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1
Cyber Physical Power Systems
Power in Communications
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
2Information and Communications Tech. Power SupplyInformation and Communications Tech. Power Supply
ICT t t ti bl ( b t 5 % f t t l d d i• ICT systems represent a noticeable (about 5 % of total demand in U.S.) fast increasing load.• Increasing power-related costs, likely to equal and exceed information and communications technology equipment cost in theinformation and communications technology equipment cost in the near to mid-term future.
Example of a server in a data center normalized to 100 W:Example of a server in a data center normalized to 100 W:• 860 W of equivalent coal power is needed to power a 100 W load
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
3Information and Communications Tech. Power SupplyInformation and Communications Tech. Power Supply
I dditi t b ffi i t ICT l t d t b hi hl• In addition to been efficient, ICT power plants need to be highly reliable/available.
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
4Land-line Telecommunications Network
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
5Land-line Telecommunications Network • Power infrastructure is for telecommunication networks as cardiovascular• Power infrastructure is for telecommunication networks as cardiovascular
system is for humans.
• Power needs to be provided to the switch (nowadays it is a “big computer” routing packets of information) and sometimes to remote terminals.
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
• CATV systems are similar
6Wireless Telecommunications Network
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
7Wireless Telecommunications Network
• Power needs to be provided to the switch (called Mobile Telecomm nications S itching Office or MTSO) and to the remote
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
Telecommunications Switching Office or MTSO) and to the remote terminals (the based stations).
8Power plants architectures
• DC: For telephony and wireless communication networks
• AC: For data centers RECTIFIER + DC-DC• AC: For data centers RECTIFIER + DC-DC CONVERTER
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
9
T i l fi ti i d t t
Power plants architectures
• Typical configuration in data centers:
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
•Total power consumption: > 5 MW (distribution at 208V ac)
10Power plants architectures
• Typical power plant for telephony networks:
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
11
• Typical centralized architecture for telephony networks:
Power plants architectures• Typical centralized architecture for telephony networks:
Only (centralized) bus bars
Centralized architecture
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
12Power plants architectures
• Typical distributed architecture for telephony networks:
Each cabinet with its own bus bars connected to its own battery string andown battery string and loads. Then all cabinets’ bus bars are connected
Distributed architecture
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
Distributed architecture
13Telecom central office power plant
TelecomPower Plant
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
• 13 x 200 Amps. Rectifiers• 11 x 1400 Ah Batteries
14Telecom central office power plant
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
15Batteries
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
16Distribution frames
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
17Distribution frames
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
18Inverters
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
19Base station power plant
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
20Base station power plant
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
21Base station power plant
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
22Telephony outside plant
Di it l L C i d th t id l t b db d t t i l• Digital Loop Carrier and other outside plant broadband remote terminals may provide service up to 500 subscribers in average.• Local backup is usually provided by batteries with 8 hrs of autonomy• Significant variations in power consumptions:
© A. Kwasinski, 201522
23
RECTIFIERS
Telephony outside plantRECTIFIERS
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
24Telephony outside plant
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
25Outside plant power supply
• Traditional emergency power solutions during long grid outages
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
26Reliability and Availability
R li bilit• Reliability applies to components. Once they fail, they cannot be
repaired.
• Reliability
• Reliability, R, is defined as the probability that an entity will operate without a failure for a stated period of time under specified conditions.
U li bilit i th l t t 1 f li bilit ( )• Unreliability is the complement to 1 of reliability (F = 1 – R)
F(t) = Pr{a given item fails in [0,t]}
• F(t) is a cumulative distribution function of a random variable t with a• F(t) is a cumulative distribution function of a random variable t with a probability density function f(t).
• Both F(t) and f(t) can be calculated based on a hazards function h(t)defined considering that h(t)dt indicates the probability that an item fails between t and t + dt (“event A”) given that it has not failed until t (“event B”). From Bayes theorem
Pr{ | }Pr{ } Pr{ }B A A A
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
Pr{ | }Pr{ } Pr{ }( ) Pr{ | }Pr{ } Pr{ }
B A A Ah t dt A BB B
27Reliability and Availability
R li bilit• ReliabilityPr{ | }Pr{ } Pr{ }( ) Pr{ | }
Pr{ } Pr{ }B A A Ah t dt A B
B B
• Since • Pr{B|A} = 1
• Pr{A} = f(t),
• Pr{B} = 1 - F(t).
Then• Then
( )( )1 ( )
f th t dtF t
• and
( )th d
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
0( )
( ) 1F t e
28Reliability and Availability
R li bilit• The hazards function may take various forms and is a combination of
various factors. Typical forms for electronic components (solid lines)
• Reliability
and mechanical components (doted lines) with the three most characteristics components (early mortality, random and wear out) are
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
29Reliability and Availability
R li bilit• Considering electronic components during the useful life period, the
hazards function is constant and equals the so called constant failure
• Reliability
rate λ. So,
F(t) = 1 – e- λt
f( ) λ λ
R(t)
f(t) = λe- λt
R(t) = e- λt
• And
t
1
And,
• The inverse of λ is called the Mean Time to Failure. I.e.,it is the
0
1[ ( )] ( )E f t tf t dt
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
,expected operating time to (first) failure
30Reliability and Availability
• The failure rate of a circuit is in most cases the sum of the failure rate of its components
• Reliability
its components.
• General form for calculating failure rate (from MIL-Handbook 217):
adj base Q T E O
Production Thermal Electrical
Other factors (power and operational
environment factors)
• Aluminum electrolytic capacitors tend to be a source of reliability
quality stress stresse o e t acto s)
concern for PV inverters. Although their base failure rate is low (about 0.50 FIT), the adjusted failure rate is among the highest (about 50 FIT). Compare it with a MOSFET adjusted failure rate of about 20 FIT.
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
• NOTE: FIT is failures per 109 hours.
31Reliability and Availability
A il bilit• Availability applies to systems (which can operate with failed
components) or repairable entities.
• Availability
• Definitions depending application:• Availability, A, is the probability that an entity works on demand. This definition is adequate for standby systems.q y y
• Availability, A(t) is the probability that an entity is working at a specific time t. This definition is adequate for continuously operating systems.
• Availability A is the expected portion of the time that an entity performs its• Availability, A, is the expected portion of the time that an entity performs its required function. This definition is adequate for repairable systems.
• Consider the following Markov process representing a repairable entity:
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
32Reliability and Availability
A il bilit• Availability
λ is the failure rate and μ is the repair rate. The probability for a repairable item to transition from the working state to the failed state is given by λdt and the probability of staying at the working state is (1-λ)dt. An analogous description applies to the failed state with respect to the repair rate.
• The probability of finding the entity at the failed state at t = t +dt is identified by Prf(t + dt) then this probability equals the probability that the item was working at time t and experiences a failure during the g p ginterval dt or that the item was already in the failed state at time t and it is not repaired during the immediately following interval dt. In mathematical terms,
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
Prf(t + dt) = Prw(t)λdt + Prf(t)(1-µ)dt
33Reliability and Availability
A il bilit
• Hence,
• Availability
• Which leads to the differential equation
Pr ( ) Pr ( )Pr ( ) Pr ( )f f
w ft dt t
t tdt
• Which leads to the differential equation
Pr ( )( ) Pr ( )f
fd t
tdt
• With solution (considering that at t = 0 it was at the working state)
( )Pr ( ) 1 tt e Pr ( ) 1f t e
( )1Pr ( ) tt e
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
( )Pr ( )w t e
34Reliability and Availability
A il bilit
• When plotted:
• Availability
• If we denote the inverse of λ as the Mean Up Time (MUT), TU, when the system is operating “normally” and the inverse of μ as the Mean Down
( ff ) fTime (MDT or off-line time), TD, then as t tends to infinity
Pr ( ) U Uw
U D
T TA tMTBF T T
• That is,
U D
Availability =Expected time operating “normally”
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
Availability Total time (“normal” operation + off-line time)
35Reliability and Availability
A il bilit• Notes:
• Unavailability is defined as
• Availability
Unavailability is defined as
Mean time between failures (MTBF) is the sum of T and T
aMDTUMTBF
• Mean time between failures (MTBF) is the sum of TD and TU
UP
DOWN
• Ways of improving availability• Modularity
DOWN
• Modularity• Redundancy (parallel operation of same components)• Diversity (use of different components for the same function• Distributed functions
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
• Distributed functions
36Reliability and Availability
• About the common claim of data center operators of having “diverse power feeds.” Two power paths imply redundancy, not diversity because the grid is one.
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
37Reliability and Availability
A il bilit
• Now consider a two-components system (A and B). The Markov process is now
• Availability
process is now
Td P• So,
Tddt
P P A
( ) 0A B A B • Where,
( )( ) 0
0 ( )0 ( )
A B A B
A A B B
B B A A
B A A B
A
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
( )B A A B
1 2 3 4Pr ( ) Pr ( ) Pr ( ) Pr ( )T
S S S St t t tP
38Reliability and Availability
A il bilit
• The expected time that the system remains in each of the states is given by
• Availability
given by
1
1 1S
i Nii
ijj
Ta
a
• The probability density function of being at state Si is
1jj i
( ) iii
aT i iif T a e
• the frequency of finding the system in state Si is
Pr ( )i ii Sa t
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
Pr ( )ii ii Sa t
39Reliability and Availability
A il bilit
• Hence, for the two-components system (A and B).
• Availability
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
40Reliability and Availability
• If in a system all components need to be operating in order to have the system operating normally then they are said to be connected in series
• Availability
system operating normally, then they are said to be connected in series. This “series” connection is from a reliability perspective. Electrically they could be connected in parallel or series or any other way. The availability of a system with series connected components is the product of theof a system with series connected components is the product of the components availability.
S iA a• If in a system with several components, only one of them need to be
operating for the system to operate, then they are said to be connected in parallel from a reliability perspective. The system unavailability equals the product of components unavailability, where the unavailability, U, is the complement to 1 of the availability (U = 1 – A).
U © A. Kwasinski, 2015
P iU u
41Reliability and Availability
A il bilit
• For a series two-components system
(b th A d B d t t
• Availability
(both A and B need to operate
for the system to operate).
Working stateFailed states
System availability
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
42Reliability and Availability
A il bilit
• For a parallel two-components system
( ith A B d t t
• AvailabilityFailed state
(either A or B need to operate
for the system to operate).
Working statesSystem unavailability
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
43Reliability and Availability
• The most common redundant configuration is called n + 1 redundancy in which n elements of a system are needed for the system to operate
• Availability
in which n elements of a system are needed for the system to operate, so one additional component is provided in case one of those nnecessary elements fails.
• n +1 redundant configuration. But more modules is not always better:
a = 0.97A
better:
1( 1) n nA n a u a
• Availability decreases when nincreases to a point where A < a
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
44Reliability and Availability
• For more complex systems, availability can be calculated using minimal cut sets
• Availability
cut sets• A minimal cut set is a group of components such that if all fail the system also fails but if any one of them is repaired then the system is no longer in a failed state. The states associated with the minimal cut sets are called minimal cut states.• Much simpler than Markov approaches.
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
45Reliability and Availability
•Unavailability with minimal cut sets:
• Availability
•Unavailability with minimal cut sets:
PCM
S jU K
• Calculation:1j
1M M Mi M
A i ti ith hi hl il bl t
1
1 2 1 1
P( ) P( ) 1 [1 P( )]c c cM M Mi
i i j S ii i j i
K K K U K
1
P( )cM
ii
K
• Approximation with highly available components:
P( )jC C cM M
S j l jU K u u
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
,1 1 1
( )S j l jj j l
46Standby Power Plants
Ac mains: 99.9 %
Power plant: 99.99 %(without batteries)
• Typical availabilities
- 48 V
Genset: 99.4 % (includes TS)(failure to start = 2.41 %)
Each rectifier: 99.96 %n+1 redundant configuration is used for improved availability
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
p y
47Standby Power Plants
A il bilit C l l ti
• Binary representation of Markov states: • 1st digit: rectifiers (RS) with n+1
• Availability Calculation
• 1st digit: rectifiers (RS) with n+1redundancy
• 2nd digit: ac mains (MP)3 d di it t (GS) (f il t t t• 3rd digit: genset (GS) (failure to start
probability given by ρGS
• Availability of power plant without batteries:y p p
1
( )GS GS MP MP
PP TS RSMP MP GS
A A A
where2 ( 1)
( 1)R
RSR R
n nn
2 11
11
1
2 n nr r n
RS ni i n i
n r r
C
C
!C
( )! !k
n
n kk n k n
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
10
n r ri
48Standby Power Plants
• System availability equation: ( ) ( )Tt tP A P• Availability Calculation
( ) 0 (1 ) 0 0 0( ) 0 0 0 0
0 ( ) 0 0 00 ( ) 0 0 0
0 0 0 ( ) 0 (1 )
MP RS GS MP GS MP RS
GS GS MP RS MP RS
MP GS MP RS GS RS
MP GS GS MP RS RS
RS MP RS GS MP GS MP
A
• Failure probability (in time):
( ) ( )0 0 0 ( ) 00 0 0 0 ( )
RS MP RS GS MP GS MP
RS GS GS MP RS MP
RS MP GS MP RS
0 0 0 0 ( )
GS
RS MP GS GS MP RS
• Failure probability (in time):
• The probability density function fPPf(t) associated with the probability of
( ) ( ) 1 ( )i i
i i
PPf S SS F S W
P t P t P t
The probability density function fPPf(t) associated with the probability of leaving the set of failed states after being in this set from t = 0 and entering the set of working states at time t + dt is
( ) a tPPff t a e
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
where aF = 3μRS + μMP + μGS
( )PPff
49Standby Power Plants
• Notice that is the sum of the transition rates from failed states (called minimal cut states) to immediately adjacent working
• Availability CalculationaF = 3μRS + μMP + μGS
failed states (called minimal cut states) to immediately adjacent working states.
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
50Standby Power Plants
• The probability of discharging the batteries is, then
• Availability Calculation
S t il bilit t b bilit
0( ) 1 ( )BAT
BATT a T
BD BAT PPfP t T f d e
• System unavailability or outage probability:
lim ( )F BAT F BATa T a TO PPf aP e P t e U
• Two cases are exemplified:
( )O PPf at
Two cases are exemplified:• Case A: With a permanent
genset.• Case B: Without genset
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
• Case B: Without genset
51Standby Power Plants
• In general, when batteries are considered the unavailability is
• Availability Calculation
,
/ / /1MCS i BAT
i mcs
T
w B w oB w BU U e A
Total availability
/ / /w B w oB w B
Total unavailabilityBase unavailability (without batteries) Batteries (local
Repair rate from a minimal cut state to an
operational state( t out batte es)energy storage)
autonomyoperational state
(Depends on logistics, maintenance
processes, etc.)Heavily depends on unavailability of the electric grid tieof the electric grid tie
Optimal sizing of energy storage depends on
Local energy storage contributes to reduce unavailability
© A. Kwasinski, 2015
Optimal sizing of energy storage depends on expected grid tie performance and local
power plant availability
52Standby Power Plants
• In general, when batteries are considered the unavailability is
• Availability Calculation
,
/ / /1MCS i BAT
i mcs
T
w B w oB w BU U e A
Related with minimal cut states
© A. Kwasinski, 2015