nederlandsexpertise eninnovatiecentrummaatschappelijkeeffectendemografische krimp

NEIMEDDutch Centre of Expertise on Demographic Change

Content

• Demographic change• Regional characteristics• Scale• Phase of awareness and policies• NEIMED research projects

What is population decline?

In a broad sense population decline means reflection on quality of life and society and how to address this.

In a narrow sense population decline means fewer people because of demographic changes.

Causes of demographic changes:

• Natural growth/decline (difference between birth and death rates)

• Net migration (difference between immigration and emigration)

Shrinking related processes: less youngsters and more elderly.

Shrinkage in the Netherlands, Limburg and Parkstad

0 -20 20 - 65 65 en ouder totaal

Nederland 2009 3 934 24%

10 080 61%

2 47215%

16 500100%

2040 3 797 22%

9 194 53%

4 48226%

17 500100%

Provincie Limburg 2009 239

22% 68662%

19818%

1 1023100%

2040122 13%(-49%)

491 53%(-38%)

308 33%(+45%)

921 100%(-18%)

Parkstad 2009 3614%

17167%

4719%

238100%

20402312%(-36%)

10254%(-40%)

6534%(+40)

190 100%(-26%)

Awareness of population decline

Awareness of population decline

Awareness

• Awareness– Denial– Fight– Acceptance

• Who owns this “problem”?– (politics) government– Professional– Citizen

8

Population decline themes• Housing• Education• Economy and labour

market• Mobility• Care and welfare• Culture, sport and free

time• Administration and

politics• Finances

Integral approach and analysisQuality of life and society indicated

by:• Physical quality• Political quality• Social quality • Cultural quality• Economic quality• Ecologic quality

NEIMED projects

• Population Decline and the Cultural factor in Limburg

• Database “Krimp”• Neighbourhood Monitor• OP-ACT Network: Options of Actions for

the Strategic Positioning of Small and Medium sized Cities

• Impact of population decline on public finances

NEIMED projects

• PhD research: Teenage Mothers in Kerkrade• Neighbourhood Experiment on Social Innovation

(online services, database talented elderly, urban farming)

• Effects of demographic Decline on Mental Health Care

• The effects of Demographic Decline on Dutch social support act

• Neimed ‘lab’: Krimpen aan de Maas – a case study

Shrinking =letting go of growth fixation

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