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Johnson Matthey E Presentation to Analysts & Investors Johnson Matthey Environmental Catalysts and Technologies Royston 24th January 2007

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Page 1: E Johnson Matthey

Johnson MattheyE

Presentation toAnalysts & Investors

Johnson MattheyEnvironmental Catalysts and Technologies

Royston 24th January 2007

Page 2: E Johnson Matthey

Neil CarsonChief Executive

Johnson MattheyE

Page 3: E Johnson Matthey

3

Neil Carson - Chief Executive

John Sheldrick - Group Finance Director

Larry Pentz - Executive Director, ECT

Dr Pelham Hawker - Executive Director, PCT and Pharmaceutical Materials

David Morgan - Executive Director, Corporate Development, Central Research and Ceramics

JM Executive BoardJM Executive Board

E

Page 4: E Johnson Matthey

4

Paul Framp - Managing Director, ECT Europe

Antoine Bordet - General Manager, ECT Northern Europe

Dr David Prest - Global Director, Heavy Duty Diesel

Simon Christley - Division Finance Director, ECT

Dr Martyn Twigg - Technology Director, ECT Europe

Ian Godwin - Director, Investor Relations

Dr Sally Jones - Public Relations Manager

Other Senior ManagementOther Senior Management

E

Page 5: E Johnson Matthey

5

9.00 Welcome and trading update (Neil Carson)9.15 Environmental Catalysts and Technologies and the

Global Light Duty Market (Larry Pentz)9.45 Coffee break10.00 ECT Europe (Paul Framp) and The Diesel Filter

Market in Europe (Antoine Bordet)10.30 Heavy Duty Diesel (Dr David Prest)11.15 Tour of Autocatalyst Technical Centre12.15 Tour of Autocatalyst and Catalysed Soot Filter

manufacturing facilities13.15 Lunch and visit wrap up Q&A14.15 Depart by coach for Royston Station

ProgrammeProgramme

E

Page 6: E Johnson Matthey

6

Current TradingCurrent Trading• Trading in the second half progressing well

• Catalysts Division continues to deliver good growth

• ECT benefiting from increased sales of heavy duty diesel catalysts following the introduction of new emissions regulations in Europe and North America

• PCT has also achieved good growth with strong sales of synthesis gas catalysts and a good contribution from Davy Process Technology

• Precious Metal Products had strong third quarter with continuing favourable conditions in the pgm markets

E

Page 7: E Johnson Matthey

7

Current TradingCurrent Trading• Pharmaceutical Materials is also ahead of last year with

continued recovery in its US business

• Sale of Ceramics Division agreed for approximately €226 million in cash. The proceeds will be used to buy back shares and fund bolt-on acquisitions

• The disposal of Ceramics will be slightly dilutive to earnings this year and the US dollar has weakened further since our Interim Results

• Despite these adverse effects, the outlook for the year remains encouraging, with growth in earnings per share (excluding the profit on disposal of Ceramics) expected to be slightly better than the 9% achieved in the first half

E

Page 8: E Johnson Matthey

Johnson MattheyE

Page 9: E Johnson Matthey

Larry Pentz, Executive DirectorEnvironmental Catalysts and Technologies

Page 10: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 10

Agenda

• ECT Overview - Larry Pentz

• Global Light Duty Market - Larry Pentz

• European Region - Paul Framp

• The LD Diesel Market in Europe - Antoine Bordet

• Heavy Duty Diesel - David Prest

Page 11: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 11

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

Page 12: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 12

Alan MyersPresident

North American Region

John WalkerManaging Director

Asian Region

Antoine BordetGeneral ManagerNorthern Europe

Martyn TwiggTechnology Director

European Region

Paul FrampManaging DirectorEuropean Region

David PrestDirector

Global Heavy Duty Diesel

Simon ChristleyFinance Director

ECT

Lawrence PentzExecutive Director

ECT

Neil CarsonCEO

Organisation

Page 13: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 13

Markets and Products

• OEMs

• retrofit

• petrol OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers)

• diesel OEMs

• aftermarket

• power industry

• process industry

• internal combustion engine converters

HEAVY DUTY DIESEL APPLICATIONS

LIGHT DUTY APPLICATIONS STATIONARY SOURCE EMISSIONS CONTROL

Markets

Page 14: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 14

Markets and Products

- Flow through components• three way catalyst (TWC)• diesel oxidation catalyst (DOC)• selective catalytic reduction (SCR)• NOx absorber catalyst (NAC)

- Particulate filters

also known as diesel particulate filters (DPF) and catalysed soot filters (CSF)

- Systems of catalyst components• continuous regenerating trap (CRT®)• catalysed CRT® (CCRT®)• SCRT®(SCR + CRT)• EGRT® (EGR + CRT)

Products

Page 15: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 15

Catalysts Division - 2006/07 Half Year Results

996

67570.8

65.2

0100200300400500600700800900

1,0001,100

2005/06 2006/07 2005/06 2006/07

£m

0

15

30

45

60

75

90

+48% +9%£m

Sales Operating Profit

• Profits up 9%• Both ECT and PCT achieve good growth

1H 1H 1H 1H

Page 16: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 16

Catalysts Division – 2006/07 Half Year Results

286

172

Sales £996m

Operating Profit £70.8m

Sales excl. Precious Metals £458m

ECT

PCT / Fuel Cells

751

245

43.7

27.1

Page 17: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 17

Substrate Costs

Autocatalyst

CSF

HDD

£3 - £10

£100 - £120

Flow through £60 Filter system £300

Page 18: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 18

Global Network

12 Manufacturing Sites

Queretaro, MEXICO

Pilar, ARGENTINA

Wayne, USA

Germiston, RSA

Royston, UKSonning, UK Brussels, BELGIUM

Kitsuregawa, JAPAN

Gothenburg, SWEDEN

Delhi, INDIA

Kuala Lumpur, MALAYSIA

Detroit, USA

Curitiba, BRAZIL

Shanghai, CHINA

7 Technology Centres

Krasnoyarsk, RUSSIA

KOREA

Page 19: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 19

Legislative Horizon

1990 95 2000 05 10 2015

USA

Europe

Japan

China

ROW

Tier 1 LEV I(CA)

Euro IEuro II

Euro III

Euro III (HDD)

Euro IV (HDD)

Euro IVEuro V

Euro VI

Euro V (HDD)

Euro VI (HDD)

STAGE III/IV (NRMM)

LEV II(CA)

Tier 2Tier 1

US HDD 04

US HDD 07

US HDD 2010

Tier 4 (non-road)

N-LEV

Japan HDD LTP

J-LEV Japan HDD

EURO III (Beijing)

EURO III (national 1)

EURO IV (national 1)

S.Korea HDD

Brazil HDD

India HDD

Brazil N-LEV

India EU 3

Small Engine

New LTPJ-2000

Euro IEuro II

S.Korea Euro 4

Page 20: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 20

Current Investment in Growth

Japan ExpansionCSF PlantDiesel Test Cells

RSA Expansion

Korea Plant

Russia Plant

Diesel Plant

New Test Cells HDD Test Cell

Page 21: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 21

Autocatalysts - Global Market Share

31%

31%

25%

13% 25%31%

13%

31%

UmicoreOther

BASF

Revenues excl. Precious MetalsAvailable market

JM

Page 22: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 22

• Emission tightening continues around the world• Emphasis on particulate removal offers significant new opportunity in

the light duty segment today• Focus on NOx reduction in the next rounds of legislation will require

additional emission control• On road, heavy duty diesel volumes begin series production in the

second half of 2006/07• Further tightening of on road and the start of off road HDD continues

into the next decade• Locomotive, marine and small engine legislation offer incremental

opportunity beyond 2010

Expectation – double digit growth for the foreseeable future

Outlook

Page 23: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 23

Global Light Duty Market

Page 24: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 24

Global Light Duty Vehicle Production

Vehicle Market Dynamics

• Moderate global growth

– 2005-10 CAGR 2.9%

• Strong regional growth in

China, India, E.Europe

0

20

40

60

80

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

NAFTA W.EU E.EU Asia ROW

m

Source: Global Insights & JM Forecasts

0.5% NAFTA

6.5% E.Europe

3.8% Asia

4.6% ROW

0.6% W.Europe

Page 25: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 25

Global Production by Fuel Type

Vehicle Market Dynamics

• Diesel growth remains in EU

– NA < 10% in 2010

• Petrol stable growth

• Other fuel technologies will have

limited impact0

20

40

60

80

Diesel Petrol Other Hybrid

Hybrid 0.34 0.49 0.80 1.11 1.36 1.46

Other 1.73 2.15 2.29 2.36 2.52 2.48

Petrol 47.35 48.68 49.57 50.67 51.13 51.83

Diesel 14.87 15.91 16.64 17.29 17.94 18.44

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Global LDV/Pass Car Production

Source: Global Insights & JM Forecasts

m

Page 26: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 26

Light Duty – Market Opportunities

• Diesel particulate filters

• NOx removal

• Asia market growth (and market share growth)

• Continuous PGM thrifting

Page 27: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 27

Estimate Europe Filter Demand

0

2

4

6

8

10

2005 06 07 08 09 2010

Filters (m)

Page 28: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 28

US Potential Diesel Demand

US Pick Up Truck Market2.9 m/annum

2006 2010

Current System - Petrol Future System - Diesel

TWC

TWC

FilterDOC

SCR SCR SCRTWC

TWC

Page 29: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 29

Light Duty – Market Opportunities

• Diesel particulate filters

• NOx removal

• Asia market growth (and market share growth)

• Continuous PGM thrifting

Page 30: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 30

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

SCR Opportunity

£m

• Tightening NOx requirements (US Tier 2, Euro VI) will require additional aftertreatment

• OEMs currently running NOx removal development programs

– SCR is the most likely product

– Lean NOx Trap (LNT) could be used on smaller vehicles

• Timing of market is difficult to predict (and will there be any advanced incentive programs)

• Significant incremental volume for the light duty market

Page 31: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 31

Light Duty – Market Opportunities

• Diesel particulate filters

• NOx removal

• Asia market growth (and market share growth)

• Continuous PGM thrifting

Page 32: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 32

Paul Framp, Managing DirectorECT Europe

Page 33: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 33

Our business is:

“Developing, Manufacturing and Selling catalysts for the removalof pollutants from the exhausts of internal combustion engines.”

European Region

Converting

CO CO2

HC CO2 , H2O

NOx N2, O2

C (soot) CO2

Page 34: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 34

European Region

Vehicles Using JM Autocatalysts

Jeep®

Page 35: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 35

European Region

Our Principal Light Duty Customers

Page 36: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 36

European Region

Environmental and Legislative Pressures

Page 37: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 37

European Region

Honda’s Advert, “Hate Something…Change Something”

Page 38: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 38

European Region

Mercedes Re-branding of Diesel as “Bluetec”

Page 39: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 39

European Region

Global Network

12 Manufacturing Sites

Queretaro, MEXICO

Pilar, ARGENTINA

Wayne, USA

Germiston, RSA

Royston, UKSonning, UK Brussels, BELGIUM

Kitsuregawa, JAPAN

Gothenburg, SWEDEN

Delhi, INDIA

Kuala Lumpur, MALAYSIA

Detroit, USA

Curitiba, BRAZIL

Shanghai, CHINA

7 Technology Centres

Krasnoyarsk, RUSSIA

KOREA

Page 40: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 40

5 Manufacturing Sites

Pilar, ARGENTINA

Germiston, RSA

Royston, UKSonning, UK Brussels, BELGIUM

Gothenburg, SWEDEN

Curitiba, BRAZIL

4 Technology Centres

Krasnoyarsk, RUSSIA

European Region

Our Definition of Europe

Page 41: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 41

European Region

Car Sales in Europe 2002-2010 (includes Eastern Europe)

1.2%2.1%1.0%-1.2%2.1%0.4%4.6%

0.2%

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

m

GasolineDiesel

Source: Global Insight – Dec 2006

Page 42: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 42

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

m u

nits

Source: CEFIC Ecostats

European Region

Total European Catalysts Sales (m units)

Page 43: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 43

European Region

ECT Pricing Model

Price

Time

Page 44: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 44

European Region

Catalyst Total CostTo

tal C

ost (

units

)

PGM CostManufacturing CostRaw Materials & Substrate

Time

Page 45: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 45

European Region

Increasing Unit Margins

• Continuing legislative pressure has allowed continuing increases in net revenues on standard technologies

• Metal thrifting and part or whole substitution of Pd for Pt has allowed OE buyers to demonstrate system cost improvements, while our unit margins increase

• Same process is now underway on catalysed soot filters

• And further new technologies in NOx control between now and 2014

• … but worth noting that the swing to diesel, with more expensive filter substrates, larger scale pieces, and more use of platinum, has increased the unit sales price of catalysts…

Page 46: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 46

European Region

Royston Fastcat

• Established 2000

• Nominal capacity 3m catalysts

• New CSF plant output 850k filters

• 291 employees

Page 47: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 47

European Region

Brussels

• Established 1990

• Close to Brussels airport

• Nominal capacity 4m catalysts

• New Heavy Duty Diesel line

• 274 personnel

Page 48: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 48

European Region

Germiston, South Africa

• Established 1991

• Close to Johannesburg airport

• Grown rapidly since 2000

• Nominal capacity 7.5m

• New Volvo Powertrain business

• 570 employees

Page 49: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 49

European Region

Pilar, Argentina

• Pilar established 1997

• Close to Buenos Aires and airport

• Nominal capacity 1m pieces

• 65 employees

Page 50: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 50

European Region

Russia

• New facility under construction at

Krasnoyarsk

• A JM company, located on the secure site

of a Russian PGM company

• In production by end of 2007

• Starting capacity of 1m units

Page 51: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 51

European Region

Gothenburg Engine Test Centre

• Diesel engine test centre at Gothenburg

• 8 engine test cells, for HDD and LDD

applications

• 31 employees

Page 52: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 52

European Region

Royston Technology Centre

• Established 1970s

• Laboratories, engine test facilities, vehicle

test facilities

• Purpose of the technology group is to

design catalysts for internal combustion

engines, and then tailor the catalyst to the

individual application

• Very high direct interaction with customers

• 159 employees, mostly PhDs

Page 53: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 53

Antoine BordetGeneral Manager, Northern Europe

The Diesel Filter Market in Europe

Page 54: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 54

• Diesel vehicles are very popular in Europe

- Better fuel economy

- Equivalent (if not better!) driving performance

• 50% of light duty vehicles sold are diesel

• Concerns about particulate matter emitted by diesel

The Diesel Market in Europe

Page 55: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 55

No of diesel vehicles manufacturedin Europe (m units)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2007

OthersNissanToyotaBMWMercedesOpelFiat groupFord groupRenaultPSAVW group

Current European penetration at 50%

Belgium 73.4%, Spain 70%, France 70%.

Germany at 44% , UK at 38%, Italy at 59%:

Potential for further market growth

Main diesel manufacturers

are JM customers

The Diesel Market in Europe

Page 56: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 56

• The clear consensus of the scientific and environmental communities is that particulate matter (PM), and particularly ultra fine particles, cause serious hazard to human health

• It is “officially” estimated, by the EPA and the EU, that PM pollution causes up to 50,000 deaths per year in the US and 200,000 deathsper year in Europe

• The studies implicate particulate matter from a large variety ofsources, but the greatest concerns arise from fossil fuel combustion processes (domestic, industrial and transport)

Health Effects of Particulate Matter

Page 57: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 57

• All diesel cars currently require a catalyst (Diesel Oxidation Catalyst)

• All diesel cars in Europe will require a filter by 2010, but market exists before legislation comes into place

• We are currently making 1 million units out of 3 million cars fitted

• European light duty diesel car and light truck sales will be at least 9m units by 2010

• We are investing in new capacity

The Diesel Filter Market

Page 58: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 58

CSF = catalysed soot filter

Filters

Page 59: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 59

Inlet Outlet

How A Coated Filter Works

Page 60: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 60

Use of Palladium in Filters

Palladium has now been used in series production for diesel products for a while

JM introduced palladium into DOCs in 2004 and into coated filters in 2006

Pt:Pd ratios are still in the order of 25% – 33% Pd

However, palladium is not used in all formulations

Page 61: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 61

• First manual production lines purchased and assembled in 2004

Our First Production & Development Facility – Phase 1

Page 62: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 62

• Investment for half million capacity in 2005

• Further investment in 2006 to double capacity to 1m units per year

• We believe that we are class leaders in achieving precision dosing of PGM in filters, in terms of mass tolerance and spatial distribution

Followed by Major Investment, Royston CSF Line 1

Page 63: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 63

• The market for CSFs grew more rapidly than anyone was expecting

• Our factory is now full and quite congested

• We are building a new factory next door to add capacity

• The new factory will be more spacious and more efficient

Royston CSF Plant 1

Page 64: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 64

• Further CSF capacity now being constructed at Royston and in South Africa to provide capacity for 2m filters

• New plants on stream 2007

• Further legislation for diesel will require NOx aftertreatment. This will further increase the number of catalyst bricks per car from the end of the decade

• ..and strong possibilities for diesel growth in the USA….

Further Investment in CSF Capacity

Page 65: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 65

Dr David PrestHeavy Duty Diesel

Page 66: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 66

1. Today’s HDD market 2. Legislation, technologies & market solutions3. Developing OE markets4. Non road market5. Retrofit market6. Manufacturing7. Summary

AgendaHeavy Duty Diesel

Page 67: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 67

• OE– Regulatory compliance

– Technical approval by OE

– Includes option-fit

– Supply chain via system integrators / canners

• Retrofit– Local legislation

– Approval by verifications

– Incentives and restrictions for users

– Supply chain via agents or direct

Generally vehicles >6 tgvwOn road and non road applications

Two Market Segments in Each RegionHeavy Duty Diesel

Page 68: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 68

DaimlerChrysler (incl. Mercedes, Fuso, Freightliner, Sterling)Volvo group (incl. Renault VI, Mack)Paccar (incl. Kenworth, Peterbilt, DAF)InternationalFordMANIvecoGMIsuzuToyota / Hino

Source: JD Power. Quantities are 2007 sales forecasts (‘000 vehicles). Scope: >6 tonnes

2141129385615048423636

Major Vehicle OEMs – regulated markets

Heavy Duty Diesel

OE On Road Market

‘000 vehicles

Note: Major engine OEMs include Cummins, Caterpillar

Page 69: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 69

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

JapanW Europe totalUSA total

Source: JD Power. Scope: >6 tonnes

OE Annual Vehicle Sales Heavy Duty Diesel

‘000 vehicles

Page 70: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 70

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2005 2010

WEU USA Japan/Korea India/China/Brazil

million No of Vehicles (>6t)

Source: JD Power & Johnson Matthey

Rest of World

OE On Road MarketHeavy Duty Diesel

00.5

11.5

22.5

33.5

4

2005 2010

No of Vehicles (>3.5t)million

Page 71: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 71

• Carbon Monoxide CO• Hydrocarbons HC• Nitrogen Oxides NOx• Particulate Matter PM

The Controlled PollutantsHeavy Duty Diesel

Page 72: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 72

New Models All ModelsEuropeEuro 4 01-Oct-05 01-Oct-06Euro 5 01-Oct-08 01-Oct-09United StatesUS2007 01-Jan-07 01-Jan-07US2010 01-Jan-10 01-Jan-10JapanShort Term 2.5-12t 01-Oct-03 01-Oct-0312t + 01-Oct-04 01-Oct-04New Long Term2.5t+ 01-Oct-05 01-Oct-05Japan Diesel 092.5t+ 31-Dec-09 31-Dec-09ChinaBeijing - Euro 4Rest of country - Euro 4IndiaMajor citiesSouth KoreaEuro 4 01-Jan-06 01-Jan-08BrazilEuro 4

20082010

2010 (or earlier?)

2009

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.10

0.12

0.14

0.16

0.18

0.20

0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0

NOx (g/kW-hr)

PM (g

/kW

-hr)

EU 3

EU 4EU 5

US 2002 3/4

US 2007

US 2010

Japan NST

Japan NLT

Japan 2009

On Road Regulation DevelopmentHeavy Duty Diesel

Page 73: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 73

XXXNAC – NOx Adsorber Catalyst

XEGR – Exhaust Gas Recirculation

XXXCCRT® – Coated CRT(DOC + coated filter)

XSCR – Selective Catalytic Reduction

XXXXEGRT®(EGR + CRT)

XXXXSCRT®(SCR + CRT)

XXXCRT® – Continuously Regenerating Trap(DOC + filter)

XXXDOC – Diesel Oxidation Catalyst

NOxPMHCCO

Johnson Matthey’s Technology ToolboxHeavy Duty Diesel

Page 74: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 74

Note: "DPF" includes DOC + DPF (CRT®), DOC + CSF (CCRT®) and CSF - only

HDD OE On-Road MarketHeavy Duty Diesel

Different technologies in different markets

Japan NLT

SCR DPF DOC

US07

Note: "DPF" includes DOC + DPF (CRT®), DOC + CSF (CCRT®) and CSF - only

Euro 4

Page 75: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 75

CompetitorsHeavy Duty Diesel

Competitors include:

• Argillon• BASF• Frauenthal• Haldor Topsoe• Heesung Engelhard• NE Chemcat• Tokyo Roki• Umicore

Page 76: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 76

HDD (on road)2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Europe SCR SCREGR + DPF EGR + DPFEGR + DOC EGR + DOC

USA EGR EGR + DPF SCR + DPFNAC + DPF

Japan EGR SCR + DPF SCR + DPFSCR NAC + DPF

Note: "DPF" includes DOC + DPF (CRT®), DOC + CSF (CCRT®) and CSF - only

SCR + DPF

OEM Prime Path OptionsHeavy Duty Diesel

Page 77: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 77

SCRT®DOC

HDD Technology EvolutionHeavy Duty Diesel

Page 78: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 78

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2005 2010

WEU USA Japan/Korea India/China/Brazil

M No of Vehicles (>6t)

Source: JD Power & Johnson Matthey

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2005 2010

No of Catalyst bricks M

Rest of World

OE On Road MarketHeavy Duty Diesel

Page 79: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 79

DaimlerChrysler (incl. Mercedes, Fuso, Freightliner, Sterling) 372Volvo group (incl. Renault VI, Mack) 184TELCO (India) 154DongFeng (China) 131Paccar (incl. Kenworth, Peterbilt, DAF) 117First Auto Works (FAW) (China) 110Ford 110International 105Isuzu 100Scania 92Toyota / Hino 81Iveco 79MAN 75China National Heavy Truck Corporation (CNHTC) (China) 58

Source: JD Power. Quantities are 2010 production forecasts. Scope: >6 tonnes, global production >50k.

Major OEMs – sales including developing markets

OE On Road Developing MarketsHeavy Duty Diesel

‘000 vehicles

Page 80: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 80

New Market Opportunities

BRAZIL (120k engines in 2010: DC, VW, Ford, Scania, ~5 smaller players)• Euro 4 regulations introduced from 2009• SCR expected to be the technology of choice• Fuel quality issues preclude use of filters

CHINA (480k engines in 2010: DongFeng, FAW, CNHTC, >15 others)• Euro 4 regulations begin to come in from 2010• SCR expected to dominate• Some filters and oxidation catalyst systems (niche)

INDIA (225k engines in 2010: TELCO, Ashok Leyland, Eicher, ~5 smaller players)• Fuel quality essential for market introduction• Regulation expected in major cities first • Timetable for regulation not yet finalised

HDD OE On Road MarketHeavy Duty Diesel

Page 81: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 81

Sulphur Content in ppm

500 ppm50 ppmLess than 30 ppm

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010European Union 50USA 500China Brazil 500India (11 Major Cities) 50IndiaJapan 50Korea 50

50350500

1030

Country

1015

350 for Beijing

Year

World Diesel Fuel StandardsHeavy Duty Diesel

Page 82: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 82

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

0.12

0.14

0.16

0.18

0.2

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6NOx (g/kW-hr)

PM (g

/kW

-hr)

EU IIIA

EU IIIB

EU IV

US 3

US 4a

US 4b

0.22

0.24

0.26

0.28

0.3Regulation is by engine power. The chart and table show information for 100kW engines, eg construction. Limits for larger engines are tighter and implemented sooner; those for smaller engines less stringent and later

Europe New Models All ModelsStage IIIB Jan 2011 Jan 2012Stage IV Oct 2013 Oct 2014United StatesTier 4a Jan 2011 Jan 2012Tier 4b Jan 2014 Dec 2014

Non Road Regulation DevelopmentHeavy Duty Diesel

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Kubota 400Yanmar 300Caterpillar (inc Perkins) 200John Deere 180Case New Holland / Iveco 150Deutz 150Cummins 140Mitsubishi 100Isuzu 80Komatsu 50Volvo 40JCB 40

Source: Ricardo & Johnson Matthey

OE Non Road MarketHeavy Duty Diesel

‘000 vehicles

• 2/3 size of on road market

• Smaller average engine size

Page 84: E Johnson Matthey

Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 84

• Many large cities have air quality problems

• Heavy duty vehicles make a significant contribution to emissions because the emissions per vehicle mile are higher and they have a high annual mileage

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

AllSources

TransportSources

PM10NOx

% Contribution of heavy duty vehiclesto emissions in Greater London

Source:

GLA – Mayor’s Air Quality

Strategy Document

Emissions in LondonHeavy Duty Diesel

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Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

January 2007 85

Typical Retrofit OpportunitiesHeavy Duty Diesel

Netherlands LEZFilter retrofit subsides for city buses from 2000. Approximately 1,000 filter retrofits to buses.

USANational, state and city programmes introduced from 2000 onwards, some provide funding, others make retrofit mandatory. Approximately 160,000 diesel engines (including 5,000 school buses) are estimated to have been fitted with aftertreatment since retrofit programmes began.

London LEZFunding for retrofit first introduced in 2000. Approximately 14,000 vehicles retrofitted, including around 4,000 London buses.

SeoulRetrofit subsidies from 2005 in Seoul and surrounding area. Potentially 500,000 vehicles to be retrofitted over five year period.

ChileTranSantiago retrofit scheme implemented 2006. Up to 2,000 city buses to be retrofited

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Environmental Catalysts and Technologies

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• Market for OE on road established in EU, US and Japan• Major new opportunities in China, India, Brazil start from 2009• New sector of non road starts from 2011• Retrofit market continues, though lumpy• JM has full technology capability• Market size $700m (excl. PGM) by end 2008• Market potential $3bn (excl. PGM) by 2014• JM in leading position globally

HDD SummaryHeavy Duty Diesel

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HDD Manufacturing TechnologyHeavy Duty Diesel