Planning Context for Modeling & Analysis Introduction to
DVRPC and the Office of Modeling and Analysis Main planning
partners with example studies 2015-2023 Model Improvement Plan
Early feedback and prospective future regional analysis needs
Slide 3
Introduction to the Region
Slide 4
Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission Metropolitan
Planning Organization (MPO) 2 States 9 Counties 351 Municipalities
5.6 Million Population 3,800 sq. miles ~115 employees Activities
Long Range Plan (LRP) Transportation Improvement Program (TIP) Wide
range of planning and technical support for regional partners
Slide 5
DVRPC Region - Transportation System & Land Use Multimodal
125+ bus lines, 4 Heavy rail, 9 LRT/Streetcar, 14 Regional Rail,
Amtrak 18 Bridges (mostly toll) connecting NJ & PA 2 Major toll
highways, numerous non-tolled (but no HOV) Center City Philadelphia
is still the regions core and largest activity center Several other
urban activity centers Trenton, Camden, etc. Significant suburban
activity centers King of Prussia, Rt. 1 Corridor in Mercer Open
rural fringes remain
Slide 6
DVRPC Region Transportation System Some days we have 2 million
pedestrian trips on Broad Street but hard to forecast when.
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TRIP MATRIX BY COUNTY (%) 7
Slide 8
Residential Single-Family Detached Residential Multi-Family
Residential Row Home Residential Mobile Home Manufacturing Light
Industrial Manufacturing Heavy Industrial Transportation &
Parking Utility Commercial Community Services Military Recreation
Agriculture Mining Wooded Vacant Water
Slide 9
Introduction to The Office of Modeling and Analysis
Slide 10
DVRPC Office of Modeling and Analysis 8 Full time permanent
staff + interns 9 VISUM licenses, 2 VISSIM licenses Responsible for
majority of model development and applications in the region
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DVRPC Office of Modeling and Analysis Workstation Type A 2 ea.
Dual Xeon 8-Core processors (E5-2687W v2) 192 GB RAM Workstation
Type B 2 ea. Single Xeon 6-Core processor (E3-1650 v1) 64 GB RAM
Server Quad Xeon 4-Core processor (E7440) 64 GB RAM
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DVRPC Office of Modeling and Analysis Total Storage Space: 43.8
TB 29.7 TB Used 14.1 TB Free Backed up Space: 29.3 TB 20.9 TB Used
8.4 TB Free 70.37% of data is backed up
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DVRPC Office of Modeling and Analysis Data: Surveys (25%)
Forecasting: Conformity analysis & Long range planning (15%)
Highway alternatives analysis (Ex: US 202 Sec 600) (20%) Transit
studies / FTA New Starts (Ex: KoP Rail) (25%) Economic analysis
(PATCO Econ Study) (10%) Bike and walk travel estimation (Bike
share demand) Microsimulation (5%) Evacuation modeling (10%)
Slide 14
Alphabet soup of partners: Main partners for modeling
(clients): PennDOT SEPTA (PA side transit agency) DRPA (bridge
authority and transit agency) MOTU & PCPC (City of Phila.
Agencies) MCPC (Montgomery County)
Slide 15
8 Year Improvement Plan Modeled after last plan Input from:
Planning partners Staff TMIP peer review
Slide 16
Planning Context Top 3 1. What we do well now keep doing (well)
2. Operational level tools transit and auto 3. Good data, new
data
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Planning Context External Feedback + Continued support for
current tasks + DTA for signal timing and other operational
analysis + Excitement for transit operations model (25 uses/year) +
Support for data collection (counts, NPT data, etc.) - Limited need
for predictive LU model
Slide 18
Planning Context Internal Feedback + Model results and survey
results viewers (democratization of model and data) + Sketch and
operational transit, bike, ped tools + Strong interest in
integrated LU-Transp. Models + More metrics than just TT,
congestion (health impacts, safety impacts, etc.) + Pavement
condition and connected vehicles + Better truck modeling, including
economic measures
Slide 19
Planning Context Internal Feedback + Easy mesh with
microsimulation + Easier use of TIM + Traffic impact analysis +
Signal optimization capabilities + Need to be able to model CMP
strategies (whether TDM, or other tool)
Slide 20
Planning Context Us Modelers + Continue to do great traditional
studies (new highway and transit major capacity studies) + Bring
the ABM on-line on-time and within budget, and in a way where staff
is completely comfortable with the model + Enhance the efficiency
and ease of modeling, esp. in sharing results with non-modelers +
Match analysis with planning needs i.e. more operational level
tools + Ability to model tolling important (but, not most
important) ~ some type of LU model for LRP
Slide 21
Travel Models - Overview TIM1.0 First VISUM model, completed in
2009 TIM 2.0 Best-in-class 4-step model Networks carry forward TIM
2.1 & TIM 2.2 Minor bug fixes and improvements Tim 3.0 Fully
disaggregate microsimulated activity based