro economic
achievement (i.e., level or growth in GNP per capita). To understand the success of HD,
therefore, we need to explore how economic resources translate into HD achievements,
as well as the determinants of the changing resource base to which HD performance
itself makes an important contribution.
The economic resources or GNP translate into human development mainly through
household and government activity, civil society and other NGOs. The same level of
GNP can lead to very different performance in HD according to the allocation of GNP
among and within these institutions and variations in their contribution to HD.
The households propensity to spend their after tax income on items which contribute
directly to human development varies, depending on such factors as the level and
distribution of income across households as well as on who controls the allocation of
expenditure within households. In general, poor households spend a higher proportion
of their incomes on human development items than those with higher incomes, and
similar results flow from greater female control over household income.
Private Income Poverty (PIP) arises among households which have inadequate
disposable income and Social Income Poverty (SIP) arises among households, which
have inadequate access to publicly provided goods and services. The empirical
evidence indicates that, in general, PIP is reduced with economic growth, the extent of
the reduction varies greatly with the distribution of income and its change over time
(Fields et al, 1989 and Bruno et. al, 1995). The way in which growth translates into
income distribution and poverty reduction depends on the nature of the growth process
– in particular, the extent to which it is based on the generation of employment and on
increasing rural incomes. If the output mix is labour intensive and rural incomes rise
rapidly, income distribution is more likely to improve and poverty reduction to occur than
if growth is urban biased and capital intensive (Rains, 1979 and Stewart, 1977).
For a given GNP, a more equal distribution of incomes received by households will
lead to lower PIP, which is likely to result in better performance on HD, since poor
households are more deficient in HD elements and are likely to spend more of their
disposable income on items which contribute directly to improvement in HD namely
food, education and health.
The empirical evidence shows that expenditure on HD related items is strongly
affected by the rate of poverty reduction. It also indicates the positive effects of family
income change on child schooling. While the evidence on the relations between income
and health is less extensive than for education, studies suggest that household income
also has a significant effect on the use of health services, some showing a much higher
relative response for low than for high income households.
Another important element determining how economic resources translate into HD
is the extent of female control over income. For example, among Gambian households,
the larger the proportion of food under women’s control the larger household calorie
consumption (Von Braun, 1988). Similarly, in the Philippines it has been shown that
consumption of calories and proteins increases with the share of income accruing to
wives Garcia et al, 1990). In the Cote d’Ivorie, an increase in women’s share of cash
income was associated with significantly higher spending on food and reduced
spending on alcohol and cigarettes (Hoddinot and Haddad, 1991).
The allocation of government resources to improving HD depends on the total level
of public sector expenditure, on how much of this flow to the HD sectors, and on the
way in which it is allocated within these sectors. This can be expressed in the form of
three ratios (HDR, 1991). The public expenditure ratio, defined as the proportion of GNP
spent by the various levels of government, the HD allocation ratio, defined as the
proportion of total government expenditure going to the HD sectors and finally, the HDF
priority ratio, defined as the proportion of total HD sector expenditure going to priority
areas. The precise definition of what constitutes a priority area will inevitably vary
according to a country’ stage of development, rendering this third ratio more arbitrary
and difficult to measure than the other two. But within the HD sectors, some
expenditures are clearly much more productive in terms of achieving advances in HD
than others. For example, basic education, especially at an early stage of development,
is generally recognised to have a larger impact on HD than tertiary education. There
exist very large variations across countries in each of these ratios, which mean that the
same level of GNP may be associated with very different levels of government spending
on HD priorities.
Finally, NGO or other civil society activity is also another important factor which
influences on chain relationship between economic growth and human development.
But this information is more scattered. There are considerable variations in the extent,
vitality and effectiveness of NGO activities across countries, depending on their history,
culture, tax laws and actual or perceived government deficiencies in providing services.
In most contexts, NGO’s play a supplemental or even marginal role, but in a few
countries like Bangladesh, Kenya, Peru and India it appears to represent a major
source of Human development enhancement (Riddell et al, 1995).
3.2.4 Chain B from HD to EG
In this linkage many ways in which human development contributes to economic
growth have often been emphasised. In recent years an increasing number of studies
have documented the strength and diversity of the links between the two. The strength
of the links between human development and economic growth depends, firstly, on the
accumulation of human capital through investments in health and nutrition, education
and skills training and R & D. Secondly, it depends on accessible opportunities for
people to contribute to economic development through social, political and economic
participation. A higher level of human development, in addition to being an end in itself,
affects the economy by enhancing people’s capabilities and consequently their creativity
and productivity. Clearly, the health and education of a population are among the main
determinants of the composition and growth of output.
Education is also an important contributor to technological capability and technical
change in industry. The higher the level of education attained by the workforce, the
higher overall productivity is, because the more educated are more likely to innovate,
and thus affect everyone’s productivity. Furthermore, education may effect per capita
income growth through reducing population growth. Income distribution also appears to
be important to this link. Recent empirical evidence suggests that the distribution of
assets and income has an effect on economic growth, with a more equitable distribution
favoring higher rates of growth. One explanation is that a more equitable distribution of
assets and income implies better nutrition and a stronger demand for education and
hence higher labour productivity.
The strength of these various links varies considerably and there is no automatic
connection between an improved level of HD and increases in per capita GDP. Creating
a larger pool of educated people is not sufficient to stimulate growth, there must also be
opportunities for them to be productively employed. Besides, human development alone
cannot transform an economy. Even skilled and vigorous people need machinery,
buildings and infrastructure to complement their efforts to enhance growth. Therefore,
the connection between HD and EG, is likely to be stronger with the more equitable the
distribution of income, the more educated women and the lower unemployment rate.
Section III
b. Economic Growth and Human Development of Indian States: An Empirical Analysis
There are two distinct causal chains relationship between human development and
economic growth, one runs from economic growth to human development through
national income allocated to social sectors such as education and health, the other runs
from human development to economic growth. It examines economic growth enhancing
human development through social sector expenditures to achieve high human
development across Indian states.
The empirical evidence of the third world countries at the global level reveals that
economic growth influences on human development through active state interventions
in terms of - equal distributions of income and wealth among the people, public
expenditure on social sectors which includes education and health, people’s
participation and improved status of women in the working of the economy. Therefore,
an attempt is made to fit regression equations, which explain impact of economic growth
on human development.
On the other hand, the reverse links from human development to economic growth
depends on two critical factors, one is accumulation of human capital through
investments in education and skills formation, health and nutrition and research and
development. And the other one is accessible opportunities to people to contribute to
economic development though social, political and economic participation.
As mentioned earlier, this study used the following Regression model where
in the flow from economic growth to human development is looked into. In other
words it explains the influence of economic growth on human development. The
model specified is as follows -
HDI= �0+ � 1D1+ � 2T + � 3 Gr + � 4 Ee+ � 5 He +ut Where
HDI = Human Development Index for the periods of 1981, 1991 and 2001
D1= Dummy variable for the initial achievement
T= Time variable
Gr = Growth rate for the periods 1970-71 to 1979-80, 1980-81 to 1989-90 and 1990-91 and 1999-2000 Ee= Expenditure on education for the periods of 1981, 1991 and 1998 He= Expenditure on health for the periods of 1981, 1991 and 1998 Ut = Dependent term
We are considering HDI, education and health for the periods of 1981, 1991 and
2001 for the 15 major states in India. Hence the data exhibits the characteristics of time
series as well as cross sectional data. But the time periods are limited i.e., only for 3
decades. In that sense, the data considered are restrictive time series. Again we have
introduced a dummy variable for initial achievement in human development.
The model also includes the expenditure of the government on education and
health because the expenditure on education and health by the government has
directly influenced on human development. So the study incorporated the above
said variables.
The growth rates also significantly influenced on human development. It
implies that state with a higher rate of economic growth has an advantage to
have higher rate of human development.
Table 3.3.1 influence of Economic Growth on Human Development Index
Variables
Co-efficient
Standard Error
Probability
Time variable 0.144780* 0.049634 0.0055 Dummy variable 0.370515* 0.032006 0.0000 Growth Rate 0.002439* 0.000883 0.0083 Education Expenditure
0.057042* 0.015683 0.0007
Health Expenditure 0.008259 0.011633 0.4815 R – Squared 0.98, Adjusted R Square 0.97 F – Statistic 531.9673, Prob (F – Statistic) 0.00000
Note: * P < 0.01 Significant at 1.1 level ** P < 0.05 Significant 5 total
The results of the estimation show that all the explanatory variables have positively
influenced human development and their influence is significant at 1 percent level
except health expenditure, which is positive but has not significantly, influenced human
development.
The dummy variable which is a proxy for initial level of development is found
to be significant because the initial level of development of a state has certainly
influence on human development so the results indicate this.
3.4 Summary An attempt is made to trace the theoretical framework of human development since
Adam Smith to the most recent endogenous growth theories in the first part. Human
capital theory gradually led to human centered development where in human
development became absolutely essential. Several approaches to human development
have emerged particularly the “Capability Approach” which became very popular. The
section II made an attempt to examine the two way causal link between HD and EG.
The EG translate into HD with the help of allocation of the rewards of growth through
the distribution of private and public resources (GNP), the distribution of opportunities,
particularly employment, female control over income and NGO or other civil society
activity. While, on the other hand HD leads to EG through accumulation of human
capital through investment in health, education, skills training and R & D, accessible
opportunities for people to contribute to EG through social, political and economic
participation.
Similarly in the final part the empirical causality between economic growth and
human development in Indian states reveals that public expenditure in health and
education has positively influenced human development. However, the results show
that health expenditure has not significantly influenced human development.